Eastern Bankshares, Inc. (EBC)
Fair ValueFundamental
62
Price
$22.40
Market Cap
$4.92B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Eastern Bankshares is a regional financial holding company and the largest independent bank headquartered in Boston. It operates through 109 branch offices located in eastern Massachusetts, southern and coastal New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Connecticut, serving consumers, small businesses, middle-market companies, commercial real estate clients, nonprofits, and municipalities. The company's asset base totaled $25.6 billion as of December 31, 2024.
How it makes money
Eastern Bankshares generates revenue primarily from net interest income earned on loans and securities, which accounted for $607.6 million in 2024. Non-interest income contributed $123.9 million, derived from trust and investment advisory fees ($46.1 million), service charges on deposit accounts ($32.0 million), debit card processing fees ($14.2 million), and other banking services. Total consolidated revenue was approximately $731.5 million in 2024.
Competitive moat
Switching costs · NarrowEastern Bankshares possesses a narrow moat based primarily on switching costs and local market presence. Its established position in eastern Massachusetts and southern New Hampshire creates customer relationships and community ties that carry switching costs, particularly for business and municipal customers who value customized service. The 2024 acquisition of Cambridge Bancorp enhanced wealth management capabilities and expanded the fee-based business. However, as a regional bank competing in a consolidating industry, it lacks significant cost advantages or network effects. Regulatory limitations on geographic expansion and pricing power from larger national competitors constrain the moat's strength.
What drives demand
Moderately cyclicalBanking services exhibit moderate cyclicality. Demand for commercial and residential lending correlates with economic growth, business investment cycles, real estate market activity, and employment levels. During economic expansions, businesses and consumers increase borrowing for expansion, acquisitions, and home purchases. During contractions, loan demand declines and credit quality deteriorates. However, deposit services and wealth management fees provide some stability independent of the credit cycle. The company's diversified customer base across consumer, small business, and institutional segments provides partial protection against sector-specific downturns.
Key risks
- Commercial Real Estate and Office Loan Exposure — As of December 31, 2024, commercial real estate loans represented 39.6% of total loans ($7.1 billion), with significant multifamily exposure ($2.5 billion). The company faces heightened risk from office sector deterioration, with $900 million in investor office exposure (5% of total loans). As of year-end, criticized and classified investor office loans increased to $178 million (20% of office loans), with reserves of $72 million (8% of exposure). Market challenges in the office sector due to remote work trends and higher interest rates could require additional loan loss reserves.
- Interest Rate Risk and Net Interest Margin Pressure — Net interest margin on a fully tax-equivalent basis was 3.05% in 2024, compared to 2.97% in Q3 2024. The company faces structural challenges from potential future interest rate declines, lower deposit costs, and competitive pressure on deposit pricing. Management lowered full-year 2026 net interest income guidance, signaling caution about margin compression. A declining rate environment or competitive deposit pricing pressures could reduce net interest income, which represented 83% of total operating revenue in 2024.
- Merger Integration and Cambridge Bancorp Challenges — The July 2024 acquisition of Cambridge Bancorp introduced integration complexity. The merger added $3.7 billion in loans and $3.9 billion in deposits but also brought purchased credit-deteriorated (PCD) loans totaling $353 million (9% of Cambridge loans) with reserves of $56 million. Integration costs, operational disruption, management attention diversion, and potential unexpected issues could affect profitability and execution in the near term.
- Regulatory and Compliance Risk — Eastern Bankshares faces evolving regulatory requirements and potential changes in banking regulation following recent political transitions. The company identifies risks related to changes in regulatory policy, legislation, accounting standards, and fiscal-monetary policy. Increased regulatory scrutiny, particularly regarding commercial real estate lending practices and cybersecurity, could increase compliance costs and restrict growth.
- Cybersecurity and Operational Risk — As a financial institution, Eastern Bankshares faces significant cybersecurity and operational risks. The company relies heavily on technology, third-party vendors, and data security infrastructure. Cyber attacks, fraudulent activities, system failures, or breaches could expose customer data, disrupt operations, result in financial losses, and damage reputation. The expanding digital banking services and acquisition integration increase the attack surface and operational complexity.
The case for
Buyers argue that Eastern Bankshares benefits from strong positioning in the Boston metropolitan area, one of the nation's most economically robust regions with limited housing supply supporting multifamily real estate valuations. The July 2024 Cambridge Bancorp acquisition expanded the company's wealth management platform to $10.1 billion in total wealth assets ($9.6 billion AUM), providing diversified fee income. The company demonstrated strong earnings growth, with 22% sequential profit growth and record assets under management. Institutional ownership reached 83.35%, with major investors including Ray Dalio, BlackRock, T. Rowe Price, and State Street adding positions. Management's track record of disciplined capital allocation, including share buybacks and dividend increases, supports long-term shareholder value creation. The expanded deposit base from the merger provides funding stability, and the diversified loan portfolio across commercial, residential, and consumer segments mitigates concentration risk.
The case against
Sellers fear that Eastern Bankshares faces structural headwinds in a consolidating banking industry where large national competitors dominate and fintech challengers erode margins. The company's commercial real estate portfolio, particularly $900 million in office exposure concentrated in a sector under significant stress from remote work trends and higher interest rates, poses emerging credit risks requiring potential reserve increases. Management's reduced 2026 net interest income guidance signals cautious outlooks on margin compression from competitive deposit pricing and potential interest rate declines. Integration of Cambridge Bancorp introduces execution risks and near-term profitability uncertainty. The company trades at elevated multiples relative to peer regional banks and historical valuation levels, with full-year 2024 net income of $88.2 million representing lower returns on equity compared to market expectations. Regulatory headwinds, including increased compliance costs and potential restrictions on lending activities, combined with secular challenges from digital banking disruption and deposit flight to higher-yielding alternatives, constrain growth prospects. The inherited purchase credit-deteriorated loans from Cambridge add near-term credit quality uncertainty.
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 21, 2026, shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users
Rockland Trust is the other large Massachusetts-headquartered commercial bank of comparable size, chasing the same small- and mid-sized business borrowers, retail deposits and wealth-management clients across Greater Boston, the South Shore and Rhode Island.
Citizens holds the second-largest deposit share in the Boston market and competes head-on with Eastern for household checking accounts, small-business relationships and middle-market commercial credit across New England.
Born in September 2025 from the merger of Berkshire Hills and Brookline, Beacon is a roughly $24 billion New England bank headquartered in Boston, overlapping with Eastern branch by branch on commercial lending and deposits in eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island.
Needham Bank is a fast-growing Greater Boston commercial lender targeting the same local businesses, construction and commercial-real-estate borrowers that Eastern serves in the suburbs west and south of the city.
A large mutual savings bank with no shareholders and a dense branch network in the Boston suburbs, it competes with Eastern for exactly the same retail deposits and small-business lending in Middlesex and Norfolk counties.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$1.12B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$376M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
-
Total Equity
$4.34B
Total Liabilities
$26.25B
Current Ratio
-
Interest Coverage
0.43
Debt/EBITDA
-
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$21.07
Current Price
$22.40
Margin of Safety
-6.3%
Fair Value Range
$18.57 - $23.58
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
12.58
ROE
2.0%
P/B Ratio
1.20
P/FCF
-
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
-
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
-
WACC
9.0%
ROIC − WACC
-
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (9)
- EPS shows upward trend
- P/B ratio 1.20
- Operating margin 35.8%
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- ROE 9.0%
- PEG ratio 0.42
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.08
- Net margin trend 33.5% vs -10.2%
Failed (8)
- Price CAGR 4.42%
- Debt/equity ratio
- Interest coverage
- Return on tangible assets
- DCF valuation (Unknown)
- Earnings surprise, average -2.2%
- Share dilution 13.3%
- Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Unavailable (9)
- ROIC –
- Gross margin –
- P/FCF –
- Dividend payout –
- Positive free cash flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Revenue growth 5Y
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Issuing new shares, diluting ownership
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Robert Francis Rivers | Executive Chairman of the Board | 60 |
| Mr. Denis K. Sheahan | CEO & Director | 59 |
| Mr. Quincy Lee Miller | President, Member of Advisory Board & COO | 50 |
| Mr. R. David Rosato C.F.A. | CFO & Treasurer | 63 |
| Mr. Donald Michael Westermann | Executive VP & Chief Information Officer | 47 |
| Mr. Andrew S. Hersom | Senior VP & Head of Investor Relations | - |
| Ms. Kathleen Cloherty Henry Esq. | Executive VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary | 52 |
| Mr. Andrew J. Ravens | Corporate Communications Manager | - |
| Ms. Danielle F. Remis Hackel | Executive VP & Chief Marketing Officer | 55 |
| Ms. Jennifer Wambold | Executive VP & Chief People Officer | - |
Audit Risk
4
Board Risk
4
Compensation Risk
5
Shareholder Rights Risk
4
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-03-02
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-08-07
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-10-22
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much EBC moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 9% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 17.8%
- Volatility 90d
- 20.9%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- 0.64Correlation 0.33
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -15.6%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 2.02%
Earnings reactions
How EBC moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Jan 21, 2027 · In 89 days · Time not known
EPS estimate: 0.51Revenue estimate: $314M
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 1.5% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 7, down 5 (out of 12).
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | After the close | 0.49 | 0.51 | +3.8% | +0.2% | +1.3% | n/a |
| Jul 23, 2026 | After the close | 0.47 | 0.49 | +5.0% | +1.5% | +1.3% | +2.2% |
| Apr 23, 2026 | After the close | 0.45 | 0.40 | -11.0% | -3.9% | -3.0% | -1.4% |
| Jan 22, 2026 | After the close | 0.42 | 0.44 | +5.1% | +2.0% | -1.5% | +0.2% |
| Oct 23, 2025 | After the close | 0.40 | 0.37 | -8.1% | -0.4% | -3.8% | -5.2% |
| Jul 24, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +3.0% | +1.2% | -2.0% |
| Apr 24, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -7.2% | -6.5% | -5.3% |
| Jan 23, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +1.8% | +1.4% | +4.8% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -3.9% | -4.8% | -2.3% |
| Jul 25, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +2.3% | +3.4% | -4.0% |
| Apr 25, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +1.4% | +0.8% | +3.6% |
| Jan 25, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +1.9% | +0.4% | -0.1% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on EBC and what the price did next.
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for EBC.