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GE Aerospace (GE)

Fair Value
IndustrialsAerospace & DefenseUnited States

Fundamental

51

Price

$285.64

Market Cap

$306.99B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

GE Aerospace designs, manufactures and services jet and turboprop engines, plus related components and systems, for commercial airlines and for military and other government customers. It is what remains of the old General Electric conglomerate after GE HealthCare and GE Vernova were separated: since 2024 the listed company is a pure aerospace business, with a legacy run-off insurance portfolio still attached to it. Its commercial engine families — CFM56 and LEAP (built through CFM International, a 50/50 joint venture with Safran), GEnx, GE9X — power a large share of the world's narrowbody and widebody fleet, and that installed base is the heart of the company: engines are sold at thin or negative margins and the money is made over decades of spare parts and overhauls. The defence side supplies engines for military aircraft and helicopters and adjacent propulsion technologies.

How it makes money

The model is the classic razor-and-blades of aerospace propulsion. Selling an engine places it on an airframe for twenty or thirty years, and the return comes afterwards: maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO), spare parts, and long-term service agreements under which the airline pays per flight hour, alongside spare-parts agreements and time-and-material contracts. The 10-K states that services were approximately 70% of total revenue in 2025, and that services were about 75% of the Commercial Engines & Services segment. Defence work is contract revenue from governments, chiefly the U.S. Government, and the run-off insurance portfolio contributes premium and investment revenue that has nothing to do with the operating business.

Revenue by segment

Commercial Engines & Services (CES)73%

Commercial jet and turboprop engines and their aftermarket: spare parts, overhauls and long-term service agreements. Customers are airframers such as Boeing and Airbus, airlines and third-party MRO shops; the 10-K states services were about 75% of this segment in 2025.

Defense & Propulsion Technologies (DPT)23%

Engines and propulsion systems for military aircraft, helicopters and other defence platforms, together with adjacent propulsion and systems technologies, sold largely to the U.S. Government and to allied governments and defence primes.

Competitive moat

Switching costs · Wide

Once an engine is certified on an airframe and an airline has built its maintenance network, spares pool and training around it, changing supplier means re-certification and a fleet decision, not a purchasing decision — so the aftermarket annuity runs for the life of the aircraft. On top of that sit certification and intellectual property barriers: a new entrant needs regulatory type certificates and decades of proven safety data. The installed base and the fact that services are roughly 70% of revenue are what turn those switching costs into cash.

What drives demand

Cyclical

Demand follows the air-traffic cycle, but with a long lag: aircraft orders and engine deliveries track airline profitability and fleet plans years ahead, while the aftermarket follows flight hours almost in real time. When traffic collapses — as in 2020 — airlines park aircraft, defer overhauls and cannibalise spares, and service revenue falls with it; when traffic grows, an installed base that keeps ageing throws off parts and shop visits. Two things soften the swing: services are roughly 70% of revenue and depend on the existing fleet rather than on new orders, and defence demand follows government budgets rather than the commercial cycle.

Key risks

  • Supply chain shortages and supplier constraints — The company discloses that input shortages, supplier capacity constraints, supplier or customer production disruptions, quality and sourcing issues or price increases have increased operating costs and may continue to do so, and that its supply chains extend across many countries, exposing it to global economic and geopolitical dynamics.
  • Product safety and quality — The filing names design, production or performance failures of its products — or of third-party products into which they are integrated — as a risk, with financial and reputational consequences. Aerospace propulsion leaves no margin for error.
  • Demand for air travel and the financial strength of airlines and airframers — The company lists market developments affecting demand for air travel and the financial strength of airframers and airlines among its risks, together with shifts in defence programmes: its revenue depends on customers whose own cycle it does not control.
  • Operational execution and delivery obligations — Risks disclosed include meeting delivery obligations, ramping production, achieving cost targets and improving shop turnaround times — the practical risk that the order book cannot be converted into shipped engines and completed overhauls.
  • Geopolitics, tariffs and trade controls — The filing cites tariffs, sanctions, trade tensions, wars, terrorist threats and natural disasters, as well as changes in export controls and government contract requirements, as factors that can affect costs and access to markets.
  • Information technology and cybersecurity breaches — The company discloses the risk of information technology, cybersecurity or data security breaches at GE Aerospace itself or at third parties it relies on.
  • Run-off insurance operations — Among the disclosed risks are its insurance operations and the related liquidity and funding needs — a legacy long-term-care and life reinsurance portfolio that remains on the balance sheet and can require capital contributions unrelated to the aerospace business.
  • Research, development and new product introduction — The company flags the risk that its investments in research and development and in new product launches do not deliver the expected returns, in a market where competitors' technology choices can shift the landscape.

Customer concentration

The filing describes the customer base — commercial customers are primarily airframers, including both Boeing and Airbus, airlines and third-party MRO shops, while defence work is sold largely to the U.S. Government — but the pages read do not disclose a percentage of revenue attributable to any single customer. The practical concentration is structural rather than contractual: the commercial engine business depends on two airframers deciding which engines go on which aircraft, and the defence business on U.S. Government programmes.

The case for

Buyers argue that the installed base is an annuity that is only now starting to pay: the LEAP fleet delivered over the last decade is young, and engines earn most of their aftermarket money at the second and third shop visit, which is still ahead. They point to 2025 as evidence that the ramp is working — total revenue of $45.9 billion, up 18%, with Commercial Engines & Services revenue up 24% and services up 26% — and to an order book that grew faster than revenue. They add that the duopoly structure of large commercial propulsion, the certification barrier and the twenty-year life of an engine placement make those cash flows unusually predictable for an industrial company, and that defence, at roughly a quarter of revenue, runs on a different cycle from the airlines.

The case against

Sellers fear that the price already assumes the aftermarket annuity arrives on schedule, leaving nothing for the things the company itself lists as risks: supplier shortages that cap how many engines can be built and how fast shops can turn around, a production ramp that has to be executed year after year, and tariffs or export controls that raise the cost of a supply chain spread across many countries. They note that commercial aerospace demand depends on airlines and two airframers whose own delivery problems set the pace, that a single safety or quality failure on an engine programme can be expensive and durable in reputation, and that the legacy run-off insurance portfolio sits on the balance sheet as a liability unconnected to jet engines. They also point out that services grew faster than equipment in 2025, which is flattering to margins now but depends on a fleet that must keep flying.

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users

P/E: 31.0Score: 76Market cap: $258.55B

Pratt & Whitney's GTF is the only alternative to GE's CFM LEAP on the Airbus A320neo, and the two also bid against each other for military fighter engines and for the decades-long spare-parts and overhaul revenue that follows every installed engine.

P/E: 10.1Score: 61Market cap: $67.00B

Honeywell competes for the business-jet and turboprop propulsion market with the HTF7000 and TFE731 families, and for the avionics and aircraft-systems content that GE Aerospace also sells to airframers.

Rolls-Royce Holdings plcRR

Rolls-Royce is GE Aerospace's direct rival on wide-body aircraft, where its Trent family competes engine-for-engine with the GE90 and GEnx for the same airline fleet decisions and the same long-term service contracts.

MTU Aero Engines AGMTX

MTU runs one of the largest independent engine maintenance networks and takes overhaul work on CFM56, GE90 and GEnx engines that GE Aerospace would otherwise perform in its own shops — the aftermarket that generates most of GE's profit.

Lufthansa Technik AGNot tracked

Lufthansa Technik is the largest independent MRO provider and bids against GE Aerospace for airlines' engine overhaul and total-support contracts, the recurring service revenue that follows each engine through its life.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$52.58B

Trailing 12 months (through 9/30/2026)

Net Income

$9.10B

Trailing 12 months (through 9/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$7.26B

Total Equity

$18.68B

Total Liabilities

$111.27B

Current Ratio

0.98

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

1.82

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$344.56

Current Price

$285.64

Margin of Safety

+17.1%

Fair Value Range

$228.93 - $460.19

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$387.00
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$466.69
Earnings multiple (P/E):$310.12
Graham growth formula:$203.28
Earnings power value (EPV):$53.06
Justified P/B:$98.68
Dividend discount (Gordon):$16.91
P/FFO, funds from operations:$148.13
Mid-cycle earnings:$157.70
Revenue multiple:$145.81
Last Earnings Surprise:+5.48%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

32.95

ROE

46.6%

P/B Ratio

16.85

P/FCF

36.81

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

-

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-

WACC

11.7%

ROIC − WACC

-

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (13)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 7.62%
  • Price CAGR 7.32%
  • Positive free cash flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on tangible assets
  • ROE 50.6%
  • Earnings surprise, average 9.0%
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.04
  • Share dilution -2.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Failed (9)

  • P/FCF 36.81
  • P/B ratio 16.85
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Revenue growth 5Y -9.6%
  • PEG ratio 3.74
  • Net margin trend 17.3% vs 18.7%

Unavailable (5)

  • ROIC –
  • Gross margin –
  • Dividend payout –
  • Operating margin –
  • Interest coverage

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

1.04

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-2.3%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. H. Lawrence Culp Jr.Chairman & CEO62
Mr. Rahul GhaiSenior VP & CFO53
Mr. John R. Phillips IIISenior VP, General Counsel & Secretary47
Mr. Mohamed AliPresident & CEO of Commercial Engines and Services55
Mr. Robert M. GigliettiVP, Chief Accounting Officer, Controller & Treasurer54
Mr. David BurnsChief Information Officer-
Ms. Blaire ShoorHead of Investor Relations-
Mr. Christian E. MeisnerChief Human Resources Officer55
Mr. Christoph A. PereiraCEO of SaaS & Aerospace Carbon Solutions and Sustainability52
Mr. Riccardo Procacci Ph.D.President and CEO of Propulsion & Additive Technologies57

Audit Risk

9

Board Risk

7

Compensation Risk

8

Shareholder Rights Risk

3

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-01-29

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-10-20

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-10-20

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much GE moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityMedium

More volatile than 27% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
24.1%
Volatility 90d
27.3%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
1.22Correlation 0.47
Max drawdown (12m)
-25.1%
ATR (14d, % of price)
3.19%

Earnings reactions

How GE moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

Jan 21, 2027 · In 89 days · Before the open

EPS estimate: 2.04Revenue estimate: $13.3B

What usually happens

  • Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 5.6% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 5, down 7 (out of 12).
  • Of the 5 releases that beat estimates, the stock fell the next day after 4.

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Oct 20, 2026Before the open2.012.25+12.0% -2.9% -3.7% n/a
Jul 16, 2026Before the open1.922.02+5.5% -2.0% -4.1% -5.3%
Apr 21, 2026Before the open1.651.86+13.0% -3.3% -5.6% -6.3%
Jan 22, 2026Before the open1.471.57+6.8% -4.0% -7.4% -8.2%
Oct 21, 2025Before the open1.501.66+10.9% +1.5% +1.3% +3.4%
Jul 17, 2025Before the openn/an/an/a+1.4% -2.2% -1.1%
Apr 22, 2025Before the openn/an/an/a+4.6% +6.1% +12.6%
Jan 23, 2025Before the openn/an/an/a+6.9% +6.6% +5.7%
Oct 22, 2024Before the openn/an/an/a-5.0% -9.0% -9.7%
Jul 23, 2024Before the openn/an/an/a+2.0% +5.7% +4.4%
Apr 23, 2024Before the openn/an/an/a+5.1% +8.3% +9.5%
Jan 23, 2024Before the openn/an/an/a-2.7% -1.0% -0.1%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on GE and what the price did next.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for GE.

  • 4d agoPOSITIVE
    GE Aerospace, il terzo trimestre batte le attese e alza le stime per l'anno

    GE Aerospace, a leading global aircraft engine manufacturer, announced its third-quarter 2026 results, surpassing expectations with total orders surging 49% to $19.0 billion and adjusted revenues climbing 18%. The company also raised its full-year earnings estimates, signaling strong operational performance and positive future outlook. This robust performance indicates increasing demand for aviation services and new aircraft, benefiting GE Aerospace's market position and profitability. Investors may see this as a sign of sustained growth and operational efficiency, potentially leading to upward price adjustments.

  • 4d agoNEGATIVE
    Perché il titolo GE scende nonostante la revisione al rialzo dell'utile 2026?

    GE Aerospace has raised its 2026 earnings forecast for the second time this year, projecting adjusted earnings between $8.00 and $8.10 per share, surpassing the previous $7.65-$7.85 range and analyst expectations of $7.94. Revenue growth is also revised upwards to 19%-20%. Despite these positive adjustments, GE shares fell over 4% in pre-market trading. This decline appears linked to broader market pressures from rising oil prices and investor concerns about inflation, overshadowing the company's improved outlook. Investors are weighing the company's strong operational performance against macroeconomic headwinds.

  • 16d agoNEGATIVE
    Azioni GE Aerospace in mercato ribassista: si avvicina un incrocio ribassista

    GE Aerospace shares have entered a bear market, plummeting 22% from their all-time high to $303, a level not seen since May. Technical indicators suggest further downside, with the formation of a double-top pattern at $383 and a neckline at $336. The stock has now broken below this neckline, validating the bearish pattern. Additionally, a bearish crossover is imminent, signaling potential continued selling pressure as investors express concerns over the stock's valuation.

  • 9/9/2026POSITIVE
    GE to Buy Consolidated Precision Products for $11.75B

    GE Aerospace has announced a definitive agreement to acquire Consolidated Precision Products (CPP) for $11.75 billion. This strategic acquisition from private equity firms Warburg Pincus and Berkshire Partners is poised to substantially enhance GE Aerospace's manufacturing capacity for essential jet engine components. The deal is expected to bolster GE's ability to meet growing demand in the aerospace sector, potentially leading to increased production volumes and improved supply chain resilience. Investors may view this move as a positive step towards strengthening GE's competitive position and long-term growth prospects in the aerospace industry.

  • 8/12/2026POSITIVE
    From Edison to the AI age: inside GE Vernova’s reinvention and 600% stock spike

    GE Vernova, the energy spin-off from General Electric, has seen its stock surge by an astonishing 600% since its separation. This remarkable performance underscores a successful reinvention narrative, transitioning from its industrial conglomerate roots to a focused entity poised for growth in the energy transition and AI sectors. The significant stock appreciation indicates strong investor confidence in GE Vernova's strategic direction and future prospects, driven by innovation and market demand for its specialized solutions.

  • 7/24/2026POSITIVE
    From near-collapse to $689 billion: Inside Larry Culp’s turnaround of GE

    General Electric has completed a remarkable turnaround, with its market capitalization soaring from near collapse to an impressive $689 billion under the leadership of CEO Larry Culp. This dramatic recovery highlights Culp's strategic prowess in restructuring the industrial conglomerate, focusing on core businesses like aviation and power, and divesting non-essential units. The company's financial health has significantly improved, demonstrating resilience and a renewed growth trajectory. Investors are likely to view this turnaround positively, signaling a strong potential for future returns and stability in GE's stock.

  • 7/23/2026POSITIVE
    How GE CEO Larry Culp pulled off the turnaround of the century

    Larry Culp's tenure as CEO of General Electric has culminated in a remarkable turnaround, transforming the conglomerate into three distinct, high-value successor companies. Combined, these entities now command a market capitalization approaching $700 billion, a stark contrast to GE's precarious state prior to Culp's arrival eight years ago. This strategic deconstruction and value realization highlights exceptional leadership and financial engineering, signaling a significant positive outcome for shareholders and validating the company's restructuring strategy.

  • 7/16/2026NEGATIVE
    GE boosts profit outlook, but stock falls as booming order growth cools

    GE Aerospace's stock experienced a decline following its earnings report, despite an improved profit outlook. The primary driver for the sell-off appears to be a deceleration in its order-book growth, a key metric for future revenue. While the company raised its profit guidance, investors are increasingly focused on the sustainability of its expansion. The cooling order growth suggests potential headwinds ahead, overshadowing the short-term earnings beat and prompting a reassessment of the stock's momentum.

  • 6/9/2026NEUTRAL
    Markets Prepare for Arrival of Musk’s AI-Infused Space Conglomerate

    Elon Musk's vision of an AI-infused, multiplanetary conglomerate is drawing parallels to General Electric, a company historically known for its diverse industrial and technological holdings. While the comparison highlights the potential for a similarly broad and impactful business, the news itself is speculative and does not involve a direct transaction or confirmed business combination involving GE. Investors should note that this is a conceptual analogy rather than a concrete financial event impacting GE's current operations or stock performance.

  • 6/8/2026POSITIVE
    GE Aerospace CEO Is Optimistic for More China Deals

    GE Aerospace CEO Larry Culp expressed optimism regarding securing additional aircraft engine orders from China. This positive outlook follows a recent meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi, which paved the way for Boeing to secure initial commitments from Chinese airlines. The potential for more deals suggests continued demand for GE's products in a key global market, which could bolster future revenue streams and reinforce the company's position in the aerospace sector. Investors will monitor upcoming order announcements for confirmation of this optimistic trend.