J M Smucker Co (SJM)
Fair ValueFundamental
57
Price
$129.98
Market Cap
$13.65B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
The J. M. Smucker Company manufactures and markets branded food and beverage products worldwide. The company operates through five segments: U.S. Retail Coffee, U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads, U.S. Retail Pet Foods, Sweet Baked Snacks, and Away From Home. It offers coffee, sweet baked goods, pet snacks, frozen handheld products, peanut butter, cat and dog food, fruit and specialty spreads, cookies, frozen sandwiches and snacks, hot beverages, portion control products, toppings and syrups, baking mixes and ingredients, and flour. The company provides its products under the Folgers, Café Bustelo, Dunkin', Jif, Smucker's, Uncrustables, Meow Mix, Milk-Bone, Pup-Peroni, Canine Carry Outs, Hostess, and 1850 brand names. It sells its products through direct sales and brokers to food retailers, club stores, discount and dollar stores, online retailers, pet specialty stores, distributors, drug stores, military commissaries, mass merchandisers, supermarket chains, national mass retailers, convenience stores, vending channels, and foodservice distributors and operators. The J. M. Smucker Company was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in Orrville, Ohio.
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Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
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No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$9.16B
Trailing 12 months (through 7/31/2026)
Net Income
$230M
Trailing 12 months (through 7/31/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$1.16B
Total Equity
$5.54B
Total Liabilities
$10.68B
Current Ratio
0.87
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
3.07
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$137.97
Current Price
$129.98
Margin of Safety
+5.8%
Fair Value Range
$89.68 - $186.26
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
60.74
ROE
-2.5%
P/B Ratio
2.41
P/FCF
8.74
Gross Margin
38.7%
ROIC
4.7%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
4.7%
WACC
5.3%
ROIC − WACC
-0.6 pp
ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (15)
- Gross margin 38.7%
- P/FCF 8.74
- P/B ratio 2.41
- Debt/equity ratio
- Operating margin 9.0%
- Positive free cash flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on tangible assets
- Earnings surprise, average 5.6%
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 8.32
- Share dilution 0.3%
- Net margin trend 2.5% vs -16.8%
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9
Failed (8)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Price CAGR -0.50%
- ROIC 4.7%
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Fairly Valued)
- ROE 4.1%
- Revenue growth 5Y 2.5%
Unavailable (3)
- Dividend payout –
- Interest coverage
- PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Share count is stable
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Captain Mark T. Smucker | CEO, President & Chairman | 55 |
| Mr. Tucker H. Marshall | CFO and Executive VP of Frozen Handheld & Spreads and Sweet Baked Snacks | 49 |
| Ms. Jill R. Penrose | Chief People & Administrative Officer and Chief of Staff | 52 |
| Ms. Jeannette L. Knudsen J.D. | Chief Legal & Governance Officer | 55 |
| Mr. Robert D. Ferguson | Chief Product Supply Officer and Executive VP of Coffee, Pet & Away from Home | 51 |
| Mr. Douglas Guilherme | Senior Vice President of Operations and Supply Chain | - |
| Mr. Jeffrey Varcoe Ph.D. | Senior Vice President of Science & Technical Excellence | - |
| Ms. Crystal Beiting | Vice President of Investor Relations and FP&A | - |
| Abbey Linville | Vice President of Corporate Communications | - |
| Mr. Robert Crane | Senior VP and Head of Sales & International | - |
Audit Risk
7
Board Risk
4
Compensation Risk
8
Shareholder Rights Risk
8
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-06-09
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-08-26
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-08-26
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much SJM moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 32% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 25.6%
- Volatility 90d
- 29.3%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- -0.30Correlation -0.13
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -22.8%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 2.39%
Earnings reactions
How SJM moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Nov 24, 2026 · In 31 days · Before the open
EPS estimate: 2.55Revenue estimate: $2.3B
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 4.5% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 6, down 6 (out of 12).
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Before the open | 2.66 | 2.77 | +4.0% | +7.5% | +4.3% | +4.8% |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Before the open | 2.30 | 2.38 | +3.6% | +5.1% | +10.4% | +13.9% |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Before the open | 2.12 | 2.10 | -1.1% | +10.4% | +8.8% | +7.6% |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -3.7% | -3.7% | -3.1% |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -9.3% | -4.4% | +1.3% |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -6.1% | -15.6% | -14.7% |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -4.2% | 0.0% | +0.2% |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +5.6% | +5.7% | +3.2% |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -6.4% | -4.9% | -0.1% |
| Jun 6, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +3.7% | +4.6% | -0.2% |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.5% | -2.1% | -2.6% |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +3.0% | +3.3% | +8.1% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on SJM and what the price did next.
- 8/26/2026PositiveJM Smucker Rises on Outlook; Intuit Down on Full-Year Forecast | Stock Movers
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 6/11/2026NegativeStock Of The Day: Is This The Top For J. M. Smucker?
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 6/9/2026PositiveSmucker Profit Tops Expectations, Buoyed by Coffee Prices
- +1 day
- +10.7%
- +3 days
- +15.0%
- 6/9/2026PositiveSmucker Plans to Lower Coffee Prices Next Year as Costs Decline
- +1 day
- +10.7%
- +3 days
- +15.0%
- 6/9/2026PositiveHeadline no longer in the latest news feed
- +1 day
- +10.7%
- +3 days
- +15.0%
- 6/8/2026PositiveHow To Earn $500 A Month From JM Smucker Stock Ahead Of Q4 Earnings
- +1 day
- -1.9%
- +3 days
- +14.7%
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for SJM.
- 8/26/2026POSITIVEJM Smucker Rises on Outlook; Intuit Down on Full-Year Forecast | Stock Movers
JM Smucker (SJM) experienced a stock price increase following the company's decision to raise its full-year outlook for both sales and profit. This upward revision is primarily attributed to robust growth observed in its popular Uncrustables sandwiches and coffee product lines. The positive momentum suggests strong consumer demand and effective brand management, providing a favorable outlook for investors.
- 6/11/2026NEGATIVEStock Of The Day: Is This The Top For J. M. Smucker?
J.M. Smucker shares are exhibiting overbought conditions and have reached a significant resistance level, according to technical analysis. These bearish technical indicators suggest a potential downturn in the stock's price. Investors should note that the current price action indicates that the stock may have reached a temporary peak, and a correction lower is possible in the near term. The confluence of overbought momentum and price resistance presents a cautionary signal for current holders and potential new buyers.
- 6/9/2026POSITIVESmucker Profit Tops Expectations, Buoyed by Coffee Prices
JM Smucker Co. reported fourth-quarter profits exceeding Wall Street estimates, driven by strategic price increases for its coffee and jelly products. The packaged food company's ability to pass on costs to consumers underscores its pricing power and resilient demand. This performance suggests effective management in navigating inflationary pressures and maintaining profitability. For investors, the results indicate a company capable of delivering value even in a challenging economic environment, potentially signaling a positive outlook for future earnings and stock performance.
- 6/9/2026POSITIVESmucker Plans to Lower Coffee Prices Next Year as Costs Decline
The J. M. Smucker Company has announced plans to reduce coffee prices in the upcoming year, a move driven by declining input costs. This strategic pricing adjustment is expected to benefit consumers and potentially boost sales volume for Smucker's coffee products. For investors, this signals effective cost management and a proactive approach to maintaining market competitiveness. The company's ability to pass on savings suggests a healthy margin structure and confidence in future demand, which could lead to increased market share and improved profitability in the coffee segment.
- 6/8/2026POSITIVEHow To Earn $500 A Month From JM Smucker Stock Ahead Of Q4 Earnings
The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) offers investors an attractive dividend yield of 4.25%, translating to $4.40 per share annually. This payout structure allows for a consistent monthly income stream, potentially generating $500 for investors who hold sufficient shares. As the company approaches its Q4 earnings report, this dividend yield provides a compelling reason for income-focused investors to consider SJM, highlighting its commitment to returning value to shareholders.
- 5/8/2026NEUTRALDeal Dispatch: J.M. Smucker Considers Strategic Review, Meta Buys Assured Robot Intelligence, Buzzfeed On Brink Of Bankruptcy
J.M. Smucker Company is reportedly considering a strategic review, a move that could signal potential divestitures or a sale of the company. This news comes amidst other significant M&A activities, including Meta's acquisition of Assured Robot Intelligence and Gamestop's proposal to acquire eBay. Buzzfeed is also reportedly on the brink of bankruptcy. The potential strategic review by Smucker introduces uncertainty for investors, as the outcome could lead to significant changes in the company's structure and future operations. Further details on the scope and intent of the review are awaited.