Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR)
Fair ValueFundamental
44
Price
$28.80
Market Cap
$5.89B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Caesars Entertainment operates a geographically diversified portfolio of 53 gaming and hospitality properties across 18 U.S. states, generating revenue from casino gaming operations (including retail and online sports betting), hotel accommodations with approximately 45,600 rooms and suites, food and beverage services, and management services at branded properties. The company leverages its Caesars Rewards loyalty program, which has over 65 million members, to drive cross-market customer engagement across its properties and digital platforms.
How it makes money
The company generates revenue through casino gaming operations (56% of total revenues), which include slot machines, table games, and both retail and online sports betting and iGaming. Hotel operations contribute 18% of revenues, food and beverage services account for 15%, with the remainder coming from management fees and other services at third-party branded properties. The Caesars Rewards loyalty program serves as a cornerstone of the business model, enabling customers to accumulate and redeem points across gaming, dining, hotel stays, and entertainment across all properties.
Revenue by segment
Casino and hospitality properties located across multiple U.S. states outside Las Vegas, serving regional customer bases through gaming operations, hotel accommodations, and dining venues. This segment generates stable cash flow from local and drive-in gaming traffic.
Premium Strip properties and regional Las Vegas market operations, serving both destination tourists and local gaming customers. Includes high-end gaming, hotel, and entertainment amenities targeting premium players and leisure travelers.
Online sports betting, iGaming, and online racing operations across 32 North American jurisdictions. Operates the Caesars Sportsbook app on its proprietary Liberty platform, offering pre-match and live betting markets, and recently launched Horseshoe Online Casino app.
Third-party properties operated under Caesars management agreements and brand licenses, leveraging Caesars' operational expertise and brand portfolio to generate management fees and royalties.
Competitive moat
Patents and licences · NarrowCaesars Rewards loyalty program is the deepest in U.S. gaming, enabling cross-market customer engagement and high switching costs through accumulated points and tier status. The company owns a valuable brand portfolio including Caesars, Flamingo, Harrah's, Tropicana, and Horseshoe, and holds exclusive NFL sponsorship as the league's first-ever official casino sponsor. However, the moat is narrow because the gaming industry faces intense competition from tribal gaming expansions, regional casino openings, and online gaming alternatives. The loyalty program, while valuable, does not prevent customers from gaming at competitor properties.
What drives demand
CyclicalGaming and hospitality demand is highly cyclical, sensitive to economic downturns, consumer discretionary income, employment levels, and confidence. Las Vegas visitation fluctuates significantly based on the broader economic environment, international travel patterns, and special events. Regional properties show seasonality based on weather, holidays, and sporting events. Premium customer segments remain more resilient during downturns, but overall demand follows economic cycles closely.
Key risks
- Economic Sensitivity — Gaming and hospitality represent discretionary consumer spending vulnerable to economic downturns, inflation, rising interest rates, and reductions in consumer discretionary income. Las Vegas visitor traffic declined 7.5% in 2025, demonstrating the cyclical nature of demand.
- Competitive Pressures — The gaming industry is highly competitive with ongoing expansion of tribal gaming operations and development of new casino properties in existing markets. Regional operators invest aggressively in facility upgrades and entertainment offerings, and online gaming alternatives compete for consumer spending.
- Regulatory and Licensing Risk — Gaming operations require maintaining licenses and compliance with extensive regulation under laws, rules, and supervisory procedures across multiple jurisdictions. Changes in gaming taxes, fees, or regulatory requirements could increase compliance costs or restrict operations.
- Digital Platform Uncertainty — While online sports betting and iGaming show growth potential, the extent and future effects of online gambling on brick-and-mortar casino properties remain uncertain. Digital segment EBITDA growth has stalled, raising questions about profitability scaling.
- Leverage and Debt Management — Caesars carries significant debt from prior acquisitions and refinancings. Ability to reduce leverage depends on sustained operating performance and free cash flow generation. Rising interest rates increase debt servicing costs.
The case for
Buyers argue that Caesars is positioned for significant free cash flow inflection through 2025-2026 as capital expenditures normalize and the digital segment scales. The company owns valuable Strip real estate and benefits from minimal China exposure compared to Las Vegas competitors. With $3 billion in liquidity and leverage extending into the 2030s, management is positioned to accelerate deleveraging and return capital through buybacks, potentially driving 60-130% upside over 12-24 months. The digital business alone could represent a meaningful portion of market value at maturity.
The case against
Sellers fear that digital EBITDA growth has stalled, undermining the growth narrative that supported valuations. Operating risks in both digital and physical properties are amplified by the company's significant financial leverage, creating downside vulnerability during economic downturns. Las Vegas exposure presents concentrated earnings risk given the 7.5% decline in 2025 visitation. Despite trading at five-year lows, the stock may represent a value trap if management cannot demonstrate renewed digital profitability and free cash flow inflection, particularly if economic conditions deteriorate further.
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 21, 2026, shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users
PENN is the other coast-to-coast regional casino chain, overlapping with Caesars across the Midwest and the East, and its ESPN BET app competes with Caesars Sportsbook for the same online bettor.
Wynn competes directly for the high-end Las Vegas Strip customer — luxury rooms, convention groups and premium table play — the segment Caesars serves with Caesars Palace and The Cromwell.
DraftKings is the leading US online sportsbook and iGaming operator, taking the same online sports and casino wagers that Caesars Digital is built to win.
MGM is the other large-scale operator with adjacent Las Vegas Strip resorts, a broad regional casino footprint and a rival loyalty programme and online arm (BetMGM), so the two chase the same gambler at nearly every property and online.
Boyd runs mid-market regional casinos in many of the same states as Caesars — Louisiana, Indiana, Nevada and the Gulf Coast — competing for the same drive-to local gambler.
Privately held by the Seminole Tribe of Florida, Hard Rock competes head-on with Caesars in Atlantic City and in the regional markets, and is opening a Las Vegas Strip resort on the former Mirage site.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$11.65B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$-465M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$497M
Total Equity
$3.50B
Total Liabilities
$27.95B
Current Ratio
0.85
Interest Coverage
0.80
Debt/EBITDA
7.59
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$33.39
Current Price
$28.80
Margin of Safety
+13.7%
Fair Value Range
$31.02 - $35.76
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
-
ROE
-14.3%
P/B Ratio
1.74
P/FCF
9.62
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
5.0%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
5.0%
WACC
8.8%
ROIC − WACC
-3.9 pp
ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (9)
- Price CAGR 5.74%
- P/FCF 9.62
- P/B ratio 1.74
- Operating margin 15.9%
- Positive free cash flow
- Current ratio
- Revenue growth 5Y 25.9%
- Share dilution -3.7%
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9
Failed (12)
- EPS shows upward trend
- ROIC 5.0%
- Debt/equity ratio
- CapEx intensity
- Interest coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on tangible assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- ROE -13.2%
- Earnings surprise, average -549.6%
- Net margin trend -4.0% vs -1.7%
Unavailable (5)
- Gross margin –
- Dividend payout –
- Price below Graham Number
- PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income)
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
Low quality: investigate accounting
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Gary L. Carano | Executive Chairman of the Board | 73 |
| Mr. Thomas Robert Reeg CFA | CEO & Director | 53 |
| Mr. Anthony L. Carano | President & COO | 43 |
| Mr. Bret D. Yunker | Chief Financial Officer | 48 |
| Mr. Edmund L. Quatmann Jr. | Executive VP, Chief Legal Officer & Secretary | 54 |
| Mr. Brian Matthew Agnew | Senior Vice President of Finance, Treasury & Investor Relations | - |
| Mr. Jeffrey Hendricks | Compliance Officer | - |
| Mr. Josh Jones | Chief Marketing Officer | 41 |
| Mr. Barron B. Fuller | Senior Vice President Regional Operations - South | - |
| Mr. Eric Hession | President of Caesars Sports & Online | 51 |
Audit Risk
1
Board Risk
4
Compensation Risk
7
Shareholder Rights Risk
1
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-17
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-07-28
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-09-23
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much CZR moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 0% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 6.9%
- Volatility 90d
- 9.2%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- 0.55Correlation 0.16
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -28.4%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 0.66%
Earnings reactions
How CZR moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Oct 27, 2026 · In 3 days · After the close
EPS estimate: 0.08Revenue estimate: $3.0B
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 1.8% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 5, down 7 (out of 12).
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | After the close | 0.03 | -0.30 | -1070.9% | -0.4% | -0.6% | +0.6% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | After the close | -0.24 | -0.48 | -101.7% | +1.1% | +0.3% | +2.9% |
| Feb 17, 2026 | After the close | -0.17 | -1.23 | -639.2% | +6.2% | +13.0% | +7.3% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | After the close | -0.06 | -0.27 | -386.5% | -7.7% | -15.2% | -9.4% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.1% | -2.0% | -11.6% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +2.6% | -3.3% | -4.1% |
| Feb 25, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +2.6% | -0.9% | -11.9% |
| Oct 29, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -5.5% | -8.2% | -14.3% |
| Jul 30, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +7.9% | +8.3% | -6.3% |
| Apr 30, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -1.4% | +1.6% | +1.5% |
| Feb 20, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -5.0% | +1.4% | +0.7% |
| Oct 31, 2023 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +2.5% | -1.1% | +9.4% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on CZR and what the price did next.
- 5/29/2026PositiveHospitality billionaire Tilman Fertitta buys Caesars Entertainment for nearly $6 billion
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 5/28/2026PositiveTilman Fertitta’s Years-Long Pursuit of Caesars Is Paying Off
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 4/20/2026PositiveCaesars Extends Talks for $18 Billion Takeover by Golden Nugget Owner
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 3/6/2026PositiveKalshi Traders See 68% Chance Caesars Will Be Acquired This Year
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 3/6/2026NegativeCasino Giant With $11.5 Billion in Revenue Sees $16 Million Institutional Exit Amid Volatile Year
- +1 day
- +0.6%
- +3 days
- -1.6%
- 3/3/2026NegativeIs Caesars Entertainment Stock a Buy or Sell After Nut Tree Capital Dumped Its Entire Stake Worth $54 Million?
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 3/2/2026PositiveCaesars Stock Has Tanked 27%, but One Fund Just Built a $74 Million Position
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 2/27/2026PositiveCaesars Entertainment Stock Maintains Momentum: What's Next?
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for CZR.
- 7/7/2026NEUTRALJefferies Shops $5 Billion Debt for Icahn’s Possible Caesars Bid
Jefferies Financial Group is reportedly exploring the possibility of raising approximately $5 billion in debt financing to potentially back a rival bid for Caesars Entertainment, spearheaded by activist investor Carl Icahn. While the news indicates potential strategic maneuvering and a possible change in control for Caesars, it is currently speculative. The debt-raising effort is to gauge investor interest, not a confirmed bid. Investors will monitor further developments to assess the likelihood and impact of Icahn's involvement on Caesars' future operations and valuation.
- 5/29/2026POSITIVEHospitality billionaire Tilman Fertitta buys Caesars Entertainment for nearly $6 billion
Billionaire Tilman Fertitta has agreed to acquire Caesars Entertainment Inc. in a deal valued at approximately $6 billion. Fertitta, known for his extensive hospitality empire including Rainforest Cafe and Morton's, as well as ownership of the Houston Rockets, is expanding his gaming and entertainment footprint. This acquisition is expected to leverage Fertitta's operational expertise to potentially enhance Caesars' performance. Investors will be watching for integration strategies and any immediate operational improvements that could drive shareholder value in the combined entity.
- 5/28/2026POSITIVETilman Fertitta’s Years-Long Pursuit of Caesars Is Paying Off
Tilman Fertitta's firm has agreed to acquire Caesars Entertainment Inc. in an all-cash deal valued at $5.7 billion. This acquisition, which adds approximately 52 US casinos to Fertitta's existing entertainment empire, represents the culmination of a pursuit that began as early as 2018. Fertitta Entertainment Inc. will pay Caesars shareholders $31 per share. The deal is expected to significantly expand Fertitta's holdings in the gaming and hospitality sector, potentially leading to synergies and enhanced market presence. Investors in Caesars are set to receive a substantial premium for their shares.
- 4/20/2026POSITIVECaesars Extends Talks for $18 Billion Takeover by Golden Nugget Owner
Caesars Entertainment Inc. has extended exclusive talks for an $18 billion takeover by Tilman Fertitta, owner of Golden Nugget. This extension suggests progress in negotiations and a potential agreement on valuation or deal structure. The extended period allows for further due diligence and finalization of terms, which is generally viewed positively by the market as it signals a higher likelihood of the deal closing. Investors will be watching for further announcements regarding the definitive agreement and the final offer price.
- 3/6/2026POSITIVEKalshi Traders See 68% Chance Caesars Will Be Acquired This Year
Traders on the Kalshi exchange are pricing in a 68% probability that Caesars Entertainment Inc. will be acquired within the current year. This sentiment arises as the company is once again circulating as a rumored takeover target. For investors, this elevated probability suggests potential for a significant premium on current share prices should a deal materialize, making it a key development to monitor for potential upside.
- 3/6/2026NEGATIVECasino Giant With $11.5 Billion in Revenue Sees $16 Million Institutional Exit Amid Volatile Year
Caesars Entertainment, a casino giant with $11.5 billion in annual revenue, has seen a $16 million institutional exit. This outflow, occurring amidst a volatile year, raises questions about market confidence in the group's future. While the exit amount is relatively small compared to overall revenue, the signal is negative and could indicate underlying concerns about profitability, debt management, or growth prospects in the casino and gaming sector, especially in the post-pandemic environment and with increasing digital competition.
- 3/3/2026NEGATIVEIs Caesars Entertainment Stock a Buy or Sell After Nut Tree Capital Dumped Its Entire Stake Worth $54 Million?
Nut Tree Capital recently liquidated its entire stake in Caesars Entertainment, a move valued at $54 million that has raised questions among investors. The decision by an institutional fund of this magnitude to completely exit a position is often interpreted as a signal of caution or a bearish outlook on the company. Caesars Entertainment, known for its casinos, hotels, and digital gaming platforms across the U.S., is now under scrutiny. Analysts and investors will closely monitor how the market reacts to this significant divestment, which could indicate potential downward pressure on the stock price in the short term, reflecting a possible loss of confidence from key market players.
- 3/2/2026POSITIVECaesars Stock Has Tanked 27%, but One Fund Just Built a $74 Million Position
Markets Gazette reports a significant development concerning Caesars Entertainment. Despite the stock experiencing a 27% decline, an investment fund has recently established a $74 million position. This strategic move suggests that institutional investors perceive value in the casino, hotel, and digital gaming giant, which operates across the U.S. leisure market. The substantial purchase could indicate a belief that the stock is undervalued following its recent downturn, potentially signaling an attractive entry point for those seeking opportunities in the entertainment and gaming sector. Analysts may interpret this transaction as a vote of confidence in Caesars' future prospects, notwithstanding recent market challenges.
- 2/27/2026POSITIVECaesars Entertainment Stock Maintains Momentum: What's Next?
Caesars Entertainment shares continue their upward trajectory, fueled by escalating takeover speculation. The market is reacting positively to rumors of potential interest from Tilman Fertitta, a prominent industry entrepreneur, and early buyout discussions. This dynamic suggests investors are pricing in a significant premium, anticipating that a formal offer could materialize at a value higher than current trading levels. The interest from a strategic acquirer like Fertitta could not only unlock shareholder value but also lead to operational synergies and a restructuring that would strengthen Caesars' market position. Analysts are closely watching for further developments, with expectations that more details may emerge soon, further influencing the stock's trajectory.