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Leonardo DRS, Inc. (DRS)

POSITIVE
IndustrialsAerospace & DefenseUnited States

Fundamental

74

Price

$38.77

Market Cap

$10.41B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Leonardo DRS designs and manufactures defense electronics for the U.S. military: sensors that let soldiers and vehicles see at night, radar for detecting drones, computing hardware built to survive combat conditions, and the power and propulsion systems that drive Navy warships. Majority-owned by Italian defense group Leonardo, it operates two segments — Advanced Sensing and Computing, and Integrated Mission Systems. It manufactures much of what it designs rather than outsourcing production, and nearly all of its work traces back to one customer: the U.S. government.

How it makes money

Revenue comes from long-term government contracts rather than one-off sales: DRS bids on defense programs and recognizes revenue as work is performed over multi-year periods. It sells partly as prime contractor directly to the Pentagon and partly as a subcontractor to larger primes like Lockheed Martin. About $3.2 billion of 2025 revenue sat in fixed-price contracts, meaning DRS — not the government — absorbs the cost if a program runs over budget, a structure that rewards disciplined engineering and punishes estimation errors.

Revenue by segment

Advanced Sensing and Computing64.6%

Electro-optical sensors, tactical radar and network computing for ground vehicles, dismounted soldiers and counter-drone systems.

Integrated Mission Systems35.8%

Naval power and propulsion systems, plus force protection and ground vehicle integration, built mainly for the U.S. Navy.

Competitive moat

Patents and licences · Narrow

DRS competes on decades of accumulated defense engineering know-how, security clearances and program-specific qualifications that a new entrant cannot buy quickly. Once a system is designed into a Navy ship or Army vehicle program, replacing the supplier means re-qualifying a new one through years of testing — a barrier that protects existing programs more than it wins new ones.

What drives demand

Moderately cyclical

Demand tracks U.S. defense appropriations, which move in multi-year budget cycles rather than with the economy. That gives revenue more stability than a typical industrial company, but it is not immune to politics: government shutdowns, continuing resolutions and shifting Pentagon priorities can delay contract awards and payments even when underlying programs are healthy.

Key risks

  • Dependence on U.S. government spending — A shutdown, a continuing resolution or a shift in defense priorities can delay contract awards and payments. Because government work — direct or indirect — is nearly the entire business, a funding disruption hits DRS harder than a diversified industrial supplier.
  • Fixed-price contract exposure — About $3.2 billion of 2025 revenue was under fixed-price contracts, where DRS bears the cost of any engineering overrun or supply delay instead of passing it to the customer.
  • Foreign ownership limits on autonomy — Because its parent Leonardo is an Italian company, DRS operates under a foreign ownership, control and influence mitigation agreement with the Department of Defense that constrains how the parent can direct classified work.
  • Supply chain dependence on specialty materials — Components such as germanium for infrared sensors have faced shortages before; a renewed disruption at a small number of specialty suppliers can delay delivery on programs already committed to fixed schedules.

Customer concentration

Top customers account for 80% of revenue

In 2025, 80% of revenue came directly or indirectly from the U.S. government, split roughly evenly between the Navy and the Army. No single contract exceeded 10% of revenue.

The case for

Buyers argue that rising defense budgets, the shift toward drone defense and naval modernization, and DRS's position embedded in dozens of long-running programs give it revenue visibility that few industrial companies can match.

The case against

Sellers worry that near-total dependence on one customer, thin margins on fixed-price work, and a parent company that limits its strategic independence leave DRS with little room to absorb a defense budget slowdown or a program cancellation.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$3.78B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$322M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$227M

Total Equity

$2.73B

Total Liabilities

$1.76B

Current Ratio

1.92

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

0.61

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Undervalued

Fair Value

$65.72

Current Price

$38.77

Margin of Safety

+41.0%

Fair Value Range

$45.83 - $85.61

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$54.10
DCF:$92.97
PE-based:$42.47
Graham Growth:$61.26
EPV:$14.61
Analyst Consensus:Strong Buy (12B / 3H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+26.77%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

32.78

ROE

10.2%

P/B Ratio

3.71

P/FCF

28.68

Gross Margin

24.9%

ROIC

10.0%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

10.0%

WACC

7.8%

ROIC − WACC

+2.2 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (20)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 12.07%
  • Price CAGR 42.74%
  • ROIC 10.0%
  • P/FCF 28.68
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 10.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 11.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 116.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 80% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 16.9%
  • PEG Ratio 0.71
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.56
  • Share Dilution 1.4%
  • Net Margin Trend 8.5% vs 7.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Failed (6)

  • Gross Margin 24.9%
  • P/B Ratio 3.71
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)

Unavailable (2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.56

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

1.4%

Share count is stable

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. John A. BaylounyPresident, CEO & Director64
Mr. Michael D. DippoldExecutive VP & CFO44
Ms. Sally A. WallaceExecutive VP & COO58
Mr. Mark A. Dorfman J.D.Executive VP, General Counsel & Secretary51
Dr. Philip PercontiSenior VP & CTO-
Mr. Stephen VatherSenior VP of Corporate Development (M&A) & Investor Relations-
Mr. William GuyanSenior VP of Business Development & President of International Business-
Mr. Matthew H. GreenSenior Vice President of Government Relations-
Mr. Jason W. Rinsky J.D.Executive VP & Chief Tax and Treasury Officer52
Ms. Pamela J. MorrowSenior VP & Corporate Controller-

Audit Risk

4

Board Risk

1

Compensation Risk

3

Shareholder Rights Risk

5

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for DRS, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 2/25/2026POSITIVE
    Why Leonardo DRS Stock Trounced the Market Today

    Leonardo DRS has significantly outperformed the market, driven by an increasingly tense global geopolitical environment. The escalation of tensions in various world regions is fueling demand for products and services within the defense sector, where Leonardo DRS is a key player. This situation creates a favorable environment for companies in the industry, which are experiencing increased orders and growth prospects. For investors, this translates into potential revenue and profitability increases for Leonardo DRS, making the stock particularly attractive in this market scenario. The resilience of the defense sector during periods of geopolitical uncertainty offers a safe haven and opportunities for appreciation.

  • 2/24/2026NEUTRAL
    Leonardo DRS (DRS) Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript

    Leonardo DRS has announced the release of its Q4 2025 earnings transcript. However, the detailed content of this transcript is not currently available for analysis. This situation implies that, while the financial event has been scheduled, no specific information such as revenues, earnings per share, or future guidance has been released that could directly impact the stock's value. Investors are in a wait-and-see position, lacking concrete data to assess the company's performance and outlook. Without the actual content of the transcript, the market has no basis to form a directional judgment on DRS stock, maintaining a cautious and anticipatory stance.

  • 2/24/2026POSITIVE
    Why Is Leonardo DRS Stock Soaring Tuesday?

    Leonardo DRS reported robust fourth-quarter results, surpassing analyst expectations and driving its stock higher. The company announced an 8% year-over-year increase in revenue, alongside a net profit of $102 million. These strong figures underscore a healthy operational performance and effective management, factors that typically bolster investor confidence and support the company's future growth prospects. The excellent year-end close suggests a positive trajectory for the upcoming period, positioning Leonardo DRS as a stock to watch for investors seeking opportunities in the defense and technology sectors.

via Markets Gazette