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ICON plc (ICLR)

NEUTRAL
HealthcareDiagnostics & ResearchIreland

Fundamental

50

Price

$171.25

Market Cap

$13.38B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

ICON is a contract research organization: pharmaceutical, biotech and medical device companies hire it to run their clinical trials instead of building the capability in-house. ICON recruits patients, manages trial sites in dozens of countries, collects and analyzes the data, and prepares the regulatory submissions that get a drug approved. It does not develop or own any drugs itself — its business is running other companies' research, under contracts that can span years and multiple trial phases.

How it makes money

Contracts are typically fixed-price or unit-based, spanning the multi-year life of a clinical trial, and revenue is recognized as work is performed rather than at signing. A large share of new business comes from ICON's existing large pharmaceutical clients rather than new logos, so revenue depends heavily on how much those clients keep spending on drug development and how many of their trials get cancelled partway through — a 2025 accounting investigation found the company had been recognizing some of that revenue too early.

Competitive moat

Switching costs · Narrow

Once a clinical trial is underway, switching to a different CRO mid-study is expensive and risky: it means re-training investigators, migrating patient data and potentially triggering new regulatory scrutiny. That keeps ICON's existing contracts sticky, but it does little to help win the next trial, where price and track record matter more and competition is intense.

What drives demand

Moderately cyclical

Demand follows how much biopharma companies spend on developing new drugs, which is funded partly by cash-rich large pharma budgets and partly by biotech financing that dries up when capital markets turn cautious. Multi-year contract backlog smooths some of that swing, but trial delays and cancellations show up quickly when sponsors tighten spending.

Key risks

  • Accounting restatement and internal control weakness — ICON restated 2023 and 2024 results after an internal investigation found revenue had been overstated, and management concluded its internal controls over financial reporting were not effective as of the end of 2025.
  • Client and industry concentration — Revenue depends on a relatively small number of large pharmaceutical clients whose merger, consolidation or budget cuts would remove a meaningful share of ICON's business at once.
  • Trial delays and cancellations — Clients can pause, shrink or cancel a clinical trial for reasons unrelated to ICON's performance — a failed earlier-phase result, a strategic pivot, or a funding shortfall — and ICON loses the remaining contract value.
  • Competitive, price-sensitive market — The CRO industry includes several large global competitors and many smaller specialized ones, and sponsors routinely negotiate on price, putting pressure on margins for large multi-year programs.

Customer concentration

Top customers account for 25% of revenue

No single client exceeded 10% of 2024 revenue, but the top five combined accounted for about 25%. Losing or shrinking a relationship with any of them would be felt company-wide.

The case for

Buyers argue that outsourced clinical research keeps growing structurally as biopharma R&D gets more complex, that ICON's scale and global site network are hard for smaller CROs to match, and that the accounting issue is a one-time governance failure rather than a sign of a broken business.

The case against

Sellers fear that the restatement signals deeper cultural or control problems, that client concentration and trial cancellations make revenue less predictable than the multi-year contract backlog suggests, and that price competition in a crowded CRO market limits how much of that growth reaches the bottom line.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$8.37B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$-217M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$623M

Total Equity

$9.38B

Total Liabilities

$3.53B

Current Ratio

0.95

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

6.74

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Overvalued

Fair Value

$109.51

Current Price

$171.25

Margin of Safety

-56.4%

Fair Value Range

$71.18 - $147.84

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$185.56
DCF:$90.61
PE-based:$9.50
Graham Growth:$4.86
EPV:$29.20
Analyst Consensus:Buy (16B / 7H / 1S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-0.20%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

266.89

ROE

0.3%

P/B Ratio

1.43

P/FCF

21.50

Gross Margin

23.9%

ROIC

4.8%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.8%

WACC

8.9%

ROIC − WACC

-4.1 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (9)

  • Price CAGR 8.64%
  • P/FCF 21.50
  • P/B Ratio 1.43
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 24.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 67% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 4.85

Failed (9)

  • ROIC 4.8%
  • Gross Margin 23.9%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 0.8%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -5.2%
  • Net Margin Trend 2.8% vs 9.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Unavailable (9)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Serious financial concerns

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

4.85

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Barry BalfeCEO & Director46
Dr. John Climax Ph.D.Founder & Independent Non-Executive Director72
Mr. Nigel Clerkin A.C.A.Chief Financial Officer51
Mr. Steve EmpolitiChief Commercial Officer-
Lyons EmerChief Accounting Officer-
Mr. Thomas N. O'LearyChief Information Officer-
Mr. Diarmaid CunninghamChief Administrative Officer, General Counsel & Company Secretary50
Ms. Niamh MurphyDirector of Corporate Communications-
Mr. David GreenVice President of Marketing-
Mr. Joe CroninChief Human Resources Officer-

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for ICLR, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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