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Mattel, Inc. (MAT)

NEUTRAL
Consumer CyclicalLeisureUnited States

Fundamental

59

Price

$14.93

Market Cap

$4.18B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Mattel, Inc., a play and family entertainment company, designs, manufactures, markets, and sells toys, games, and other products in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers dolls and accessories, books, content, and lifestyle products for children under the Barbie, American Girl, Disney Princess, Disney Frozen, Monster High, Polly Pocket, and KPop Demon Hunters brands; die-cast vehicles, tracks, playsets, and accessories for kids, adults, and collectors under the Hot Wheels, Hot Wheels Monster Trucks, Hot Wheels RC, Matchbox, and Matchbox, and Cars brands; and infant, toddler, and preschool products comprising toys, content, live events, and other consumer products under the Fisher-Price, Little People, Thomas & Friends, and Power Wheels brands. It also provides action figures, building sets, games, and other products under the Masters of the Universe, Mattel Brick Shop, MEGA, UNO, Jurassic World, Minecraft, WWE, Toy Story, Star Wars, Pictionary, Skip-Bo, Phase 10, and Blokus brands; and licensor partner brands, including Disney Pixar, Microsoft, NBCUniversal, and WWE. The company sells its products to retailers, including omnichannel retailers, discount and free-standing toy stores, chain stores, department stores, and other retail outlets; wholesalers; and directly to consumers through retail spaces, boutique stores, agents and distributors, and its e-commerce platforms and third-party e-commerce channels. Mattel, Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in El Segundo, California.

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Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$5.49B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$427M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

-

Total Equity

$2.23B

Total Liabilities

$4.41B

Current Ratio

1.90

Interest Coverage

3.49

Debt/EBITDA

3.84

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Undervalued

Fair Value

$53.40

Current Price

$14.93

Margin of Safety

+72.1%

Fair Value Range

$34.71 - $72.09

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$18.23
DCF:$189.39
PE-based:$13.76
Graham Growth:$68.98
EPV:$14.03
Analyst Consensus:Buy (12B / 7H / 2S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-75.00%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

11.06

ROE

17.8%

P/B Ratio

2.12

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

47.5%

ROIC

6.7%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

6.7%

WACC

6.4%

ROIC − WACC

+0.3 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (15)

  • ROIC 6.7%
  • Gross Margin 47.5%
  • P/B Ratio 2.12
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 7.8%
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 19.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 57% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 0.34
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.56
  • Share Dilution -6.5%

Failed (9)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR -1.16%
  • Price CAGR -6.21%
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 3.1%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -28.5%
  • Net Margin Trend 7.8% vs 9.9%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Unavailable (4)

  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity

Piotroski F-Score

4/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.56

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-6.5%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Ynon KreizExecutive Chairman & CEO60
Mr. Paul RuhChief Financial Officer57
Mr. Jonathan H. Anschell J.D.Executive VP, Chief Legal Officer & Secretary56
Mr. Steve TotzkeExecutive Advisor & President of Strategic Transition55
Mr. Roberto J. Isaias ZanattaExecutive VP & Chief Supply Chain Officer57
Mr. Roberto StanichiPresident, Chief Marketing & Brand Officer46
Mr. Sailendra KoorapatiSenior VP & Chief Technology Officer-
Ms. Katina MetzidakisHead of Investor Relations-
Ms. Catherine FrymarkExecutive VP & Chief Corporate Communications Officer-
Ms. Karen AnciraExecutive VP & Chief People Officer43

Audit Risk

6

Board Risk

4

Compensation Risk

4

Shareholder Rights Risk

1

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for MAT, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3/12/2026POSITIVE
    Serenity Capital Management Opens $43 Million Mattel Position

    Serenity Capital Management has disclosed a new $43 million investment in Mattel Inc., signaling strong conviction from institutional investors. Mattel, known for its iconic brands like Barbie and Hot Wheels, and its strategic licensing deals, is positioned as a stable player in the toy and children's entertainment sector. This significant capital injection suggests that Serenity Capital Management sees substantial untapped value or a positive turnaround in Mattel's business prospects. Investors will be watching for management's response to this vote of confidence, which could catalyze strategic initiatives aimed at enhancing shareholder returns.

via Markets Gazette