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Zebra Technologies Corporation (ZBRA)

NEUTRAL
TechnologyCommunication EquipmentUnited States

Fundamental

67

Price

$362.68

Market Cap

$17.43B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Zebra Technologies makes the hardware and software that track physical objects and people as they move through a business: barcode and RFID scanners, rugged mobile computers, label and receipt printers, machine-vision cameras, and the software that ties them together. Retailers use it to track inventory and ring up sales; warehouses and couriers scan packages with it; hospitals identify patients and medication with it. In 2025 it acquired Elo, adding self-service kiosks and payment terminals to the same customer base.

How it makes money

Zebra sells mostly hardware, largely through distributors rather than directly to end customers: three distributors together accounted for about 59% of 2025 net sales. Printers and scanners generate a recurring stream of supplies (labels, ribbons, batteries), while mobile computers and software increasingly carry subscription and support contracts. Demand tracks capital spending by retail, logistics and healthcare customers, so unit volumes rise and fall with those industries' own investment cycles rather than with steady end-consumer purchases.

Competitive moat

Switching costs · Narrow

Warehouses and retailers standardize scanning, printing and mobile-computing hardware, supplies and management software across thousands of devices; replacing an installed fleet means re-certifying workflows and retraining staff, which discourages switching suppliers. The advantage is real but not absolute: Honeywell, Datalogic and others sell comparable hardware, and large customers negotiate hard on price, so it does not bring the pricing power seen in pure software businesses.

What drives demand

Cyclical

Customers buy scanners, printers and mobile computers as part of capital budgets for new stores, warehouses or delivery fleets, spending that gets deferred quickly when retail or logistics volumes soften. The 2023-2024 downturn, when customers worked through inventory built up during the pandemic before ordering again, showed how sharply unit volumes can swing even though the underlying use cases stay permanent.

Key risks

  • Revenue concentrated in a few distributors — Three distributors together made up about 59% of 2025 net sales. Losing one, or a change in how it buys and stocks Zebra products, would have an outsized effect on reported sales.
  • Acquisition integration risk — Zebra has grown through acquisitions, including Elo in 2025. Retaining the customers, distributors and staff of an acquired business is not guaranteed, and integration can distract management and absorb capital.
  • Geopolitical instability — The company cites regional conflicts, terrorism and war, specifically the Russia-Ukraine war and Middle East tensions, as sources of market instability that can disrupt supply chains and demand.
  • Dependence on regulated wireless spectrum — Zebra's wireless devices depend on government-allocated radio spectrum. Changes to spectrum availability or regulation in any country can force product redesigns or restrict where products can be sold.

Customer concentration

Top customers account for 59% of revenue

In fiscal 2025 three distributors accounted for 29%, 15% and 15% of net sales respectively, about 59% combined. A change in how any one of them buys and stocks Zebra products affects results directly.

The case for

Buyers argue that scanning, tracking and mobile-computing hardware is becoming more embedded in retail, healthcare and logistics workflows every year, that the Elo acquisition adds a new self-service growth avenue, and that a business with this much recurring supplies revenue deserves a steadier multiple than its cyclical history suggests.

The case against

Sellers worry that hardware margins stay under pressure from capable competitors, that nearly six in ten dollars of revenue flow through just three distributors who can squeeze pricing, and that the next slowdown in retail or logistics capital spending will hit unit volumes as hard as the last one did.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$5.85B

Trailing 12 months (through 7/4/2026)

Net Income

$539M

Trailing 12 months (through 7/4/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$831M

Total Equity

$3.59B

Total Liabilities

$4.91B

Current Ratio

0.52

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

3.35

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Overvalued

Fair Value

$240.06

Current Price

$362.68

Margin of Safety

-51.1%

Fair Value Range

$156.04 - $324.08

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$405.31
DCF:$197.76
PE-based:$159.55
Graham Growth:$81.61
EPV:$105.97
Analyst Consensus:Buy (18B / 7H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+42.86%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

33.21

ROE

11.7%

P/B Ratio

5.00

P/FCF

19.01

Gross Margin

49.6%

ROIC

14.6%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

14.6%

WACC

11.4%

ROIC − WACC

+3.2 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (17)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 15.70%
  • ROIC 14.6%
  • Gross Margin 49.6%
  • P/FCF 19.01
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 14.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 15.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 72% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 13.0%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.82
  • Share Dilution -1.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Failed (7)

  • P/B Ratio 5.00
  • Current Ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 3.9%
  • Net Margin Trend 9.2% vs 10.6%

Unavailable (3)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.82

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-1.2%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. William J. BurnsCEO & Director58
Mr. Nathan Andrew WintersChief Financial Officer45
Ms. Cristen L. Kogl J.D.Chief Legal Officer, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary59
Mr. Jeffrey F. SchmitzSenior Vice President61
Mr. Richard Edward HudsonChief Revenue Officer57
Ms. Colleen M. O'SullivanSenior VP & Chief Accounting Officer58
Mr. Tom BianculliChief Technology Officer-
Mr. Matt AusmanChief Information Officer-
Mr. Michael A. Steele C.F.A., IRCVice President of Investor Relations52
Ms. Therese Van RyneSenior Director of External Communications-

Audit Risk

1

Board Risk

9

Compensation Risk

2

Shareholder Rights Risk

8

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for ZBRA, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/13/2026POSITIVE
    This Zebra Technologies Analyst Turns Bullish; Here Are Top 5 Upgrades For Wednesday

    Zebra Technologies Corporation (ZBRA) has received a bullish upgrade from a top Wall Street analyst, accompanied by an increased price target. This positive sentiment suggests renewed confidence in the company's future performance and market position. Investors should note that this upgrade is part of a broader trend of analyst reassessments, with other stocks like ST, AKAM, ITGR, and ARW also seeing positive analyst attention. The specific details of ZBRA's upgrade, including the new price target and the rationale behind the analyst's optimism, are crucial for assessing potential investment opportunities.

via Markets Gazette