Corebridge Financial Inc (CRBG)
OvervaluedFundamental
50
Price
$34.13
Market Cap
$15.74B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Corebridge Financial is a leading provider of retirement solutions and insurance products through four operating segments: Individual Retirement (annuities and retirement income products), Group Retirement (recordkeeping, plan administration and advisory services), Life Insurance (term and universal life products), and Institutional Markets (pension risk transfer, structured settlements, and corporate-owned life insurance). The company manages over $400 billion in assets and serves millions of customers through approximately 170,000 financial professionals across its distribution network.
How it makes money
Corebridge's revenue comprises three primary sources: spread income (earnings from investing customer deposits in fixed-income securities and earning returns above the guaranteed rates), fee income (policy fees, advisory fees, and other service charges), and underwriting margins (earnings from mortality risk and expense management in insurance products). In 2024, these sources represented 53%, 28%, and 19% of core income respectively, providing a balanced, diversified revenue stream. Net investment income totaled $12.2 billion on the $400 billion asset base, yielding approximately a 3% spread.
Revenue by segment
Fixed annuities, fixed index annuities, registered index linked annuities (RILAs), and variable annuities marketed to individual investors seeking retirement income guarantees and death benefits. The segment generated $22.2 billion in total annuity sales in 2024.
Stable value wraps (SVW), pension risk transfer annuities (PRT), structured settlement annuities, guaranteed investment contracts (GICs), corporate-owned life insurance (COLI-BOLI), and private placement products sold to institutional investors managing pension obligations and employee benefits.
Term and universal life insurance products, including index universal life (IUL) and whole life insurance, sold through the company's distribution network to individuals seeking death benefit protection and wealth accumulation.
Recordkeeping, plan administration, compliance services, and financial advisory solutions provided to tax-exempt and public sector organizations, along with proprietary and non-proprietary annuities, advisory and brokerage products offered to plan participants.
Corporate overhead, eliminations, and other miscellaneous operating activities not directly attributable to the four primary business segments.
Competitive moat
Scale · NarrowCorebridge's scale advantage—$400 billion in assets under management and administration with over 170,000 financial professionals in its distribution network—enables competitive pricing while maintaining profitability through operational efficiencies and superior investment capabilities (enhanced by partnerships with Blackstone and BlackRock). However, the moat is narrowing due to industry-wide pressure toward low-fee passive products, digital disintermediation threatening traditional distribution channels, and increased competition from agile insurtech competitors that are gaining traction in direct-to-consumer channels where Corebridge's position is considerably weaker.
What drives demand
Moderately cyclicalDemand for Corebridge's products exhibits moderate cyclicality, driven by both defensive secular trends and cyclical market sensitivities. The aging Baby Boomer population creates strong secular tailwinds for retirement income guarantees and death benefits—this is a structural, non-cyclical growth driver. However, demand is moderately cyclical because higher interest rates increase the attractiveness of guaranteed income products (improving pricing power and sales), while equity market downturns can reduce consumer savings available for annuity purchases. Policyholder behavior, including surrender and lapse rates, is also sensitive to interest rate movements and market returns.
Key risks
- Interest Rate and Spread Compression Risk — Changes in interest rate levels significantly impact spreads between investment returns and guaranteed rates paid to customers. Rising interest rates can compress spreads as the company's hedging costs increase, while falling rates can pressure growth in variable investment income. The company must actively manage its asset-liability mismatch and re-pricing risks as rates fluctuate.
- Mortality and Longevity Risk — Significant changes in mortality rates—whether from natural or man-made disasters or gradual environmental changes—and longevity improvements directly impact the cost of providing guaranteed lifetime income streams through annuities and death benefits through life insurance. If policyholders live longer than assumed or mortality rates deviate significantly from expectations, profitability and reserve adequacy could be materially affected.
- Equity and Credit Market Risk — Corebridge's balance sheet holds significant equity and fixed-income investments to meet policyholder obligations and generate investment income. Declines in equity markets directly impact the fair value of embedded derivatives and market risk benefits in variable annuity contracts, potentially creating large unrealized losses. Credit spread widening increases credit risk and reduces the value of bond holdings.
- Policyholder Behavior and Lapse Risk — Actual policyholder behavior—including surrender rates, lapses, and withdrawal patterns—may deviate significantly from actuarial assumptions. Higher-than-expected surrenders or lapses reduce fee income and can force unfavorable liquidations of investments. Conversely, lower-than-expected surrenders increase duration risk and reinvestment risk exposure.
- Distribution Channel Dependency — The company relies heavily on relationships with approximately 170,000 financial professionals for distribution. Loss of key distribution partners, channel consolidation, or shifts in advisor compensation models could significantly reduce sales and market access. Traditional broker-dealer networks also face competitive pressure from direct-to-consumer digital platforms.
The case for
Buyers argue that Corebridge benefits from powerful secular tailwinds: an aging population driving record demand for retirement income guarantees and death benefits, with U.S. annuity sales exceeding $100 billion in recent quarters. The company's market leadership position, $400 billion+ asset base, and diversified revenue model (53% spread, 28% fees, 19% underwriting margin) provide resilience across rate environments. With a return on adjusted book value of 10%, trading at 8x earnings and 0.88x book value, the stock appears undervalued relative to normalized long-term earnings power. A $2 billion ongoing buyback program and expected EPS growth of 10-15% long-term offer attractive capital returns. Strategic partnerships with Blackstone and BlackRock enhance investment capabilities, while the company is successfully transitioning toward capital-light, fee-based products that support more stable earnings. Analysts project accelerating normalized EPS growth of 16% in 2026 and 19% in 2027.
The case against
Sellers fear that Corebridge faces structural headwinds threatening long-term profitability. Interest rate sensitivity represents an acute risk: recent decline in Q1 2025 operating income (down 10% due to short-term interest rate changes) and higher hedging costs demonstrate spread compression vulnerability. Premiums and deposits declined 12% year-over-year in Q1 2025, signaling weakening customer demand despite supposedly favorable demographics. The company faces existential competition from digital platforms and insurtech disruptors that are winning customers in direct-to-consumer channels where Corebridge's traditional broker-dealer network is irrelevant. The $51 billion variable annuity book carries persistent embedded volatility and hedging complexity that creates surprise losses. Distribution channel concentration risks loom as advisor consolidation continues. Recent insider selling (CIO sold $524,000 of stock) and the company's historical association with AIG create reputational headwinds. At 7.1x forward P/E, valuations offer limited upside cushion if earnings growth disappoints or spreads compress further. The Equitable merger integration remains an ongoing operational risk.
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 21, 2026, shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users
Equitable overlaps with Corebridge on both fronts, selling index-linked and variable annuities to retail savers and running 403(b) plans for schools and non-profits, until the merger the two agreed in March 2026 closes.
Brighthouse is one of the top three sellers of registered index-linked annuities and competes head-on with Corebridge on annuity and individual life products distributed through independent networks.
Athene is the largest seller of fixed and index annuities in the United States and fights Corebridge for the same retail savers through the same bank and broker-dealer distribution shelves.
Jackson is the leading seller of variable annuities and competes for the same pre-retiree clients placed through independent financial advisors and broker-dealers.
Lincoln sells annuities, individual life insurance and workplace retirement plans to the same American households and tax-exempt employers Corebridge serves.
Voya competes with Corebridge's Group Retirement arm for 403(b) and 457 plan mandates from public schools, universities, hospitals and government employers.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$20.06B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$907M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
-
Total Equity
$13.20B
Total Liabilities
$399.59B
Current Ratio
-
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
0.46
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$26.36
Current Price
$34.13
Margin of Safety
-29.5%
Fair Value Range
$17.13 - $35.59
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
21.88
ROE
-2.8%
P/B Ratio
1.43
P/FCF
-
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
-
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
-
WACC
10.4%
ROIC − WACC
-
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (8)
- Price CAGR 14.06%
- P/B ratio 1.43
- Debt/EBITDA
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 7.5%
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 2.04
- Share dilution -10.2%
- Net margin trend 4.5% vs -2.2%
Failed (8)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Debt/equity ratio
- Return on tangible assets
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Unknown)
- Revenue growth 5Y 4.9%
- Earnings surprise, average -1.5%
- Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Unavailable (10)
- ROIC –
- Gross margin –
- P/FCF –
- Dividend payout –
- Operating margin –
- Positive free cash flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current ratio
- Interest coverage
- PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Marc M. Costantini | President, CEO & Director | 56 |
| Ms. Lisa Michele Longino | Executive VP & Chief Investment Officer | 58 |
| Ms. Polly Nyquist Klane J.D. | Executive VP, General Counsel & Chief Legal Officer | 55 |
| Mr. Jonathan Joseph Novak | EVP, President of Institutional Markets and Head of Balance Sheet Risk Mgmt. & Reinsurance | 53 |
| Mr. Christopher Peter Filiaggi | Interim CFO & Chief Accounting Officer | 43 |
| Mr. Christopher Brian Smith | Executive VP & COO | 56 |
| Mr. David Ditillo | Chief Information Officer & Executive VP | 49 |
| Ms. Isil Muderrisoglu | Head of Investor & Rating Agency Relations | - |
| Ms. Elizabeth Palmer | Chief Marketing & Communications Officer and Executive VP | 61 |
| Ms. Elizabeth Bridget Cropper | Executive VP & Chief Human Resource Officer | 58 |
Audit Risk
3
Board Risk
1
Compensation Risk
2
Shareholder Rights Risk
1
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-11
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-08-05
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-09-17
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much CRBG moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 31% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 25.0%
- Volatility 90d
- 28.8%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- 1.28Correlation 0.48
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -31.5%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 2.94%
Earnings reactions
How CRBG moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Nov 2, 2026 · In 9 days · Time not known
EPS estimate: 1.24Revenue estimate: $5.2B
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 2.3% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 7, down 5 (out of 12).
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | After the close | 1.11 | 1.12 | +0.6% | -0.3% | +6.3% | +5.7% |
| May 4, 2026 | After the close | 1.06 | 1.05 | -0.7% | +0.4% | +5.1% | -2.7% |
| Feb 9, 2026 | After the close | 1.13 | 1.22 | +7.8% | -1.9% | +0.8% | -0.9% |
| Nov 3, 2025 | After the close | 1.11 | 0.96 | -13.8% | +0.2% | +1.0% | -2.6% |
| Aug 4, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +1.9% | -1.4% | -4.2% |
| May 5, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.6% | +2.4% | +6.5% |
| Feb 12, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -5.1% | -2.3% | +2.2% |
| Nov 4, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +1.4% | -4.9% | -1.8% |
| Jul 31, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.5% | -6.2% | -15.3% |
| May 3, 2024 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | +1.8% | +2.0% | +7.6% |
| Feb 15, 2024 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | +1.0% | +1.9% | +2.7% |
| Nov 3, 2023 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.2% | -2.9% | -8.0% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on CRBG and what the price did next.
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for CRBG.