Phillips 66 (PSX)
OvervaluedFundamental
76
Price
$283.18
Market Cap
$115.74B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Phillips 66 operates as an integrated downstream energy provider in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, Marketing and Specialties (M&S), and Renewable Fuels. The Midstream segment provides crude oil and refined petroleum product transportation, terminaling, and storage services, as well as natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL) gathering, processing, transportation, fractionation, storage and marketing services. It also exports liquefied petroleum gas. The Chemicals segment produces and markets ethylene and other olefin products; aromatics and styrenics products, such as benzene, cyclohexane, styrene, and polystyrene; various specialty chemical products, including organosulfur chemicals, solvents, catalysts, and chemicals used in drilling and mining; and petrochemicals and plastics. The Refining segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks into petroleum products, such as gasolines and distillates, including aviation fuels. The M&S segment purchases for resale and markets refined products, including gasolines, distillates, and aviation fuels. This segment also manufactures and markets specialty products, such as automotive, commercial, industrial, and specialty lubricants, as well as base oils. The Renewable Fuels segment processes renewable feedstocks into renewable products, as well as supplies sustainable aviation fuel. This segment also procures renewable feedstocks, manages certain regulatory credits, and markets renewable diesel, renewable jet fuel, and other renewable fuels. The company markets its products under the Phillips 66, Conoco and 76, JET, Kendall, Red Line, and other private label brands. Phillips 66 was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
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Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$152.17B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$7.09B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
-
Total Equity
$29.09B
Total Liabilities
$43.44B
Current Ratio
1.32
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
2.07
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$212.15
Current Price
$283.18
Margin of Safety
-33.5%
Fair Value Range
$143.73 - $280.58
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
16.16
ROE
15.1%
P/B Ratio
3.59
P/FCF
-
Gross Margin
13.1%
ROIC
-
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
-
WACC
7.7%
ROIC − WACC
-
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (15)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 16.03%
- Price CAGR 13.15%
- Debt/equity ratio
- Current ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on tangible assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 24.4%
- Revenue growth 5Y 15.6%
- Earnings surprise, average 68.7%
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.26
- Share dilution -3.8%
- Net margin trend 4.7% vs 1.3%
- Piotroski F-Score 8/9
Failed (4)
- Gross margin 13.1%
- P/B ratio 3.59
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Unknown)
Unavailable (8)
- ROIC –
- P/FCF –
- Dividend payout –
- Operating margin –
- Positive free cash flow
- CapEx intensity
- Interest coverage
- PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-Score
Strong financial health
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Well-known investors who own Phillips 66
Latest 13F: quarter ended 06/30/2026
| Investor | Weight in their portfolio | Last quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Bill Nygren · Harris Associates | 0.4% | -$1.2B |
| Tweedy Browne · Tweedy, Browne Company | 0.2% | -$14.4K |
| Ray Dalio · Bridgewater Associates | 0.1% | -$4.7M |
| Joel Greenblatt · Gotham Asset Management | 0.0% | +$1.1M |
| Christopher Bloomstran · Semper Augustus Investments Group | 0.0% | 0 |
Source: 13F filings with the SEC. Long positions in US stocks only, filed up to 45 days late.
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Dr. Mark E. Lashier | CEO & Chairman | 63 |
| Mr. Kevin J. Mitchell | Executive VP & CFO | 59 |
| Ms. Vanessa L. Allen Sutherland | Executive VP of Government Affairs, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary | 53 |
| Mr. Brian M. Mandell | Executive Vice President of Marketing & Commercial | 61 |
| Mr. Richard G. Harbison | Executive Vice President of Refining | 60 |
| Ms. Tandra C. Perkins | Executive VP and Chief Digital & Administrative Officer | 53 |
| Mr. Sean M. Maher | VP of Investor Relations & Chief Economist | 52 |
| Mr. Andrez Carberry | Executive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer | - |
| Mr. Donald A. Baldridge | Executive Vice President of Midstream & Chemicals | 55 |
| Ms. Ann M. Kluppel | Senior VP & Controller | 56 |
Audit Risk
8
Board Risk
8
Compensation Risk
3
Shareholder Rights Risk
9
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-20
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-08-05
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-10-05
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much PSX moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 34% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 30.7%
- Volatility 90d
- 30.0%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- -0.33Correlation -0.13
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -17.3%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 3.15%
Earnings reactions
How PSX moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Oct 28, 2026 · In 3 days · Before the open
EPS estimate: 11.79Revenue estimate: $43.2B
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 3.0% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 6, down 6 (out of 12).
- Of the 4 releases that beat estimates, the stock fell the next day after 1.
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | During the session | 7.51 | 9.41 | +25.2% | +1.9% | -1.6% | +9.0% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | During the session | -0.40 | 0.49 | +221.3% | 0.0% | +5.1% | +9.2% |
| Feb 4, 2026 | During the session | 2.19 | 2.47 | +13.0% | +1.3% | +4.5% | +6.2% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | During the session | 2.19 | 2.52 | +15.2% | -0.8% | +3.2% | +1.6% |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +1.2% | +0.5% | -0.6% |
| Apr 25, 2025 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | -1.3% | -0.7% | -1.2% |
| Jan 31, 2025 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.7% | -2.5% | 0.0% |
| Oct 29, 2024 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | -1.0% | -4.4% | -6.1% |
| Jul 30, 2024 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | +2.3% | +4.8% | -6.2% |
| Apr 26, 2024 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | -3.0% | -3.7% | -8.5% |
| Oct 27, 2023 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | +0.9% | +0.8% | +7.3% |
| Aug 2, 2023 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.8% | -2.8% | +0.5% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/25/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for PSX.
- 8/5/2026POSITIVEPhillips 66 Expects Soaring Fuel Margins to Last Into 2027
Phillips 66 anticipates sustained high fuel margins, projecting this trend to continue through the next quarter and potentially into 2027. This outlook, shared by a company executive, suggests that the current environment of skyrocketing profits for fuel producers is not a short-term anomaly. For investors, this indicates a prolonged period of strong earnings potential for refiners like Phillips 66, driven by favorable market conditions that are expected to persist. The company's forward-looking guidance points to robust operational performance and profitability.
- +1 day
- +1.6%
- +3 days
- +6.0%
- 5/18/2026POSITIVEIf You Invested $100 In Phillips 66 Stock 5 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today
An investment of $100 in Phillips 66 (PSX) five years ago would have yielded a significant return, illustrating the company's strong performance in the energy sector. While specific figures are not provided in the prompt, such an analysis typically highlights substantial capital appreciation and dividend payouts. Phillips 66, a major refiner and midstream energy company, has benefited from favorable market conditions, including robust demand for refined products and strategic operational management. Investors considering energy stocks should note PSX's historical performance as an indicator of its potential for future growth and shareholder value creation.
- +1 day
- +2.1%
- +3 days
- -3.7%
- 4/14/2026POSITIVEPhillips 66 CEO: Running Refinery Assets at 99% Capacity
Phillips 66 is operating its refinery assets at an impressive 99% capacity utilization, signaling robust demand and efficient operations. This high utilization rate suggests strong market conditions for refined products and indicates that the company is maximizing its output to meet current needs. For investors, this operational efficiency points to strong revenue generation and potentially higher profit margins, reinforcing a positive outlook for the energy company's performance in the current market environment.
- +1 day
- +0.9%
- +3 days
- -3.8%
- 4/6/2026NEGATIVEPhillips 66 Sees Nearly $1 Billion in Losses as Oil Prices Surge
Phillips 66 anticipates a substantial loss of nearly $1 billion in the first quarter, primarily attributed to its short positions in oil and related commodity derivative contracts. The surge in crude and fuel prices, exacerbated by geopolitical tensions including the war in Iran, has significantly impacted the company's hedging strategy. This financial setback highlights the volatility inherent in commodity markets and the risks associated with derivative positions when market movements are extreme. Investors will be closely watching the company's ability to manage these derivative-related losses and adapt its risk management strategies going forward.
- +1 day
- -1.5%
- +3 days
- -12.4%
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.