C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW)
NEUTRALFundamental
63
Price
$143.94
Market Cap
$16.55B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
C.H. Robinson arranges the movement of other companies' freight without owning any trucks, ships or planes itself. It matches shippers who need cargo moved with a network of independent carriers, handling booking, pricing, paperwork and tracking in between, and earns the spread between what it charges shippers and what it pays carriers. Most of its business is trucking within North America, with a smaller international ocean and air freight arm.
How it makes money
Revenue is the total price charged to shippers for arranging their freight, but profitability comes from the gross margin between that price and what C.H. Robinson pays the carrier — a spread that widens when trucking capacity is tight and narrows when there are more trucks chasing loads than freight to move. Because it owns no transportation assets, its costs scale with volume rather than with fixed fleet ownership, but its margins ride the freight market's boom-and-bust cycle.
Revenue by segment
Truckload, less-than-truckload and intermodal freight brokerage across the United States, Canada and Mexico, the company's core business.
International ocean and air freight forwarding, including customs brokerage, for shippers moving goods across borders.
Smaller businesses including produce sourcing and managed transportation services that fall outside the two core segments.
Competitive moat
Network effects · NarrowA large base of both shippers and carriers gives C.H. Robinson more freight to match and more capacity to draw on than a smaller broker, which can mean better pricing and reliability for both sides. The advantage is narrow because freight brokerage has low barriers to entry and is increasingly contested by digital freight-matching platforms that compete on the same basic function.
What drives demand
CyclicalFreight volumes move closely with industrial production, retail sales and global trade, so spot rates and margins compress in an economic downturn and expand when the economy and trade are strong. The business is a fairly direct read on broader economic activity rather than a source of steady, non-discretionary demand.
Key risks
- Freight market cyclicality — Freight demand tends to move with industrial production, retail sales and global trade; volumes and spot rates fall in a downturn, compressing the spread the company earns between shipper and carrier pricing.
- Dependence on third-party carriers — The company owns no trucks, ships or planes and relies on independent carriers for capacity; an inability to secure enough capacity can push customers toward competitors.
- Technology disruption — Digital freight-matching platforms and automated routing tools can intensify competition and pressure the fees C.H. Robinson earns for the same brokerage function.
- International and trade-policy exposure — The Global Forwarding business is exposed to shifts in trade policy, tariffs and geopolitical disruption to shipping routes, and the company recently exited its Europe Surface Transportation business, reflecting ongoing portfolio adjustments abroad.
Customer concentration
Top customers account for 2% of revenue
The company states its largest customer accounted for approximately 2% of 2025 consolidated total revenues, out of roughly 75,000 customers served — an unusually low concentration for the industry.
The case for
Buyers argue that an unusually diversified customer base, with no single client above roughly 2% of revenue, and a large carrier network give C.H. Robinson resilience and pricing flexibility that smaller brokers lack, positioning it to gain share as freight volumes recover.
The case against
Sellers fear that freight brokerage has low barriers to entry and is being reshaped by digital freight-matching technology that erodes the value of a traditional broker's network, while the business remains exposed to the full swing of the freight cycle.
Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$17.00B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$633M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$895M
Total Equity
$1.85B
Total Liabilities
$3.21B
Current Ratio
1.58
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
2.20
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$162.72
Current Price
$143.94
Margin of Safety
+11.5%
Fair Value Range
$105.76 - $219.67
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
27.26
ROE
31.8%
P/B Ratio
10.26
P/FCF
24.96
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
18.3%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
18.3%
WACC
8.8%
ROIC − WACC
+9.6 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (18)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 5.44%
- Price CAGR 6.82%
- ROIC 18.3%
- P/FCF 24.96
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 36.0%
- Analyst Consensus 72% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 5.9%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.08
- Share Dilution 0.7%
- Net Margin Trend 3.7% vs 3.1%
- Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Failed (7)
- P/B Ratio 10.26
- Operating Margin 4.9%
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Revenue Growth 5Y 0.0%
- PEG Ratio 5.13
Unavailable (3)
- Gross Margin NaN%
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
Piotroski F-Score
Strong financial health
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Share count is stable
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. David P. Bozeman | President, CEO & Director | 57 |
| Mr. Damon J. Lee | Chief Financial Officer | 47 |
| Ms. Dorothy G. Capers | Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary | 63 |
| Mr. Michael J. Short | President of Global Freight Forwarding | 55 |
| Mr. Arun D. Rajan | Chief Strategy & Innovation Officer | 56 |
| Mr. Michael W. Neill | Chief Technology Officer | 53 |
| Mr. Charles S. Ives | Senior Director of Investor Relations | 53 |
| Mr. Duncan Burns | Chief Communications & Marketing Officer | 48 |
| Ms. Angela K. Freeman | Chief Human Resources & ESG Officer | 57 |
| Mr. Jordan T. Kass | President of Managed Services | 52 |
Audit Risk
1
Board Risk
3
Compensation Risk
7
Shareholder Rights Risk
8
Part 2 · The price and when to enter
This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Latest News
Recent headlines for CHRW, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 7/14/2026POSITIVEThe secrets of an unheralded AI success story
Logistics giant C.H. Robinson has achieved a remarkable 45% productivity increase through the strategic deployment of AI agents, according to CEO Dave Bozeman. This significant operational improvement demonstrates a clear return on investment (ROI) from artificial intelligence initiatives within the company. The success highlights how AI can be effectively integrated into traditional industries like logistics to drive substantial efficiency gains, potentially setting a new benchmark for the sector and signaling strong future performance for C.H. Robinson.
- 7/6/2026POSITIVEC.H. Robinson’s CEO is running his AI transformation on Lean principles: ‘It’s been a game-changer for this company’
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. is implementing Lean principles to drive its AI transformation, a strategy described as a 'game-changer' by its CEO. This approach focuses on efficiency and continuous improvement, aiming to optimize processes and resource allocation within the company's artificial intelligence initiatives. By integrating Lean methodologies, C.H. Robinson seeks to enhance the effectiveness and speed of its AI development and deployment, potentially leading to significant operational advantages and competitive differentiation in the logistics sector. Investors may view this strategic focus on operational excellence within AI as a positive indicator for future growth and profitability.
via Markets Gazette