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DENSO Corporation (DNZOF)

NEUTRAL
Consumer CyclicalAuto PartsJapan

Fundamental

66

Price

$1921.50

Market Cap

$4.87T

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

DENSO makes the components that go inside cars rather than complete vehicles: air-conditioning and thermal-management systems, engine and powertrain parts, electronics, electrification hardware like inverters and motors, and semiconductors. It is headquartered in Japan and supplies carmakers worldwide, with Toyota — also its largest shareholder — as its single biggest customer by a wide margin.

How it makes money

DENSO sells parts as an original-equipment supplier under contracts tied to specific vehicle models, so revenue tracks how many cars carmakers actually build and how much content DENSO wins on each one. Prices are negotiated per component and typically decline over a model's life under automakers' cost-reduction pressure, so DENSO depends on new wins and efficiency gains to protect margins.

What drives demand

Cyclical

DENSO's revenue follows global vehicle production, which rises and falls with consumer confidence, credit conditions and automakers' own inventory cycles. Because contracts are tied to specific models, a model's production cut or delay shows up directly in DENSO's results with little lag.

Key risks

  • Dependence on Toyota group sales — DENSO discloses that fluctuations in Toyota group sales could materially affect its performance, even though it states it negotiates terms with Toyota group companies on the same basis as with other customers.
  • Semiconductor and supply-chain fragility — Recent shortages of automotive semiconductors exposed how dependent DENSO's production is on a resilient global supply chain; a disruption at a chip or raw-material supplier can constrain output across several of its product lines at once.
  • Competition in electrification components — As electrification becomes central to vehicle powertrains, DENSO faces rivals such as LG Magna e-Powertrain and CATL in inverters and battery-related systems, an area where it does not hold the same long incumbency it has in traditional components.

Customer concentration

Top customers account for 48.6% of revenue

For the fiscal year ended March 2026, sales to the Toyota group accounted for 48.6% of DENSO's net sales, according to the company's own related-party disclosure. Toyota also holds roughly 22% of DENSO's voting rights.

The case for

Buyers argue that DENSO's decades-long relationships with Toyota and other carmakers give it a stable base of contracted volume, and that its shift toward electrification, safety and semiconductor content lets it grow revenue per vehicle even as overall car production stays flat.

The case against

Sellers fear that near-half dependence on a single customer group leaves DENSO exposed to Toyota's own production decisions, that new electrification rivals lack the cost-down pressure of legacy component businesses, and that a global auto downturn would hit DENSO with little room to diversify away from it.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$7.54T

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Net Income

$440.53B

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Free Cash Flow

$76.84B

Total Equity

$5.49T

Total Liabilities

$3.02T

Current Ratio

2.09

Interest Coverage

17.41

Debt/EBITDA

1.32

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Undervalued

Fair Value

$3874.49

Current Price

$1921.50

Margin of Safety

+50.4%

Fair Value Range

$2518.42 - $5230.56

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$2124.44
DCF:$7348.85
PE-based:$1739.66
Graham Growth:$8385.58
EPV:$1716.37
Analyst Consensus:Buy (12B / 12H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+10.07%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

11.86

ROE

8.1%

P/B Ratio

0.95

P/FCF

67.99

Gross Margin

15.5%

ROIC

6.5%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

6.5%

WACC

7.5%

ROIC − WACC

-1.1 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 16.15%
  • ROIC 6.5%
  • P/B Ratio 0.95
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 7.3%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 8.6%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 8.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 50% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 0.37
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.15
  • Net Margin Trend 5.9% vs 5.9%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Failed (7)

  • Price CAGR 4.71%
  • Gross Margin 15.5%
  • P/FCF 67.99
  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -12.0%
  • Share Dilution 36.9%

Unavailable (3)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.15

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

36.9%

Issuing new shares, diluting ownership

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Shinnosuke HayashiPresident, CEO & Director61
Mr. Yasushi MatsuiCRO, CCO, Chief Safety & Environment Officer & Representative Director61
Mr. Yasuhiko YamazakiEVP, Chief Strategy Officer, CHRO & Representative Director62
Mr. Seiji MaedaCFO & Head of Corporate Management Headquarters-
Tadashi AraiAccounting Manager-
Masanori SugiuraOperating Exec. Officer & Head of Corporate Legal, IP and Public Affairs Headquarters of Audit Dept.-
Yasuhisa SakuraiSenior Executive Officer, Head of Sales & Marketing Group of Corporate Strategy Headquarters-
Chitaka KambeSenior Executive Officers & Head of General Administration and Human Resources Headquarters-
Mr. Kenichiro ItoCEO of EU Area & Senior Executive Officer63
Mr. Jiro EbiharaSr Exec Off, Chief Monozukuri Officer & Head of Purchasing Group, Corp Strategy Headquarters61

Audit Risk

1

Board Risk

5

Compensation Risk

1

Shareholder Rights Risk

5

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for DNZOF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for DNZOF.