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First Citizens BancShares, Inc. (FCNCA)

NEUTRAL
Financial ServicesBanks - RegionalUnited States

Fundamental

71

Price

$2169.33

Market Cap

$24.66B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

First Citizens BancShares is a bank holding company that combines a traditional branch bank with two acquired specialty franchises: the technology and life-sciences-focused commercial bank it bought from the failed Silicon Valley Bank in 2023, and a railcar and locomotive leasing business inherited from its 2022 purchase of CIT Group. It banks everyday consumers and businesses through branches while also lending to and leasing equipment for niche industries most regional banks do not serve.

How it makes money

Most revenue is net interest income — the spread between interest earned on loans and paid on deposits — across its General Bank branch network and its Commercial Bank division, which now includes the former SVB Commercial franchise serving technology and venture-backed clients. The Rail segment is different: it earns rental income from leasing railcars and locomotives under long-term contracts, a fee-based, noninterest-income business layered on top of the core bank.

Competitive moat

Scale · Narrow

Absorbing Silicon Valley Bank's commercial banking franchise and CIT's railcar leasing fleet at scale gives First Citizens a combination of specialty lending relationships and equipment assets a typical regional bank cannot quickly assemble. The advantage rests on those inherited franchises rather than a single durable barrier, and each still competes against specialists in its own niche.

What drives demand

Cyclical

Traditional banking revenue follows loan demand, deposit costs and interest rates like any commercial bank. The former SVB franchise adds sensitivity to the health of the technology and venture capital ecosystem specifically, while the Rail segment depends on freight and industrial shipping volumes and railcar utilization rates, a distinct cycle of its own.

Key risks

  • Concentration in the technology and venture capital economy — The former Silicon Valley Bank franchise concentrates deposits and lending among technology and life-sciences companies and their investors, a client base whose funding and deposit behavior can move together sharply in a downturn — the exact dynamic that caused SVB's original failure.
  • Integration of acquired franchises — The company has repeatedly reorganized how it reports the SVB Commercial and Commercial Bank segments, reflecting an ongoing integration; combining systems, risk management and client relationships across a traditional bank, a tech-focused lender and a railcar lessor carries execution risk.
  • Interest rate and credit risk — Net interest income depends on the spread between deposit costs and asset yields, and credit losses can rise if borrowers across its diverse loan book — from consumer to specialty commercial lending — face economic stress.
  • Cyclicality of the railcar leasing business — Rail segment revenue depends on freight volumes, railcar utilization and lease re-pricing, all of which track industrial and commodity shipping activity and can soften in a broader economic slowdown.

The case for

Buyers argue that the SVB acquisition gave First Citizens a technology-banking franchise it could not have built organically at a favorable price, that the Rail segment provides a source of noninterest income uncorrelated with typical bank lending cycles, and that continued capital returns to shareholders signal confidence the integration is working.

The case against

Sellers fear that the technology and venture-capital deposit base inherited from SVB carries the same concentration risk that caused its original collapse, that combining three quite different businesses — retail banking, specialty tech lending and railcar leasing — under one roof raises the odds something is managed less well than a focused competitor would manage it, and that the Rail segment adds a cyclical, capital-intensive business unusual for a bank holding company.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$9.62B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$2.35B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$2.21B

Total Equity

$22.24B

Total Liabilities

$207.46B

Current Ratio

-

Interest Coverage

0.47

Debt/EBITDA

-

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Undervalued

Fair Value

$4056.09

Current Price

$2169.33

Margin of Safety

+46.5%

Fair Value Range

$2636.46 - $5475.72

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$2342.67
DCF:-
PE-based:$2072.89
Graham Growth:$9601.02
EPV:-
Analyst Consensus:Buy (10B / 11H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+36.73%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

11.70

ROE

9.9%

P/B Ratio

1.03

P/FCF

9.14

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

-

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-

WACC

11.9%

ROIC − WACC

-

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (14)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 16.80%
  • Price CAGR 19.92%
  • P/FCF 9.14
  • P/B Ratio 1.03
  • Operating Margin 32.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 10.7%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 12.0%
  • PEG Ratio 0.38
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.35
  • Share Dilution -8.9%

Failed (8)

  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • Analyst Consensus 48% Buy
  • Net Margin Trend 24.5% vs 25.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Unavailable (6)

  • ROIC NaN%
  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Revenue Growth 5Y (Finnhub)

Piotroski F-Score

4/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.35

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-8.9%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Frank Brown Holding Jr.Chairman & CEO64
Ms. Hope Holding BryantVice Chairwoman62
Mr. Peter McDonald BristowPresident & Director59
Mr. Craig Lockwood Nix CPAChief Financial Officer53
Mr. Gregory L. SmithChief Information & Operations Officer60
Ms. Deanna W. HartSenior Vice President of Investor Relations47
Mr. Matthew G. T. MartinGeneral Counsel & Corporate Secretary45
Ms. Barbara ThompsonDirector of Corporate Communications & Brand Marketing-

Audit Risk

4

Board Risk

9

Compensation Risk

2

Shareholder Rights Risk

10

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for FCNCA, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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