Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE)
Fair ValueFundamental
67
Price
$162.83
Market Cap
$4.16B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. operates as an education services company in the United States. The company provides technology services, including learning management system, internal administration, infrastructure, and support services; and academic services, such as program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab sites. It also offers counseling services and support, which includes admission services, financial aid, counseling services, and field experience counseling; marketing and communication services, including lead acquisition, digital communications strategy, brand identity, media planning and strategy, video, business intelligence, analytics, and data science, and market research and insights; and back-office services, such as finance and accounting, human resources, audit, and procurement services. In addition, it provides education services to 20 university partners. Grand Canyon Education, Inc. was formerly known as Significant Education, Inc. and changed its name to Grand Canyon Education, Inc. in August 2005. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
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Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
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No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$1.14B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$224M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$239M
Total Equity
$747M
Total Liabilities
$245M
Current Ratio
2.82
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
0.35
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$181.08
Current Price
$162.83
Margin of Safety
+10.1%
Fair Value Range
$121.51 - $240.66
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
19.71
ROE
28.9%
P/B Ratio
6.34
P/FCF
17.50
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
27.6%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
27.6%
WACC
7.8%
ROIC − WACC
+19.7 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (17)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 17.30%
- Price CAGR 9.93%
- ROIC 27.6%
- P/FCF 17.50
- Debt/equity ratio
- Operating margin 24.5%
- Positive free cash flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on tangible assets
- ROE 31.2%
- Revenue growth 5Y 5.5%
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.24
- Share dilution -4.2%
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9
Failed (7)
- P/B ratio 6.34
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Earnings surprise, average 0.9%
- PEG ratio 2.57
- Net margin trend 19.6% vs 22.2%
Unavailable (3)
- Gross margin –
- Dividend payout –
- Interest coverage
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Brian E. Mueller | Chairman & CEO | 71 |
| Dr. W. Stan Meyer | Chief Operating Officer | 64 |
| Ms. Dilek Marsh | Chief Information Officer | 51 |
| Mr. Daniel E. Bachus CPA | Chief Financial Officer (Leave of Absence) | 55 |
| Ms. Lori Browning | Senior VP, Controller, Chief Accounting Officer, Interim CFO & Interim Principal Financial Officer | 58 |
| Ms. Sarah S. Collins | General Counsel | - |
Audit Risk
5
Board Risk
4
Compensation Risk
5
Shareholder Rights Risk
4
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-18
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-07-30
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-10-01
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much LOPE moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 35% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 23.2%
- Volatility 90d
- 30.5%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- -0.04Correlation -0.02
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -38.0%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 2.59%
Earnings reactions
How LOPE moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Nov 4, 2026 · In 11 days · Time not known
EPS estimate: 1.76Revenue estimate: $270M
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 4.1% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 7, down 5 (out of 12).
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | After the close | 1.71 | 1.81 | +6.0% | -3.7% | -3.2% | -0.9% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | After the close | 2.84 | 2.86 | +0.9% | +2.3% | -3.3% | -2.7% |
| Feb 18, 2026 | After the close | 3.26 | 3.21 | -1.5% | -1.2% | -7.9% | -6.5% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | After the close | 1.82 | 1.78 | -2.0% | -8.4% | -6.3% | -4.7% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +8.7% | +13.2% | +15.1% |
| May 6, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +4.8% | +4.6% | +5.2% |
| Feb 19, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.5% | +1.8% | -2.5% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.3% | +2.1% | +5.1% |
| Aug 6, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +1.3% | -3.5% | -3.0% |
| May 7, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +3.7% | +5.2% | +3.4% |
| Feb 13, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -2.2% | +1.8% | -1.1% |
| Nov 2, 2023 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +3.6% | +12.5% | +12.7% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on LOPE and what the price did next.
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for LOPE.