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Rambus, Inc. (RMBS)

Fair Value
TechnologySemiconductorsUnited States

Fundamental

72

Price

$85.65

Market Cap

$10.04B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Rambus Inc. manufactures and sells semiconductor products in the United States, South Korea, Singapore, and internationally. It offers memory interface chips comprising DDR5 memory interface chips which include registering clock driver, multiplexed registering clock driver, multiplexed data buffer, power management integrated circuits, serial presence detect hubs, temperature sensors, and client clock driver products; and DDR4 memory interface chips. The company also provides silicon IP, such as interface and security IP solutions that move and protect data in advanced artificial intelligence, data center, government, and automotive applications; interface IP solutions for high-speed memory and chip-to-chip digital controller IP; security IP solutions, including crypto cores, hardware roots of trust, high-speed protocol engines, and chip provisioning technologies. In addition, it offers portfolio of patents that covers memory architecture, high-speed serial links, and security products. The company sells its products to memory module manufacturers, OEMs and hyperscalers, as well as to chip makers. It markets its products and services through its direct sales force and distributors. Rambus Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

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Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$721M

Trailing 12 months (through 3/31/2026)

Net Income

$230M

Trailing 12 months (through 3/31/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$333M

Total Equity

$1.36B

Total Liabilities

$165M

Current Ratio

9.82

Interest Coverage

203.01

Debt/EBITDA

0.08

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$83.52

Current Price

$85.65

Margin of Safety

-2.6%

Fair Value Range

$54.29 - $112.75

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$141.57
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$32.69
Earnings multiple (P/E):$64.05
Graham growth formula:$35.49
Earnings power value (EPV):$12.74
Justified P/B:$14.90
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:$35.86
Mid-cycle earnings:$13.76
Revenue multiple:$37.08
Last Earnings Surprise:+5.39%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

40.79

ROE

16.9%

P/B Ratio

6.65

P/FCF

27.63

Gross Margin

79.5%

ROIC

14.3%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

14.3%

WACC

15.1%

ROIC − WACC

-0.8 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 22.35%
  • ROIC 14.3%
  • Gross margin 79.5%
  • P/FCF 27.63
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Operating margin 35.9%
  • Positive free cash flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current ratio
  • Interest coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on tangible assets
  • ROE 17.4%
  • Revenue growth 5Y 23.5%
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.59
  • Share dilution 0.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Failed (6)

  • P/B ratio 6.65
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings surprise, average -0.3%
  • Net margin trend 31.9% vs 34.2%

Unavailable (2)

  • Dividend payout –
  • PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Strong financial health

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

1.59

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

0.2%

Share count is stable

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Luc SeraphinCEO, President & Director61
Mr. Xianzhi FanEVP & COO59
Mr. John P. Shinn J.D.Senior VP, General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer & Secretary56
Mr. Sumeet GagnejaSenior VP & CFO55
Mr. John K. AllenVP of Accounting & Chief Accounting Officer61
Mr. Shyam RamachandranSenior VP & Chief Information Officer-
Mr. Kit RodgersSenior Vice President of Technology Partnerships & Corporate Development-
Mr. Cliff BurnetteSenior VP & Chief Human Resources Officer-
Dr. Simon Blake-WilsonSenior VP & GM of Silicon IP-
Mr. Jeffry Moore Ph.D.Senior Vice President of Global Operations-

Audit Risk

4

Board Risk

2

Compensation Risk

1

Shareholder Rights Risk

5

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-18

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-07-28

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-09-04

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much RMBS moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityHigh

More volatile than 91% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
70.8%
Volatility 90d
70.6%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
3.56Correlation 0.57
Max drawdown (12m)
-52.9%
ATR (14d, % of price)
6.49%

Earnings reactions

How RMBS moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

Oct 26, 2026 · In 2 days · After the close

EPS estimate: 0.79Revenue estimate: $213M

What usually happens

  • Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 11.2% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 4, down 8 (out of 12).

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Jul 27, 2026After the close0.730.77+5.4% -5.5% -9.0% -4.4%
Apr 27, 2026After the close0.650.63-3.5% -17.6% -21.3% -21.1%
Feb 2, 2026After the close0.690.68-1.4% -4.7% -13.4% -2.5%
Oct 27, 2025After the close0.640.63-1.7% -14.8% -8.7% -6.9%
Jul 28, 2025After the closen/an/an/a+5.9% +13.9% +17.9%
Apr 28, 2025After the closen/an/an/a-0.4% -5.6% -2.9%
Feb 3, 2025After the closen/an/an/a+2.6% +6.8% +11.3%
Oct 28, 2024After the closen/an/an/a-0.4% +13.8% +8.3%
Jul 29, 2024After the closen/an/an/a-5.6% -13.0% -26.0%
Apr 29, 2024After the closen/an/an/a-4.1% -9.4% -5.8%
Feb 5, 2024After the closen/an/an/a-8.5% -19.2% -15.1%
Oct 30, 2023After the closen/an/an/a+0.8% +9.5% +16.6%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on RMBS and what the price did next.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for RMBS.

  • 4/27/2026NEGATIVE
    Rambus Stock Sinks After Mixed Q1 Earnings Report

    Rambus Inc. reported mixed first-quarter results, leading to a significant drop in its stock price. While the company's revenue met analyst expectations, its earnings per share fell short, signaling potential operational challenges or higher-than-anticipated costs. Investors reacted negatively, reflecting concerns about profitability and future growth prospects. The market's response underscores the importance of earnings beats in maintaining investor confidence, especially for growth-oriented technology firms.

  • 4/27/2026NEUTRAL
    Rambus Gears Up For Q1 Print; Here Are The Recent Forecast Changes From Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts

    Rambus Inc. is scheduled to report its first-quarter earnings on April 27th. Analysts are forecasting earnings per share of $0.64 and revenue of $179.94 million. Recent analyst ratings show a mixed sentiment, with Credit Suisse maintaining a Neutral stance in February and November 2022, while Rosenblatt initiated coverage with a Buy rating in October 2021. The upcoming earnings report will be crucial for investors to assess the company's performance against these expectations and analyst outlooks, potentially influencing future stock movements.