Back to rankings

Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN)

Undervalued
Financial ServicesFinancial Data & Stock ExchangesUnited States

Fundamental

45

Price

$164.45

Market Cap

$45.69B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Coinbase runs an online exchange where people and institutions buy, sell and store cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. Around that core marketplace it has built a set of subscription and service products — custody for institutions, a Visa debit card, staking, and its own blockchain infrastructure — designed to earn steadier fees regardless of whether crypto prices are rising or falling that day.

How it makes money

Transaction revenue is a fee charged as a percentage of each trade, so it rises and falls sharply with how much people are trading — which itself tracks crypto prices and volatility far more than any steady economic trend. Subscription and services revenue, from custody fees, staking commissions and stablecoin interest, is far steadier because it does not depend on daily trading activity, and Coinbase has been shifting its business mix toward it.

Revenue by segment

Transaction Revenue56.5%

Fees earned on trades placed by retail users and institutions. Moves up and down with crypto trading volume.

Subscription and Services39.4%

Custody fees, staking rewards, stablecoin interest and the Coinbase One subscription — revenue that does not depend on daily trading activity.

Competitive moat

Switching costs · Narrow

Once a customer's crypto holdings, tax records and linked bank accounts sit on Coinbase, moving them to another exchange is enough friction that many do not bother, particularly institutional clients using its custody service. That said, the core trading product is fairly easy to compare on price, and sophisticated traders do split activity across several exchanges.

What drives demand

Cyclical

Trading volume, and with it transaction revenue, rises sharply when crypto prices are rising and enthusiasm is high, and collapses in bear markets when prices fall and interest fades. This is a much steeper cycle than a typical business cycle, driven by sentiment toward a single asset class rather than the broader economy.

Key risks

  • Dependence on crypto trading volume — Transaction revenue still makes up more than half of Coinbase's revenue and falls quickly when crypto prices decline and trading activity dries up, as has happened repeatedly in past cycles.
  • Regulatory uncertainty — The rules governing what counts as a security, how exchanges must be licensed, and what services Coinbase can offer are still being litigated and rewritten across jurisdictions, and an adverse ruling could force product or business changes.
  • Security and custody risk — Coinbase holds customer crypto assets directly, making it a target for hacking and theft; a successful attack on its custody systems would be both a direct financial loss and a blow to customer trust.
  • Competition from other exchanges and platforms — Other crypto exchanges, traditional brokers adding crypto trading, and decentralised platforms all compete for the same trading fees, putting pressure on the prices Coinbase can charge.

The case for

Buyers argue that Coinbase is becoming the regulated, trusted on-ramp of choice as crypto moves further into the mainstream, that subscription and services revenue is steadily reducing dependence on trading volume, and that regulatory clarity, once it arrives, favours an established compliant player over less regulated competitors.

The case against

Sellers fear that revenue still swings with crypto sentiment more than with any durable growth trend, that regulatory outcomes remain genuinely unpredictable, and that cheaper exchanges and brokers erode the fees Coinbase can charge on its core trading business over time.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users

P/E: 42.1Score: 71Market cap: $0

Robinhood sells crypto trading to the same US retail investor Coinbase targets, inside an app that also offers stocks and options, so the two fight for the beginner's first account.

Binance Holdings Ltd.Not tracked

Binance is the largest crypto exchange by trading volume worldwide and takes the same retail and institutional trading fees Coinbase lives on, across nearly every market outside the United States.

Payward, Inc. (Kraken)Not tracked

Kraken is the other large US-regulated spot exchange, competing for the same American and European customers with a comparable custody, staking and trading offer at lower fees.

Gemini Space Station, Inc.GEMI

Gemini is a US-licensed exchange and qualified custodian that courts the same compliance-minded retail and institutional clients as Coinbase, with a similar card, staking and custody line-up.

BullishBLSH

Bullish runs a regulated institutional spot and derivatives venue, competing directly with Coinbase Prime and Coinbase Institutional for the trading flow of funds and market makers.

Foris DAX Asia (Crypto.com)Not tracked

Crypto.com serves the same mass-market retail user with a mobile app, a debit card and staking products, and competes head-on with Coinbase in the US, Europe and Asia.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$6.28B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$-988M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

-

Total Equity

$14.79B

Total Liabilities

$14.88B

Current Ratio

2.42

Interest Coverage

6.92

Debt/EBITDA

4.11

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseUndervalued

Fair Value

$228.90

Current Price

$164.45

Margin of Safety

+28.2%

Fair Value Range

$210.18 - $247.61

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$212.15
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$249.82
Earnings multiple (P/E):Not enough data to compute it
Graham growth formula:Not enough data to compute it
Earnings power value (EPV):$10.32
Justified P/B:Not enough data to compute it
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:$87.88
Mid-cycle earnings:$52.31
Revenue multiple:$62.20
Last Earnings Surprise:-574.35%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

38.91

ROE

8.5%

P/B Ratio

3.32

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

2.5%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

2.5%

WACC

15.8%

ROIC − WACC

-13.3 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (8)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Operating margin 9.9%
  • Current ratio
  • Interest coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Revenue growth 5Y 41.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Failed (11)

  • Price CAGR -4.72%
  • ROIC 2.5%
  • P/B ratio 3.32
  • Return on tangible assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE -6.9%
  • Earnings surprise, average -403.7%
  • Share dilution 4.1%
  • Net margin trend -15.7% vs 40.8%

Unavailable (7)

  • Gross margin –
  • P/FCF –
  • Dividend payout –
  • Positive free cash flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income)

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

-

Low quality: investigate accounting

Share Dilution

4.1%

Issuing new shares, diluting ownership

Institutional Holdings

No institutional filings reported for this company.

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Brian ArmstrongCo-Founder, Chairman & CEO42
Ms. Emilie M. ChoiPresident & COO46
Mr. Frederick Ernest Ehrsam IIICo-Founder & Independent Director36
Ms. Alesia Jeanne HaasChief Financial Officer48
Mr. Paul Grewal J.D.Advisor53
Mr. Lawrence J. BrockAdvisor53
Ms. Jennifer N. JonesChief Accounting Officer-
Mr. Rob WitoffChief Technology Officer-
Mr. Anil K. GuptaVice President of Investor Relations-
Molly AbrahamGeneral Counsel & Secretary-

Audit Risk

10

Board Risk

10

Compensation Risk

10

Shareholder Rights Risk

10

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-12

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-07-30

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-10-02

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much COIN moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityHigh

More volatile than 91% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
72.9%
Volatility 90d
71.3%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
2.95Correlation 0.52
Max drawdown (12m)
-61.0%
ATR (14d, % of price)
6.35%

Earnings reactions

How COIN moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

Oct 29, 2026 · In 5 days · After the close

EPS estimate: -0.09Revenue estimate: $1.2B

What usually happens

  • Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 6.3% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 5, down 7 (out of 12).

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Jul 30, 2026After the close-0.17-1.17-574.4% -6.4% -10.6% -11.1%
May 7, 2026After the close0.32-1.49-559.7% -3.6% +4.2% +9.9%
Feb 12, 2026After the close0.59-2.49-519.8% +8.9% +16.5% +21.4%
Oct 30, 2025After the close1.081.50+39.1% +2.3% +4.6% -10.1%
Jul 31, 2025After the closen/an/an/a-11.3% -16.7% -17.7%
May 8, 2025After the closen/an/an/a-1.0% -3.5% +18.4%
Feb 13, 2025After the closen/an/an/a-3.4% -8.0% -21.0%
Oct 30, 2024After the closen/an/an/a-3.8% -15.3% +20.1%
Aug 1, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+0.2% -3.9% -9.6%
May 2, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+0.9% -2.4% -8.0%
Feb 15, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+14.1% +8.8% +0.2%
Nov 2, 2023After the closen/an/an/a-1.0% +1.4% +9.8%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on COIN and what the price did next.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for COIN.

  • 1d agoNEGATIVE
    Irish Central Bank Fines Coinbase Unit €3.25 Million Over Customer Fund Safeguards

    Coinbase's Irish subsidiary has been fined €3.25 million by the Central Bank of Ireland for alleged failures in safeguarding customer funds and outsourcing practices. This penalty, pending High Court confirmation, highlights regulatory scrutiny on cryptocurrency exchanges operating within the EU. While the amount is relatively small for a company of Coinbase's scale, it signals ongoing compliance challenges and potential risks for investors concerned about operational integrity and regulatory adherence in key markets. The news could impact investor sentiment towards Coinbase's European operations and its overall regulatory standing.

  • 4d agoPOSITIVE
    Stablecoin transfers quadruple to $891B as US banks expand adoption: Report

    Coinbase has reported a significant surge in stablecoin transfer volumes, which quadrupled to $891 billion. This growth is attributed to increasing adoption by traditional US banks and businesses, despite the overall stablecoin market capitalization remaining relatively flat over the last year. The report highlights Coinbase's strategic positioning in facilitating institutional access to digital assets. For investors, this indicates a growing utility and integration of crypto infrastructure within the traditional financial system, potentially driving future revenue growth for Coinbase through increased transaction fees and platform usage.

  • 4d agoNEGATIVE
    Kazakhstan court orders curbs on Coinbase, BingX and four others

    Kazakhstan's Agency for Regulation and Development of the Financial Market has ordered cryptocurrency exchanges Coinbase and BingX, along with four other platforms, to restrict access within the country. This regulatory action follows a pattern where nine other crypto platforms voluntarily limited app access, leading the regulator to drop claims against them. The move signals increasing global scrutiny on crypto exchanges and could impact user access and operational freedom for these platforms in specific jurisdictions. Investors should monitor potential spillover effects and further regulatory developments.

  • 7d agoNEGATIVE
    Taiwan Blocks Coinbase And Kalshi Websites Over Election Betting Concerns

    Taiwanese authorities have reportedly blocked access to Coinbase's website, citing concerns over election betting. This action, taken ahead of local elections, highlights regulatory scrutiny on cryptocurrency platforms and their potential use in prediction markets. While the direct impact on Coinbase's global operations may be limited, such regulatory actions can signal broader risks for crypto exchanges operating in diverse jurisdictions. Investors should monitor the evolving regulatory landscape and its implications for platform accessibility and user trust.

  • 7d agoPOSITIVE
    Coinbase And Marqeta Team Up To Bring Stablecoin Payments To Millions Of Merchants

    Coinbase and Marqeta have announced an expanded partnership to integrate stablecoin payments into mainstream merchant networks. This collaboration aims to enable businesses to link digital dollar balances with traditional payment systems, effectively bridging the gap between cryptocurrency holdings and everyday consumer spending. The initiative focuses on creating payment card programs that leverage stablecoins, potentially unlocking new revenue streams and increasing transaction volume for both companies. For investors, this move signifies a strategic effort to drive broader adoption of digital currencies in commerce, which could lead to increased utility and demand for Coinbase's services.

  • 16d agoPOSITIVE
    Coinbase And Samsung Bring USDC Directly Into Samsung Wallet

    Coinbase has partnered with Samsung to integrate its USD Coin (USDC) stablecoin directly into Samsung Wallet. This integration, launching in the final week of October, will be available on 82 million compatible Galaxy devices in the United States. Coinbase Prime will handle the custody of USDC, and users will be able to send funds to crypto wallets and bank accounts in over 60 countries. This move significantly expands the accessibility and utility of USDC, potentially driving adoption and transaction volume for Coinbase's services.

  • 16d agoNEUTRAL
    Coinbase Will Halt Sports Prediction Contracts In Michigan After State Deal

    Coinbase Financial Markets will cease offering new sports prediction contracts in Michigan by October 10, 2026, and will close all existing positions by the same date. This agreement with Michigan authorities allows the state to refrain from enforcement actions as long as Coinbase complies. However, the broader regulatory question of whether states can oversee federally registered event contracts remains unsettled. This development impacts Coinbase's derivatives offerings in a specific market, but the core business and its regulatory standing are not fundamentally altered by this localized agreement.

  • 17d agoPOSITIVE
    Coinbase brings global crypto derivatives liquidity to US with Deribit integration

    Coinbase has announced a strategic integration with Deribit, a leading crypto derivatives exchange. This partnership will grant US institutional investors access to Deribit's extensive liquidity in options and perpetual futures markets. Further expansion to include US retail clients is anticipated later this year. This move is significant as it bridges a gap in the US market for sophisticated crypto derivatives trading, potentially attracting substantial institutional capital and increasing trading volumes on Coinbase's platform. The integration is expected to enhance Coinbase's product offering and solidify its position as a key player in the digital asset ecosystem.

  • 25d agoPOSITIVE
    Citi And Coinbase Bring Stablecoin Payments Into Corporate Banking

    Coinbase and Citi have deepened their collaboration, integrating stablecoin payments into corporate banking services. This new infrastructure allows Citi clients to receive payments in stablecoins, with Coinbase handling the blockchain transactions and conversion to fiat currency. Additionally, Coinbase's business clients gain access to Citi-powered virtual accounts that seamlessly manage conversions between fiat and stablecoins. This strategic move by Coinbase aims to enhance its institutional offerings and drive adoption of digital asset payments within the traditional finance sector, potentially boosting transaction volumes and revenue.