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Sylvamo Corporation (SLVM)

NEUTRAL
Basic MaterialsPaper & Paper ProductsUnited States

Fundamental

58

Price

$36.72

Market Cap

$1.48B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Sylvamo, spun off from International Paper in 2021, manufactures uncoated freesheet paper — the kind used for copiers, printers and offset printing — plus market pulp, at seven mills in Brazil, France, Sweden and the U.S. It also manages roughly 250,000 acres of eucalyptus plantations in Brazil that feed its own mills. The products are largely commodities sold on price rather than brand.

How it makes money

Revenue comes from selling tons of paper and pulp at prices set by global supply and demand, not by the company. Because the product is largely a commodity, profitability depends on running mills close to full capacity and controlling input costs — wood fiber, chemicals, energy and transport — rather than on pricing power. Demand for the category has been shrinking for years as digital alternatives replace printed paper.

Revenue by segment

North America52.3%

Imaging, commercial printing and converting papers from mills in South Carolina and New York, plus offtake volumes purchased from a former International Paper mill.

Latin America25.6%

Uncoated freesheet paper and market pulp from three integrated mills in Brazil, sold regionally and exported worldwide under brands including Chamex.

Europe22.1%

Uncoated freesheet paper and market pulp from integrated mills in France and Sweden.

Competitive moat

No identified moat · None

The company itself states that most of its products are commodities available from other producers, with competition based mainly on price rather than brand distinction. Brand recognition and service levels play a role, but do not amount to a durable pricing advantage over rival paper makers.

What drives demand

Cyclical

The company states that paper and pulp supply and demand are cyclical, tracking macroeconomic conditions and industry capacity, on top of a separate secular decline: global demand for uncoated freesheet paper fell at a 2.1% compound annual rate from 2019 to 2025 as digital communication and e-commerce replace print.

Key risks

  • Secular decline in paper demand — The company states that global demand for its core uncoated freesheet paper has been shrinking for years as email, e-billing and e-commerce replace print, and expects the decline to continue.
  • Commodity pricing and industry cyclicality — Prices for paper and pulp are set by global supply and demand rather than by the company, and industry overcapacity can prolong periods of weak pricing when competitors keep unprofitable mills running rather than close them.
  • Customer concentration — The top ten customers account for about 41% of net sales, with one customer alone at about 15%; losing a major customer or seeing distributor consolidation could hurt sales materially.
  • Raw material, energy and weather exposure — The business depends on a steady supply of wood fiber and energy; the company cites drought in Brazil that has already reduced timber yields and raised fiber costs, with further weather disruption a risk.
  • Trade policy and tariffs — The company states that tariffs imposed on imported goods have introduced additional competing products in some markets, pressured pricing, raised input costs and constrained its ability to import and sell certain products in the U.S.

Customer concentration

Top customers account for 15% of revenue

The company states its top ten customers represent about 41% of net sales, including one single customer at about 15%. Losing that customer or a wave of consolidation among distributors could materially affect sales.

The case for

Buyers argue that Sylvamo's low-cost, forest-integrated Brazilian mills give it a cost advantage in a shrinking industry, that industry-wide capacity closures should eventually balance supply and demand, and that the stock's cash generation supports a meaningful dividend even as volumes decline.

The case against

Sellers fear that a structurally shrinking, commodity product with no pricing power is a poor long-term business regardless of cost position, that customer concentration and tariff exposure add near-term volatility, and that Brazilian drought and currency swings make earnings hard to predict.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$3.30B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$76M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$44M

Total Equity

$966M

Total Liabilities

$1.80B

Current Ratio

1.47

Interest Coverage

3.38

Debt/EBITDA

2.21

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Undervalued

Fair Value

$58.37

Current Price

$36.72

Margin of Safety

+37.1%

Fair Value Range

$37.94 - $78.80

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$51.25
DCF:$187.88
PE-based:$17.91
Graham Growth:$13.99
EPV:$44.62
Analyst Consensus:Buy (6B / 3H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-89.21%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

19.84

ROE

13.7%

P/B Ratio

1.54

P/FCF

33.58

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

6.6%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

6.6%

WACC

7.1%

ROIC − WACC

-0.5 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (17)

  • Price CAGR 5.70%
  • ROIC 6.5%
  • P/B Ratio 1.54
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 5.3%
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 10.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 67% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.75
  • Share Dilution -3.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Failed (7)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR -14.93%
  • P/FCF 33.58
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Earnings Surprise avg -45.2%
  • Net Margin Trend 2.3% vs 6.1%

Unavailable (4)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

2.75

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-3.1%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. John Van SimsCEO, President & Director62
Mr. Donald Paul DevlinSenior VP & CFO60
Mr. Matthew L. BarronSenior VP, Chief Administrative & Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary52
Mr. Rodrigo DavoliSenior VP & GM of North America45
Ms. Tatiana KalmanSenior VP & GM of Latin America47
Kevin W. FergusonVP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer-
Mr. Hans BjorkmanVice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Marcie VargasSenior VP & Chief People Officer61
Mr. Patrick WilczynskiSenior Vice President of Operational Excellence55
Ms. Shawn LawsonSenior VP & GM of Europe48

Audit Risk

4

Board Risk

1

Compensation Risk

4

Shareholder Rights Risk

4

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for SLVM, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for SLVM.