Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC)
NEUTRALFundamental
58
Price
$19.93
Market Cap
$14.30B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Ares Capital is a business development company that lends directly to mid-sized private US businesses, mostly ones owned by private equity firms, instead of relying on banks or public bond markets. It is externally managed by an affiliate of Ares Management, which finds the loans, negotiates terms and monitors the borrowers, and it holds shares publicly so that individual investors can access private lending returns that are normally only open to large institutions.
How it makes money
Income comes mainly from interest earned on the loans in its portfolio, which are predominantly first lien senior secured loans sitting at the front of the repayment line if a borrower runs into trouble, plus some second lien and subordinated debt and a smaller amount of equity co-investments. As a regulated investment company it must pay out at least 90% of its taxable income as dividends, and it borrows money itself to increase the size of the portfolio it can hold relative to its equity capital.
Competitive moat
Scale · NarrowAs the largest publicly traded business development company, Ares Capital can write bigger cheques and access deals through the broader Ares Management origination platform in ways smaller direct lenders cannot easily match, and its size supports a lower cost of borrowing. That advantage is real but narrow: private credit has attracted heavy competition from other large BDCs, private equity firms' own credit arms and banks re-entering the space.
What drives demand
Moderately cyclicalDeal volume tends to follow private equity buyout activity, which slows when financing is expensive or uncertain, but the interest income on an existing portfolio of hundreds of loans keeps flowing even when new deal-making pauses. The bigger swing factor is credit quality: in a weaker economy, more portfolio companies struggle to pay, and the loans themselves are what is exposed to the cycle rather than a product being bought or not.
Key risks
- Leverage amplifies losses — Ares Capital borrows money to expand its loan portfolio beyond what its own capital would support; this magnifies gains in good times but also magnifies losses if portfolio credit quality deteriorates.
- Credit risk from portfolio companies — Borrowers are mid-sized private companies, often carrying meaningful debt of their own; an economic downturn would raise the share of loans on non-accrual status and increase the risk of losses on individual positions.
- Dependence on maintaining BDC and RIC tax status — Losing business development company status would reduce operating flexibility, and failing to maintain regulated investment company status would expose the company to corporate-level taxes, cutting into what is left to distribute to shareholders.
- Interest rate exposure — Much of the portfolio earns floating-rate interest, so falling rates reduce investment income directly, while the cost of the company's own borrowing also moves with rates and can squeeze the spread it earns.
- External management conflicts of interest — Because Ares Capital is managed by an affiliate of Ares Management rather than its own employees, the manager's fee incentives may not always align perfectly with what is best for shareholders, a standard risk of the externally managed structure.
The case for
Buyers argue that Ares Capital's scale and access to the wider Ares Management origination platform give it first-lien-heavy deal flow that smaller lenders cannot match, that non-accrual levels remain below the sector's historical average, and that its size and diversification across hundreds of portfolio companies reduce the impact of any single credit problem.
The case against
Sellers fear that leverage means any broad deterioration in mid-market credit quality would hit shareholder returns harder than an unlevered lender, that heavy competition from other private credit funds is compressing the terms and pricing available on new loans, and that the externally managed structure leaves less direct alignment with shareholders than an internally managed peer.
Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on August 23, 2026 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users
A middle-market specialist whose portfolio is over 90% first-lien loans to private-equity-sponsored borrowers, the identical customer base Ares Capital serves.
The second-largest listed business development company, it originates the same senior secured loans to private-equity-backed U.S. middle-market companies that Ares Capital bids for.
Backed by Blackstone's credit platform, it competes deal by deal with Ares Capital for first-lien loans to the same large sponsor-owned borrowers.
Another large listed BDC lending senior secured and subordinated debt to private U.S. middle-market companies, drawing on KKR's origination network to win the same mandates.
Competes for the same directly originated, structured loans to upper-middle-market U.S. companies, often on the same transactions Ares Capital underwrites.
A listed direct-lending vehicle targeting the same sponsor-backed U.S. middle-market borrowers with senior secured unitranche loans.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$3.11B
Fiscal year ended 12/31/2025
Net Income
$1.30B
Fiscal year ended 12/31/2025
Free Cash Flow
-
Total Equity
$14.32B
Total Liabilities
$16.92B
Current Ratio
1.67
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
-
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$23.77
Current Price
$19.93
Margin of Safety
+16.2%
Fair Value Range
$15.45 - $32.08
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
12.30
ROE
9.1%
P/B Ratio
1.02
P/FCF
-
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
-
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
-
WACC
6.0%
ROIC − WACC
-
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (10)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 10.29%
- P/B Ratio 1.02
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- Revenue Growth 5Y 15.1%
- Analyst Consensus 80% Buy
- PEG Ratio 1.47
Failed (7)
- Price CAGR 1.91%
- DCF valuation (Unknown)
- ROE 6.8%
- Earnings Surprise avg -2.7%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) -1.07
- Share Dilution 12.0%
- Piotroski F-Score 1/9
Unavailable (11)
- ROIC NaN%
- Gross Margin NaN%
- P/FCF NaN
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Operating Margin NaN%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Net Margin Trend (invalid data)
Piotroski F-Score
Serious financial concerns
Earnings Quality
Low quality: investigate accounting
Share Dilution
Issuing new shares, diluting ownership
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Mitchell Scott Goldstein C.P.A. | Co-Chairman, Partner & Co-Head of Ares Credit Group | 58 |
| Mr. Michael Lewis Smith | Co-Chairman of Board of Directors & Co-Head of Ares Credit Group | 54 |
| Mr. Michael J. Arougheti | Executive VP & Director | 53 |
| Mr. Kort Schnabel | CEO & Co-Head of U.S. Direct Lending | 48 |
| Mr. James Miller | President & Co-Head of U.S. Direct Lending | 48 |
| Mr. Bennett Rosenthal | Co-Founder, Director, Partner & Chairman of Private Equity Group | 62 |
| Mr. Scott C. Lem | CFO & Treasurer | 47 |
| Ms. Jana Markowicz | Chief Operating Officer | 44 |
| Mr. Won Jae Cho | Chief Accounting Officer | 42 |
| Mr. John W. Stilmar | Partner & Co-Head of Public Markets Investor Relations | - |
Audit Risk
4
Board Risk
9
Compensation Risk
5
Shareholder Rights Risk
6
Part 2 · The price and when to enter
This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Latest News
Recent headlines for ARCC, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 3/31/2026NEUTRALAres Capital's Dividend Buffer Looks Intact, But Rate Sensitivity Could Shift The Narrative
Ares Capital Corporation's dividend coverage ratio remains robust, indicating financial stability and the ability to sustain payouts. However, the article highlights potential headwinds from interest rate sensitivity. While current conditions support the dividend, a sustained higher-rate environment could pressure earnings and the company's ability to maintain its payout levels without adjustments. Investors should monitor rate decisions and their impact on Ares Capital's net interest margin and overall profitability.
via Markets Gazette