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Shui On Land Limited (SOLLF)

NEUTRAL
Real EstateReal Estate - DevelopmentChina

Fundamental

48

Price

$0.41

Market Cap

$3.24B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Shui On Land develops and manages large-scale urban regeneration projects in mainland China, anchored by its Xintiandi and Lakeville brands in central Shanghai. The company builds residential, office and retail properties on redeveloped land, then either sells the residential units or keeps the commercial space to lease and manage long term. As of the end of 2025 its investment property portfolio was valued at RMB57.6 billion, spanning about 1,258,000 square metres of gross floor area.

How it makes money

Shui On Land earns money two ways: selling newly built apartments and offices under presale contracts, with revenue recognized when units are delivered to buyers, and collecting rent from tenants of the retail and office space it keeps and operates itself, mainly under the Xintiandi brand. In 2025 it recorded RMB7,916 million in contracted property sales — bookings for future delivery — and RMB3,625 million in rental and related income, up 2% from the prior year.

What drives demand

Cyclical

Property development in China has been cyclical and, more recently, in a prolonged downturn: nationwide sales volume and value fell 8.7% and 12.6% year-on-year during the period covered by Shui On Land's 2025 results, and the company describes industry-wide liquidity as likely to remain tight. Its rental income from completed, leased commercial space is comparatively steadier, growing even as development sales softened.

The case for

Buyers argue that Shui On Land's shift toward rental income and asset-light partnerships is cushioning it against the broader Chinese property downturn, that its Xintiandi commercial portfolio in central Shanghai commands premium rents, and that a RMB57.6 billion investment-property base provides a tangible asset backing for the shares.

The case against

Sellers fear that the company still depends on selling new residential units in a Chinese property market where nationwide volumes and prices keep falling, that it reported a net loss for 2025 driven by non-cash fair-value adjustments and impairments, and that tight sector-wide liquidity could pressure its ability to fund new projects.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

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Who this company fights with for the same customers

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Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$4.09B

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Net Income

$-1.78B

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Free Cash Flow

$7.52B

Total Equity

$42.45B

Total Liabilities

$33.56B

Current Ratio

1.10

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

26.68

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Undervalued

Fair Value

$11.28

Current Price

$0.41

Margin of Safety

+96.4%

Fair Value Range

$7.33 - $15.22

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:-
DCF:$22.07
PE-based:-
Graham Growth:-
EPV:$0.48
Analyst Consensus:Sell (0B / 3H / 4S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-26.98%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

-

ROE

-4.3%

P/B Ratio

0.09

P/FCF

0.43

Gross Margin

51.7%

ROIC

0.5%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

0.5%

WACC

0.8%

ROIC − WACC

-0.3 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (9)

  • Gross Margin 51.7%
  • P/FCF 0.43
  • P/B Ratio 0.09
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 10.1%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 35.5%

Failed (9)

  • Price CAGR -12.53%
  • ROIC 0.5%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE -4.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y -2.3%
  • Analyst Consensus 0% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.47
  • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

Unavailable (9)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-Score

1/9

Serious financial concerns

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

0.47

Low quality: investigate accounting

Share Dilution

-

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Dr. Hong Sui Lo GBS, J.P.Executive Chairman77
Ms. Jessica Ying WangCEO & Executive Director51
Ms. B. Y. LoExecutive Vice Chairman43
Mr. He Hau SungCFO, Chief Investment Officer & Executive Director58
Mr. Kim Lun Uy LL.B, P.C. L.LDirector of Legal Affairs & Company Secretary62
Mr. K. M. LeeDirector of Human Resources68
Mr. Pit Kwong WongChief Economist & Director of Development Research69
Mr. Kain Bon ChanChief Sustainability Officer and Director of Planning & Development.51
Mr. Allan B. ZhangChief Executive Officer of Shui On Xintiandi Limited46

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

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