Zebra Technologies Corporation (ZBRA)
NEUTRALFundamental
67
Price
$362.68
Market Cap
$17.43B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Zebra Technologies makes the hardware and software that track physical objects and people as they move through a business: barcode and RFID scanners, rugged mobile computers, label and receipt printers, machine-vision cameras, and the software that ties them together. Retailers use it to track inventory and ring up sales; warehouses and couriers scan packages with it; hospitals identify patients and medication with it. In 2025 it acquired Elo, adding self-service kiosks and payment terminals to the same customer base.
How it makes money
Zebra sells mostly hardware, largely through distributors rather than directly to end customers: three distributors together accounted for about 59% of 2025 net sales. Printers and scanners generate a recurring stream of supplies (labels, ribbons, batteries), while mobile computers and software increasingly carry subscription and support contracts. Demand tracks capital spending by retail, logistics and healthcare customers, so unit volumes rise and fall with those industries' own investment cycles rather than with steady end-consumer purchases.
Competitive moat
Switching costs · NarrowWarehouses and retailers standardize scanning, printing and mobile-computing hardware, supplies and management software across thousands of devices; replacing an installed fleet means re-certifying workflows and retraining staff, which discourages switching suppliers. The advantage is real but not absolute: Honeywell, Datalogic and others sell comparable hardware, and large customers negotiate hard on price, so it does not bring the pricing power seen in pure software businesses.
What drives demand
CyclicalCustomers buy scanners, printers and mobile computers as part of capital budgets for new stores, warehouses or delivery fleets, spending that gets deferred quickly when retail or logistics volumes soften. The 2023-2024 downturn, when customers worked through inventory built up during the pandemic before ordering again, showed how sharply unit volumes can swing even though the underlying use cases stay permanent.
Key risks
- Revenue concentrated in a few distributors — Three distributors together made up about 59% of 2025 net sales. Losing one, or a change in how it buys and stocks Zebra products, would have an outsized effect on reported sales.
- Acquisition integration risk — Zebra has grown through acquisitions, including Elo in 2025. Retaining the customers, distributors and staff of an acquired business is not guaranteed, and integration can distract management and absorb capital.
- Geopolitical instability — The company cites regional conflicts, terrorism and war, specifically the Russia-Ukraine war and Middle East tensions, as sources of market instability that can disrupt supply chains and demand.
- Dependence on regulated wireless spectrum — Zebra's wireless devices depend on government-allocated radio spectrum. Changes to spectrum availability or regulation in any country can force product redesigns or restrict where products can be sold.
Customer concentration
Top customers account for 59% of revenue
In fiscal 2025 three distributors accounted for 29%, 15% and 15% of net sales respectively, about 59% combined. A change in how any one of them buys and stocks Zebra products affects results directly.
The case for
Buyers argue that scanning, tracking and mobile-computing hardware is becoming more embedded in retail, healthcare and logistics workflows every year, that the Elo acquisition adds a new self-service growth avenue, and that a business with this much recurring supplies revenue deserves a steadier multiple than its cyclical history suggests.
The case against
Sellers worry that hardware margins stay under pressure from capable competitors, that nearly six in ten dollars of revenue flow through just three distributors who can squeeze pricing, and that the next slowdown in retail or logistics capital spending will hit unit volumes as hard as the last one did.
Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$5.85B
Trailing 12 months (through 7/4/2026)
Net Income
$539M
Trailing 12 months (through 7/4/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$831M
Total Equity
$3.59B
Total Liabilities
$4.91B
Current Ratio
0.52
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
3.35
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$240.06
Current Price
$362.68
Margin of Safety
-51.1%
Fair Value Range
$156.04 - $324.08
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
33.21
ROE
11.7%
P/B Ratio
5.00
P/FCF
19.01
Gross Margin
49.6%
ROIC
14.6%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
14.6%
WACC
11.4%
ROIC − WACC
+3.2 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (17)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Price CAGR 15.70%
- ROIC 14.6%
- Gross Margin 49.6%
- P/FCF 19.01
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 14.7%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 15.1%
- Analyst Consensus 72% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 13.0%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.82
- Share Dilution -1.2%
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9
Failed (7)
- P/B Ratio 5.00
- Current Ratio
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Revenue Growth 5Y 3.9%
- Net Margin Trend 9.2% vs 10.6%
Unavailable (3)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. William J. Burns | CEO & Director | 58 |
| Mr. Nathan Andrew Winters | Chief Financial Officer | 45 |
| Ms. Cristen L. Kogl J.D. | Chief Legal Officer, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary | 59 |
| Mr. Jeffrey F. Schmitz | Senior Vice President | 61 |
| Mr. Richard Edward Hudson | Chief Revenue Officer | 57 |
| Ms. Colleen M. O'Sullivan | Senior VP & Chief Accounting Officer | 58 |
| Mr. Tom Bianculli | Chief Technology Officer | - |
| Mr. Matt Ausman | Chief Information Officer | - |
| Mr. Michael A. Steele C.F.A., IRC | Vice President of Investor Relations | 52 |
| Ms. Therese Van Ryne | Senior Director of External Communications | - |
Audit Risk
1
Board Risk
9
Compensation Risk
2
Shareholder Rights Risk
8
Part 2 · The price and when to enter
This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Latest News
Recent headlines for ZBRA, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 5/13/2026POSITIVEThis Zebra Technologies Analyst Turns Bullish; Here Are Top 5 Upgrades For Wednesday
Zebra Technologies Corporation (ZBRA) has received a bullish upgrade from a top Wall Street analyst, accompanied by an increased price target. This positive sentiment suggests renewed confidence in the company's future performance and market position. Investors should note that this upgrade is part of a broader trend of analyst reassessments, with other stocks like ST, AKAM, ITGR, and ARW also seeing positive analyst attention. The specific details of ZBRA's upgrade, including the new price target and the rationale behind the analyst's optimism, are crucial for assessing potential investment opportunities.
via Markets Gazette