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Dometic Group AB (publ) (DTCGF)

NEUTRAL
Consumer CyclicalLeisureSweden

Fundamental

64

Price

$22.80

Market Cap

$7.39B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Dometic makes the equipment that lets people cook, cool, power and stay comfortable away from a fixed home: refrigerators, air conditioners, awnings and power systems for recreational vehicles, plus similar climate and power equipment for boats under its Marine brands. It sells both to vehicle and boat manufacturers who fit the equipment during production, and through dealers to owners upgrading or replacing gear after purchase.

How it makes money

Revenue comes from selling hardware either to original equipment manufacturers, who install it before a vehicle or boat is sold, or through the aftermarket, where dealers and owners buy replacement or upgrade parts. Demand for both channels tracks how many new RVs, caravans and boats are being built and how much people are spending on outdoor recreation, which makes the business sensitive to consumer discretionary spending and to interest rates that affect big-ticket purchases.

Competitive moat

Brand · Narrow

Dometic's names are well established with RV and marine manufacturers who specify its equipment as original fittings, which gives it a durable relationship advantage in a niche market. The advantage is narrow because the underlying products — refrigerators, air conditioners, awnings — are not difficult for competitors to replicate, and OEM customers can and do switch suppliers when price or quality shifts.

What drives demand

Cyclical

RVs, caravans and boats are large discretionary purchases that buyers postpone when consumer confidence weakens or credit gets more expensive, which flows directly through to Dometic's OEM orders. The company itself described 2025 as a year of tough market conditions and declining demand in the outdoor recreation industry, with only tentative signs of stabilisation by year-end.

The case for

Buyers argue that the 2025 sales decline eased through the year, order intake improved and channel inventories began normalising, suggesting the worst of the outdoor-recreation downturn is behind the company as tariff-related cost headwinds also fade.

The case against

Sellers fear that a business this tied to discretionary RV and marine purchases remains exposed to consumer confidence and to whatever tariff or trade policy comes next, and that a genuine recovery in OEM demand may take longer than early signs of stabilisation suggest.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$20.15B

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Net Income

$310M

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Free Cash Flow

$1.66B

Total Equity

$22.96B

Total Liabilities

$14.62B

Current Ratio

1.65

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

5.91

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Fairly Valued

Fair Value

$30.25

Current Price

$22.80

Margin of Safety

+24.6%

Fair Value Range

$19.67 - $40.84

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$40.00
DCF:$50.16
PE-based:$5.91
Graham Growth:$7.18
EPV:$27.65
Analyst Consensus:Strong Buy (9B / 2H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-4.01%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

23.60

ROE

1.4%

P/B Ratio

0.32

P/FCF

4.45

Gross Margin

29.5%

ROIC

4.3%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.3%

WACC

4.4%

ROIC − WACC

-0.1 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (13)

  • P/FCF 4.45
  • P/B Ratio 0.32
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 7.1%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 5.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 82% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 5.59
  • Net Margin Trend 2.0% vs -9.4%

Failed (7)

  • Price CAGR -10.05%
  • ROIC 4.3%
  • Gross Margin 29.5%
  • CapEx intensity
  • ROE 1.4%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -64.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Unavailable (7)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Serious financial concerns

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

5.59

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Juan VarguesPresident & CEO66
Mr. Per CarlssonActing Chief Financial Officer61
Mr. Anton LundqvistChief Technology Officer55
Mr. Tobias NorrbyHead of Investor Relations-
Ms. Anna Smieszek Ph.D.Executive VP & Group General Counsel61
Mr. Peter JanneroChief Marketing Officer56
Ms. Jenny EveliusExecutive VP & Head of Group HR56
Ms. Chialing HsuehPresident of Global Ventures62
Mr. Eric B. FetchkoPresident of Segment Marine63

Audit Risk

8

Board Risk

5

Compensation Risk

9

Shareholder Rights Risk

1

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for DTCGF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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