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Moody's Corp (MCO)

Overvalued
Financial ServicesFinancial Data & Stock ExchangesUnited States

Fundamental

70

Price

$483.45

Market Cap

$83.31B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Moody's Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated risk assessment firm in the United States, the rest of the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through two segments, Moody's Analytics (MA) and Moody's Investors Service (MIS). The MA segment develops a range of products and services that support the risk management activities of institutional participants in financial markets. This segment also offers credit research, credit models and analytics, economic data and models, and structured finance solutions; data sets on companies and securities; and cloud-based SaaS subscription solutions supporting banking, insurance, and know-your-customer workflows. The MIS segment publishes credit ratings and provides assessment services on various debt obligations, programs and facilities, and entities that issue such obligations, including corporate, financial institution, and governmental obligations, as well as structured finance securities. It also provides ratings, investment research, compliance and third-party risk, supplier risk, trade credit, business intelligence sales and marketing, financial and regulatory reporting, balance sheet management, capital management, credit portfolio management, and model risk and governance solutions; Maxsight, a unified risk platform; lending suite, origination, and monitoring solutions; and property, casualty, and sustainable insurance underwriting solutions. The company serves the financial, banking, insurance, corporate, public, and asset management sectors. The company was formerly known as Dun and Bradstreet Company and changed its name to Moody's Corporation in September 2000. Moody's Corporation was founded in 1900 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 19, 2026, shared with all users

P/E: 28.5Score: 69Market cap: $131.18B

Moody's names S&P as its largest competitor: the two firms bid for the same debt-issuance rating mandates worldwide and sell rival credit data, research and risk-analytics subscriptions to the same banks and asset managers.

P/E: 21.4Score: 78Market cap: $7.78B

Through Morningstar DBRS it issues credit ratings on the same bond and structured-finance issuers, and sells investment data and research to overlapping institutional clients.

P/E: 32.6Score: 74Market cap: $43.22B

Sells risk, climate and ESG analytics subscriptions to the banks, insurers and asset managers that Moody's Analytics targets with its own risk and sustainability data.

P/E: 22.7Score: 72Market cap: $11.28B

Competes for the same research-and-data subscription budgets of investment professionals, offering company fundamentals, fixed-income data and analytics platforms alongside Moody's Analytics.

Fitch Ratings (Fitch Group, Inc.)Not tracked

Third member of the "Big Three" rating agencies, privately held by Hearst, competing with Moody's for the same issuer rating mandates and selling credit research through Fitch Solutions.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$8.18B

Trailing 12 months (through 9/30/2026)

Net Income

$2.88B

Trailing 12 months (through 9/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$2.58B

Total Equity

$4.05B

Total Liabilities

$11.63B

Current Ratio

1.29

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

1.96

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseOvervalued

Fair Value

$378.79

Current Price

$483.45

Margin of Safety

-27.6%

Fair Value Range

$246.21 - $511.37

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$551.29
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$217.38
Earnings multiple (P/E):$403.12
Graham growth formula:$333.96
Earnings power value (EPV):$144.89
Justified P/B:$221.29
Dividend discount (Gordon):$52.17
P/FFO, funds from operations:$272.76
Mid-cycle earnings:$216.41
Revenue multiple:$121.94
Last Earnings Surprise:-3.87%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

29.48

ROE

60.7%

P/B Ratio

25.50

P/FCF

28.00

Gross Margin

74.6%

ROIC

24.9%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

24.9%

WACC

10.8%

ROIC − WACC

+14.1 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (20)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 9.71%
  • Price CAGR 17.25%
  • ROIC 24.9%
  • Gross margin 74.6%
  • P/FCF 28.00
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Operating margin 44.6%
  • Positive free cash flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on tangible assets
  • ROE 79.7%
  • Revenue growth 5Y 7.5%
  • Earnings surprise, average 3.1%
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.15
  • Share dilution -1.6%
  • Net margin trend 35.3% vs 29.9%
  • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

Failed (5)

  • P/B ratio 25.50
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • PEG ratio 3.76

Unavailable (2)

  • Dividend payout –
  • Interest coverage

Piotroski F-Score

9/9

Strong financial health

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

1.15

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-1.6%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Robert Scott FauberPresident, CEO & Director55
Ms. Noemie Clemence Heuland CPASenior VP & CFO47
Mr. Richard SteeleSenior VP & General Counsel55
Mr. Michael L. WestPresident of Moody's Investors Service Inc. & CEO of Moody's Ratings56
Mr. Jason PhillipsChief Accounting Officer & Corporate Controller48
Ms. Tameka Brown Alsop P.M.P.Senior VP & Chief Administrative Officer-
Ms. Shivani KakHead of Investor Relations-
Mr. Andrew WeinbergChief Compliance Officer-
Mr. Michael AdlerSenior Vice President of Corporate Communications-
Ms. Maral KazanjianSenior VP & Chief People Officer51

Audit Risk

2

Board Risk

3

Compensation Risk

6

Shareholder Rights Risk

4

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-18

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-10-21

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-10-21

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much MCO moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityLow

More volatile than 24% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
23.4%
Volatility 90d
26.5%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
0.51Correlation 0.23
Max drawdown (12m)
-23.6%
ATR (14d, % of price)
2.64%

Earnings reactions

How MCO moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

No upcoming release on the calendar.

What usually happens

  • Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 2.1% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 8, down 4 (out of 12).
  • Of the 4 releases that beat estimates, the stock fell the next day after 2.

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Oct 21, 2026Before the open4.254.14-2.5% -1.1% +1.2% n/a
Jul 22, 2026During the session4.284.68+9.4% +0.6% -0.2% -1.3%
Apr 22, 2026During the session4.264.33+1.6% +3.2% +1.6% -0.3%
Feb 18, 2026During the session3.453.64+5.4% +3.7% +6.5% +6.9%
Oct 22, 2025During the session3.713.92+5.6% -0.3% -2.5% +1.2%
Jul 23, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a-3.0% +1.8% +2.3%
Apr 22, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a+1.9% +4.0% +6.4%
Feb 13, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a+2.5% +4.4% +1.2%
Oct 22, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a-2.4% -3.9% -5.1%
Jul 23, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a0.0% +0.3% 0.0%
May 2, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a-1.1% +0.9% +6.2%
Feb 13, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a-5.6% -7.9% -6.4%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on MCO and what the price did next.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for MCO.

  • 3d agoNEGATIVE
    Moody’s Earnings Fall Short of Estimates, Shares Little Changed

    Moody's Corporation reported quarterly earnings that missed analyst expectations, primarily due to a decline in its ratings business. This downturn is attributed to higher interest rates impacting corporate bond issuance, a key revenue driver for the ratings segment. Despite an initial drop, the company's shares showed resilience, stabilizing on Wednesday. Investors will be monitoring the company's ability to navigate the challenging interest rate environment and its impact on future bond market activity.

  • 9/15/2026POSITIVE
    Moody’s to Buy Minority Stake in Philippine Credit Rating Agency

    Moody's Corporation is set to acquire a minority stake in Philippine Rating Services Corp., signaling a strategic move to capitalize on the burgeoning debt markets in the Philippines and the broader Southeast Asian region. This acquisition underscores Moody's commitment to expanding its global footprint and leveraging growth opportunities in emerging economies. Investors may view this as a positive development, indicating potential future revenue streams and market share gains for Moody's, reinforcing its position as a key player in the international credit rating landscape.

  • 6/11/2026POSITIVE
    Here's How Much You Would Have Made Owning Moodys Stock In The Last 15 Years

    An analysis of Moody's Corporation (MCO) stock reveals a substantial return for long-term investors over the past 15 years. While specific figures are not detailed in the provided snippet, the title implies significant capital appreciation and potential dividend payouts. This historical performance suggests strong underlying business fundamentals and effective management, making MCO an attractive prospect for investors seeking steady growth and stability in the financial services sector. The article likely highlights key growth drivers and market positioning that contributed to this impressive track record.

  • 5/25/2026POSITIVE
    $1000 Invested In Moodys 20 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

    An investment of $1,000 in Moody's Corporation 20 years ago would have grown to a substantial amount today, reflecting the company's consistent performance and market position in credit ratings and financial analysis. While specific figures are not provided in the prompt, the implication of significant growth suggests strong shareholder returns over the past two decades. This long-term appreciation highlights Moody's resilience and its ability to navigate various economic cycles, making it a potentially attractive long-term holding for investors focused on stability and steady growth in the financial services sector.

  • 3/17/2026POSITIVE
    $100 Invested In Moodys 20 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

    An investment of $100 in Moody's Corporation 20 years ago would have grown to a substantial amount today, reflecting the company's consistent performance and market position in credit ratings and analytics. This growth underscores the long-term value proposition for investors in established financial services firms that benefit from stable demand for their services, particularly during periods of economic uncertainty. The significant appreciation suggests strong revenue generation, effective capital allocation, and a resilient business model, making it an attractive prospect for buy-and-hold investors.