Saia, Inc. (SAIA)
OvervaluedFundamental
67
Price
$332.14
Market Cap
$9.01B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Saia, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a transportation company in North America. The company provides less-than-truckload services for shipments between 100 and 10,000 pounds. It also offers other value-added services, including brokered truckload, expedited transportation, and other logistics services. As of October 13, 2026, it operated 219 owned and leased terminals; and owned approximately 7,700 tractors and 26,500 trailers. The company was formerly known as SCS Transportation, Inc. and changed its name to Saia, Inc. in July 2002. Saia, Inc. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Johns Creek, Georgia.
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Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
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No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$3.39B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$278M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$27M
Total Equity
$2.58B
Total Liabilities
$905M
Current Ratio
1.58
Interest Coverage
31.12
Debt/EBITDA
0.45
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$254.85
Current Price
$332.14
Margin of Safety
-30.3%
Fair Value Range
$165.65 - $344.05
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
32.06
ROE
9.9%
P/B Ratio
3.25
P/FCF
34.71
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
8.8%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
8.8%
WACC
15.9%
ROIC − WACC
-7.0 pp
ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (17)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Price CAGR 22.79%
- ROIC 8.8%
- Debt/equity ratio
- Operating margin 11.0%
- Positive free cash flow
- Current ratio
- Interest coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on tangible assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 10.6%
- Revenue growth 5Y 12.2%
- Earnings surprise, average 4.4%
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 2.18
- Share dilution -0.0%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
Failed (7)
- P/FCF 34.71
- P/B ratio 3.25
- CapEx intensity
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- PEG ratio 2.53
- Net margin trend 8.2% vs 9.0%
Unavailable (2)
- Gross margin –
- Dividend payout –
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Frederick J. Holzgrefe III | President, CEO & Director | 57 |
| Mr. Matthew J. Batteh | Executive VP, CFO & Secretary | 35 |
| Mr. Patrick D. Sugar | Executive Vice President of Operations | 37 |
| Mr. Anthony R. Norwood | Executive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer | 58 |
| Mr. Raymond R. Ramu | Executive VP & Chief Customer Officer | 56 |
| Ms. Kelly W. Benton | VP & Chief Accounting Officer | 49 |
| Mr. Tarak Patel | Executive VP & Chief Information Officer | - |
| Mr. Douglas L. Col C.F.A. | Advisor | 60 |
Audit Risk
6
Board Risk
4
Compensation Risk
1
Shareholder Rights Risk
4
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-24
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-07-30
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-09-03
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much SAIA moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 60% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 28.5%
- Volatility 90d
- 40.3%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- 1.31Correlation 0.36
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -33.4%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 3.49%
Earnings reactions
How SAIA moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Oct 29, 2026 · In 5 days · Before the open
EPS estimate: 3.30Revenue estimate: $967M
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 9.9% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 5, down 7 (out of 12).
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Before the open | 3.45 | 3.51 | +1.9% | -2.9% | -11.1% | -9.5% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Before the open | 1.85 | 1.86 | +0.4% | +5.4% | +6.3% | +6.5% |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Before the open | 1.94 | 1.77 | -8.8% | -4.9% | -6.8% | -5.2% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Before the open | 2.59 | 3.22 | +24.2% | +0.2% | +2.2% | +2.0% |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +12.0% | +7.0% | -3.1% |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -25.0% | -30.7% | -32.2% |
| Feb 3, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +11.0% | -2.0% | +2.0% |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +6.1% | +11.4% | +17.9% |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -19.0% | -18.9% | -19.2% |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -16.7% | -21.0% | -25.2% |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +4.1% | +14.3% | +18.3% |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0.0% | -8.7% | +0.1% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on SAIA and what the price did next.
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for SAIA.