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SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI)

Overvalued
Financial ServicesCredit ServicesUnited States

Fundamental

45

Price

$14.62

Market Cap

$18.79B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

SoFi is a digital financial-services company built around a single mobile app and no physical branches. It began by refinancing student loans for graduates of selective colleges and has since added personal loans, mortgages, a checking and savings account, brokerage, and credit cards. Since 2022 it has held a national bank charter, letting it fund loans with customer deposits instead of only external capital. A separate unit, born from acquiring Galileo and Technisys, sells the banking software that runs SoFi's own accounts to other financial companies.

How it makes money

SoFi earns from three different mechanisms at once. Lending revenue comes from interest on loans held on the balance sheet and from gain-on-sale when loans are packaged and sold to investors, so it moves with interest rates and loan volume. Financial Services revenue comes from fees on deposits, cards, and brokerage activity across its own members. Technology Platform revenue is a business-to-business software fee, charged per account to banks and fintechs that run on SoFi's infrastructure rather than build their own.

Revenue by segment

Lending48.1%

Personal loans, student loan refinancing and mortgages, originated digitally and either held for interest income or sold to investors for a gain.

Financial Services40.1%

SoFi Checking and Savings, Invest, credit cards and other consumer products cross-sold to the same member base that started with a loan.

Technology Platform11.7%

Banking-as-a-service infrastructure, built from the Galileo and Technisys acquisitions, sold to other banks and fintechs that need account and card processing.

Competitive moat

Switching costs · Narrow

SoFi cross-sells lending, banking, and investing to the same member inside one app, and a member who moves a paycheck's direct deposit there gains fee waivers and rate discounts that make leaving mildly costly. But digital banking has many capable rivals, deposit rates are easy to compare, and nothing stops a member from banking elsewhere for a better rate.

What drives demand

Cyclical

Lending is still SoFi's largest segment, and loan demand and credit performance move with interest rates and the broader economy: refinancing slows when rates rise, and defaults climb in a downturn. The bank charter smooths funding costs but does not remove the underlying sensitivity of a lending business to the credit cycle.

Key risks

  • Interest rate and credit cycle exposure — Rising rates reduce demand for refinancing and new loans, while a weakening economy raises defaults on the loans SoFi still holds on its own balance sheet.
  • Extensive financial regulation — As a bank holding company, SoFi answers to federal and state banking, consumer-protection and securities regulators at once, and a change in any of their rules can raise costs or restrict a product line.
  • Dependence on selling loans to investors — A meaningful share of lending revenue comes from packaging and selling loans to outside investors; if that market cools, SoFi must either hold more loans itself or shrink originations.
  • Crowded digital banking market — Neobanks, traditional banks and fintech apps all compete for the same deposits and loans, and low switching costs mean SoFi must keep winning members on price and features.

The case for

Buyers argue that a bank charter lets SoFi fund loans more cheaply than pure fintech rivals, that cross-selling three product lines to the same member lifts revenue per user over time, and that Technology Platform gives it a second, less cyclical business selling infrastructure to other financial firms.

The case against

Sellers fear that SoFi is still fundamentally a lender whose fortunes rise and fall with interest rates and consumer credit quality, that Financial Services and Technology Platform growth rates will cool as the member base matures, and that competition from banks and other fintechs keeps pricing power limited.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$4.31B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$636M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$-3.98B

Total Equity

$10.49B

Total Liabilities

$40.17B

Current Ratio

-

Interest Coverage

0.27

Debt/EBITDA

-

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

BankOvervalued

Fair Value

$9.84

Current Price

$14.62

Margin of Safety

-48.5%

Fair Value Range

$6.40 - $13.29

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$20.36
Discounted cash flow (DCF):Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings multiple (P/E):$11.01
Graham growth formula:Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings power value (EPV):Not applicable to this type of company
Justified P/B:$1.37
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not applicable to this type of company
Mid-cycle earnings:Not applicable to this type of company
Revenue multiple:Not applicable to this type of company
Last Earnings Surprise:+6.86%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

29.83

ROE

4.6%

P/B Ratio

1.70

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

83.9%

ROIC

-

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-

WACC

16.8%

ROIC − WACC

-

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (8)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Gross margin 83.9%
  • P/B ratio 1.70
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Operating margin 17.1%
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Earnings surprise, average 12.0%
  • Share dilution -3.5%

Failed (10)

  • Price CAGR 0.92%
  • Positive free cash flow
  • Interest coverage
  • Return on tangible assets
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE 6.2%
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) -13.36
  • Net margin trend 14.8% vs 18.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Unavailable (8)

  • ROIC –
  • P/FCF –
  • Dividend payout –
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Revenue growth 5Y
  • PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

4/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

-13.36

Low quality: investigate accounting

Share Dilution

-3.5%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. George Thompson HuttonIndependent Non Executive Chairman69
Mr. Anthony J. NotoCEO & Director56
Mr. Christopher LapointeChief Financial Officer41
Mr. Jeremy RishelChief Technology Officer52
Dr. Kelli A. KeoughExecutive VP and Group Business Unit Leader for Spend, Invest, Protect & Save55
Mr. Arun PintoChief Risk Officer46
Mr. Tom KarinshakEVP & Head of Global Operations-
Mr. Robert Steven Lavet J.D.General Counsel76
Ms. Lauren Stafford WebbChief Marketing Officer39
Mr. William F. Tanona C.F.A.Senior Vice President of Corporate Development & Strategic Partnerships52

Audit Risk

5

Board Risk

6

Compensation Risk

4

Shareholder Rights Risk

7

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-17

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-06

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-07-29

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much SOFI moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityMedium

More volatile than 74% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
38.9%
Volatility 90d
49.5%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
2.66Correlation 0.61
Max drawdown (12m)
-55.9%
ATR (14d, % of price)
4.43%

Earnings reactions

How SOFI moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

Oct 27, 2026 · In 3 days · Before the open

EPS estimate: 0.17Revenue estimate: $1.3B

What usually happens

  • Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 6.5% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 6, down 6 (out of 12).

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Jul 29, 2026Before the open0.110.12+6.9% -7.4% -8.9% +11.7%
Apr 29, 2026Before the open0.120.12-1.2% -9.9% -15.4% -12.7%
Jan 30, 2026Before the open0.120.13+9.7% +4.4% -6.4% -20.1%
Oct 28, 2025Before the open0.080.11+32.5% +3.3% +5.5% +2.1%
Jul 29, 2025Before the openn/an/an/a+9.9% +6.6% +3.8%
Apr 29, 2025Before the openn/an/an/a+7.0% +0.5% -2.6%
Jan 27, 2025Before the openn/an/an/a-11.1% -10.3% -11.9%
Oct 29, 2024Before the openn/an/an/a-3.9% -6.4% -2.5%
Jul 30, 2024Before the openn/an/an/a+3.4% +1.2% -10.8%
Apr 29, 2024Before the openn/an/an/a-6.4% -10.5% -11.6%
Jan 29, 2024Before the openn/an/an/a+15.7% +20.2% +3.4%
Oct 30, 2023Before the openn/an/an/a+10.6% +1.0% +16.6%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on SOFI and what the price did next.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for SOFI.

  • 1d agoPOSITIVE
    SoFi Launches Yield-Bearing Tokenized Bank Deposit With Stablecoin Conversion

    SoFi Technologies has launched a new yield-bearing tokenized bank deposit, the SOFIE token. This innovative product represents funds held at SoFi Bank and offers an advertised Annual Percentage Yield (APY) of 4.40%, subject to specific terms and conditions. A key feature is its ability to convert to SoFiUSD, a stablecoin, enabling seamless transfers on the blockchain. This move by SoFi aims to bridge traditional banking with decentralized finance, potentially attracting new customers and offering existing ones enhanced yield and flexibility. Investors will be watching adoption rates and regulatory responses closely.

  • 2d agoPOSITIVE
    SoFi unveils bank-issued tokenized deposit for yield-bearing crypto funds

    SoFi Bank has launched SoFi Earn, a novel bank-issued tokenized deposit product offering a 4.40% APY with FDIC insurance. This innovative service allows users to convert traditional funds into stablecoins around the clock, enhancing liquidity and yield opportunities. The product aims to bridge traditional finance with decentralized finance by providing a regulated and insured avenue for yield generation on digital assets. For investors, this move signifies SoFi's strategic expansion into the digital asset space, potentially attracting new customer segments and increasing non-interest income.

  • 2d agoPOSITIVE
    SoFi becomes first consumer bank to launch tokenized deposits, offers 4.4% interest

    SoFi Technologies Inc. has launched tokenized deposits, becoming the first consumer bank to offer this innovative product. The bank is providing a competitive 4.4% interest rate on these tokenized deposits. This move positions SoFi at the forefront of digital finance, potentially attracting new customers and increasing deposits. The offering enters a market with ongoing discussions about stablecoins versus tokenized deposits, suggesting a strategic play to capture market share in this emerging financial technology space. Investors may view this as a significant technological advancement and a differentiator for the company.

  • 4d agoNEGATIVE
    Le azioni SoFi arrivano a un supporto cruciale in vista degli utili: caleranno ancora?

    SoFi Technologies' stock has experienced significant pressure, trading at $14.70, its lowest point since June of the previous year, and down 55% from its 2025 peak. The market capitalization has fallen from $39.1 billion to $18.9 billion. Despite reporting solid financial results and positive earnings in its Q2 report, the stock has underperformed the broader market. A concerning technical pattern suggests potential for further short-term declines, raising questions about its immediate future performance ahead of its upcoming earnings release.

  • 9/24/2026POSITIVE
    SoFi tie-up shows stablecoins can provide alternative blockchain settlement rail

    SoFi Technologies is enhancing its payment infrastructure by migrating its entire card program to a blockchain-based settlement system utilizing its proprietary SoFiUSD stablecoin. This strategic move is projected to handle over $25 billion in annualized transaction volume. The adoption of blockchain technology for settlement aims to streamline operations, reduce costs, and potentially offer faster transaction processing. For investors, this initiative highlights SoFi's commitment to innovation in financial technology and its ability to leverage digital assets for core business functions, potentially improving efficiency and competitiveness.

  • 9/22/2026POSITIVE
    SoFi ottiene un traguardo mai raggiunto da altre banche nazionali USA

    SoFi Technologies Inc. has achieved a significant milestone, becoming the first U.S. national bank to enable real-time settlement via stablecoins across Mastercard's global payment network. This integration allows SoFi to process its $25 billion card program using its own stablecoin, SoFiUSD, bypassing traditional settlement delays. While the stock remains approximately 40% below its year-to-date high, this technological advancement in digital payments infrastructure positions SoFi as an innovator in the fintech banking sector. Investors may view this as a positive step towards enhanced efficiency and potential new revenue streams.

  • 7/30/2026NEGATIVE
    Why SoFi’s stock drops, even after its earnings beat expectations

    SoFi Technologies Inc. experienced a stock price decline despite beating earnings expectations, as investors reacted negatively to the neobank's cautious future guidance. While the company reported better-than-expected financial results for the period, the outlook provided for the upcoming quarters fell short of market consensus. This discrepancy between current performance and future projections has led to a sell-off, indicating that forward-looking statements are heavily influencing investor sentiment and valuation for the fintech firm.

  • 7/29/2026NEGATIVE
    Why SoFi’s stock is dropping, even after its earnings beat expectations

    SoFi Technologies Inc. saw its stock price decline despite reporting earnings that surpassed analyst expectations. The disappointment stems from the neobank's cautious forward-looking guidance, which failed to inspire investor confidence for future growth. While the company delivered a strong current quarter, the subdued outlook suggests potential headwinds or a more conservative growth trajectory ahead. Investors are likely recalibrating their expectations based on this tempered forecast, leading to the sell-off.

  • 6/18/2026POSITIVE
    SoFi Stock Is Rising Thursday: What's Driving The Move?

    SoFi Technologies Inc. stock saw a notable increase on Thursday, fueled by significant insider buying activity from CEO Anthony Noto. This strategic investment by the company's leader signals strong conviction in SoFi's future prospects. The positive momentum is further amplified by a broader 'risk-on' sentiment in the technology sector, suggesting a favorable environment for growth-oriented companies. Investors are likely interpreting Noto's actions as a vote of confidence, potentially leading to increased institutional interest and upward price pressure.

  • 6/16/2026POSITIVE
    SoFi Stock Is Climbing Despite A Broader Tech Selloff: What's Going On?

    SoFi Technologies Inc. is experiencing a notable stock price increase, defying a broader downturn in the technology sector. This upward momentum is largely attributed to investor enthusiasm surrounding the company's recent foray into the cryptocurrency space with the launch of its SoFiUSD stablecoin. The crypto-adjacent narrative appears to be resonating with traders, driving demand for SoFi's stock despite prevailing market headwinds. This suggests a positive market perception of SoFi's diversification strategy and its potential to capitalize on emerging digital asset trends.