Back to rankings

Graco Inc (GGG)

Fair Value
IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachineryUnited States

Fundamental

66

Price

$66.99

Market Cap

$13.25B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Graco Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets systems and equipment used to move, measure, mix, control, dispense, and spray fluid and powder materials in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through three segments: Contractor, Industrial and Expansion Markets. The Contractor segment provides sprayers to apply paint to walls and other structures; two-component proportioning systems to spray polyurethane foam and polyurea coatings; viscous coatings to roofs, markings on roads, parking lots, athletic fields, and floors; and high-performance volumetric and gravimetric dispense, mixing, and shaking equipment. The Industrial segment designs and manufactures liquid finishing and advanced fluid dispensing equipment; pumps to move chemicals, petroleum, food, and other fluids; and systems, components, and accessories for the automatic lubrication of bearings, gears, and generators; supplies equipment for equipment maintenance and vehicle servicing applications, as well as make powder finishing products and complete powder finishing systems. The Expansion Markets segment manufactures pumps for use in the semiconductor industry; high pressure and ultra-high-pressure valves used in the oil and natural gas industry; and environmental monitoring and remediation equipment that is used to conduct ground water sampling, ground water remediation, and for landfill liquid and gas management. Graco Inc. was incorporated in 1926 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users

P/E: 32.3Score: 77Market cap: $17.95B

Nordson sells the same kind of industrial dispensing and finishing equipment as Graco's Industrial segment — pumps, applicators and automated systems for adhesives, sealants, liquid paint and powder coating — to the same manufacturing plants.

P/E: 30.2Score: 69Market cap: $30.68B

Ingersoll Rand's ARO air-operated diaphragm and piston pumps compete directly with the pumps of Graco's Process division for moving chemicals, food and industrial fluids inside plants.

Wagner Group (J. Wagner GmbH, with its Titan and Wagner SprayTech brands)Not tracked

Wagner's Titan and SprayTech airless sprayers compete head-on with Graco's Contractor segment for professional painters and for shelf space in paint stores and home centres.

EXEL Industries SA (SAMES KREMLIN)Not tracked

Through its SAMES KREMLIN brands, EXEL supplies manual and robotic spray guns, paint pumps and powder-coating lines to the same industrial finishing customers Graco serves, mainly in Europe.

Anest Iwata Corporation (アネスト岩田株式会社)Not tracked

Anest Iwata makes spray guns, paint pumps and finishing systems for vehicle refinishing and industrial coating lines, the same applications Graco's finishing products are bought for, with a strong position in Asia.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$2.31B

Trailing 12 months (through 9/25/2026)

Net Income

$517M

Trailing 12 months (through 9/25/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$638M

Total Equity

$2.65B

Total Liabilities

$620M

Current Ratio

2.12

Interest Coverage

189.01

Debt/EBITDA

0.18

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$79.58

Current Price

$66.99

Margin of Safety

+15.8%

Fair Value Range

$62.94 - $96.21

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$90.50
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$90.73
Earnings multiple (P/E):$70.28
Graham growth formula:$77.31
Earnings power value (EPV):$32.61
Justified P/B:$49.35
Dividend discount (Gordon):$21.52
P/FFO, funds from operations:$62.78
Mid-cycle earnings:$83.05
Revenue multiple:$39.50
Last Earnings Surprise:-1.75%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

21.61

ROE

19.7%

P/B Ratio

4.35

P/FCF

17.90

Gross Margin

52.0%

ROIC

17.9%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

17.9%

WACC

9.2%

ROIC − WACC

+8.6 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 11.26%
  • ROIC 17.9%
  • Gross margin 52.0%
  • P/FCF 17.90
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Operating margin 26.8%
  • Positive free cash flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current ratio
  • Interest coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on tangible assets
  • ROE 20.3%
  • Revenue growth 5Y 6.3%
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.27
  • Share dilution -1.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Failed (8)

  • EPS CAGR 2.60%
  • P/B ratio 4.35
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings surprise, average -0.5%
  • PEG ratio 2.50
  • Net margin trend 22.4% vs 22.7%

Unavailable (1)

  • Dividend payout –

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

1.27

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-1.7%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Mark W. Sheahan J.D.President, CEO & Director61
Ms. Angela F. WordellExecutive VP & Chief Operations and Supply Chain Officer53
Ms. Ronita BanerjeeExecutive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer47
Mr. Peter J. O'SheaPresident of Global Industrial Division60
Mr. Sanjiv GuptaCFO & Treasurer51
Mr. Christopher D. KnutsonVP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer47
Ms. Kathryn L. SchoenrockExecutive VP & Chief Information Officer47
Mr. Joseph James HumkeExecutive VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary54
Ms. Laura L. EvansonExecutive VP & Chief Marketing Officer44
Mr. Claudio MerengoExecutive Officer & President of Global Powder Division55

Audit Risk

7

Board Risk

2

Compensation Risk

9

Shareholder Rights Risk

2

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-17

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-10-21

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-09-14

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much GGG moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityMedium

More volatile than 47% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
51.7%
Volatility 90d
34.9%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
0.61Correlation 0.31
Max drawdown (12m)
-29.4%
ATR (14d, % of price)
3.45%

Earnings reactions

How GGG moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

No upcoming release on the calendar.

What usually happens

  • Over the last 10 releases the stock moved a median of 2.8% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 7, down 3 (out of 10).

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Jan 26, 2026After the close0.770.77-0.2% +1.4% +1.0% +2.0%
Jan 27, 2025After the closen/an/an/a-4.9% -3.0% -3.1%
Jan 29, 2024After the closen/an/an/a-0.4% +2.0% +1.1%
Jan 30, 2023After the closen/an/an/a+0.4% +2.6% +6.7%
Jan 31, 2022After the closen/an/an/a+1.5% +2.4% -1.0%
Jan 25, 2021After the closen/an/an/a+0.5% -4.9% -7.2%
Jan 27, 2020After the closen/an/an/a+6.8% +7.1% +4.1%
Jan 28, 2019After the closen/an/an/a+0.6% +3.6% +3.7%
Jan 29, 2018After the closen/an/an/a-6.1% -4.4% -10.7%
Jan 30, 2017After the closen/an/an/a+0.7% +0.2% +1.0%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on GGG and what the price did next.

No positive or negative news on GGG has been archived yet.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for GGG.

No recent news for GGG.