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Frontdoor, Inc. (FTDR)

Fair Value
Consumer CyclicalPersonal ServicesUnited States

Fundamental

72

Price

$84.34

Market Cap

$5.57B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Frontdoor, Inc. provides home warranties and new home builder warranties in the United States. The company offers customizable home warranties that help customers to protect and maintain their homes from costly and unplanned breakdowns of essential home systems and appliances. Its home warranty customers subscribe to an annual service plan agreement that covers the repair or replacement of principal components of home systems and appliances, including electrical, plumbing, water heaters, refrigerators, dishwashers, and ranges/ovens/cooktops, as well as pools, spas, and pumps; and heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems. It also offers non-warranty home services through website and application; a one-stop app experience for home repair and maintenance using video chat, augmented reality, and computer vision and machining learning. The company operates under the American Home Shield, HSA, OneGuard, Landmark, and 2-10 HBW brand names. Frontdoor, Inc. was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users

First American Financial CorporationFAF

Its First American Home Warranty segment sells the same residential service contracts on systems and appliances and courts the same real-estate-agent referral channel that drives much of American Home Shield's new business.

Old Republic International CorporationORI

Through Old Republic Home Protection it is one of the three largest US home warranty providers, competing plan-for-plan with American Home Shield, especially in California and the western states.

Choice Home WarrantyNot tracked

A private, direct-to-consumer home warranty provider that after absorbing Home Warranty of America claims third place nationally, chasing the same homeowners Frontdoor reaches online.

Cinch Home Services, Inc.Not tracked

A privately held provider of home service plans covering systems and appliances, sold both directly and through real estate and utility partnerships, the same two routes to market Frontdoor uses.

HomeServe USA Corp.Not tracked

Now private under Brookfield, it sells subscription repair plans for plumbing, heating and electrical systems to millions of US households through utility partnerships, an alternative to a home warranty for the same recurring spend.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$2.15B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$273M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$390M

Total Equity

$242M

Total Liabilities

$1.90B

Current Ratio

1.59

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

2.28

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$96.32

Current Price

$84.34

Margin of Safety

+12.4%

Fair Value Range

$62.61 - $130.03

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$95.40
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$133.67
Earnings multiple (P/E):$58.22
Graham growth formula:$168.96
Earnings power value (EPV):$29.61
Justified P/B:$30.69
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:$79.89
Mid-cycle earnings:Not enough data to compute it
Revenue multiple:$51.08
Last Earnings Surprise:+7.20%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

22.31

ROE

105.4%

P/B Ratio

20.46

P/FCF

15.05

Gross Margin

55.5%

ROIC

-

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-

WACC

12.1%

ROIC − WACC

-

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (17)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 9.84%
  • Price CAGR 13.63%
  • Gross margin 55.5%
  • P/FCF 15.05
  • Positive free cash flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on tangible assets
  • ROE 101.9%
  • Revenue growth 5Y 7.3%
  • Earnings surprise, average 21.6%
  • PEG ratio 0.97
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.50
  • Share dilution -4.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

Failed (6)

  • P/B ratio 20.46
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Net margin trend 12.7% vs 13.1%

Unavailable (4)

  • ROIC –
  • Dividend payout –
  • Operating margin –
  • Interest coverage

Piotroski F-Score

8/9

Strong financial health

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

1.50

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-4.5%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. William C. CobbChairman of the Board & CEO68
Mr. Evan A. IversonSenior VP & COO48
Dr. Bala krishnan A. GaneshSenior VP & CTO53
Mr. Jeffrey A. Fiarman J.D.Senior VP & Chief Legal Officer56

Audit Risk

2

Board Risk

4

Compensation Risk

5

Shareholder Rights Risk

2

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-26

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-06

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-09-03

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much FTDR moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityMedium

More volatile than 66% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
35.0%
Volatility 90d
43.8%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
0.77Correlation 0.21
Max drawdown (12m)
-29.2%
ATR (14d, % of price)
3.18%

Earnings reactions

How FTDR moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

Nov 5, 2026 · In 12 days · Before the open

EPS estimate: 1.77Revenue estimate: $648M

What usually happens

  • Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 13.2% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 8, down 4 (out of 12).
  • Of the 4 releases that beat estimates, the stock fell the next day after 1.

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Aug 6, 2026During the session1.801.93+7.2% +2.6% +17.7% +12.0%
Apr 30, 2026During the session0.690.73+5.9% -1.5% +13.3% +9.1%
Feb 26, 2026During the session0.130.23+70.9% +6.6% +16.8% +20.6%
Nov 5, 2025During the session1.541.58+2.6% -7.1% -15.9% -21.5%
Aug 5, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a+10.5% -4.0% -4.2%
May 1, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a+18.5% +13.2% +28.9%
Feb 27, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a-2.0% -19.2% -26.4%
Nov 4, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a+1.3% +6.9% +17.9%
Aug 1, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a+8.2% +12.8% +11.1%
May 2, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a+5.7% +10.6% +17.4%
Feb 28, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a-8.6% -5.8% -8.7%
Nov 1, 2023During the sessionn/an/an/a+11.8% +15.1% +23.0%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on FTDR and what the price did next.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for FTDR.

  • 2/26/2026NEUTRAL
    Earnings Breakdown: Frontdoor Q4

    Frontdoor Inc. has announced the release of its fourth-quarter earnings breakdown, a pivotal event for investors keen to assess the company's operational and financial performance. While specific details of the results have not yet been disclosed at this initial stage, the market is eagerly anticipating a comprehensive analysis. Quarterly earnings serve as a crucial barometer for a company's health, influencing investment decisions and future projections. Analysts and shareholders will closely monitor figures related to revenue, profits, and, critically, the guidance for upcoming periods, which will dictate the direction of the FTDR stock. The significance of this breakdown lies in its ability to provide clarity on corporate strategies and their effectiveness within a dynamic market environment.

  • 2/21/2026POSITIVE
    New $10 Million Stake in Frontdoor Signals Conviction as Firm Posts 14% Revenue Growth

    A new $10 million stake in Frontdoor, a company providing home service plans and on-demand repair solutions, signals strong investor conviction. This, coupled with a reported 14% revenue growth, suggests a positive outlook for the stock.