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Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Limited (BXRBF)

Overvalued
Financial ServicesBanks - RegionalAustralia

Fundamental

43

Price

$10.57

Market Cap

$5.88B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank is an Australian retail and business bank built around a network of Community Bank branches — locally owned franchises that share profits with the towns they serve — plus Up, a separate digital-only bank aimed at younger customers. It takes deposits and makes home, business and agricultural loans across Australia, with the country's second-largest regional branch network and the only ASX100 head office based outside a state capital.

How it makes money

The bank earns net interest income on the spread between what it pays depositors and charges borrowers, plus fees from banking services; net interest margin was 1.88% in the 2025 financial year. Around three-quarters of its loan book is home mortgages, funded mostly by customer deposits rather than wholesale borrowing, which keeps funding costs relatively low but leaves earnings sensitive to how central bank rate cuts squeeze the gap between deposit and lending rates.

Competitive moat

Brand · Narrow

The Community Bank model — local franchises that return a share of profit to their town rather than to shareholders alone — has built unusually high customer trust: Bendigo's Net Promoter Score sits about 36 points above the industry average, and its funding is 77% customer deposits versus lower shares at the major banks. That loyalty is real, but the underlying banking products are still substitutable.

What drives demand

Moderately cyclical

Loan growth and credit quality follow the health of the Australian economy — unemployment, house prices and interest rates all move Bendigo's arrears and lending volumes — but a retail deposit-funded bank is more insulated from sudden shocks than a wholesale-funded lender. Residential mortgage arrears rose to 0.82% in the 2025 financial year, still low but trending up from a 2022 trough.

The case for

Buyers argue that the Community Bank model gives Bendigo unusually loyal, low-cost deposit funding and a trust score well above the major banks, and that the Up digital brand is finally approaching profitability after six years of fast customer growth, giving the bank two distinct paths to growth.

The case against

Sellers fear that a $539.5 million goodwill impairment and rising operating expenses pushed the bank to a statutory loss in the 2025 financial year, and that margin pressure from falling interest rates will keep outpacing the cost savings management is promising for years to come.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users

Bank of Queensland LimitedBOQ

The closest listed peer: a similarly sized Australian regional bank chasing the same retail mortgage, deposit and small-business customers through a branch-plus-broker network outside the big four.

Commonwealth Bank of AustraliaCBA

Australia's largest home lender and deposit taker, competing for the same retail and small-business customers nationwide with far greater scale and technology spending.

Westpac Banking CorporationWBC

A big-four bank competing head-on for Australian residential mortgages, household deposits and agribusiness lending, including in the regional areas Bendigo has traditionally served.

National Australia Bank LimitedNAB

Competes for the same business and agribusiness borrowers in regional Victoria, Queensland and South Australia, as well as for mainstream home loans and transaction accounts.

Macquarie Group LimitedMQG

Its Australian banking arm has grown into a top-five mortgage and deposit player through brokers and digital channels, taking share in exactly the segments Bendigo relies on.

MyState LimitedMYS

A smaller listed regional banking group (MyState Bank and Auswide Bank) selling home loans and deposits to the same regional and broker-sourced customers on Australia's eastern seaboard.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$1.70B

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Net Income

$337M

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Free Cash Flow

-

Total Equity

$6.73B

Total Liabilities

$10.73B

Current Ratio

-

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

-

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseOvervalued

Fair Value

$8.47

Current Price

$10.57

Margin of Safety

-24.9%

Fair Value Range

$6.64 - $10.29

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$10.41
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$9.02
Earnings multiple (P/E):$8.22
Graham growth formula:$4.79
Earnings power value (EPV):$9.04
Justified P/B:$6.70
Dividend discount (Gordon):$6.74
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not enough data to compute it
Mid-cycle earnings:Not enough data to compute it
Revenue multiple:$7.66
Last Earnings Surprise:-8.33%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

18.11

ROE

5.6%

P/B Ratio

0.91

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

0.0%

ROIC

2.2%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

2.2%

WACC

3.5%

ROIC − WACC

-1.3 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (6)

  • P/B ratio 0.91
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Operating margin 37.3%
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Revenue growth 5Y 5.1%
  • Net margin trend 18.3% vs -5.0%

Failed (8)

  • Price CAGR -2.04%
  • ROIC 2.2%
  • Gross margin 0.0%
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE 5.6%
  • Earnings surprise, average -4.7%
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) -3.32
  • Piotroski F-Score 0/9

Unavailable (12)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/FCF –
  • Dividend payout –
  • Positive free cash flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current ratio
  • Interest coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on tangible assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share dilution (missing share count)

Piotroski F-Score

0/9

Serious financial concerns

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

-3.32

Low quality: investigate accounting

Share Dilution

-

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

No institutional filings reported for this company.

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Richard Allan Fennell BEc, CA, MAICDCEO, MD & Director56
Mr. Andrew Robert Morgan B.Com., FCPAChief Financial Officer-
Mr. Bruce Speirs BCom, CA, GAICD, MBAChief Operating Officer-
Mr. Kieran O'Meara B.Sc.Chief Technology Officer-
Mr. Adam Rowse M.B.A.Chief Customer Officer of Bus & Agribus and Interim Chief Customer Officer, Consumer Banking-
Ms. Kerrie Noonan B.Com.Chief Risk Officer-
Ms. Samantha MillerGeneral Manager of Investor Relations & ESG-
Mr. Steven J Blackburn B.A., J.D., L.L.B.Chief Compliance, Financial Crime & Regulatory Affairs Officer-
James FrostHead of Public Relations-
Ms. Sarah BatesonChief Marketing Officer-

Audit Risk

2

Board Risk

1

Compensation Risk

3

Shareholder Rights Risk

1

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much BXRBF moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityLow

More volatile than 18% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
26.3%
Volatility 90d
24.0%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
0.20Correlation 0.10
Max drawdown (12m)
-23.6%
ATR (14d, % of price)
2.09%

Earnings reactions

How BXRBF moved around its past quarterly results.

No earnings releases recorded yet for BXRBF. This can happen with recent listings or with companies that do not file 8-K reports with the SEC.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on BXRBF and what the price did next.

No positive or negative news on BXRBF has been archived yet.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for BXRBF.

No recent news for BXRBF.