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The Campbell's Company (CPB)

NEUTRAL
Consumer DefensivePackaged FoodsUnited States

Fundamental

64

Price

$23.66

Market Cap

-

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

The Campbell's Company makes and sells packaged food sold mainly through US grocery, club and convenience stores: canned soups, broths, pasta sauces, snacks and beverages under brands like Campbell's, Prego, V8, Pace, Rao's, Goldfish and Pepperidge Farm. It owns its brands and much of its manufacturing, and grows mainly by acquiring established food brands — most recently the premium pasta-sauce maker Rao's — rather than by building entirely new ones from scratch.

How it makes money

Revenue comes from selling packaged products to retailers, who resell them to consumers; Campbell's negotiates shelf space, promotional pricing and volume terms directly with a small number of very large grocery chains. Profitability depends on keeping input costs (grain, protein, packaging, energy) below the price increases it can push through to retailers, and on shifting the product mix toward higher-margin, faster-growing brands like Rao's rather than legacy soup, which has been losing volume for years.

Revenue by segment

Meals & Beverages59%

Soups, broths, pasta sauces, beverages like V8 and prepared meals; the larger and, after the Rao's acquisition, faster-growing of the two divisions.

Snacks41%

Crackers, cookies and salty snacks including the Goldfish, Pepperidge Farm and Snyder's-Lance brands; the smaller division and the one under the most category pressure.

Competitive moat

Brand · Narrow

Decades of advertising and shelf presence have made Campbell's soup and several of its other brands household names that consumers reach for out of habit, which supports pricing and secures retailer shelf space. But the moat is narrow: private-label alternatives are a close substitute in the low-growth soup category, and several Campbell's brands have lost volume for years despite the name recognition.

What drives demand

Defensive

Packaged food is a staple category: people keep buying soup, crackers and pasta sauce in good times and bad, which makes revenue relatively insensitive to the broader economic cycle. The bigger swing factor is not the economy but shifting consumer taste away from processed food toward fresher or better-for-you alternatives, a slower-moving but persistent headwind.

Key risks

  • Retailer concentration and negotiating power — A handful of large retail chains, led by Walmart, control access to shelf space and can demand better terms or delist products, directly threatening volume and margin.
  • Shifting consumer preferences away from processed food — Consumers increasingly favor fresh, organic or minimally processed foods over shelf-stable canned and packaged products, a long-running trend that pressures volumes across much of the portfolio.
  • Input cost volatility — Prices for wheat, tomatoes, proteins, packaging materials and transportation fluctuate, and Campbell's cannot always pass cost increases through to retailers quickly enough to protect margins.
  • Integration risk from recent acquisitions — A large part of recent growth depends on successfully integrating the Sovos Brands acquisition and scaling Rao's, and any stumble in that integration or a slowdown in Rao's growth would remove the company's main growth engine.

Customer concentration

Top customers account for 47% of revenue

Walmart alone accounts for approximately 22% of net sales, and the five largest customers together for about 47%, so shelf-space and pricing decisions at a handful of retail chains have an outsized effect on results.

The case for

Buyers argue that Rao's and other recent acquisitions are proof Campbell's can keep finding and scaling premium brands even as legacy soup volumes decline, that the Meals & Beverages division's growth shows the strategy is working, and that a staple, recession-resistant product mix supports a defensive dividend.

The case against

Sellers fear that legacy soup and snack brands will keep losing volume to private label and fresher alternatives faster than newer brands like Rao's can offset it, that heavy reliance on Walmart and a handful of retailers caps pricing power, and that debt taken on for recent acquisitions limits flexibility.

Segment figures from fiscal year 2025Sources: Campbell's Reports Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 Results

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$9.93B

Trailing 12 months (through 5/3/2026)

Net Income

$608M

Trailing 12 months (through 5/3/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$705M

Total Equity

$3.90B

Total Liabilities

$10.99B

Current Ratio

0.87

Interest Coverage

3.37

Debt/EBITDA

4.70

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Undervalued

Fair Value

$31.68

Current Price

$23.66

Margin of Safety

+25.3%

Fair Value Range

$20.59 - $42.76

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$21.88
DCF:$69.80
PE-based:$23.53
Graham Growth:$15.26
EPV:$36.89
Analyst Consensus:Hold (1B / 15H / 12S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+3.46%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

11.90

ROE

15.4%

P/B Ratio

1.79

P/FCF

10.74

Gross Margin

28.8%

ROIC

7.2%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

7.2%

WACC

5.8%

ROIC − WACC

+1.4 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (17)

  • ROIC 7.2%
  • P/FCF 10.74
  • P/B Ratio 1.79
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 11.3%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 15.3%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.81
  • Share Dilution -0.2%
  • Net Margin Trend 6.1% vs 4.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

Failed (9)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR -2.39%
  • Price CAGR -8.85%
  • Gross Margin 28.8%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 3.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 4% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 1.5%

Unavailable (2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

8/9

Strong financial health

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.81

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-0.2%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Mick J. BeekhuizenCEO, President & Director49
Mr. Charles A. Brawley IIIExecutive VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary60
Ms. Diane Johnson MayExecutive VP & Chief People and Culture Officer67
Mr. Daniel L. PolandAdvisor62
Mr. Todd E. CunferExecutive VP & Chief Financial Officer60
Ms. Kelly L. PalumboSenior VP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer-
Mr. Joshua LevineChief Investor Relations Officer-
Ms. Beth JollySenior VP & Chief Communications Officer-
Ms. Janda LukinExecutive VP & Chief Growth Officer-
Ms. Risa CretellaExecutive VP and President of Meals & Beverages45

Audit Risk

3

Board Risk

1

Compensation Risk

1

Shareholder Rights Risk

3

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for CPB, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 6/9/2026POSITIVE
    Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts Spotlight On 3 Risk Off Stocks Delivering High-Dividend Yields

    In a volatile market, investors are increasingly seeking refuge in high-dividend yield stocks. Analysts have identified Campbell Soup Company (CPB), General Mills Inc. (GIS), and Kraft Heinz Co. (KHC) as top picks offering attractive dividend payouts. These companies are favored for their perceived stability and consistent returns, providing a potential hedge against market downturns. For investors, these selections suggest a defensive strategy, prioritizing income generation and capital preservation over aggressive growth in the current economic climate.

  • 6/8/2026POSITIVE
    Campbell's Earnings Beat; Eli Lilly Obesity Drug Results | Stock Movers

    Campbell Soup Company (CPB) shares saw a modest increase pre-market after reporting third-quarter adjusted earnings per share that surpassed analyst expectations. While the exact figures were not detailed, this beat suggests operational efficiency and demand resilience for its products. The company's stock movement indicates positive investor sentiment following the earnings release. This news, coupled with potential inclusion in the S&P 500, signals a favorable outlook for the canned soup maker, potentially attracting further investment interest.

  • 6/8/2026NEUTRAL
    Full Transcript: Campbell's Q3 2026 Earnings Call

    Campbell Soup Company (CPB) held its Q3 2026 Earnings Call on June 8, 2026. While the transcript is available, the provided snippet does not contain specific financial results, forward-looking statements, or market-moving information. Therefore, it is not possible to ascertain the financial performance or outlook for Campbell Soup Company based solely on this title and date. Investors would need to review the full earnings call transcript and accompanying financial reports for detailed insights into sales, earnings, margins, and strategic initiatives that could impact the stock.

  • 3/17/2026NEGATIVE
    Contrarian Take: This 6.9%-Yielding Dividend Stock Is a Buy at a 23-Year Low

    Campbell Soup Company's stock is experiencing a significant downturn following its latest earnings report, which failed to meet investor expectations. The company's shares have fallen to a 23-year low, despite offering a substantial dividend yield of 6.9%. This price action suggests a deep-seated concern among market participants regarding the company's future growth prospects or operational efficiency, overshadowing the attractive dividend payout for now. Investors are likely reassessing the stock's value proposition in light of these recent performance issues.

  • 3/15/2026POSITIVE
    Campbell's Is Dangerously Close to Getting Kicked Out of the S&P 500. Here's Why the High-Yield Dividend Stock Is a Buy Anyway.

    Campbell Soup Company (CPB) is trading at a significant discount, presenting an attractive valuation for investors. Despite potential exclusion from the S&P 500, the company boasts one of the highest dividend yields within the index. This high yield, coupled with its 'dirt cheap' valuation, suggests a compelling opportunity for income-focused investors. The news implies that the market may be overreacting to the S&P 500 index inclusion risk, overlooking the fundamental value and dividend payout of the stock.

  • 3/11/2026NEGATIVE
    Campbell’s stock heads toward a 23-year low, as it warns of more price cuts to recharge demand

    Campbell Soup Company's stock is approaching a 23-year low following a warning from its CEO about a more cautious outlook for the remainder of the year. The company indicated a need for further price reductions to stimulate consumer demand, suggesting ongoing challenges in maintaining sales volume and market share. This cautious sentiment and the necessity for aggressive pricing strategies signal potential headwinds for future revenue and profitability. Investors are likely reassessing the company's growth prospects amid these pressures.

  • 3/11/2026NEUTRAL
    Campbell (CPB) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

    Campbell Soup Company (CPB) is scheduled to hold its Q2 2026 Earnings Call on March 11, 2026. While the specific financial results are not detailed in this announcement, the upcoming earnings call indicates a regular reporting cycle. Investors will be looking for updates on sales performance, profit margins, and management's outlook for the remainder of the fiscal year. The market will closely analyze any forward-looking guidance provided during the call for potential impacts on the company's stock valuation.

via Markets Gazette