BridgeBio Pharma, Inc. (BBIO)
UndervaluedFundamental
35
Price
$68.56
Market Cap
$13.24B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
BridgeBio is a biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering and developing transformative medicines for genetic diseases. Founded in 2015, the company targets genetic diseases at the intersection of high unmet medical need and scientifically tractable biology. The company has achieved FDA approval for Attruby (acoramidis), a novel transthyretin (TTR) stabilizer for cardiac transthyretin amyloidosis (ATTR-CM) in adults. The company operates through both direct commercialization in the United States and partnership-based commercialization in Europe and Japan. BridgeBio has created 19 Investigational New Drug applications since inception and maintains a pipeline of three FDA-approved products and multiple Phase 3 candidates.
How it makes money
BridgeBio generates revenue through three primary sources: (1) product sales from Attruby (acoramidis), which launched commercially in the United States in November 2024 following FDA approval, contributing $2.9 million in 2024; (2) non-refundable upfront payments and service revenue from exclusive licensing and collaboration agreements, primarily with Bayer for European commercialization and Kyowa Kirin for Japan, which generated $207.7 million in 2024; and (3) contingent milestone and royalty payments from commercial partners. The Bayer agreement includes an upfront payment of $135 million (received May 2024), potential regulatory milestones up to $150 million, potential sales milestones up to $450 million, and tiered royalties starting in the low-thirties percent on Bayer's net sales. Revenue is expected to transition from partnership-based upfront and milestone payments toward product sales as Attruby commercialization scales.
Competitive moat
Patents and licences · NarrowBridgeBio's competitive advantage is based on clinical differentiation of Attruby rather than structural moat elements. Attruby is the first and only approved product with a label specifying near-complete (≥90%) TTR stabilization, achieving superior cardiovascular outcomes compared to tafamidis and historical trial data. Clinical data demonstrated a 1.8 win ratio with statistical significance (p<0.0001) and showed benefit as early as month 3. However, the moat is narrow because competitors have existing TTR-stabilizing therapies in the market, and others are developing competing approaches. The advantage is product-specific rather than based on switching costs, network effects, or structural barriers. Long-term moat strength depends on maintaining clinical differentiation and successfully advancing the late-stage pipeline.
What drives demand
DefensiveATTR-CM demand is relatively defensive as the disease is progressive and fatal without treatment, creating steady patient demand regardless of economic cycles. The diagnosed ATTR-CM patient population is rapidly growing, increasing from fewer than 5,000 patients in 2019 to more than 50,000 patients in 2024, driven by expanded diagnostic capabilities and disease awareness. The total addressable market is estimated at $20.0 billion, with an estimated 400,000+ ATTR-CM patients in the U.S. and EU. The disease has a median life expectancy of two to five years from diagnosis if untreated, driving urgency for treatment initiation.
Key risks
- Drug Development and Clinical Uncertainty — Drug development is an inherently uncertain undertaking involving substantial risk. The company has limited operating history with Attruby just entering commercial phase. Clinical trials for pipeline candidates may fail to demonstrate adequate safety and efficacy, may experience enrollment delays, or may produce adverse safety signals. Earlier study results may not predict final trial outcomes.
- Regulatory and Foreign Approval Risk — The FDA may not accept data from clinical trials conducted outside the United States, potentially delaying or preventing approvals. Foreign regulatory approvals are not guaranteed even when U.S. approval is obtained. Ongoing regulatory compliance requirements and post-marketing obligations could require significant additional expense.
- Manufacturing and Supply Chain Dependency — The company is entirely dependent on third parties for manufacturing of all drug products. Manufacturing novel protein therapeutics and gene therapies is complex and difficult. Third parties may fail to provide sufficient quantities at acceptable quality levels or prices, or may experience manufacturing delays and supply disruptions.
- Market Acceptance and Commercial Uncertainty — Success depends on market acceptance by physicians, patients, and healthcare payors. The company's sales and marketing capabilities may prove ineffective. Reimbursement availability and pricing remain uncertain. Competitors have existing ATTR-CM treatments or may achieve regulatory approval of competing therapies before BridgeBio.
- Partner Concentration and Licensing Risk — The company is highly dependent on Bayer for European commercialization of Attruby. Revenue in 2024 was 93.6% derived from Bayer and Kyowa Kirin partnerships. Termination or underperformance of these licensing agreements could materially affect revenue and cash flow. BridgeBio may not successfully commercialize Attruby directly in the U.S. market.
- Capital Requirements and Funding Risk — The company has incurred significant debt with substantial interest payment obligations. Substantial additional capital funding is needed to support ongoing R&D, commercialization, and operations. The company's ability to raise capital through equity or debt financing is uncertain, particularly in adverse market conditions.
Customer concentration
Top customers account for 93.6% of revenue
BridgeBio's 2024 revenue was heavily concentrated on two partnership agreements: Bayer (exclusive European commercialization of Attruby/Beyonttra) and Kyowa Kirin (Japan exclusive rights). These two partners generated $207.7 million of the company's $221.9 million total revenue in 2024 through upfront payments and service revenue recognition. Bayer alone received $135.0 million in upfront payments in May 2024, plus potential future milestone and royalty payments. The company's direct product sales of Attruby in the U.S. contributed only $2.9 million in 2024, as the product only launched commercially in November 2024.
The case for
Attruby represents a potentially best-in-class TTR stabilizer with superior clinical efficacy to competitors. Phase 3 trial data demonstrated a statistically significant 1.8 win ratio (p<0.0001) and showed that over 30 months, Attruby patients survived more and were hospitalized less than seen in prior controlled studies of ATTR-CM therapies. Attruby achieves near-complete (≥90%) TTR stabilization, which is the strongest TTR stabilization of any approved therapy. The ATTR-CM market is large with estimated total addressable market of $20.0 billion and 400,000+ patients in the U.S. and EU. The diagnosed patient population is rapidly expanding (from <5,000 in 2019 to >50,000 in 2024) due to improved diagnostic capabilities and disease awareness. BridgeBio maintains a strong late-stage pipeline with multiple Phase 3 candidates in indications that represent potential markets exceeding $1 billion in annual sales. The company secured strong partnerships with Bayer and Kyowa Kirin, providing financial support and experienced commercialization expertise for international markets.
The case against
BridgeBio has minimal operating history with Attruby; the product only launched commercially in November 2024, and 2024 product sales were just $2.9 million. The path to profitability remains unclear given operating expenses of $231.9 million in Q4 2024 alone and continued R&D spending. Revenue is heavily concentrated on partnership payments from Bayer and Kyowa Kirin (93.6% of 2024 revenue), creating significant dependency risk on these partners' commercialization success and ability to pay milestones. Tafamidis, an existing competitor, is already established in the ATTR-CM market with clinical data and payer reimbursement. Additional competitors are developing alternative ATTR-CM treatments. Reimbursement challenges and pricing constraints from healthcare payors could limit Attruby's market penetration and commercial returns. The company requires substantial ongoing capital to fund R&D for pipeline candidates and to support U.S. commercialization efforts, and the company has significant debt obligations. Manufacturing is entirely outsourced to third parties, creating supply chain vulnerability. The company has not yet demonstrated sustainable commercial profitability.
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 21, 2026, shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users
Pfizer's tafamidis (Vyndaqel/Vyndamax) is the incumbent oral TTR stabiliser for ATTR cardiomyopathy and is the direct alternative prescribed to the same cardiology patients BridgeBio targets with Attruby.
Alnylam's Amvuttra (vutrisiran) is approved for the same ATTR-CM indication and competes for the same newly diagnosed and switching patients, using RNA interference instead of stabilisation.
BioMarin's Voxzogo (vosoritide) is the established treatment for children with achondroplasia, the market BridgeBio's oral infigratinib is built to enter.
Ascendis is bringing a weekly CNP therapy (navepegritide) to the same achondroplasia patients and prescribing paediatric endocrinologists that infigratinib addresses.
Ionis, with AstraZeneca, sells Wainua (eplontersen) in transthyretin amyloidosis and has pushed it toward the cardiomyopathy setting, competing for the same ATTR patient population.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$713M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$-702M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$-447M
Total Equity
$-2.09B
Total Liabilities
$3.01B
Current Ratio
1.23
Interest Coverage
10.04
Debt/EBITDA
-
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$107.82
Current Price
$68.56
Margin of Safety
+36.4%
Fair Value Range
$102.43 - $113.21
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
-
ROE
35.1%
P/B Ratio
-
P/FCF
-
Gross Margin
94.4%
ROIC
-120.4%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
-120.4%
WACC
8.4%
ROIC − WACC
-128.8 pp
ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (7)
- Price CAGR 9.39%
- Gross margin 94.4%
- Current ratio
- Interest coverage
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Revenue growth 5Y 127.4%
- Net margin trend -98.5% vs -332.9%
Failed (10)
- EPS shows upward trend
- ROIC -120.4%
- Operating margin -69.8%
- Positive free cash flow
- Return on tangible assets
- DCF valuation (Unknown)
- ROE -206.7%
- Earnings surprise, average -22.3%
- Share dilution 2.8%
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Unavailable (9)
- P/FCF –
- P/B ratio –
- Dividend payout –
- Debt/equity ratio
- CapEx intensity
- Debt/EBITDA
- Price below Graham Number
- PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income)
Piotroski F-Score
Serious financial concerns
Earnings Quality
Low quality: investigate accounting
Share Dilution
Issuing new shares, diluting ownership
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Dr. Neil Kumar Ph.D. | Co-Founder, CEO & Director | 46 |
| Dr. Thomas Trimarchi Ph.D. | CFO & President | 40 |
| Dr. Charles J. Homcy M.D. | Co-Founder, Chairman of Pharmaceuticals & Lead Director | 77 |
| Dr. Frank P. McCormick Ph.D. | Co-Founder, Chairman of Oncology & Director | 75 |
| Ms. Maricel M. Apuli | Chief Accounting Officer | 48 |
| Dr. Uma Sinha Ph.D. | Chief Scientific Officer | 67 |
| Dr. Richard H. Scheller Ph.D. | Chairman of Research & Development | 72 |
| Mr. Eli M. Wallace Ph.D. | Chief Scientific Officer of Oncology | 58 |
| Dr. Eric Michael David J.D., M.D., Ph.D. | Chief Executive Officer of Gene Therapy | 53 |
| Mr. Matthew Outten CPC, MBA | Chief Commercial Officer | 51 |
Audit Risk
5
Board Risk
9
Compensation Risk
5
Shareholder Rights Risk
8
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-24
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-08-10
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-10-13
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much BBIO moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 58% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 34.3%
- Volatility 90d
- 39.3%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- 1.11Correlation 0.30
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -29.8%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 3.22%
Earnings reactions
How BBIO moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Oct 29, 2026 · In 5 days · After the close
EPS estimate: -0.56Revenue estimate: $296M
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 2.1% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 5, down 7 (out of 12).
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | After the close | -0.60 | -0.78 | -31.1% | +2.8% | -1.1% | -5.6% |
| May 7, 2026 | After the close | -0.69 | -0.84 | -21.4% | -1.4% | -0.1% | +3.3% |
| Feb 24, 2026 | After the close | -0.76 | -1.00 | -32.1% | +3.2% | -2.6% | -5.5% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | After the close | -0.91 | -0.95 | -4.8% | -0.8% | -4.9% | -5.9% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -9.6% | -8.9% | -0.2% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +6.0% | +5.3% | +1.4% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +8.6% | +1.4% | -7.8% |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +0.2% | -5.7% | -14.4% |
| Aug 1, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.1% | +0.9% | -7.8% |
| May 2, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +2.1% | +2.6% | +2.5% |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.5% | -1.6% | +3.3% |
| Nov 2, 2023 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +0.5% | +1.0% | +10.3% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on BBIO and what the price did next.
- 7/1/2026PositiveSixth Street, KKR Provide BridgeBio $1 Billion Preferred Equity
- +1 day
- +0.2%
- +3 days
- +3.8%
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for BBIO.
- 7/1/2026POSITIVESixth Street, KKR Provide BridgeBio $1 Billion Preferred Equity
BridgeBio Pharma Inc. has secured $1 billion in preferred equity financing from Sixth Street Partners and KKR & Co. This significant capital injection is expected to bolster BridgeBio's financial position, enabling further investment in its drug development pipeline and research initiatives. The preferred equity structure suggests a favorable deal for BridgeBio, potentially avoiding immediate dilution for common shareholders while providing substantial resources for growth. Investors may view this as a strong vote of confidence in the company's therapeutic programs and future prospects.
- 2/25/2026NEUTRALBridgeBio (BBIO) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
The financial community is keenly awaiting the release of the BridgeBio Pharma (BBIO) Q4 2025 earnings call transcript. While the specific content is not yet available for analysis, the event itself marks a crucial moment for investors looking to assess the biopharmaceutical company's performance and future outlook. Earnings call transcripts typically provide vital details on financial results, product pipeline updates, research and development strategies, and management commentary on market challenges and opportunities. The current lack of concrete data prevents an immediate directional assessment, but investor attention remains high for any potential announcements that could impact the stock.