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NMI Holdings Inc (NMIH)

Undervalued
Financial ServicesInsurance - SpecialtyUnited States

Fundamental

82

Price

$42.55

Market Cap

$3.07B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

NMI Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides private mortgage guaranty insurance services in the United States. It provides primary mortgage insurance services; and outsourced loan review services to mortgage loan originators. The company serves national and regional mortgage banks, money center banks, credit unions, community banks, builder-owned mortgage lenders, internet-sourced lenders, and other non-bank lenders. NMI Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 19, 2026, shared with all users

P/E: 10.1Score: 76Market cap: $6.28B

The former Genworth mortgage insurance business, writing the same US private mortgage insurance on conforming loans through the same lender distribution channel.

P/E: 8.0Score: 90Market cap: $34.56B

Through its Arch MI unit it is one of the six private mortgage insurers National MI lists as competitors, and it can price aggressively because mortgage insurance is only one part of a larger insurance and reinsurance group.

MGIC Investment CorporationMTG

The largest US private mortgage insurer by insurance in force, selling the same GSE-eligible borrower-paid coverage to the same mortgage lenders and loan officers that National MI sells to.

Radian Group Inc.RDN

Named by NMI Holdings in its own annual report as one of the six active private mortgage insurers, competing on price and lender relationships for the same high-loan-to-value purchase mortgages.

Essent Group Ltd.ESNT

A private mortgage insurer of similar vintage and size to National MI, bidding for the same lender master policies with a comparable reinsurance-backed capital model.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$731M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$395M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$413M

Total Equity

$2.59B

Total Liabilities

$1.25B

Current Ratio

-

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

0.77

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseUndervalued

Fair Value

$107.28

Current Price

$42.55

Margin of Safety

+60.3%

Fair Value Range

$69.73 - $144.82

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$49.14
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$243.86
Earnings multiple (P/E):$39.59
Graham growth formula:$197.68
Earnings power value (EPV):$69.01
Justified P/B:$78.09
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:$85.13
Mid-cycle earnings:Not enough data to compute it
Revenue multiple:$24.88
Last Earnings Surprise:+5.70%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

8.36

ROE

15.0%

P/B Ratio

1.18

P/FCF

7.25

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

-

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-

WACC

7.7%

ROIC − WACC

-

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (17)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 14.76%
  • P/FCF 7.25
  • P/B ratio 1.18
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Positive free cash flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on tangible assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 15.1%
  • Revenue growth 5Y 10.3%
  • PEG ratio 0.44
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.13
  • Share dilution -2.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Failed (3)

  • DCF valuation (Fairly Valued)
  • Earnings surprise, average 1.2%
  • Net margin trend 54.1% vs 55.6%

Unavailable (6)

  • ROIC –
  • Gross margin –
  • Dividend payout –
  • Operating margin –
  • Current ratio
  • Interest coverage

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

1.13

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-2.8%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Bradley Mize Shuster C.F.A.Executive Chairman70
Mr. Adam S. PollitzerPresident, CEO & Director45
Ms. Aurora Jean SwithenbankExecutive VP & CFO49
Mr. William J. Leatherberry J.D.Executive VP, Chief Administrative Officer General Counsel & Secretary54
Mr. Robert Owen SmithExecutive VP & Chief Risk Officer55
Mr. Mohammad YousafEVP, Chief of Operations & Technology49
Mr. John M. SwensonVice President of Investor Relations & Treasury-
Ms. Lesley AlliSenior VP of Industry Relations & Corporate Communications-
Mr. Norman P. FitzgeraldExecutive VP & Chief Sales Officer58
Ms. Allison MillerSenior VP & CHRO-

Audit Risk

1

Board Risk

4

Compensation Risk

2

Shareholder Rights Risk

7

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-12

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-07-31

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-07-30

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much NMIH moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityLow

More volatile than 20% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
33.5%
Volatility 90d
24.8%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
0.10Correlation 0.05
Max drawdown (12m)
-18.4%
ATR (14d, % of price)
2.74%

Earnings reactions

How NMIH moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

Nov 5, 2026 · In 12 days · Time not known

EPS estimate: 1.31Revenue estimate: $190M

What usually happens

  • Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 1.9% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 6, down 6 (out of 12).

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Jul 30, 2026After the close1.311.38+5.7% +4.2% +2.0% +1.4%
Apr 30, 2026After the close1.261.28+1.8% +0.2% -3.9% -0.3%
Feb 10, 2026After the close1.211.20-1.1% -1.6% +1.8% -1.3%
Nov 4, 2025After the close1.231.21-1.6% -5.8% -1.8% +0.6%
Jul 29, 2025After the closen/an/an/a+0.2% -1.6% -0.3%
Apr 29, 2025After the closen/an/an/a+4.4% +7.5% +12.9%
Feb 6, 2025After the closen/an/an/a-2.5% -4.8% -8.4%
Nov 6, 2024After the closen/an/an/a-5.9% -5.2% -2.8%
Jul 30, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+3.4% +0.4% -6.9%
Apr 30, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+0.3% +2.6% +9.1%
Feb 14, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+1.5% -1.7% -3.7%
Nov 1, 2023After the closen/an/an/a+2.1% +1.5% +2.0%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on NMIH and what the price did next.

No positive or negative news on NMIH has been archived yet.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for NMIH.

No recent news for NMIH.