SailPoint, Inc. (SAIL)
OvervaluedFundamental
50
Price
$21.79
Market Cap
$11.24B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
SailPoint, Inc. delivers solutions to enable identity security for the enterprise in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. Its solutions enable organizations to establish, control, and automate policies that help define and maintain a robust security posture and achieve regulatory compliance; and address various types of systems and identities, including data and applications, employee identities, non-employee identities, and machine identities, as well as enable smarter access decisions, improve business processes, and provide deeper understanding of identity and access. The company offers Identity Security Cloud, a cloud-based identity security solution to discover, manage, and secure all enterprise identity types, as well as the data and cloud infrastructure; and IdentityIQ, a customer-hosted identity security solution. It also provides SailPoint platform, a security platform engineered to unify identity, data, and security intelligence in real time. It serves financial services, media, energy and utilities, technology, life sciences, and healthcare, as well as government agencies and public universities. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
No editorial profile for this company yet
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$1.17B
Trailing 12 months (through 7/31/2026)
Net Income
$-197M
Trailing 12 months (through 7/31/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$65M
Total Equity
$6.85B
Total Liabilities
$751M
Current Ratio
1.23
Interest Coverage
203.80
Debt/EBITDA
-
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$13.21
Current Price
$21.79
Margin of Safety
-64.9%
Fair Value Range
$8.59 - $17.84
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
-
ROE
-3.9%
P/B Ratio
1.81
P/FCF
63.82
Gross Margin
66.2%
ROIC
-2.5%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
-2.5%
WACC
11.9%
ROIC − WACC
-14.4 pp
ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (13)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Price CAGR 5.84%
- Gross margin 66.2%
- P/B ratio 1.81
- Debt/equity ratio
- Positive free cash flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current ratio
- Interest coverage
- Revenue growth 5Y 19.5%
- Earnings surprise, average 13.1%
- Net margin trend -16.9% vs -34.8%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
Failed (8)
- ROIC -2.5%
- P/FCF 63.82
- Operating margin -18.9%
- Return on tangible assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- ROE -2.9%
- Share dilution 1,944.2%
Unavailable (5)
- Dividend payout –
- Debt/EBITDA
- Price below Graham Number
- PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income)
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
Low quality: investigate accounting
Share Dilution
Issuing new shares, diluting ownership
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Mark D. McClain TTEE | Founder, CEO & Director | 63 |
| Mr. Matthew Mills | President | 67 |
| Mr. Brian Carolan CPA | Chief Financial Officer | 54 |
| Mr. Christopher G. Schmitt | Executive VP, General Counsel & Secretary | 52 |
| Ms. Abby Payne | Chief People Officer | 48 |
| Ms. Mitra Rezvan | Chief Accounting Officer | 46 |
| Mr. Chandrasekar Gnanasambandam | Executive VP of Product and CTO | 52 |
| Ms. Sreeveni Kancharla | Chief Information Officer | - |
| Mr. Scott Schmitz | Senior Vice President of Investor Relations | - |
| Ms. Samantha Person | Senior Manager of Corporate Communications | - |
Audit Risk
1
Board Risk
10
Compensation Risk
9
Shareholder Rights Risk
8
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-03-19
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-09-10
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-09-09
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much SAIL moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 88% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 63.4%
- Volatility 90d
- 63.4%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- 1.41Correlation 0.28
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -54.0%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 5.29%
Earnings reactions
How SAIL moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
No upcoming release on the calendar.
What usually happens
- Over the last 7 releases the stock moved a median of 7.7% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 1, down 6 (out of 7).
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | During the session | 0.05 | 0.05 | +10.9% | -4.2% | -1.2% | +12.3% |
| Jun 9, 2026 | During the session | 0.08 | 0.08 | -1.4% | -13.4% | -11.5% | -19.7% |
| Mar 18, 2026 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | -9.9% | -15.2% | -16.2% |
| Dec 9, 2025 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | -6.1% | -1.9% | +1.9% |
| Sep 9, 2025 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | -11.9% | -7.7% | -3.1% |
| Jun 11, 2025 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | +14.9% | +14.7% | +16.8% |
| Mar 26, 2025 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0.0% | -1.2% | -16.1% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on SAIL and what the price did next.
- 6/12/2026NegativeThis Sailpoint Analyst Is No Longer Bullish; Here Are Top 3 Downgrades For Friday
- +1 day
- +0.8%
- +3 days
- -4.0%
- 6/10/2026NegativeSailPoint Analysts Boost Their Forecasts After Upbeat Q1 Results
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for SAIL.
- 6/12/2026NEGATIVEThis Sailpoint Analyst Is No Longer Bullish; Here Are Top 3 Downgrades For Friday
Analysts have downgraded SailPoint Technologies Holdings, Inc. (SAIL) and Adobe Inc. (ADBE), signaling a shift in sentiment for these software companies. The specific reasons for the downgrades and revised price targets were not detailed in the provided snippet, but such actions typically reflect concerns about future growth prospects, competitive pressures, or macroeconomic headwinds impacting the software sector. Investors should monitor the detailed analyst reports for specific insights into the rationale behind these rating changes, as they may indicate potential headwinds for the affected companies.
- 6/10/2026NEGATIVESailPoint Analysts Boost Their Forecasts After Upbeat Q1 Results
Despite SailPoint (SAIL) reporting upbeat Q1 results, the company's stock experienced a 4.1% decline, closing at $15.02. While analysts have responded by boosting their price targets, the forward-looking guidance suggests a slowdown in growth for the upcoming second quarter. This divergence between past performance and future expectations, coupled with the immediate market reaction, indicates potential investor caution regarding SailPoint's near-term trajectory and growth sustainability.
- 3/19/2026NEUTRALSailPoint Posts Q4 Beat, FY27 ARR Outlook Falls Short Of Expectations
SailPoint Technologies Holdings Inc. announced Q4 financial results that surpassed analyst expectations, indicating strong operational performance in the latest quarter. However, the company's forward-looking guidance for fiscal year 2027 Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) fell slightly short of consensus estimates. This mixed outlook, coupled with a price target reduction to $18 by analysts, suggests a cautious sentiment among investors. While the beat in current quarter earnings is positive, the subdued long-term outlook may temper immediate upside potential for the stock.