Qualys, Inc. (QLYS)
POSITIVEFundamental
80
Price
$176.82
Market Cap
$6.18B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Qualys is a US software company, founded in 1999 and based in Foster City, California, that sells a cloud-based platform for IT security and compliance called the Enterprise TruRisk Platform. The platform inventories a customer's IT and operational-technology assets — on-premises servers, endpoints, cloud workloads, containers and mobile devices — then scans them for vulnerabilities and misconfigurations, scores how much cyber risk each one carries, recommends and deploys fixes, and verifies that the fix worked. Customers reach it through a browser: Qualys runs the infrastructure itself, from 15 shared cloud platforms hosted by third-party providers around the world, plus a private-cloud option installed on a customer's own premises. Data is collected by scanner appliances, lightweight software agents and passive network sensors. The company launched its first product, Vulnerability Management, in 2000 and today sells more than 20 modular 'Cloud Apps' on the same platform, covering asset management (CSAM, Enterprise TruRisk Management), vulnerability and application scanning (VMDR, TotalAppSec), patching and remediation (Patch Management, TruRisk Eliminate), endpoint detection and response, compliance auditing (Policy Audit, File Integrity Monitoring) and cloud security (TotalCloud). Revenues were $669.1 million in 2025, up from $607.6 million in 2024 and $554.5 million in 2023, and the platform served over 10,000 customers at year-end, including a majority of the Forbes Global 100.
How it makes money
Qualys sells software as a service, almost entirely through renewable annual subscriptions: the customer pays a fee to access each Cloud App, and is normally invoiced for the whole subscription up front at the start of the term. That cash sits on the balance sheet as deferred revenue and is recognised as revenue evenly across the subscription period, so reported revenue is smooth even when bookings are lumpy. Growth comes from three places — existing customers renewing, existing customers buying more assets or more Cloud Apps, and new customers. The company measures the first two with a net dollar expansion rate, which was 103% in both 2025 and 2024. Enterprises and government bodies are sold to by a field sales force, smaller businesses by an inside sales force, and a large share of business flows through resellers, managed security service providers and consulting firms: channel partners generated 49% of revenues in 2025, up from 46% in 2024 and 43% in 2023. In the channel model Qualys sells the subscription to the partner, who resells it and keeps the margin. By customer billing address, 56% of 2025 revenues came from the United States. Economics are those of a mature software business: gross profit was 83% of revenues in 2025 and income from operations 33%.
Competitive moat
Switching costs · NarrowQualys has a real but limited advantage, and it comes from how hard the platform is to pull out once installed. Customers deploy agents, scanner appliances and passive sensors across their entire asset estate, connect them to their CMDB and ticketing systems, and accumulate years of vulnerability, configuration and audit history in one place; the compliance module alone ships with over 900 pre-built policies and 20,000 controls mapped to more than 90 regulations, which a security team has usually tuned to its own environment. Because the Cloud Apps share one interface, one set of sensors and one data store, adding a second or third module is cheap while replacing the platform means re-instrumenting everything. The filing describes exactly this pattern: customers typically start with one or two solutions and expand from there. But the advantage should not be overstated. Qualys itself discloses that it competes in a highly fragmented market against CrowdStrike, Palo Alto Networks, Rapid7, Tenable, Tanium, Invicti and Wiz, that many primary competitors have greater name recognition and significantly greater resources, and that sales prices are subject to competitive pressure and may decrease. Its 52 issued patents and its vulnerability-signature knowledge base help, but they do not stop rivals from bundling comparable scanning into broader security suites. A net dollar expansion rate of 103% says customers stay and spend a little more — not that they are locked in.
What drives demand
Moderately cyclicalDemand sits between defensive and cyclical. On the defensive side, the subscriptions are annual and recognised ratably, so a downturn does not stop revenue overnight, and a large part of the spend is driven by regulation rather than choice — PCI DSS, HIPAA, SOX, NIST, FedRAMP and similar mandates require audits and evidence whether or not the economy is good, and attackers do not pause in a recession. On the cyclical side, Qualys states plainly that its business depends to a significant extent on overall demand for IT and on the economic health of its customers, and that economic weakness, inflation, interest-rate changes, constrained IT security spending and longer sales cycles — conditions it says it has experienced since 2023 — have already resulted in decreased revenue and earnings and may do so again. It also notes governmental budgetary pressure in the United States and Europe and uncertainty over tariffs and trade policy reducing customers' purchasing power. In practice the compliance floor holds, but the expansion layer — more assets under subscription, more Cloud Apps per customer — is where a tight IT budget shows up first, and that layer is what drives growth above the renewal base.
Key risks
- The business depends on renewals and on selling more to existing customers — Qualys states that if it is unable to renew existing subscriptions, sell additional subscriptions and attract new customers, its operating results would be harmed. Because revenue is recognised ratably over annual terms, a wave of non-renewals shows up gradually rather than all at once, but the base of recurring revenue erodes all the same.
- Competition and downward pressure on prices — The company discloses that it competes in a highly fragmented market and may lack sufficient financial or other resources to maintain or improve its competitive position, noting that many primary competitors have greater name recognition, longer operating histories, larger marketing budgets and significantly greater resources. It separately warns that sales prices are subject to competitive pressures and may decrease — through discounting, mix shift, or larger rivals bundling comparable products — which may reduce gross profits.
- A missed or false vulnerability damages the brand — Qualys warns that if its solutions fail to detect vulnerabilities, or incorrectly report vulnerabilities that are not there, its brand and reputation could be harmed with an adverse effect on the business. This is the core promise of a scanning product: the customer is buying an assurance that nothing was missed.
- Everything is delivered from third-party cloud facilities — Substantially all solutions are hosted from 15 shared cloud platforms operated by large third-party vendors in the United States, Canada, Switzerland, the Netherlands, the United Arab Emirates, Australia, the United Kingdom, Italy, Saudi Arabia and India. The company states these facilities are vulnerable to earthquakes, hurricanes, floods, fires, cyber-attacks, power losses and telecommunications failures, and that any disruption would interrupt or delay delivery to customers, reducing revenues.
- Reliance on channel partners for a large share of revenue — The company relies on third-party channel partners — managed security service providers, value-added resellers and consulting firms — to generate a substantial amount of its revenues, and states that failure to manage those distribution channels effectively could cause revenues to decline and harm growth prospects. Partners generated 49% of 2025 revenues, and it is the partner, not Qualys, who owns the renewal conversation with those end customers.
- Qualys itself can be attacked — The filing warns that its platform, products, website and internal systems may be subject to intentional disruption or other security incidents that could result in liability and adversely impact its reputation and future sales. A security vendor holding a detailed map of its customers' weakest points is an unusually attractive target, and a breach cuts directly at the reason customers buy.
- Long, unpredictable sales cycles make results lumpy — Qualys discloses that its sales cycle can be long and unpredictable and that sales efforts require considerable time and expense, so revenues may vary from period to period and operating results may fluctuate. It also flags separately that quarterly and annual results may vary enough to miss expectations and cause the share price to decline.
Customer concentration
Concentration is low and the filing says so directly: in each of 2025, 2024 and 2023, no single customer accounted for more than 10% of revenues, and the platform served over 10,000 customers worldwide at the end of 2025 across education, financial services, government, healthcare, insurance, manufacturing, media, retail, technology and utilities. Qualys does not disclose a combined share for its largest customers, so no figure can be given here. Two concentrations do exist but are not customer concentrations in the usual sense: 49% of 2025 revenues were generated through channel partners rather than sold directly, and 56% came from customers with United States billing addresses — down from 58% in 2024 and 60% in 2023.
The case for
Buyers argue that Qualys is a rare thing in cybersecurity: a company that already earns real money. In 2025 gross profit was 83% of revenues and income from operations 33%, both up a point on 2024, on revenues of $669.1 million — the economics of a mature platform, not of a company still buying growth. They point to the structural pitch in the filing: enterprises are drowning in disconnected point tools that are costly to deploy, integrate and manage, and Qualys offers a single platform where more than 20 Cloud Apps share one interface, one set of sensors and one data store, so the second and third module are cheap to add. With over 10,000 customers including a majority of the Forbes Global 100, and customers typically starting with one or two solutions, buyers see a long runway in cross-selling the newer modules — Cybersecurity Asset Management, Patch Management, Enterprise TruRisk Management, TotalCloud — which move Qualys beyond the legacy scanning market it grew up in. They note that revenue has compounded from $554.5 million in 2023 to $669.1 million in 2025 while the customer base renews at a net dollar expansion rate of 103%, that channel partners now bring 49% of revenue and extend reach without a proportional sales force, and that a growing share of the work — audits against 90-plus regulatory frameworks — is spending customers cannot easily defer.
The case against
Sellers fear that Qualys is a mid-sized incumbent being squeezed in a market that has moved past it. Growth has settled around 10% a year — $669.1 million in 2025 against $607.6 million in 2024 — and a net dollar expansion rate of 103%, flat versus 2024, means the installed base is barely buying more; almost all growth has to come from winning new logos in a market the company itself calls highly fragmented and intensely competitive. The named competitors are the problem: CrowdStrike, Palo Alto Networks, Wiz (with a pending acquisition by Google), Tenable, Rapid7, Tanium. Qualys concedes in its own risk factors that many of its primary competitors have greater name recognition, longer operating histories, larger marketing budgets and significantly greater resources, and that it may lack sufficient resources to maintain or improve its competitive position. Sellers read the pricing risk factor literally — sales prices are subject to competitive pressures and may decrease as larger rivals bundle comparable scanning into broader platforms — and worry that vulnerability management is becoming a feature rather than a purchase. They also note that management says it has faced constrained IT security spending and longer sales cycles since 2023 with no stated end, that 49% of revenue now runs through partners who own the renewal conversation, and that the newer modules pull Qualys into markets where it is the challenger against better-funded specialists rather than the established name.
Generated on August 22, 2026 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on August 23, 2026 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users
Named by Qualys in its own 10-K, Tenable sells the closest like-for-like vulnerability and exposure management platform, chasing the same enterprise security budgets for scanning and risk prioritization.
Listed as a competitor by Qualys, CrowdStrike bundles exposure management and patching into its endpoint agent, competing for the same security-platform spend at the same customers.
Named in Qualys's 10-K, Palo Alto Networks sells cloud and attack-surface security within a broad platform bundle that directly displaces stand-alone vulnerability management subscriptions.
Also named in Qualys's 10-K, Rapid7's InsightVM competes head-on for the same vulnerability management and compliance subscriptions in mid-market and enterprise IT.
Named by Qualys as a privately held competitor, Tanium sells endpoint visibility, patch management and asset inventory to the same large-enterprise IT and security teams.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$703M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$207M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$304M
Total Equity
$561M
Total Liabilities
$534M
Current Ratio
1.38
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
0.23
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$214.78
Current Price
$176.82
Margin of Safety
+17.7%
Fair Value Range
$139.61 - $289.95
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
30.88
ROE
35.3%
P/B Ratio
10.98
P/FCF
19.66
Gross Margin
83.3%
ROIC
30.4%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
30.4%
WACC
7.9%
ROIC − WACC
+22.5 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (22)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 38.75%
- Price CAGR 19.12%
- ROIC 30.4%
- Gross Margin 83.3%
- P/FCF 19.66
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 34.4%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 37.2%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 13.0%
- Earnings Surprise avg 8.7%
- PEG Ratio 1.69
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.55
- Share Dilution -2.4%
- Net Margin Trend 29.4% vs 29.0%
- Piotroski F-Score 8/9
Failed (4)
- P/B Ratio 10.98
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Analyst Consensus 34% Buy
Unavailable (2)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
Piotroski F-Score
Strong financial health
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Sumedh S. Thakar | President, CEO & Director | 49 |
| Ms. Joo Mi Kim | CFO & Principal Accounting Officer | - |
| Mr. Bruce K. Posey J.D. | Chief Legal Officer & Secretary | 73 |
| Mr. Dilip Bachwani | Chief Technology Officer of Enterprise TruRisk Platform | - |
| Mr. Brad Bell | Chief Information Officer | - |
| Mr. Blair King | Vice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Development | - |
| Ms. Tami Casey | Director of Global Corporate Communications | - |
| Ms. May Mitchell | Chief Marketing Officer | - |
| Mr. Shawn O'Brien | Executive Vice President of Global Sales & Strategic Alliances | - |
| Ms. Rima Touma Bruno | Chief Human Resource Officer | - |
Audit Risk
1
Board Risk
2
Compensation Risk
4
Shareholder Rights Risk
8
Part 2 · The price and when to enter
This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Latest News
Recent headlines for QLYS, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 5/5/2026NEUTRALTranscript: Qualys Q1 2026 Earnings Conference Call
Qualys Inc. held its Q1 2026 Earnings Conference Call on May 5, 2026. The transcript provides an in-depth look at the company's financial performance, strategic initiatives, and future outlook. While specific financial figures and forward-looking statements are detailed within the call, the transcript itself is an informational document. Investors reviewing this transcript can gain insights into management's perspective on market trends, competitive landscape, and operational execution. The call is crucial for understanding the qualitative factors that may influence Qualys's stock performance in the coming quarters.
- 3/11/2026NEGATIVECFO Sells 6,799 Shares of Qualys Worth $873,000
Qualys Inc., a cloud security solutions provider, saw its Chief Financial Officer sell 6,799 shares valued at approximately $873,000. This transaction is part of a broader trend of the CFO reducing their direct stake in the company. While insider selling doesn't always signal a negative outlook, a significant sale by a top executive can be interpreted by the market as a lack of confidence in future stock performance or a desire to diversify personal holdings away from the company's equity.
via Markets Gazette