Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN)
UndervaluedFundamental
45
Price
$164.45
Market Cap
$45.69B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Coinbase runs an online exchange where people and institutions buy, sell and store cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. Around that core marketplace it has built a set of subscription and service products — custody for institutions, a Visa debit card, staking, and its own blockchain infrastructure — designed to earn steadier fees regardless of whether crypto prices are rising or falling that day.
How it makes money
Transaction revenue is a fee charged as a percentage of each trade, so it rises and falls sharply with how much people are trading — which itself tracks crypto prices and volatility far more than any steady economic trend. Subscription and services revenue, from custody fees, staking commissions and stablecoin interest, is far steadier because it does not depend on daily trading activity, and Coinbase has been shifting its business mix toward it.
Revenue by segment
Fees earned on trades placed by retail users and institutions. Moves up and down with crypto trading volume.
Custody fees, staking rewards, stablecoin interest and the Coinbase One subscription — revenue that does not depend on daily trading activity.
Competitive moat
Switching costs · NarrowOnce a customer's crypto holdings, tax records and linked bank accounts sit on Coinbase, moving them to another exchange is enough friction that many do not bother, particularly institutional clients using its custody service. That said, the core trading product is fairly easy to compare on price, and sophisticated traders do split activity across several exchanges.
What drives demand
CyclicalTrading volume, and with it transaction revenue, rises sharply when crypto prices are rising and enthusiasm is high, and collapses in bear markets when prices fall and interest fades. This is a much steeper cycle than a typical business cycle, driven by sentiment toward a single asset class rather than the broader economy.
Key risks
- Dependence on crypto trading volume — Transaction revenue still makes up more than half of Coinbase's revenue and falls quickly when crypto prices decline and trading activity dries up, as has happened repeatedly in past cycles.
- Regulatory uncertainty — The rules governing what counts as a security, how exchanges must be licensed, and what services Coinbase can offer are still being litigated and rewritten across jurisdictions, and an adverse ruling could force product or business changes.
- Security and custody risk — Coinbase holds customer crypto assets directly, making it a target for hacking and theft; a successful attack on its custody systems would be both a direct financial loss and a blow to customer trust.
- Competition from other exchanges and platforms — Other crypto exchanges, traditional brokers adding crypto trading, and decentralised platforms all compete for the same trading fees, putting pressure on the prices Coinbase can charge.
The case for
Buyers argue that Coinbase is becoming the regulated, trusted on-ramp of choice as crypto moves further into the mainstream, that subscription and services revenue is steadily reducing dependence on trading volume, and that regulatory clarity, once it arrives, favours an established compliant player over less regulated competitors.
The case against
Sellers fear that revenue still swings with crypto sentiment more than with any durable growth trend, that regulatory outcomes remain genuinely unpredictable, and that cheaper exchanges and brokers erode the fees Coinbase can charge on its core trading business over time.
Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users
Robinhood sells crypto trading to the same US retail investor Coinbase targets, inside an app that also offers stocks and options, so the two fight for the beginner's first account.
Binance is the largest crypto exchange by trading volume worldwide and takes the same retail and institutional trading fees Coinbase lives on, across nearly every market outside the United States.
Kraken is the other large US-regulated spot exchange, competing for the same American and European customers with a comparable custody, staking and trading offer at lower fees.
Gemini is a US-licensed exchange and qualified custodian that courts the same compliance-minded retail and institutional clients as Coinbase, with a similar card, staking and custody line-up.
Bullish runs a regulated institutional spot and derivatives venue, competing directly with Coinbase Prime and Coinbase Institutional for the trading flow of funds and market makers.
Crypto.com serves the same mass-market retail user with a mobile app, a debit card and staking products, and competes head-on with Coinbase in the US, Europe and Asia.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$6.28B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$-988M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
-
Total Equity
$14.79B
Total Liabilities
$14.88B
Current Ratio
2.42
Interest Coverage
6.92
Debt/EBITDA
4.11
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$228.90
Current Price
$164.45
Margin of Safety
+28.2%
Fair Value Range
$210.18 - $247.61
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
38.91
ROE
8.5%
P/B Ratio
3.32
P/FCF
-
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
2.5%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
2.5%
WACC
15.8%
ROIC − WACC
-13.3 pp
ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (8)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Debt/equity ratio
- Operating margin 9.9%
- Current ratio
- Interest coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Revenue growth 5Y 41.2%
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9
Failed (11)
- Price CAGR -4.72%
- ROIC 2.5%
- P/B ratio 3.32
- Return on tangible assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- ROE -6.9%
- Earnings surprise, average -403.7%
- Share dilution 4.1%
- Net margin trend -15.7% vs 40.8%
Unavailable (7)
- Gross margin –
- P/FCF –
- Dividend payout –
- Positive free cash flow
- CapEx intensity
- PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income)
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
Low quality: investigate accounting
Share Dilution
Issuing new shares, diluting ownership
Institutional Holdings
No institutional filings reported for this company.
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Brian Armstrong | Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO | 42 |
| Ms. Emilie M. Choi | President & COO | 46 |
| Mr. Frederick Ernest Ehrsam III | Co-Founder & Independent Director | 36 |
| Ms. Alesia Jeanne Haas | Chief Financial Officer | 48 |
| Mr. Paul Grewal J.D. | Advisor | 53 |
| Mr. Lawrence J. Brock | Advisor | 53 |
| Ms. Jennifer N. Jones | Chief Accounting Officer | - |
| Mr. Rob Witoff | Chief Technology Officer | - |
| Mr. Anil K. Gupta | Vice President of Investor Relations | - |
| Molly Abraham | General Counsel & Secretary | - |
Audit Risk
10
Board Risk
10
Compensation Risk
10
Shareholder Rights Risk
10
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-12
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-07-30
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-10-02
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much COIN moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 91% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 72.9%
- Volatility 90d
- 71.3%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- 2.95Correlation 0.52
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -61.0%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 6.35%
Earnings reactions
How COIN moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Oct 29, 2026 · In 5 days · After the close
EPS estimate: -0.09Revenue estimate: $1.2B
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 6.3% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 5, down 7 (out of 12).
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | After the close | -0.17 | -1.17 | -574.4% | -6.4% | -10.6% | -11.1% |
| May 7, 2026 | After the close | 0.32 | -1.49 | -559.7% | -3.6% | +4.2% | +9.9% |
| Feb 12, 2026 | After the close | 0.59 | -2.49 | -519.8% | +8.9% | +16.5% | +21.4% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | After the close | 1.08 | 1.50 | +39.1% | +2.3% | +4.6% | -10.1% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -11.3% | -16.7% | -17.7% |
| May 8, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -1.0% | -3.5% | +18.4% |
| Feb 13, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -3.4% | -8.0% | -21.0% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -3.8% | -15.3% | +20.1% |
| Aug 1, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +0.2% | -3.9% | -9.6% |
| May 2, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +0.9% | -2.4% | -8.0% |
| Feb 15, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +14.1% | +8.8% | +0.2% |
| Nov 2, 2023 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -1.0% | +1.4% | +9.8% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on COIN and what the price did next.
- 10/23/2026NegativeIrish Central Bank Fines Coinbase Unit €3.25 Million Over Customer Fund Safeguards
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 10/20/2026PositiveStablecoin transfers quadruple to $891B as US banks expand adoption: Report
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 10/20/2026NegativeKazakhstan court orders curbs on Coinbase, BingX and four others
- +1 day
- +1.1%
- +3 days
- +0.7%
- 10/17/2026NegativeTaiwan Blocks Coinbase And Kalshi Websites Over Election Betting Concerns
- +1 day
- -3.1%
- +3 days
- +1.0%
- 10/17/2026PositiveCoinbase And Marqeta Team Up To Bring Stablecoin Payments To Millions Of Merchants
- +1 day
- -3.1%
- +3 days
- +1.0%
- 10/8/2026PositiveCoinbase And Samsung Bring USDC Directly Into Samsung Wallet
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 10/7/2026PositiveCoinbase brings global crypto derivatives liquidity to US with Deribit integration
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 9/29/2026PositiveCiti And Coinbase Bring Stablecoin Payments Into Corporate Banking
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 9/28/2026PositiveHeadline no longer in the latest news feed
- +1 day
- -0.7%
- +3 days
- -1.1%
- 9/24/2026PositiveHeadline no longer in the latest news feed
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for COIN.
- 1d agoNEGATIVEIrish Central Bank Fines Coinbase Unit €3.25 Million Over Customer Fund Safeguards
Coinbase's Irish subsidiary has been fined €3.25 million by the Central Bank of Ireland for alleged failures in safeguarding customer funds and outsourcing practices. This penalty, pending High Court confirmation, highlights regulatory scrutiny on cryptocurrency exchanges operating within the EU. While the amount is relatively small for a company of Coinbase's scale, it signals ongoing compliance challenges and potential risks for investors concerned about operational integrity and regulatory adherence in key markets. The news could impact investor sentiment towards Coinbase's European operations and its overall regulatory standing.
- 4d agoPOSITIVEStablecoin transfers quadruple to $891B as US banks expand adoption: Report
Coinbase has reported a significant surge in stablecoin transfer volumes, which quadrupled to $891 billion. This growth is attributed to increasing adoption by traditional US banks and businesses, despite the overall stablecoin market capitalization remaining relatively flat over the last year. The report highlights Coinbase's strategic positioning in facilitating institutional access to digital assets. For investors, this indicates a growing utility and integration of crypto infrastructure within the traditional financial system, potentially driving future revenue growth for Coinbase through increased transaction fees and platform usage.
- 4d agoNEGATIVEKazakhstan court orders curbs on Coinbase, BingX and four others
Kazakhstan's Agency for Regulation and Development of the Financial Market has ordered cryptocurrency exchanges Coinbase and BingX, along with four other platforms, to restrict access within the country. This regulatory action follows a pattern where nine other crypto platforms voluntarily limited app access, leading the regulator to drop claims against them. The move signals increasing global scrutiny on crypto exchanges and could impact user access and operational freedom for these platforms in specific jurisdictions. Investors should monitor potential spillover effects and further regulatory developments.
- 7d agoNEGATIVETaiwan Blocks Coinbase And Kalshi Websites Over Election Betting Concerns
Taiwanese authorities have reportedly blocked access to Coinbase's website, citing concerns over election betting. This action, taken ahead of local elections, highlights regulatory scrutiny on cryptocurrency platforms and their potential use in prediction markets. While the direct impact on Coinbase's global operations may be limited, such regulatory actions can signal broader risks for crypto exchanges operating in diverse jurisdictions. Investors should monitor the evolving regulatory landscape and its implications for platform accessibility and user trust.
- 7d agoPOSITIVECoinbase And Marqeta Team Up To Bring Stablecoin Payments To Millions Of Merchants
Coinbase and Marqeta have announced an expanded partnership to integrate stablecoin payments into mainstream merchant networks. This collaboration aims to enable businesses to link digital dollar balances with traditional payment systems, effectively bridging the gap between cryptocurrency holdings and everyday consumer spending. The initiative focuses on creating payment card programs that leverage stablecoins, potentially unlocking new revenue streams and increasing transaction volume for both companies. For investors, this move signifies a strategic effort to drive broader adoption of digital currencies in commerce, which could lead to increased utility and demand for Coinbase's services.
- 16d agoPOSITIVECoinbase And Samsung Bring USDC Directly Into Samsung Wallet
Coinbase has partnered with Samsung to integrate its USD Coin (USDC) stablecoin directly into Samsung Wallet. This integration, launching in the final week of October, will be available on 82 million compatible Galaxy devices in the United States. Coinbase Prime will handle the custody of USDC, and users will be able to send funds to crypto wallets and bank accounts in over 60 countries. This move significantly expands the accessibility and utility of USDC, potentially driving adoption and transaction volume for Coinbase's services.
- 16d agoNEUTRALCoinbase Will Halt Sports Prediction Contracts In Michigan After State Deal
Coinbase Financial Markets will cease offering new sports prediction contracts in Michigan by October 10, 2026, and will close all existing positions by the same date. This agreement with Michigan authorities allows the state to refrain from enforcement actions as long as Coinbase complies. However, the broader regulatory question of whether states can oversee federally registered event contracts remains unsettled. This development impacts Coinbase's derivatives offerings in a specific market, but the core business and its regulatory standing are not fundamentally altered by this localized agreement.
- 17d agoPOSITIVECoinbase brings global crypto derivatives liquidity to US with Deribit integration
Coinbase has announced a strategic integration with Deribit, a leading crypto derivatives exchange. This partnership will grant US institutional investors access to Deribit's extensive liquidity in options and perpetual futures markets. Further expansion to include US retail clients is anticipated later this year. This move is significant as it bridges a gap in the US market for sophisticated crypto derivatives trading, potentially attracting substantial institutional capital and increasing trading volumes on Coinbase's platform. The integration is expected to enhance Coinbase's product offering and solidify its position as a key player in the digital asset ecosystem.
- 25d agoPOSITIVECiti And Coinbase Bring Stablecoin Payments Into Corporate Banking
Coinbase and Citi have deepened their collaboration, integrating stablecoin payments into corporate banking services. This new infrastructure allows Citi clients to receive payments in stablecoins, with Coinbase handling the blockchain transactions and conversion to fiat currency. Additionally, Coinbase's business clients gain access to Citi-powered virtual accounts that seamlessly manage conversions between fiat and stablecoins. This strategic move by Coinbase aims to enhance its institutional offerings and drive adoption of digital asset payments within the traditional finance sector, potentially boosting transaction volumes and revenue.