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FirstEnergy Corp (FE)

Overvalued
UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricUnited States

Fundamental

43

Price

$46.15

Market Cap

$26.32B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

FirstEnergy is a regulated electric utility holding company operating distribution and transmission systems across six states (Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Maryland, and West Virginia). The company serves approximately 5 million customers through seven utility subsidiaries and transmission operators, providing essential electricity delivery to residential, commercial, and industrial users. FirstEnergy operates under comprehensive regulation by state public utility commissions and the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, with revenues derived from regulated utility rates and infrastructure investment recovery programs.

How it makes money

FirstEnergy's revenue model is based on regulated utility rates for electricity distribution and transmission services, with cost-plus regulatory mechanisms that allow recovery of operating costs and approved capital investments through periodic rate cases filed with state regulators. Revenue is supplemented by infrastructure investment rider programs, transmission services through PJM and other regional operators, and miscellaneous operating income. The company's earnings are primarily determined by regulatory decisions on allowed rates of return on invested capital across its service territories.

Revenue by segment

Regulated Distribution50.8%

Ohio and Pennsylvania distribution operations serving residential, commercial, and industrial customers through Cleveland Electric Illuminating, Ohio Edison, Toledo Edison, and FirstEnergy Pennsylvania Electric subsidiaries. This segment manages local electricity delivery networks and regulatory relationships with the Ohio Public Utilities Commission and Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission.

Integrated Operations36%

Vertically integrated distribution and transmission operations in New Jersey, West Virginia, and Maryland through Jersey Central Power & Light, Monongahela Power, and Potomac Edison subsidiaries. This segment combines local electricity delivery with regional transmission infrastructure, serving customers and managing relationships with the New Jersey Board of Public Utilities, West Virginia Public Service Commission, and Maryland Public Service Commission.

Stand-Alone Transmission13.2%

Transmission-only operations through FirstEnergy Transmission and subsidiaries American Transmission Systems, Mid-Atlantic Interstate Transmission, Trans-Allegheny Interstate Line, and Keystone Appalachian Transmission. This segment manages high-voltage transmission infrastructure connecting regional power markets and interconnecting with PJM, operating under Federal Energy Regulatory Commission regulation.

Competitive moat

Scale · Wide

FirstEnergy benefits from exclusive franchise territories and regulatory barriers to entry in its service regions, creating a natural monopoly in local electricity distribution. The company's extensive infrastructure network spanning over 24,000 miles of transmission lines and interconnected distribution systems creates significant capital requirements and switching costs for any potential competitor. Established relationships with multiple state regulatory commissions and integrated infrastructure across multiple states provide additional competitive insulation.

What drives demand

Moderately cyclical

FirstEnergy's electricity demand exhibits moderate cyclicality driven by seasonal temperature variations (summer cooling and winter heating), economic activity in its service territories, and structural growth from electrification trends. Residential and commercial customer demand is influenced by weather patterns and economic cycles. Industrial customer demand is more sensitive to broader economic downturns but is partially offset by the geographic and sectoral diversification of FirstEnergy's customer base across multiple states.

Key risks

  • Regulatory and Rate Risk — FirstEnergy's earnings are directly dependent on rate decisions by state public utility commissions. Unfavorable rate rulings, disallowances of costs, or regulatory changes across multiple jurisdictions could reduce profitability and return on invested capital. The company faces ongoing regulatory investigations related to HB 6 legislation and other compliance matters.
  • Weather and Operational Disruptions — Severe weather events and natural disasters affecting FirstEnergy's service territories can disrupt operations, damage infrastructure, and increase operating costs. Temperature variations affect electricity demand patterns. Extreme weather events also trigger regulatory reviews and potential adjustments to cost recovery mechanisms.
  • Cybersecurity Threats — As critical infrastructure, FirstEnergy faces elevated cybersecurity risks from sophisticated attacks that could disable generation, transmission and distribution services, compromise sensitive data, and expose the company to regulatory penalties. Despite implementation of NERC Critical Infrastructure Protection standards, rapidly evolving threats present ongoing vulnerability.
  • Litigation and Legal Contingencies — FirstEnergy faces material litigation exposures including HB 6 investigations, SEC-related matters, and securities class action litigation. The company indicated it is probable that it will incur losses in connection with In re FirstEnergy Corp. Securities Litigation, though the company cannot yet reasonably estimate the ultimate loss amount or range.
  • Capital Requirements and Debt Management — FirstEnergy requires substantial ongoing capital investments—$28 billion planned through 2029 under Energize365—to maintain and upgrade aging infrastructure. This capital intensity requires continuous access to debt markets and refinancing. Rising interest rates or credit market disruptions could increase borrowing costs and limit investment capacity.
  • Environmental Compliance — FirstEnergy faces environmental compliance obligations related to coal combustion residuals, manufacturing gas plants, and nuclear facility decommissioning. Environmental regulatory changes, remediation costs, and liabilities from historical operations represent material contingencies affecting future financial performance.

Customer concentration

FirstEnergy serves approximately 5 million customers distributed across residential, commercial, and industrial categories with no material customer concentration. The regulated utility business model and geographic diversification across multiple states eliminate significant dependency on any single customer or small customer group. Revenue comes from dispersed customer bases in each service territory rather than concentrated large accounts.

The case for

Buyers argue that FirstEnergy offers stable, predictable earnings through regulated utility operations with cost-plus rate structures that provide reliable recovery of investments and operating costs. The company benefits from essential service characteristics—electricity is non-discretionary demand—providing resilience through economic cycles. Energize365 capital investment programs through 2029 create growth visibility with $28 billion in planned infrastructure investments. Electrification trends (electric vehicles, heating systems) support structural growth in electricity demand. FirstEnergy's integrated distribution and transmission footprint positions it to benefit from the energy transition and grid modernization. The regulated model supports consistent dividend payments with limited volatility.

The case against

Sellers fear that FirstEnergy faces significant regulatory risks from multiple state commissions that could result in rate suppression, disallowance of investments, or unfavorable rulings that reduce returns below the cost of capital. The company's massive capital intensity—$28 billion through 2029—creates refinancing risks and potential credit rating pressures in adverse market conditions. Ongoing litigation related to HB 6 and securities matters creates uncertainty and potential for substantial financial settlements. Cybersecurity and operational disruptions could increase costs and disrupt earnings visibility. Environmental compliance obligations from historical coal and gas operations represent contingent liabilities. Rising electrification may pressure traditional utility economics if regulators do not allow commensurate rate increases. The company's high leverage and debt dependencies create vulnerability to interest rate shocks and credit market disruptions.

Segment figures from fiscal year 2024Sources: FirstEnergy Corp Form 10-K for fiscal year ended December 31, 2024

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 21, 2026, shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users

P/E: 19.2Score: 59Market cap: $69.18B

AEP's Ohio and Appalachian Power utilities serve the same Ohio and West Virginia regulated electricity customers as FirstEnergy's Ohio Edison, Mon Power and Potomac Edison, and both compete for the same state rate-case approvals and PJM transmission investment.

P/E: 16.3Score: 45Market cap: $44.51B

Exelon is the other large pure transmission-and-distribution holding company in the Mid-Atlantic, with PECO in Pennsylvania, Atlantic City Electric in New Jersey and Pepco/BGE in Maryland facing the same regulators and the same customer base as FirstEnergy's utilities in those states.

P/E: 21.5Score: 55Market cap: $26.02B

PPL Electric Utilities distributes power to eastern and central Pennsylvania, directly adjacent to and overlapping the market of FirstEnergy Pennsylvania's 2.1 million customers, with both competing for Pennsylvania rate recovery and grid-investment approvals.

P/E: 17.9Score: 60Market cap: $35.39B

PSE&G is the largest electric distributor in New Jersey, the same state where FirstEnergy's Jersey Central Power & Light operates, so the two compete for New Jersey customers, rate treatment and state clean-energy infrastructure programs.

Duquesne Light Holdings, Inc.Not tracked

Duquesne Light is the privately held electric distributor of the Pittsburgh area, bordering FirstEnergy's West Penn Power and Penn Power territories and competing for the same western-Pennsylvania customers and regulatory decisions.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$15.53B

Trailing 12 months (through 3/31/2026)

Net Income

$1.06B

Trailing 12 months (through 3/31/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$-1.00B

Total Equity

$12.51B

Total Liabilities

$41.98B

Current Ratio

0.52

Interest Coverage

1.82

Debt/EBITDA

5.18

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Regulated utilityOvervalued

Fair Value

$35.39

Current Price

$46.15

Margin of Safety

-30.4%

Fair Value Range

$23.64 - $47.15

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$51.17
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$40.55
Earnings multiple (P/E):$28.99
Graham growth formula:Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings power value (EPV):$43.74
Justified P/B:Not applicable to this type of company
Dividend discount (Gordon):$22.10
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not applicable to this type of company
Mid-cycle earnings:Not applicable to this type of company
Revenue multiple:Not applicable to this type of company
Last Earnings Surprise:-3.88%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

25.08

ROE

8.2%

P/B Ratio

2.11

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

3.5%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

3.5%

WACC

5.7%

ROIC − WACC

-2.1 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (11)

  • P/B ratio 2.11
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Operating margin 14.7%
  • Interest coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 8.5%
  • Revenue growth 5Y 7.1%
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 3.02
  • Share dilution 0.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Failed (11)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR -4.74%
  • Price CAGR 3.90%
  • ROIC 3.5%
  • Positive free cash flow
  • Current ratio
  • Return on tangible assets
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings surprise, average -2.0%
  • Net margin trend 6.9% vs 7.8%

Unavailable (5)

  • Gross margin –
  • P/FCF –
  • Dividend payout –
  • CapEx intensity
  • PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

3.02

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

0.7%

Share count is stable

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Brian X. TierneyCEO, President & Chairman57
Mr. K. Jon TaylorSenior VP of Strategy & CFO51
Mr. Toby L. ThomasChief Operating Officer54
Mr. Hyun ParkSenior VP & Chief Legal Officer64
Mr. Allan Wade SmithPresident of FirstEnergy Utilities60
Mr. Jason J. LisowskiVP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer44
Mr. Daniel PuscasSenior VP & Chief Information Officer-
Ms. Karen SagotVice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Deandra Williams-LewisChief Ethics & Compliance Officer-
Ms. Tabrina L. DavisVice President of Communications-

Audit Risk

6

Board Risk

5

Compensation Risk

3

Shareholder Rights Risk

3

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much FE moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityLow

More volatile than 2% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
16.5%
Volatility 90d
17.1%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
-0.11Correlation -0.09
Max drawdown (12m)
-17.1%
ATR (14d, % of price)
1.60%

Earnings reactions

How FE moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

Oct 27, 2026 · In 3 days · After the close

EPS estimate: 0.90Revenue estimate: $4.3B

What usually happens

  • Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 1.4% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 3, down 9 (out of 12).

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Jul 28, 2026After the close0.520.50-3.9% +0.6% -1.0% -2.8%
Apr 28, 2026After the close0.740.72-2.1% -1.2% -1.3% -7.5%
Feb 17, 2026After the close0.570.53-6.6% +0.2% -0.8% +2.6%
Oct 22, 2025After the close0.800.83+4.3% +0.7% -1.6% -3.2%
Jul 30, 2025After the closen/an/an/a+0.3% +2.2% +3.9%
Apr 23, 2025After the closen/an/an/a+0.1% -0.7% +0.7%
Feb 26, 2025After the closen/an/an/a-5.2% -10.5% -10.5%
Oct 29, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+0.5% -1.5% -2.2%
Jul 30, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+0.6% +0.3% +0.8%
Apr 25, 2024After the closen/an/an/a-1.0% -1.1% +1.3%
Feb 8, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+0.6% +4.2% +4.2%
Oct 26, 2023After the closen/an/an/a-1.0% -2.6% +1.4%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on FE and what the price did next.

No positive or negative news on FE has been archived yet.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for FE.

No recent news for FE.