Back to rankings

NCAB GROUP AB (NCABF)

NEUTRAL
TechnologyElectronic ComponentsSweden

Fundamental

58

Price

$75.10

Market Cap

$13.42B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

NCAB Group does not manufacture anything itself. It designs the specification, sources printed circuit boards (PCBs) from a network of partner factories mainly in China and other parts of Asia, and sells them to industrial customers worldwide, offering local design support, quality control and logistics on top of the board itself. It operates through local sales companies in 19 countries grouped into four regions: Nordics, Europe, North America and East (China and Malaysia).

How it makes money

Revenue is booked when a customer's ordered PCBs are delivered, priced to cover the factory cost plus NCAB's margin for sourcing, design support and quality assurance. Because NCAB owns no factories, its cost base moves with what partner manufacturers charge and with tariffs on goods made in China, which it has partly offset by shifting some production to Taiwan, South Korea, the U.S. and Southeast Asia.

Revenue by segment

Europe48.1%

Sales offices across Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Switzerland and the U.K.

Nordics23.3%

NCAB's home region and largest single market by history, spanning Sweden and neighboring Nordic countries.

North America22.7%

U.S. offices serving defense, medtech, power and industrial customers, with a growing focus on regional and ITAR-approved supply.

East5.9%

Sales offices in China and Malaysia, serving both local and global customers close to the main manufacturing base.

Key risks

  • Concentration of factories in China — The company states it faces geopolitical risk because a large share of the factories it sources from are located in China, and that tariffs and trade barriers are a potential risk it has only partly offset by shifting some sourcing to other countries.
  • Dependence on partner manufacturers — Because NCAB owns no factories, the company states it is exposed to the production capacity, capacity constraints and order books of the manufacturers it sources from, as well as raw material availability and prices.
  • Currency exposure — The company states it is exposed to currency risk, mainly between the USD, EUR and SEK, through translation of sales and purchases and of reported assets, liabilities and investments.
  • Demand and customer relationship risk — The company cites commercial risk arising from changes in economic activity, demand and customer preferences, and from the state of its relationships with customers.
  • Dependence on skilled staff — The company states it depends on the continued trust of its employees and on its ability to recruit skilled staff, since its role is largely one of technical sourcing and design support rather than owning production assets.

The case for

Buyers argue that an asset-light sourcing model lets NCAB grow without the capital intensity of owning factories, that its design-support and quality-control services create switching costs beyond just finding a cheaper board supplier, and that diversifying manufacturing beyond China reduces tariff exposure over time.

The case against

Sellers fear that without owned factories NCAB has limited control over its cost base and delivery reliability, that heavy reliance on Chinese manufacturing capacity leaves it exposed to tariffs and trade policy shifts it cannot control, and that the business is ultimately a distributor with thinner structural protection than a manufacturer.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$4.08B

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Net Income

$272M

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Free Cash Flow

$290M

Total Equity

$1.58B

Total Liabilities

$1.31B

Current Ratio

1.60

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

2.74

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Overvalued

Fair Value

$54.20

Current Price

$75.10

Margin of Safety

-38.6%

Fair Value Range

$35.23 - $73.17

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$90.67
DCF:$21.25
PE-based:$58.61
Graham Growth:$35.02
EPV:$13.11
Analyst Consensus:Strong Buy (7B / 3H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+5.04%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

49.61

ROE

18.9%

P/B Ratio

9.03

P/FCF

46.21

Gross Margin

35.1%

ROIC

11.8%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

11.8%

WACC

12.0%

ROIC − WACC

-0.3 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (13)

  • Price CAGR 30.15%
  • ROIC 11.8%
  • Gross Margin 35.1%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 10.0%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 18.3%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 12.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 70% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.56

Failed (8)

  • P/FCF 46.21
  • P/B Ratio 9.03
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -3.2%
  • PEG Ratio 5.59
  • Net Margin Trend 5.5% vs 7.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Unavailable (6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Serious financial concerns

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.56

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Peter KrukPresident & CEO57
Mr. Timothy Benjamin Jr.Chief Financial Officer43
Mr. Chris NuttallChief Operating Officer52
Mr. Bo AnderssonTechnical Manager-
Ms. Ann JuvikenChief Digital & Information Officer55
Ms. Gunilla Öhman WikmanIR Manager66
Ms. Sanna MagnussonGroup Marketing Director46
Claire-Lise SarninVice President of People & Culture45
Mr. Andy LiuMD of China Sales & VP of Asia45
Mr. Jack KeiManaging Director of China-

Audit Risk

4

Board Risk

6

Compensation Risk

4

Shareholder Rights Risk

1

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for NCABF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for NCABF.