Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD)
UndervaluedFundamental
74
Price
$18.64
Market Cap
$7.21B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Smithfield Foods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces various packaged meats and fresh pork products in the United States and internationally. It operates through Packaged Meats, Fresh Pork, Hog Production, and Other segments. The Packaged Meats segment processes fresh meat into various packaged meats products, including bacon, sausage, hot dogs, deli and lunch meats, dry sausage products, ham products, ready-to-eat products, and prepared foods to retail and foodservice customers. This segment markets its packaged meat products under the Smithfield, Eckrich, Nathan's Famous, Farmland, Armour, Farmer John, Kretschmar, Krakus, John Morrell, Cook's, Gwaltney, Carando, Margherita, Curly's and Smithfield Culinary, as well as under private labels. The Fresh Pork segment processes live hogs into a variety of primal, sub-primal, and offal products, such as bellies, butts, hams, loins, trimmings, picnics, and ribs. This segment sells its fresh pork products to retail, foodservice and industrial customers, as well as to export markets, including China, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, and Canada. The Hog Production segment produces and raises its hogs on various company-owned farms and farms that are owned and operated by contract farmers. This segment also sells livestock feed and grains; and provides transportation and other ancillary services. The Other segment engages in the bioscience operations uses raw materials from hogs that process to manufacture heparin products, including an active pharmaceutical ingredient that mitigates the risk of blood clots; and produces fresh pork products in Mexico. The company was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Smithfield, Virginia. Smithfield Foods, Inc. is a subsidiary of SFDS UK Holdings Limited.
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Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
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No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$15.47B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/28/2026)
Net Income
$1.06B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/28/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$718M
Total Equity
$6.80B
Total Liabilities
$5.38B
Current Ratio
2.56
Interest Coverage
38.11
Debt/EBITDA
1.48
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$44.55
Current Price
$18.64
Margin of Safety
+58.2%
Fair Value Range
$28.96 - $60.15
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
6.95
ROE
14.5%
P/B Ratio
1.05
P/FCF
9.10
Gross Margin
13.4%
ROIC
10.5%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
10.5%
WACC
6.3%
ROIC − WACC
+4.1 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (18)
- EPS shows upward trend
- ROIC 10.5%
- P/FCF 9.10
- P/B ratio 1.05
- Debt/equity ratio
- Operating margin 8.6%
- Positive free cash flow
- Current ratio
- Interest coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on tangible assets
- Price below Graham Number
- ROE 15.6%
- Earnings surprise, average 11.6%
- PEG ratio 0.46
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.09
- Net margin trend 6.8% vs 6.1%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
Failed (7)
- Price CAGR -15.24%
- Gross margin 13.4%
- CapEx intensity
- Low reliance on intangibles
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Revenue growth 5Y 1.5%
- Share dilution 3.6%
Unavailable (1)
- Dividend payout –
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Issuing new shares, diluting ownership
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Charles Shane Smith | President, CEO & Director | 51 |
| Mr. Mark L. Hall | Chief Financial Officer | 55 |
| Mr. Steven J. France | President of Packaged Meats | 58 |
| Mr. Keller D. Watts | Chief Business Officer | 53 |
| Dr. Doug Sutton Ph.D. | Chief Manufacturing Officer | 54 |
| Mr. Robert Allen Brobst Jr. | Principal Accounting Officer | - |
| Ms. Julie MacMedan | Vice President of Investor Relations | - |
| Ms. Tennille J. Checkovich J.D. | Chief Legal Officer | 48 |
| Ms. Allyson Bouldon Esq., J.D. | Chief Ethics & Compliance Officer | - |
| Mr. Brendan Smith | Chief Marketing Officer | - |
Audit Risk
7
Board Risk
10
Compensation Risk
8
Shareholder Rights Risk
7
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-03-24
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-08-11
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-10-16
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much SFD moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 24% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 21.5%
- Volatility 90d
- 26.4%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- -0.15Correlation -0.08
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -38.4%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 2.31%
Earnings reactions
How SFD moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Oct 27, 2026 · In 3 days · Before the open
EPS estimate: 0.26Revenue estimate: $3.7B
What usually happens
- Over the last 7 releases the stock moved a median of 4.3% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 3, down 4 (out of 7).
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Before the open | 0.60 | 0.62 | +2.8% | -3.2% | -2.3% | -7.5% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Before the open | 0.60 | 0.64 | +7.4% | -0.7% | -6.4% | -7.4% |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +5.2% | +4.3% | +15.4% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Before the open | 0.51 | 0.58 | +14.7% | +6.3% | +4.8% | +1.8% |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -3.9% | -2.6% | +1.4% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +0.7% | +8.8% | +13.5% |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +0.1% | -2.3% | +4.0% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on SFD and what the price did next.
- 3/24/2026PositiveSmithfield Foods Shares Rise After Strong Q4 Results
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for SFD.
- 3/24/2026POSITIVESmithfield Foods Shares Rise After Strong Q4 Results
Smithfield Foods Inc. reported Q4 earnings per share of $0.83, surpassing analyst expectations. The company also announced a significant increase in adjusted operating profit, up 27.8%, indicating robust operational performance. Furthermore, Smithfield Foods revealed plans to acquire Nathan's Famous for $450 million, a strategic move expected to expand its market presence and product portfolio. Investors are likely to view these developments positively, signaling strong growth prospects and effective management.
- 3/23/2026NEUTRALSmithfield Foods Likely To Report Higher Q4 Earnings; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call
Smithfield Foods, Inc. is scheduled to report its fourth-quarter earnings on Tuesday, March 24. Analysts are projecting earnings per share of $0.68 on revenue of $4.15 billion. While the consensus forecast suggests a potential increase in earnings, recent analyst rating changes from firms like DA Davidson, Stephens & Co., and BMO Capital have been downgrades, moving from 'Buy' or 'Overweight' to 'Neutral' or 'Market Perform'. This mixed outlook, with anticipated earnings growth tempered by recent analyst sentiment shifts, presents an uncertain picture for investors ahead of the earnings call.