Micron Technology, Inc. (MU)
UndervaluedFundamental
78
Price
$877.55
Market Cap
$994.34B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Micron makes memory and storage chips — DRAM, which computers and servers use to hold data they are actively working with, and NAND flash, which stores data long-term in solid-state drives and phones. It is one of only three companies in the world with the scale to manufacture advanced memory competitively, alongside Samsung and SK Hynix. Demand today is increasingly driven by AI servers, which need far more high-bandwidth memory per unit than a standard computer.
How it makes money
Micron sells chips outright to computer, phone, and server makers at prices set largely by the broader memory market, since DRAM and NAND are close to commodities: when the industry has more supply than buyers need, prices for everyone fall sharply, and when supply is tight they rise just as sharply. Fiscal 2025 revenue jumped 49% mostly on higher prices and the newer high-bandwidth memory used in AI accelerators, illustrating how much results depend on where the industry sits in its cycle rather than on unit sales alone.
Revenue by segment
High-bandwidth memory and DRAM sold to the largest cloud and AI computing customers, the fastest-growing and now largest part of Micron.
Memory chips for smartphones and personal computers, Micron's largest business by revenue but growing the slowest of the four.
DRAM and NAND sold to traditional enterprise and data-center server makers outside the largest hyperscale cloud AI buyers.
Memory and storage for cars, industrial equipment and connected devices, sold under long product lifecycles distinct from consumer electronics.
Competitive moat
Scale · NarrowBuilding a competitive memory fab costs tens of billions of dollars, which has narrowed the industry to three real players worldwide — Micron, Samsung and SK Hynix — and keeps new entrants out. That scale advantage protects Micron's position but does not give it pricing power: DRAM and NAND are still largely interchangeable between suppliers, so prices are set by the whole industry's supply, not by any one company.
What drives demand
CyclicalMemory has one of the most pronounced boom-and-bust cycles in technology: prices can double or halve within a year as manufacturers add or cut capacity slower than demand shifts. AI data-center buildouts are currently driving a strong upcycle, but the same industry has swung from shortage to oversupply repeatedly over the past two decades.
Key risks
- Severe price cyclicality — Memory prices can swing sharply within a single year based on industry-wide supply and demand, and a downturn can turn a very profitable year into a loss-making one quickly.
- Customer concentration — The ten largest customers together generate roughly half of total revenue; losing or renegotiating terms with even one of them would have a large effect on results.
- Heavy, ongoing capital spending — Staying competitive requires continuous, multi-billion-dollar investment in new fabs and equipment years before that capacity generates revenue, regardless of where prices sit in the cycle at the time.
- Export controls and China exposure — US restrictions on advanced chip technology and China's own restrictions on Micron products in response have already cost the company sales in one of its largest markets.
Customer concentration
Micron's ten largest customers together have accounted for roughly half of total revenue in each of the last three fiscal years, though no single customer's individual share is broken out.
The case for
Buyers argue that AI data centers need far more memory per server than before, that a three-player industry structure gives Micron real pricing power in an upcycle, and that fiscal 2025's 49% revenue growth shows the current cycle still has room to run.
The case against
Sellers fear that memory has always been a boom-and-bust business and today's AI-driven prices will eventually invite more supply and fall again, that half of revenue riding on ten customers leaves Micron exposed to any one of them slowing orders, and that China's restrictions on Micron chips could deepen if trade tensions escalate further.
Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 19, 2026, shared with all users
Spun out of Western Digital, Sandisk sells NAND flash, SSDs and removable memory products that overlap directly with Micron's storage and Crucial-branded consumer lines.
The largest maker of both DRAM and NAND flash, Samsung sells the same DRAM, HBM and SSD product lines to the same server, PC and smartphone customers Micron supplies.
SK hynix is Micron's closest rival in DRAM and in high-bandwidth memory (HBM) for AI accelerators, bidding for the same qualification slots at the same data-centre and GPU customers.
Kioxia competes head-on in NAND flash and enterprise and client SSDs, the storage half of Micron's business, selling to the same data-centre and consumer-device buyers.
China's main DRAM producer, named by Micron itself, is expanding commodity DDR and mobile DRAM capacity and takes volume in the same price-sensitive segments, especially inside China.
YMTC is China's NAND flash champion and competes for the same SSD and embedded-storage sockets in smartphones, PCs and servers, chiefly with Chinese device makers.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$133.19B
Trailing 12 months (through 9/3/2026)
Net Income
$84.97B
Trailing 12 months (through 9/3/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$58.96B
Total Equity
$138.38B
Total Liabilities
$57.51B
Current Ratio
3.31
Interest Coverage
937.17
Debt/EBITDA
0.05
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$1572.57
Current Price
$877.55
Margin of Safety
+44.2%
Fair Value Range
$1022.17 - $2122.98
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
11.81
ROE
61.4%
P/B Ratio
7.18
P/FCF
16.84
Gross Margin
80.7%
ROIC
46.6%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
46.6%
WACC
17.6%
ROIC − WACC
+29.0 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (21)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Price CAGR 47.55%
- ROIC 46.6%
- Gross margin 80.7%
- P/FCF 16.84
- Debt/equity ratio
- Operating margin 74.6%
- Positive free cash flow
- Current ratio
- Interest coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on tangible assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 91.8%
- Revenue growth 5Y 36.9%
- Earnings surprise, average 16.2%
- PEG ratio 0.17
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.06
- Share dilution 1.6%
- Net margin trend 63.8% vs 22.8%
- Piotroski F-Score 8/9
Failed (4)
- P/B ratio 7.18
- CapEx intensity
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
Unavailable (1)
- Dividend payout –
Piotroski F-Score
Strong financial health
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Share count is stable
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Sanjay Mehrotra | CEO & Chairman | 66 |
| Dr. Scott J. DeBoer Ph.D. | President & Chief Technology and Products Officer | 59 |
| Mr. Manish H. Bhatia | President & COO | 53 |
| Mr. Mark J. Murphy | Executive VP & CFO | 57 |
| Mr. Sumit Sadana | Senior Advisor to the CEO | 56 |
| Mr. Scott R. Allen | Corporate VP & Chief Accounting Officer | 57 |
| Mr. Anand Bahl | Corp. VP & Chief Information Officer | - |
| Mr. Satya Kumar | Corporate VP of Investor Relations & Treasurer | - |
| Mr. Michael Charles Ray Ph.D. | Senior VP, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary | 57 |
| Mr. Michael D. Cordano | Executive VP of Worldwide Sales | 61 |
Audit Risk
1
Board Risk
7
Compensation Risk
6
Shareholder Rights Risk
1
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-10-09
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-06-25
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-09-30
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much MU moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 95% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 52.5%
- Volatility 90d
- 80.6%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- 3.37Correlation 0.53
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -39.1%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 5.45%
Earnings reactions
How MU moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Dec 23, 2026 · In 60 days · Time not known
EPS estimate: 38.28Revenue estimate: $61.7B
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 8.3% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 6, down 6 (out of 12).
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -1.0% | +3.0% | +2.1% |
| Jun 24, 2026 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +17.6% | +15.7% | -1.5% |
| Mar 18, 2026 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -8.0% | -3.8% | -17.2% |
| Dec 17, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +13.8% | +10.2% | +27.1% |
| Sep 23, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.8% | -2.8% | +0.5% |
| Jun 25, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +1.8% | -1.0% | -4.3% |
| Mar 20, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -4.7% | -8.0% | -11.5% |
| Dec 18, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -13.3% | -16.2% | -13.6% |
| Sep 25, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +18.1% | +14.7% | +4.3% |
| Jun 26, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -4.6% | -7.1% | -3.9% |
| Mar 20, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +17.8% | +14.1% | +23.9% |
| Dec 20, 2023 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +8.0% | +8.6% | +9.3% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on MU and what the price did next.
- 10/23/2026PositivePerché le azioni di Micron, SK Hynix e SanDisk sono in rialzo venerdì?
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 10/22/2026Negative3 big reasons Micron and other chip stocks fell hard on Thursday
- +1 day
- pending
- +3 days
- pending
- 10/22/2026NegativeTwo big reasons Micron and other chip stocks are falling on Thursday
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 10/21/2026PositiveLe azioni Micron rimbalzano: la domanda AI sostiene le prospettive della memoria
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 10/20/2026PositivePerché il titolo Micron rimbalza martedì?
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 10/20/2026NegativeAzioni Micron affrontano nuovi guai dopo un calo del 15%: arriverà un'altra svendita?
- +1 day
- -1.3%
- +3 days
- -5.0%
- 10/19/2026PositiveLe azioni Micron rimbalzano oggi: ecco perché
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 10/16/2026PositiveHeadline no longer in the latest news feed
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 10/15/2026NegativeHeadline no longer in the latest news feed
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 10/15/2026NegativeHeadline no longer in the latest news feed
- +1 day
- +1.6%
- +3 days
- -0.6%
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for MU.
- 1d agoPOSITIVEPerché le azioni di Micron, SK Hynix e SanDisk sono in rialzo venerdì?
Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) shares surged over 3% on Friday, leading a broader semiconductor sector recovery. This rebound followed a significant tech sell-off on Thursday, driven by concerns over rising borrowing costs and corporate debt issuance impacting AI and tech investments. SK Hynix also saw gains exceeding 4%, and SanDisk advanced 1.4%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) rose over 1%, indicating renewed investor confidence in chip stocks. The positive movement suggests that the market is reassessing the impact of economic factors on the semiconductor industry, potentially signaling a favorable outlook for memory and storage solutions.
- 2d agoNEGATIVE3 big reasons Micron and other chip stocks fell hard on Thursday
Micron Technology and other semiconductor stocks experienced a significant downturn on Thursday, influenced by several bearish factors. Tesla's reduced spending targets signaled potential slowdowns in key tech sectors. Lam Research's forecast fell short of expectations, highlighting industry-specific headwinds. Furthermore, a renewed awareness that the AI boom's expansion is contingent on external capital injections has investors reassessing valuations. This confluence of news suggests a cautious outlook for chip manufacturers reliant on continued robust demand and investment.
- 2d agoNEGATIVETwo big reasons Micron and other chip stocks are falling on Thursday
Micron Technology and other semiconductor stocks experienced a downturn on Thursday, influenced by Tesla's reduction in its near-term spending targets and Lam Research's disappointing financial forecast. Tesla's move suggests a potential slowdown in demand for electric vehicles and related technologies, which could impact chip manufacturers that supply components. Lam Research's weaker-than-expected outlook further amplifies concerns about the broader chip industry's near-term prospects, signaling potential headwinds for revenue and profitability across the sector. Investors are reassessing their positions in chip stocks amidst these cautionary signals.
- 3d agoPOSITIVELe azioni Micron rimbalzano: la domanda AI sostiene le prospettive della memoria
Micron Technology Inc. (MU) shares saw a rebound of approximately 2% on Wednesday, driven by renewed investor interest in artificial intelligence-related stocks. This positive sentiment was bolstered by strong results from SpaceX and an optimistic outlook from Super Micro Computer, which raised its fiscal first-quarter revenue guidance to between $18.5 billion and $19.5 billion. Despite a challenging October and a 26% drop from its June peak, Micron's stock has more than tripled this year. The AI demand surge provides a significant tailwind, suggesting potential for further recovery and growth for the memory chip manufacturer.
- 3d agoNEUTRALTime for a Micron mindset shift? Here’s how to navigate the new AI landscape.
Micron Technology investors are advised to adjust their expectations regarding the company's growth trajectory in the AI landscape. An analyst suggests that the rapid growth phase may be transitioning into a more sustained, marathon-like pace. This shift implies that the market's perception of AI's impact on Micron's performance needs to evolve from short-term sprints to long-term endurance. Investors should consider the implications for valuation models and future earnings expectations as the AI revolution unfolds over a longer horizon.
- 4d agoPOSITIVEPerché il titolo Micron rimbalza martedì?
Micron Technology shares experienced a rebound on Tuesday, climbing 0.73% as the broader US stock market recovered and oil prices retreated from recent highs. This bounce offers some relief to tech stocks after a significant sell-off. The stock had previously fallen nearly 20% since October 7th due to concerns over high valuations and the substantial debt required for AI infrastructure. The positive movement in Micron's stock mirrors a broader market upturn, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining 0.87% and the S&P 500 rising 0.37%. This recovery suggests a potential stabilization for tech valuations.
- 5d agoNEGATIVEAzioni Micron affrontano nuovi guai dopo un calo del 15%: arriverà un'altra svendita?
Micron Technology faces potential disruption as workers at its Taiwanese plant in Taoyuan plan to strike on October 22nd over profit-sharing disputes. This comes as the US-based memory chip maker attempts to recover from a 14.6% stock price decline last week. While Micron shares saw a 2.97% rebound on Monday to close at $904.90, the strike threat could complicate production amidst strong demand for AI memory. Investors are closely watching to see if the labor issue remains localized or impacts Micron's larger facility in Taichung.
- 5d agoPOSITIVELe azioni Micron rimbalzano oggi: ecco perché
Micron Technology (MU) shares saw a significant rebound, climbing 2.85% on Monday. This recovery follows an 11% drop the previous week, driven by broader semiconductor sector weakness stemming from concerns over AI spending sustainability and valuations. The bounce indicates investor confidence returning to memory chip manufacturers as the market reassesses AI-related demand. Other semiconductor stocks, including Nvidia, AMD, Intel, and SanDisk, also advanced, mirroring the positive sentiment. Micron's specific news, including a positive outlook from Chinese competitor ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), further supports this upward momentum, suggesting a potential stabilization and renewed growth prospects for the sector.