ICON plc (ICLR)
NEUTRALFundamental
50
Price
$171.25
Market Cap
$13.38B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
ICON is a contract research organization: pharmaceutical, biotech and medical device companies hire it to run their clinical trials instead of building the capability in-house. ICON recruits patients, manages trial sites in dozens of countries, collects and analyzes the data, and prepares the regulatory submissions that get a drug approved. It does not develop or own any drugs itself — its business is running other companies' research, under contracts that can span years and multiple trial phases.
How it makes money
Contracts are typically fixed-price or unit-based, spanning the multi-year life of a clinical trial, and revenue is recognized as work is performed rather than at signing. A large share of new business comes from ICON's existing large pharmaceutical clients rather than new logos, so revenue depends heavily on how much those clients keep spending on drug development and how many of their trials get cancelled partway through — a 2025 accounting investigation found the company had been recognizing some of that revenue too early.
Competitive moat
Switching costs · NarrowOnce a clinical trial is underway, switching to a different CRO mid-study is expensive and risky: it means re-training investigators, migrating patient data and potentially triggering new regulatory scrutiny. That keeps ICON's existing contracts sticky, but it does little to help win the next trial, where price and track record matter more and competition is intense.
What drives demand
Moderately cyclicalDemand follows how much biopharma companies spend on developing new drugs, which is funded partly by cash-rich large pharma budgets and partly by biotech financing that dries up when capital markets turn cautious. Multi-year contract backlog smooths some of that swing, but trial delays and cancellations show up quickly when sponsors tighten spending.
Key risks
- Accounting restatement and internal control weakness — ICON restated 2023 and 2024 results after an internal investigation found revenue had been overstated, and management concluded its internal controls over financial reporting were not effective as of the end of 2025.
- Client and industry concentration — Revenue depends on a relatively small number of large pharmaceutical clients whose merger, consolidation or budget cuts would remove a meaningful share of ICON's business at once.
- Trial delays and cancellations — Clients can pause, shrink or cancel a clinical trial for reasons unrelated to ICON's performance — a failed earlier-phase result, a strategic pivot, or a funding shortfall — and ICON loses the remaining contract value.
- Competitive, price-sensitive market — The CRO industry includes several large global competitors and many smaller specialized ones, and sponsors routinely negotiate on price, putting pressure on margins for large multi-year programs.
Customer concentration
Top customers account for 25% of revenue
No single client exceeded 10% of 2024 revenue, but the top five combined accounted for about 25%. Losing or shrinking a relationship with any of them would be felt company-wide.
The case for
Buyers argue that outsourced clinical research keeps growing structurally as biopharma R&D gets more complex, that ICON's scale and global site network are hard for smaller CROs to match, and that the accounting issue is a one-time governance failure rather than a sign of a broken business.
The case against
Sellers fear that the restatement signals deeper cultural or control problems, that client concentration and trial cancellations make revenue less predictable than the multi-year contract backlog suggests, and that price competition in a crowded CRO market limits how much of that growth reaches the bottom line.
Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$8.37B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$-217M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$623M
Total Equity
$9.38B
Total Liabilities
$3.53B
Current Ratio
0.95
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
6.74
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$109.51
Current Price
$171.25
Margin of Safety
-56.4%
Fair Value Range
$71.18 - $147.84
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
266.89
ROE
0.3%
P/B Ratio
1.43
P/FCF
21.50
Gross Margin
23.9%
ROIC
4.8%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
4.8%
WACC
8.9%
ROIC − WACC
-4.1 pp
ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (9)
- Price CAGR 8.64%
- P/FCF 21.50
- P/B Ratio 1.43
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Revenue Growth 5Y 24.1%
- Analyst Consensus 67% Buy
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 4.85
Failed (9)
- ROIC 4.8%
- Gross Margin 23.9%
- CapEx intensity
- Debt/EBITDA
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- ROE 0.8%
- Earnings Surprise avg -5.2%
- Net Margin Trend 2.8% vs 9.6%
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Unavailable (9)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Operating Margin NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-Score
Serious financial concerns
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Barry Balfe | CEO & Director | 46 |
| Dr. John Climax Ph.D. | Founder & Independent Non-Executive Director | 72 |
| Mr. Nigel Clerkin A.C.A. | Chief Financial Officer | 51 |
| Mr. Steve Empoliti | Chief Commercial Officer | - |
| Lyons Emer | Chief Accounting Officer | - |
| Mr. Thomas N. O'Leary | Chief Information Officer | - |
| Mr. Diarmaid Cunningham | Chief Administrative Officer, General Counsel & Company Secretary | 50 |
| Ms. Niamh Murphy | Director of Corporate Communications | - |
| Mr. David Green | Vice President of Marketing | - |
| Mr. Joe Cronin | Chief Human Resources Officer | - |
Part 2 · The price and when to enter
This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Latest News
Recent headlines for ICLR, sourced from Markets Gazette.