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BlackRock Inc (BLK)

Overvalued
Financial ServicesAsset ManagementUnited States

Fundamental

50

Price

$1118.25

Market Cap

$186.78B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

BlackRock is a global asset management and investment advisory company managing $14.0 trillion in assets under management as of December 31, 2025. The company provides investment management, risk management, and technology solutions to institutional clients (including pension funds, central banks, and sovereign wealth funds), taxable institutions (insurance companies and corporations), and retail investors through intermediaries. BlackRock serves more than 100 countries through approximately 24,900 employees.

How it makes money

BlackRock generates revenue primarily through management and advisory fees charged as a percentage of assets under management (AUM), typically ranging from 5 to 25 basis points on passive products and 50 basis points or higher on active strategies. Alternatives generate substantially higher fees (10-20 times higher than passive index products). The company also earns revenue from performance-based fees, technology services (including Aladdin and eFront platforms), distribution services, and administration fees. In 2025, total revenue reached $24.2 billion, up 19% from $20.4 billion in 2024.

Revenue by segment

Investment Advisory and Administration Servicesshare not disclosed

The largest revenue generator, comprising advisory fees and administration services across equity strategies (both active and ETFs), fixed-income products (active and ETFs), multi-asset portfolios, alternatives (private markets, private credit, real estate, liquid alternatives), non-ETF index products, digital assets, commodities, and cash management solutions. This segment includes both institutional and retail distribution channels.

Technology Servicesshare not disclosed

Subscription and licensing revenue from Aladdin (an integrated risk, analytics, and portfolio management platform used by asset managers, banks, and financial institutions) and eFront (a private markets platform). This segment generated $2.0 billion in revenue in 2025, representing a 24% increase year-over-year driven by new client onboarding and the Preqin acquisition.

Competitive moat

Scale · Wide

BlackRock benefits from multiple durable competitive advantages. Scale is fundamental: with $14.0 trillion in AUM, the largest asset manager globally, BlackRock achieves significant operating leverage and brand recognition that smaller competitors cannot match. The Aladdin platform creates powerful switching costs—it is embedded in client workflows across risk management, portfolio construction, and reporting functions, making it difficult for clients to migrate to alternatives. The iShares ETF platform provides distribution advantages and shelf presence that drives asset flows. Network effects emerge from Aladdin's ecosystem: more users increase the platform's value and data richness. These advantages are not easily replicated; they compound with scale and client stickiness.

What drives demand

Cyclical

BlackRock's revenue is cyclical and closely tied to equity market performance and client confidence. In favorable market environments (like 2025, when the S&P 500 rose 16.4%), rising asset values directly increase AUM and management fee revenue. Strong market performance also triggers higher net inflows from clients seeking to deploy capital. Conversely, in downturns or bear markets, AUM contracts, client risk aversion rises, and withdrawals accelerate. The company's $698 billion in net inflows during 2025 combined with $1.5 trillion in market gains demonstrates this cycle. Demand for passive index strategies remains relatively stable, but alternatives and active products show greater sensitivity to market conditions and investor sentiment. Secular trends favoring passive investing and ETFs provide some downside protection, but overall revenue remains firmly pro-cyclical.

Key risks

  • Asset Performance Risk — Poor investment performance relative to benchmarks or competitors may cause clients to withdraw assets, shift to lower-fee index products, or refuse to allocate new funds. This directly impacts AUM and revenue. BlackRock's ability to generate outperformance in active strategies, which carry higher fees, is critical to maintaining premium pricing and preventing margin compression.
  • Market Sensitivity and AUM Dependence — Revenue is highly dependent on total AUM, which fluctuates with equity market valuations and client flows. A significant market downturn, similar to 2022 or the 2008 financial crisis, would reduce AUM substantially and diminish management fee revenue. BlackRock reported record results in 2025 when the S&P 500 rose 16.4%; adverse market conditions would reverse this performance.
  • Fee Compression — Continued shift of client assets toward passive index strategies and ETFs, which carry lower fee rates than active management, pressures average fee rates across the firm. Competitive pressures and client demand for lower fees compound this risk. While alternatives generate higher fees and help offset compression, the secular trend toward passive investing persists.
  • Cybersecurity and Operational Risk — A cyber-attack or failure in information security policies could disrupt operations, cause financial losses, and trigger reputational damage that reduces AUM and revenue. BlackRock holds and processes sensitive client data and manages trillions of dollars in assets; a material breach would have severe consequences for client trust and regulatory standing.
  • Regulatory and Political Risks — Potential designation as a Systemically Important Financial Institution (SIFI) could subject BlackRock to enhanced regulatory oversight, higher capital requirements, and restrictions on activities. Antitrust scrutiny is intensifying globally; potential antitrust actions could force divestitures or operational restrictions. New SEC rules on reporting and disclosure, plus evolving international regulations (such as the EU's Digital Operational Resilience Act), increase compliance costs. ESG policy criticism creates reputational risk and may prompt client withdrawals.
  • Client Concentration Risk — While BlackRock serves a diverse client base, large institutional redemptions can materially impact AUM and revenue. The filing discloses a $52 billion redemption by an Asian fixed-income client in 2025, demonstrating vulnerability to withdrawal by single large clients. Loss of additional large mandates would accelerate AUM decline and fee revenue impact.

Customer concentration

BlackRock serves a diverse global client base spanning tax-exempt institutions (pension funds, charities, foundations, endowments), official institutions (central banks, sovereign wealth funds, supranationals and governments), taxable institutions (insurance companies, financial institutions, corporations), and retail investors through intermediaries. No single customer represents a disclosed percentage of revenue. However, concentration risk is evident: the filing discloses a $52 billion redemption by a single Asian fixed-income institutional client during 2025, representing approximately 0.4% of total AUM and demonstrating that large clients can materially impact flows. Institutional mandates remain critical to BlackRock's business, but the diversity of the client base—spanning 100+ countries and multiple asset classes—suggests no extreme concentration in the top few clients.

The case for

Buyers argue that BlackRock is the world's largest asset manager with an unmatched scale advantage, commanding $14.0 trillion in AUM and generating $24.2 billion in annual revenue. The company demonstrated resilience and growth in 2025 with record net inflows of $698 billion and 19% revenue growth despite competitive pressures. BlackRock's technology moat—particularly Aladdin, which is embedded in client workflows across risk management and portfolio construction—creates high switching costs and differentiation that competitors struggle to replicate. The shift toward passive investing (ETFs and index strategies) favors BlackRock's iShares platform, which captures disproportionate flows. Alternatives represent a high-growth, high-margin opportunity, expanding from $288 billion to $424 billion in AUM during 2025 and driving both revenue growth and improved fee yields. BlackRock maintains a fortress balance sheet, generates substantial free cash flow, and has consistently raised its dividend for 16+ consecutive years (most recently a 10% increase in January 2026), supporting long-term shareholder returns. Management execution on product innovation, M&A integration (including Preqin), and Aladdin monetization is strong, positioning the company for continued profitable growth.

The case against

Sellers fear that BlackRock faces significant structural headwinds that threaten earnings growth and valuation. The secular shift toward passive investing and price competition is compressing fee rates industry-wide; while alternatives offer higher fees, they represent only 3% of AUM. Rising competition from lower-cost passive providers and ETF competitors erodes BlackRock's pricing power despite its scale. A market correction or recession would sharply reduce AUM and client flows; the 2025 results were inflated by a 16.4% S&P 500 rally and $1.5 trillion in market gains. Large institutional redemptions (like the $52 billion Asian client withdrawal) signal vulnerability to key client losses. Regulatory risks are escalating: potential SIFI designation, antitrust scrutiny, ESG-related criticism, and new compliance burdens could restrict growth and raise costs. The proliferation of leveraged ETFs and BlackRock's exposure to private credit bubbles create systemic risks that could damage the firm during a credit crisis. Valuation concerns persist despite earnings growth; BlackRock trades at approximately 20x trailing earnings and 17.5x forward earnings, limiting upside in a flat-to-declining earnings environment. The company's declining net income relative to revenue growth suggests margin compression or operating challenges ahead.

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 21, 2026, shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users

P/E: 14.8Score: 75Market cap: $46.41B

Its SPDR range is the third force in US ETFs with roughly 13% of assets and competes with iShares for the same index exposures and the same institutional mandates.

P/E: 21.1Score: 62Market cap: $16.10B

A listed global manager selling active fixed income, equity and, increasingly, alternative strategies to the same institutional and wealth clients BlackRock serves.

The Vanguard Group, Inc.Not tracked

Vanguard is BlackRock's closest rival for the same low-cost index fund and ETF money, holding about 28.7% of US ETF assets against iShares' 28.8%.

Fidelity Investments (FMR LLC)Not tracked

A privately held manager with several trillion dollars under management that competes for the same US retirement and retail savings flows, in both funds and ETFs.

Invesco Ltd.IVZ

A listed manager whose ETF franchise, led by the QQQ and a growing low-cost range, takes on iShares directly for the same index and thematic products.

Amundi SAAMUN

Europe's largest asset manager, it competes with BlackRock for European institutional mandates and for the same UCITS ETF and index-fund investors.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$27.30B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$6.58B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$3.55B

Total Equity

$55.89B

Total Liabilities

$108.46B

Current Ratio

2.13

Interest Coverage

16.37

Debt/EBITDA

1.83

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseOvervalued

Fair Value

$784.17

Current Price

$1118.25

Margin of Safety

-42.6%

Fair Value Range

$509.71 - $1058.63

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$1351.00
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$310.08
Earnings multiple (P/E):$753.12
Graham growth formula:$453.75
Earnings power value (EPV):$362.71
Justified P/B:$333.52
Dividend discount (Gordon):$271.64
P/FFO, funds from operations:$689.46
Mid-cycle earnings:Not enough data to compute it
Revenue multiple:$452.46
Last Earnings Surprise:+11.60%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

26.80

ROE

9.9%

P/B Ratio

3.01

P/FCF

49.31

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

-

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-

WACC

11.6%

ROIC − WACC

-

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (12)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 10.93%
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Operating margin 32.6%
  • Positive free cash flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on tangible assets
  • ROE 11.7%
  • Revenue growth 5Y 8.4%
  • Earnings surprise, average 8.8%

Failed (11)

  • EPS CAGR 1.30%
  • P/FCF 49.31
  • P/B ratio 3.01
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • PEG ratio 16.38
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 0.60
  • Share dilution 3.7%
  • Net margin trend 24.1% vs 29.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

Unavailable (4)

  • ROIC –
  • Gross margin –
  • Dividend payout –
  • Current ratio

Piotroski F-Score

3/9

Serious financial concerns

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

0.60

Moderate: some gap between profits and cash

Share Dilution

3.7%

Issuing new shares, diluting ownership

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Laurence Douglas FinkFounder, CEO & Chairman73
Mr. Robert Steven KapitoPresident & Member of Board of Directors69
Mr. Martin S. SmallSenior MD, CFO & Global Head of Corporate Strategy49
Mr. Robert Lawrence GoldsteinSenior MD & COO51
Mr. J. Richard KushelSenior MD & Head of the Portfolio Management Group-
Mr. Adebayo O. Ogunlesi J.D.Chairman & CEO Global Infrastructure Partners, Senior MD & Member of Board of Director71
Dr. Bennett W. Golub Ph.D.Co-Founder67
Mr. Mark R. McKennaFounder, MD, Global Head of Event Driven Equity Strategies & Portfolio Manager-
Mr. Raj RaoPresident, COO of Global Infrastructure Partners, Founding Partner & Senior MD-
Mr. Scot FrenchFounding Partner, Senior MD & Co-President of HPS55

Audit Risk

3

Board Risk

6

Compensation Risk

10

Shareholder Rights Risk

1

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-25

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-06

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-10-14

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much BLK moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityMedium

More volatile than 25% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
23.3%
Volatility 90d
26.6%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
1.20Correlation 0.56
Max drawdown (12m)
-20.7%
ATR (14d, % of price)
2.38%

Earnings reactions

How BLK moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

Jan 14, 2027 · In 82 days · Before the open

EPS estimate: 15.47Revenue estimate: $7.9B

What usually happens

  • Over the last 9 releases the stock moved a median of 3.6% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 8, down 1 (out of 9).
  • Of the 5 releases that beat estimates, the stock fell the next day after 0.

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Oct 14, 2026Before the open14.3015.93+11.4% +2.1% +0.7% +5.9%
Jul 15, 2026During the session12.7213.91+9.4% +7.3% +6.6% +1.2%
Apr 14, 2026During the session11.6512.53+7.5% +2.6% +3.0% +2.4%
Jan 15, 2026During the session12.3313.16+6.7% +3.4% +5.9% +4.4%
Oct 14, 2025During the session11.3611.55+1.7% -1.3% +3.4% +0.4%
Jul 15, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a-3.7% -5.9% -1.7%
Apr 11, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a-1.2% +2.3% +2.0%
Jan 15, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a+5.9% +5.2% +4.5%
Oct 11, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a+0.8% +3.6% +4.9%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on BLK and what the price did next.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for BLK.

  • 2d agoNEUTRAL
    BlackRock's Angara on ETF Product Pipeline

    Aarti Angara, BlackRock's APAC Head of Global Product Solutions, shared insights from a recent ETF investor survey and discussed the company's ETF product pipeline on Bloomberg's 'ETF IQ Asia'. While specific product launches or survey results impacting immediate market sentiment were not detailed, the discussion highlights BlackRock's ongoing strategic focus on expanding its ETF offerings and understanding investor needs in the Asian market. This indicates a continued commitment to innovation and growth within the ETF sector, a key area for the asset management giant.

  • 3d agoNEUTRAL
    BlackRock's Senra on Investment Shifts, Wealth Transfer

    Armando Senra, Head of BlackRock's Americas Institutional Business, noted that family offices perceive geopolitical tensions primarily as short-term market influences, not drivers for significant long-term portfolio shifts. Institutional clients continue to favor expanding private market exposure through diversified strategies and leverage ETFs for both active and passive investment approaches. This indicates a sustained trend towards alternative assets and efficient investment vehicles, suggesting a stable, albeit evolving, investment landscape for major asset managers like BlackRock.

  • 10d agoPOSITIVE
    BlackRock now manages assets equal to half the size of the U.S. economy after 15% growth

    BlackRock announced its assets under management (AUM) have surged to nearly $15.5 trillion, marking a significant 15% growth. This milestone places the fund-management giant's AUM at approximately half the size of the U.S. economy. The substantial increase in managed assets reflects strong investor confidence and successful capital deployment strategies. For investors, this growth indicates BlackRock's continued market dominance and its potential to influence broader market trends through its investment activities.

  • 10d agoPOSITIVE
    Azioni BlackRock salgono: utili Q3 sopra le stime, afflussi per $205 mld

    BlackRock Inc. (BLK) shares surged in pre-market trading following the release of its third-quarter financial results. The world's largest asset manager surpassed Wall Street's expectations for both earnings and revenue, driven by substantial investment inflows and increased asset valuations. The company reported total net inflows of $205 billion for the quarter, pushing its Assets Under Management (AUM) to $15.49 trillion, a significant increase from $13.46 trillion in the prior year. Adjusted earnings per share saw a 38% year-over-year jump to $15.93, while revenues climbed 19% to $7.75 billion. This strong performance led to a 3% pre-market gain for BlackRock shares.

  • 19d agoNEUTRAL
    BlackRock: Higher Yields Not Necessarily Bad for Markets (Video)

    BlackRock's global chief investment strategist suggests that higher yields may not be inherently detrimental to market performance. The firm's analysis indicates that while rising rates can create short-term volatility, they can also signal a healthier economy and potentially lead to more sustainable long-term growth. This perspective challenges the conventional view that higher yields are always a negative catalyst for equities and bonds. Investors are advised to consider the underlying economic drivers behind yield movements rather than reacting solely to the rate increase itself.

  • 22d agoNEUTRAL
    Le azioni BlackRock sono scese in correzione: rimbalzeranno con gli utili in arrivo?

    BlackRock Inc. shares have experienced a nearly 10% decline from their August peak of $1,180, mirroring a broader trend in the private credit sector with peers like Blue Owl, Apollo Global, and Blackstone also seeing pullbacks. Despite this recent correction, the company's robust fundamentals, including over $15.3 trillion in assets under management, suggest potential for a rebound. BlackRock's sustained growth, which accelerated significantly after surpassing $10 trillion in AUM in 2021, partly through strategic acquisitions, positions it to potentially weather market volatility and recover. Investors are awaiting upcoming earnings reports for further directional cues.