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Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD)

NEUTRAL
Basic MaterialsGoldUnited States

Fundamental

66

Price

$262.75

Market Cap

$22.35B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Royal Gold provides upfront cash to mining companies that need capital to build or expand a mine, and in exchange receives either a royalty — a percentage of the mine's future revenue or production — or a stream, the right to buy a fixed share of future gold, silver or copper output at a low, fixed price. It owns interests in dozens of mines and exploration projects worldwide but does not operate any of them, employing only a small corporate staff.

How it makes money

Revenue is recognized when Royal Gold sells the metal it receives, at prevailing market prices, so it captures the full upside of higher gold, silver and copper prices without spending on exploration, construction or day-to-day mining costs. Stream ounces are bought at a fixed cost far below the market price, so streams carry the widest margins; royalties cost nothing to Royal Gold at all, since they are simply a contractual cut of someone else's production or revenue.

Revenue by segment

Stream66.63%

The right to buy a fixed share of a mine's future gold, silver or copper output at a low, contractually fixed price — Royal Gold's highest-margin revenue.

Royalty33.39%

A contractual percentage of a mine's revenue or production, paid with no cost to Royal Gold and no exposure to operating costs.

Competitive moat

Patents and licences · Narrow

Each royalty or stream is a unique, long-lived contract, often lasting the entire life of a mine, built through decades of relationships with mining companies and hard-to-replicate deal expertise. That portfolio of contracts cannot easily be copied, but Royal Gold still competes for every new deal against Franco-Nevada, Wheaton Precious Metals and mining companies' own balance sheets.

What drives demand

Cyclical

Revenue moves directly with gold, silver and copper prices and with the production volumes of the mines Royal Gold has interests in, both of which swing with commodity cycles and broader risk appetite. Because Royal Gold has no control over operating decisions at those mines, its results also depend on production choices made entirely by other companies.

Key risks

  • Concentration in a handful of large mines — A large share of revenue comes from a small number of mines such as Mount Milligan, Pueblo Viejo and Khoemacau. An operational setback, strike or geological problem at any one of them would disproportionately hit results.
  • No operating control — Royal Gold does not operate any of the mines it has interests in and cannot control production schedules, cost decisions or mine-life extensions; it simply receives what the operator chooses to deliver.
  • Commodity price exposure — Revenue rises and falls with gold, silver and copper prices, which Royal Gold does not hedge and cannot control; a sustained price decline would reduce revenue even if production stayed constant.
  • Reserve depletion and reinvestment risk — Every mine eventually depletes its reserves, so Royal Gold must continually strike new royalty and stream deals to replace declining production, and there is no guarantee future deals will be as attractive as past ones.

The case for

Buyers argue that Royal Gold captures the full upside of rising gold, silver and copper prices without bearing mining, construction or exploration costs, and that its portfolio of long-lived contracts across dozens of mines gives it exposure that is diversified even though management is not.

The case against

Sellers fear that revenue is concentrated in a handful of mines it does not control, that a sustained fall in metal prices would hit results directly, and that replacing depleting mines with equally attractive new deals gets harder as competition for royalty and streaming agreements increases.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$1.55B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$738M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

-

Total Equity

$7.16B

Total Liabilities

$2.33B

Current Ratio

2.92

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

0.49

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Fairly Valued

Fair Value

$220.23

Current Price

$262.75

Margin of Safety

-19.3%

Fair Value Range

$152.05 - $288.41

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$302.67
DCF:$228.45
PE-based:$148.39
Graham Growth:$191.24
EPV:$110.32
Analyst Consensus:Strong Buy (17B / 3H / 1S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-3.41%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

29.18

ROE

6.5%

P/B Ratio

2.95

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

66.8%

ROIC

8.1%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

8.1%

WACC

7.8%

ROIC − WACC

+0.2 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (16)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 11.38%
  • Price CAGR 15.12%
  • ROIC 8.1%
  • Gross Margin 66.8%
  • P/B Ratio 2.95
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 61.4%
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 11.6%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 10.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 81% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.42

Failed (7)

  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -3.8%
  • PEG Ratio 3.38
  • Share Dilution 5.8%
  • Net Margin Trend 47.7% vs 56.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Unavailable (5)

  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-Score

4/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.42

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

5.8%

Issuing new shares, diluting ownership

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. William H. HeissenbuttelPresident, CEO & Director60
Mr. Paul K. LibnerSenior VP & CFO51
Dr. Martin Raffield P.Eng., Ph.D.Senior Vice President of Operations56
Mr. Randy Shefman J.D.Senior VP & General Counsel51
Mr. Daniel K. BreezeSenior Vice President of Corporate Development - RGLD Gold AG52
Mr. Alistair BakerSenior Vice President of Investor Relations & Business Development of Royal Gold Corp.-
Mr. David R. Crandall Esq.VP, Corporate Secretary & Chief Compliance Officer42

Audit Risk

3

Board Risk

3

Compensation Risk

1

Shareholder Rights Risk

2

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for RGLD, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for RGLD.