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Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc (CCEP)

NEUTRAL
Consumer DefensiveBeverages - Non-AlcoholicUnited Kingdom

Fundamental

60

Price

$109.72

Market Cap

$47.70B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners does not make Coca-Cola's recipe or set its marketing; it is the independent bottler that turns concentrate supplied by The Coca-Cola Company into finished drinks and gets them onto shelves and into fridges across Europe, Australia, the Pacific and Indonesia. It owns the factories, trucks and delivery routes, negotiates with individual retailers, and also bottles some Coca-Cola-owned brands like Costa Coffee alongside sparkling and still drinks under long-term bottling agreements.

How it makes money

Revenue is unit case volume multiplied by price, shaped by which brands, package sizes and sales channels each case comes from: a can sold through a vending machine or a bar earns a different margin than a large bottle sold in a supermarket. CCEP owns the manufacturing, packaging and delivery, letting it capture wholesale and retail margin, but it pays for concentrate and shares brand investment with The Coca-Cola Company, so its own pricing and product decisions stay bounded by the bottling agreement.

Revenue by segment

Europe74.4%

Bottling and distribution across most of Western and parts of Central Europe, CCEP's original and largest geography.

Asia-Pacific and Indonesia25.6%

Bottling and distribution in Australia, the Pacific islands, the Philippines and Indonesia, added through mergers that turned CCEP from a European into a global bottler.

Competitive moat

Scale · Narrow

Owning the region's densest bottling plants and delivery routes for Coca-Cola brands is expensive to replicate, and the long-term bottling agreements give CCEP exclusivity in its territories. The advantage is narrow rather than wide because it depends entirely on The Coca-Cola Company continuing to want CCEP as its bottler and on Coca-Cola brands themselves staying popular; CCEP has no control over the product's formulation or brand strategy.

What drives demand

Defensive

Soft drinks are a low-ticket, habitual purchase that people keep buying through recessions, which makes overall volume fairly steady. The more variable part is mix: consumers can trade down from premium packages or immediate-consumption channels like bars and vending toward cheaper large-format packs at the supermarket, which lowers average price even if volume holds up.

Key risks

  • Dependence on The Coca-Cola Company — Nearly all of CCEP's revenue comes from Coca-Cola-branded products, and it is the sole supplier of the concentrates and syrups needed to make them. Any strategic shift or reputational problem at The Coca-Cola Company affects CCEP directly, and CCEP does not control marketing or product formulation.
  • Bottling agreement is not owned outright — CCEP's right to bottle Coca-Cola products rests on long-term agreements rather than owning the brand; the terms of those agreements, including territory and product scope, are negotiated with and can be changed by The Coca-Cola Company.
  • Input cost and currency exposure — As a manufacturer operating across many currencies, CCEP is exposed to swings in packaging, sugar and energy costs and to foreign-exchange movements between its many European, Australian and Indonesian markets.

The case for

Buyers argue that owning the exclusive bottling rights for the world's leading soft-drink brand across a large, diversified set of markets provides steady, recession-resistant cash flow, and that continued mix shift toward premium packaging and immediate-consumption channels can keep growing revenue even where volume growth is modest.

The case against

Sellers fear that a business this dependent on a single brand owner has little room to diversify away from decisions made in Atlanta, that rising health consciousness and sugar taxes could weigh on sparkling-drink volumes over time, and that input-cost inflation can compress margins in a business with limited pricing power of its own.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$18.99B

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Net Income

$1.96B

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Free Cash Flow

$1.58B

Total Equity

$9.64B

Total Liabilities

$12.19B

Current Ratio

0.89

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

3.45

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Fairly Valued

Fair Value

$105.25

Current Price

$109.72

Margin of Safety

-4.2%

Fair Value Range

$88.21 - $122.30

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$113.60
DCF:$101.79
PE-based:$107.03
Graham Growth:$128.26
EPV:$53.93
Analyst Consensus:Buy (16B / 4H / 2S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-1.01%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

24.80

ROE

23.5%

P/B Ratio

5.90

P/FCF

30.13

Gross Margin

36.3%

ROIC

10.3%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

10.3%

WACC

6.4%

ROIC − WACC

+4.0 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (13)

  • Price CAGR 13.15%
  • ROIC 10.4%
  • Gross Margin 36.3%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 12.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 24.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 73% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.55
  • Net Margin Trend 9.3% vs 6.9%

Failed (8)

  • P/FCF 30.13
  • P/B Ratio 5.90
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -0.1%
  • PEG Ratio 2.11
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Unavailable (6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Serious financial concerns

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.55

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Damian Paul GammellCEO & Executive Director55
Mr. Ed WalkerChief Financial Officer-
Ms. Francesca FaureChief Information Officer-
Sarah WillettVice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Svetlana WalkerGeneral Counsel & Company Secretary-
Ms. Veronique VuillodChief People & Culture Officer-
Mr. Stephen Clifford MoorhouseChief Customer Service & Supply Chain Officer58
Mr. Leendert den HollanderChief Strategy Officer56
Mr. Stephen LuskChief Commercial Officer-
Joe FransesVice President of Sustainability of CCEP-

Audit Risk

1

Board Risk

7

Compensation Risk

4

Shareholder Rights Risk

9

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for CCEP, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for CCEP.