CNA Financial Corp (CNA)
Fair ValueFundamental
88
Price
$48.40
Market Cap
$13.08B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
CNA Financial Corporation, headquartered in Chicago and tracing its roots to 1897, is one of the largest commercial property and casualty (P&C) insurers in the United States. It is roughly 92%-owned by Loews Corporation. CNA underwrites insurance for businesses and professionals of all sizes, plus legacy life and group coverages, through five reporting segments: Specialty, Commercial, International, Life & Group, and Corporate & Other. It operates in the U.S., Canada, the U.K. and Continental Europe with about 6,600 employees.
How it makes money
CNA earns most of its revenue from premiums: policyholders pay for coverage against property, liability, professional, surety, warranty or life/group risks, and CNA recognizes these payments as net earned premiums over the life of each policy. Because premiums are collected before claims are paid, CNA invests this 'float' in a large fixed-income-heavy portfolio, generating net investment income that is a major and growing share of total revenue. A smaller stream comes from fee income on its non-insurance warranty administration business (extended service contracts), reported within the Specialty segment. Products are distributed mainly through independent agents, brokers and managing general underwriters rather than a direct sales force.
Revenue by segment
Property and casualty insurance for small businesses, construction firms, and middle-market commercial customers across the United States.
Management and professional liability, surety, and warranty and alternative risks, sold to law firms, healthcare providers, financial institutions, architects/engineers and other professional and specialty clients; also includes CNA's non-insurance warranty (extended service contract) administration business.
Property and casualty coverage for businesses operating in Canada, the U.K. and Continental Europe, including business written through a Lloyd's of London syndicate.
Long-term care, and group and individual life and disability insurance, largely legacy blocks of business no longer actively marketed.
Corporate-level investment income and expenses, run-off lines such as asbestos and environmental pollution and excess workers' compensation, and other items not allocated to the operating segments.
Competitive moat
Patents and licences · NarrowCommercial P&C insurance is a competitive, largely commoditized business with low switching costs for standard coverage, so CNA holds no dominant market share. Its narrow edge comes from decades of underwriting data and expertise in specialty niches such as management/professional liability, surety and warranty, where claims-handling reputation and financial-strength ratings matter to brokers and obligees.
What drives demand
Moderately cyclicalDemand for commercial insurance tracks business formation, payrolls and construction activity, so it grows and shrinks with the broader economy, but premium pricing is driven at least as much by the industry's own hard-market/soft-market underwriting cycle. Catastrophe losses and reserve charges can swing CNA's results sharply in ways unrelated to the economic cycle.
Key risks
- Reserve adequacy, including long-term care — Actual claims experience — especially for long-tail lines like workers' compensation, professional liability and legacy long-term care policies — can diverge from actuarial assumptions, forcing reserve increases that reduce earnings.
- Catastrophe and climate-related losses — Hurricanes, wildfires, floods, cyber events and terrorism can generate large, volatile losses, and climate change may alter the frequency and severity of weather-related events in ways existing models do not fully capture.
- Cybersecurity and vendor breaches — A 2025 breach at a third-party vendor affected a substantial number of CNA employees and dependents; a failure of CNA's own or a vendor's data security could disrupt operations, cause losses and damage its reputation beyond what insurance covers.
- Investment portfolio risk — Interest-rate, credit, equity and liquidity risk across CNA's fixed income, equity, limited partnership and commercial mortgage holdings can produce realized or unrealized losses and volatile investment income.
- Competition — CNA competes in cyclical, price-sensitive commercial insurance markets against larger and smaller carriers, which can pressure premium rates and margins during soft phases of the underwriting cycle.
- Reliance on independent distribution — CNA sells mainly through independent agents, brokers and managing general underwriters who also place business with competitors; consolidation or a shift in their loyalties could hurt CNA's sales volume.
- Reinsurance dependence — CNA cedes risk to reinsurers to limit large losses; a reinsurer's failure to pay, or a rise in reinsurance cost or reduced availability, would increase CNA's net exposure.
- Control by a single stockholder — Loews Corporation owns approximately 92% of CNA's outstanding common stock, giving it effective control over corporate decisions and creating potential conflicts of interest with minority shareholders.
- Credit rating downgrade — A downgrade of CNA's financial-strength or credit ratings could raise its cost of capital and make its products less competitive, particularly in specialty and surety lines where counterparties rely on rating quality.
The case for
Buyers argue that CNA's underwriting discipline has produced consistently improving P&C profitability — a record underlying underwriting gain in 2025 — with the Commercial and Specialty segments growing premiums faster than loss costs, that the International segment has posted 22 straight quarters of underwriting gains, and that a large, growing investment portfolio should keep generating more investment income as maturing bonds are reinvested at today's higher yields.
The case against
Sellers fear that legacy long-term care reserves remain a source of potential future charges if claims experience worsens, that a turn to a softer pricing cycle in commercial lines — or a large catastrophe or cyber loss — could quickly erode underwriting profit, and that Loews Corporation's roughly 92% ownership limits the free float and the influence minority shareholders can have over the company.
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 28, 2026, shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users
Both underwrite standard and specialty commercial property and casualty coverage for US small and mid-sized businesses through the same independent agent and broker networks.
Travelers is the largest US commercial property and casualty writer and competes with CNA line by line, from workers' compensation and general liability to management and professional liability.
W. R. Berkley writes the same niche specialty and excess-and-surplus commercial risks that CNA targets, and CNA names it in its own peer group.
Through its Great American subsidiaries, American Financial Group sells specialty commercial coverage to comparable niche business segments and appears in CNA's stated peer group.
Chubb is the main rival in the specialty commercial lines that drive CNA's premium — professional liability, management liability, cyber and surety — for the same corporate and professional clients.
Liberty Mutual, though a policyholder-owned mutual, is one of the largest US commercial insurers and bids against CNA for the same mid-market and national accounts business.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$1.52B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$1.24B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$2.40B
Total Equity
$11.62B
Total Liabilities
$57.82B
Current Ratio
2.64
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
1.67
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$57.56
Current Price
$48.40
Margin of Safety
+15.9%
Fair Value Range
$49.15 - $65.97
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
10.64
ROE
11.0%
P/B Ratio
1.17
P/FCF
5.81
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
-
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
-
WACC
7.2%
ROIC − WACC
-
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (17)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 9.49%
- P/FCF 5.81
- P/B ratio 1.17
- Positive free cash flow
- CapEx intensity
- Debt/EBITDA
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Undervalued)
- ROE 11.0%
- Revenue growth 5Y 6.8%
- PEG ratio 0.81
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.89
- Share dilution 0.0%
- Net margin trend 81.2% vs 55.1%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
Failed (4)
- Price CAGR 1.30%
- Debt/equity ratio
- Return on tangible assets
- Earnings surprise, average -6.6%
Unavailable (6)
- ROIC –
- Gross margin –
- Dividend payout –
- Operating margin –
- Current ratio
- Interest coverage
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Douglas Merle Worman B.A. | President, CEO & Chairman | 57 |
| Mr. Scott Robert Lindquist CPA | Executive VP & CFO | 61 |
| Ms. Jane Elizabeth Possell | Executive VP and Chief Information, Analytics & Operations Officer | 52 |
| Mr. Daniel Paul Franzetti | Executive VP & Chief Administrative Officer | 58 |
| Ms. Amy Caroline Adams B.B.A., CPA, M.B.A. | Senior Vice President of Investments & Treasury | - |
| Ms. Amy Marie Smith | Chief Accounting Officer | 46 |
| Ms. Ralitza Todorova C.F.A. | Vice President of Investor Relations & Rating Agencies | - |
| Jeffrey John Neuenschwander | Senior Vice President & General Counsel | 57 |
| Ms. Elizabeth Ann Aguinaga B.A. | Executive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer | 47 |
| Mr. James Abraham | Senior Vice President of Property & Marine Operations | - |
Audit Risk
7
Board Risk
10
Compensation Risk
9
Shareholder Rights Risk
5
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-10
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-08-03
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-08-03
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much CNA moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 12% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 19.1%
- Volatility 90d
- 22.0%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- -0.14Correlation -0.08
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -18.9%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 1.89%
Earnings reactions
How CNA moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Nov 2, 2026 · In 9 days · Before the open
EPS estimate: 1.13
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 1.4% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 6, down 6 (out of 12).
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | Before the open | 1.09 | 1.19 | +9.6% | +3.8% | +2.1% | -0.9% |
| May 4, 2026 | Before the open | 1.26 | 0.83 | -34.3% | -0.2% | -8.0% | -9.4% |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Before the open | 1.35 | 1.16 | -14.3% | +0.2% | -1.4% | -2.3% |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Before the open | 1.33 | 1.50 | +12.5% | +1.6% | -1.1% | +1.5% |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +0.5% | +4.0% | +7.1% |
| May 5, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.2% | -0.6% | +0.1% |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +1.0% | +1.2% | -0.7% |
| Nov 4, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.1% | -1.5% | +3.8% |
| Jul 29, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +3.1% | +1.5% | +0.8% |
| May 6, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -3.3% | +0.3% | +1.2% |
| Feb 5, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +5.6% | +7.2% | +6.0% |
| Oct 30, 2023 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +2.9% | -0.8% | +1.3% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on CNA and what the price did next.
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for CNA.