Evolution Mining Limited (CAHPF)
NEUTRALFundamental
68
Price
$15.88
Market Cap
$32.12B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Evolution Mining is an Australian miner that digs up and processes rock to extract gold, with copper as a significant byproduct at some of its mines. It operates a portfolio of underground and open-pit mines, including Cowal, Ernest Henry, Red Lake, Mungari and Northparkes, spanning Australia and Canada. It does not sell to a single end customer; it produces gold bullion and copper concentrate that are sold into global commodity markets at prevailing prices.
How it makes money
Revenue is simply ounces of gold and tonnes of copper produced, multiplied by the market price on the day they are sold; Evolution has little influence over that price. Gold is the primary product across the portfolio, with copper — produced mainly at Ernest Henry and Cowal — a smaller but meaningful secondary contributor. Because mining and processing costs are largely fixed once a mine is running, profit is highly sensitive to swings in the gold and copper price.
Competitive moat
No identified moat · NoneGold and copper are undifferentiated commodities sold at a price set by global markets, not by Evolution. A mining company can have better or worse ore bodies and lower or higher costs than its peers, but it cannot charge more for its gold than anyone else does, so there is no durable competitive advantage in the way a brand or a patent provides one.
What drives demand
CyclicalEvolution's results move with global gold and copper prices, which themselves swing with macroeconomic cycles: gold tends to rise when investors seek a safe haven during uncertainty or falling real interest rates, while copper tracks industrial and construction activity worldwide. A period of high metal prices can lift profit sharply, and a downturn in prices compresses it just as fast, independent of how well the mines themselves are run.
The case for
Buyers argue that record gold and copper output, combined with strong metal prices, has already delivered record profit and a higher dividend, and that a long-life, multi-mine portfolio spread across two countries reduces the risk of any single operation disappointing.
The case against
Sellers worry that today's record results depend on metal prices Evolution does not control and that could fall back, that mining carries operational risks such as lower ore grades or unexpected costs at any given site, and that a portfolio built around a handful of mines leaves less room to absorb a problem at one of them.
Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$5.16B
Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics
Net Income
$1.35B
Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics
Free Cash Flow
$1.16B
Total Equity
$5.86B
Total Liabilities
$1.44B
Current Ratio
1.82
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
0.46
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$12.13
Current Price
$15.88
Margin of Safety
-30.9%
Fair Value Range
$7.89 - $16.38
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
23.83
ROE
27.4%
P/B Ratio
5.67
P/FCF
27.58
Gross Margin
42.6%
ROIC
25.5%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
25.5%
WACC
15.7%
ROIC − WACC
+9.8 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (16)
- Price CAGR 22.14%
- ROIC 25.5%
- Gross Margin 42.6%
- P/FCF 27.58
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 36.7%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- ROE 25.1%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 17.5%
- Analyst Consensus 52% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 19.6%
- PEG Ratio 1.10
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.79
- Net Margin Trend 26.5% vs 21.3%
Failed (5)
- P/B Ratio 5.67
- CapEx intensity
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Unavailable (6)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-Score
Serious financial concerns
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Lawrence John Conway BBus, C.P.A., MAICD | CEO, MD & Director | - |
Audit Risk
2
Board Risk
6
Compensation Risk
9
Shareholder Rights Risk
7
Part 2 · The price and when to enter
This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Latest News
Recent headlines for CAHPF, sourced from Markets Gazette.