Ecolab Inc (ECL)
OvervaluedFundamental
67
Price
$288.53
Market Cap
$80.76B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Ecolab is a global sustainability-focused company providing water treatment, hygiene, infection prevention, and pest elimination solutions to industrial, institutional, healthcare, and commercial customers in approximately 100 countries. The company employs roughly 48,000 associates and operates through four reportable segments: Global Industrial (serving cooling, wastewater, boiler applications, and food processing), Global Institutional & Specialty (foodservice, hospitality, retail cleaning), Global Healthcare & Life Sciences (hospital infection prevention, pharmaceutical manufacturing), and Global Pest Elimination (rodent and insect prevention services).
How it makes money
Ecolab operates a science-based solutions model combining specialized chemical products, digital monitoring systems, equipment leasing programs, and on-site technical support services. The company employs a 'razor-and-blade' strategy where customers lease equipment (dishwashing systems, treatment units, monitoring devices) and purchase recurring chemical supplies and services. Revenue derives from direct corporate sales, distributor networks, and integrated service packages with long-term contracts that create high customer switching costs.
Revenue by segment
Provides water treatment chemicals and services for cooling systems, boiler treatment, and wastewater management; food processing cleaning and sanitation products; pulp and paper industry process aids; and petroleum refining additives. Serves manufacturing facilities, refineries, food processors, and chemical plants globally.
Delivers warewashing and dishwashing products, foodservice and hospitality cleaning solutions, and quick-service restaurant and retail cleaning programs under 'Ecolab' and 'Kay' branded product lines. Serves restaurants, hotels, schools, and retail establishments with equipment leasing and chemical supply contracts.
Provides infection prevention solutions for hospitals and surgical centers, cleaning systems for pharmaceutical and personal care manufacturing, fluid treatment and purification solutions under the Purolite brand, and hydrogen peroxide vapor decontamination systems via Bioquell.
Delivers rodent and insect detection, prevention, and control services across commercial segments including foodservice, hospitality, retail, and industrial facilities. Provides monitoring technology and integrated pest management programs.
Competitive moat
Switching costs · WideEcolab's competitive advantage rests on multiple durable sources. Primary moat is switching costs: long-term integrated service contracts (3-5 years), proprietary equipment, and deep operational integration with customers create substantial switching costs and pricing power. Scale advantages are significant with ~27,000 field sales and service associates providing superior coverage density versus competitors, and revenue exceeding the next-largest competitor by 2x. Digital network effects emerge from proprietary platforms (3D TRASAR, Ecolab Digital) processing 1.1 trillion data points annually, enabling value-based pricing. Brand and intangible assets include a portfolio exceeding 10,000 patents and recognized market leadership. Service network density creates a structural cost advantage in travel time and service delivery efficiency.
What drives demand
Moderately cyclicalEcolab's demand exhibits both defensive and cyclical characteristics. Core demand is defensive: food safety, sanitation, hygiene, and infection prevention are non-discretionary across all economic conditions. Healthcare, pharmaceuticals, and essential industrial operations (water treatment, refining) require continuous Ecolab solutions. However, meaningful cyclical exposure exists through the Institutional & Specialty segment, which serves hospitality, quick-service restaurants, and retail—sectors highly sensitive to consumer spending and economic cycles. The company's diversification across these multiple end-markets and geographies moderates overall cyclicality. Demand is also supported by structural drivers: water scarcity and conservation mandates, regulatory requirements for food and infection control, and customer sustainability commitments that drive adoption of efficiency-focused solutions.
Key risks
- Geopolitical and Trade Policy Risks — Changes in international trade policies, tariffs, and geopolitical situations in Europe, the Middle East, China, and Russia create economic and demand uncertainty. Tariff impositions could materially adversely affect international operations, which represent a significant portion of revenues.
- Supply Chain Disruption — Global supply chain disruptions affect macroeconomic conditions and customer spending. Ecolab requires importing certain raw materials and finished goods in several regions, elevating procurement costs and creating vulnerability to logistics delays and cost inflation.
- International Operations Profitability — International operations are generally less profitable than domestic business due to higher regulatory complexity, elevated import costs, smaller regional operational scale, and proportionately larger investments required in sales and technical support. This structural profitability gap creates pressure on consolidated margins.
- Customer Concentration in Specialty Segment — The Specialty segment within Global Institutional & Specialty is largely dependent on a limited number of major quick-service restaurant chains and large food retail customers. Loss of or significant reduction in business from key customers in this segment could materially impact revenues.
- Competitive Pressures — Ecolab competes against both large multinational firms and numerous smaller regional players across all segments. Competition emphasizes technical expertise, innovation, digital technology, chemical formulations, and global customer support. Competitive pressures could limit pricing power and market share growth.
- Cybersecurity and Technology Risks — Disruptions to Ecolab's global technology infrastructure through cyber-attack or cyber-intrusion could materially adversely affect operations. The company's increasing reliance on digital platforms, artificial intelligence, and data analytics creates operational, legal, and reputational risks from system failures or data breaches.
- Currency Exchange Rate Exposure — With operations spanning approximately 100 countries, Ecolab faces significant exposure to currency exchange rate fluctuations. Changes in foreign exchange rates could materially affect reported revenues, operating margins, and financial results.
- Regulatory Compliance Complexity — Ecolab must comply with evolving laws and regulations across diverse jurisdictions regarding environmental protection, food safety, sanitation, and public health. Regulatory changes could increase compliance costs and operationally constrain business activities.
Customer concentration
No individual customer accounts for 10% or more of consolidated revenues, indicating diversified customer concentration at the company level. However, the Specialty segment within Global Institutional & Specialty shows meaningful concentration: the segment is largely dependent on a limited number of major quick-service restaurant chains and large food retail customers. Loss of significant business from these key Specialty customers would materially impact that segment's profitability.
The case for
Buyers argue that Ecolab operates a resilient, recurring-revenue business insulated from economic downturns by the essential nature of food safety, sanitation, hygiene, and infection prevention. The company's durable switching costs from integrated long-term contracts provide pricing power and stable cash flows. Ecolab benefits from structural growth tailwinds: water scarcity and conservation mandates drive customer adoption of water-efficient solutions, while regulatory requirements for food safety and infection prevention ensure non-discretionary spending. Digital transformation is expanding margins and customer stickiness through proprietary monitoring platforms that process 1.1 trillion data points annually. Global scale and diversification across industrial, institutional, healthcare, and pest elimination end-markets provide downside protection. Ecolab is well-positioned to benefit from customer sustainability commitments, with its goal to help customers conserve 300+ billion gallons of water by 2030 representing substantial market opportunity. The company's ~27,000-person field sales and service force creates a structural density advantage that competitors struggle to replicate.
The case against
Sellers fear that Ecolab's international operations—representing a significant revenue portion—are structurally less profitable than domestic business, dragging consolidated margins. The company faces meaningful headwinds from geopolitical tensions and tariff regimes affecting global trade and raising procurement costs, particularly in regions requiring imported raw materials. Supply chain disruptions threaten margins and delivery reliability. Meaningful customer concentration in the Specialty segment creates revenue volatility risk from dependency on major quick-service restaurant chains and food retailers that could reduce or redirect purchasing. The hospitality and foodservice sectors served by Institutional & Specialty are cyclical and vulnerable to consumer spending downturns. Competitive pressures from large multinational and regional players may limit pricing power despite switching costs. Currency fluctuations create volatility in reported results and international cash flows. Regulatory compliance complexity across 100+ countries increases operational risk and cost burdens. The company's long-term service contracts, while creating stickiness, may also lock in customers at rates that become unprofitable if input costs spike due to inflation or commodity price increases.
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 21, 2026, shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users
Its ChemTreat arm sells industrial water treatment chemicals and on-site service to power plants, refineries and food and beverage processors, competing head-on with Ecolab's Nalco Water business.
Since absorbing Diversey in 2023 Solenis sells both industrial water treatment chemistry and cleaning and hygiene programmes, the same two halves of Ecolab's business, to the same food plants, mills, hotels and restaurants.
Veolia's water technologies arm offers the same package Ecolab does — treatment chemistry, equipment and managed water services — to chemical, microelectronics, mining, power and pharmaceutical plants worldwide.
The Japanese group sells boiler, cooling and wastewater treatment chemicals plus ultrapure water service to electronics, steel, paper and refining customers, and has pushed into North America and Europe where Ecolab's Nalco Water is strongest.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$16.84B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$2.12B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$1.90B
Total Equity
$9.77B
Total Liabilities
$14.89B
Current Ratio
1.84
Interest Coverage
8.65
Debt/EBITDA
3.22
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$188.21
Current Price
$288.53
Margin of Safety
-53.3%
Fair Value Range
$122.34 - $254.09
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
38.73
ROE
21.2%
P/B Ratio
8.04
P/FCF
43.15
Gross Margin
44.1%
ROIC
9.4%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
9.4%
WACC
8.3%
ROIC − WACC
+1.1 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (17)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 8.42%
- Price CAGR 9.40%
- ROIC 9.4%
- Gross margin 44.1%
- Debt/equity ratio
- Operating margin 16.9%
- Positive free cash flow
- Current ratio
- Interest coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on tangible assets
- ROE 21.4%
- Revenue growth 5Y 6.4%
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.44
- Share dilution -0.5%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
Failed (7)
- P/FCF 43.15
- P/B ratio 8.04
- CapEx intensity
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Earnings surprise, average -0.7%
Unavailable (3)
- Dividend payout –
- PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)
- Net margin trend (invalid data)
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Christophe Beck | CEO, President & Chairman of the Board | 57 |
| Mr. Scott D. Kirkland | Chief Financial Officer | 51 |
| Ms. Margeaux M. King | Executive Vice President of Human Resources | 47 |
| Mr. Darrell R. Brown | Co-Chief Operating Officer of Global Markets | 61 |
| Mr. Gregory Russell B. Cook | Co-Chief Operating Officer of Global Businesses | 56 |
| Mr. Bryce L. Mewhorter | Senior VP, Corporate Controller & Principal Accounting Officer | 50 |
| Dr. Dan D. LeCloux | Executive VP & Chief Technical Officer | - |
| Mr. Andrew C. Hedberg | Vice President of Investor Relations | - |
| Ms. Jandeen M. Boone J.D. | Executive VP, General Counsel, Secretary & Interim Chief Compliance Officer | 51 |
| Ms. Chris Leong | Executive VP and Chief Marketing & Innovation Officer | 58 |
Audit Risk
6
Board Risk
7
Compensation Risk
2
Shareholder Rights Risk
2
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-23
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-08-06
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-07-28
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much ECL moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 7% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 15.5%
- Volatility 90d
- 19.6%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- 0.47Correlation 0.28
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -20.3%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 1.90%
Earnings reactions
How ECL moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Oct 27, 2026 · In 3 days · Before the open
EPS estimate: 2.17Revenue estimate: $4.7B
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 4.0% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 7, down 5 (out of 12).
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Before the open | 2.10 | 2.09 | -0.6% | +2.4% | +4.2% | +3.0% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Before the open | 1.71 | 1.70 | -0.7% | 0.0% | -0.3% | -4.6% |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Before the open | 2.09 | 2.08 | -0.3% | +2.2% | +4.0% | +5.4% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Before the open | 2.09 | 2.07 | -1.1% | -1.0% | -4.1% | -8.0% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -1.1% | -3.9% | -2.1% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +2.7% | +3.3% | +6.7% |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +8.8% | +6.2% | +8.2% |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -4.2% | -1.0% | -4.7% |
| Jul 30, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -10.4% | -7.7% | -6.7% |
| Apr 30, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +2.0% | +2.0% | +3.3% |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +5.3% | +9.0% | +6.6% |
| Oct 31, 2023 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +0.6% | +5.4% | +9.6% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on ECL and what the price did next.
- 3/20/2026PositiveEcolab to Buy Data Center Cooling Firm CoolIT for $4.75 Billion
- +1 day
- +0.8%
- +3 days
- +3.2%
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for ECL.
- 5/19/2026NEUTRALEcolab Looks to Raise About $4 Billion to Fund CoolIT Takeover
Ecolab Inc. is reportedly planning to raise approximately $4 billion through investment-grade bond sales. The primary purpose of this debt issuance is to finance the company's acquisition of CoolIT Systems Inc. While the bond sale itself is a financing activity, its success and the terms of the acquisition will be key factors for investors to monitor. The move indicates Ecolab's strategic intent to expand its operations through M&A, which could lead to future growth but also introduces integration risks and increased leverage.
- 3/30/2026NEUTRALCiti Approaching Lenders to Fund Ecolab’s $4.8 Billion Deal
Citigroup Inc. is reportedly seeking to syndicate a $4.8 billion financing package for Ecolab Inc.'s acquisition of CoolIT Systems Inc. This move indicates Ecolab's progression in its planned acquisition, which is valued at $4.8 billion. While the financing details are still being arranged, the news highlights the significant capital commitment Ecolab is making. Investors will monitor the final terms of the deal and the strategic rationale behind acquiring CoolIT Systems to assess its long-term impact on Ecolab's financial performance and market position.
- 3/20/2026POSITIVEEcolab to Buy Data Center Cooling Firm CoolIT for $4.75 Billion
Ecolab Inc. has announced a definitive agreement to acquire CoolIT Systems Inc. for $4.75 billion in an all-cash transaction. CoolIT Systems is a leading provider of advanced cooling solutions for AI data centers, a rapidly growing segment driven by increasing computational demands. This strategic acquisition is expected to bolster Ecolab's offerings in the high-growth data center market, enhancing its ability to provide comprehensive solutions for thermal management. Investors may view this move positively, as it positions Ecolab to capitalize on the significant expansion in AI infrastructure and data center development.