SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI)
OvervaluedFundamental
45
Price
$14.62
Market Cap
$18.79B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
SoFi is a digital financial-services company built around a single mobile app and no physical branches. It began by refinancing student loans for graduates of selective colleges and has since added personal loans, mortgages, a checking and savings account, brokerage, and credit cards. Since 2022 it has held a national bank charter, letting it fund loans with customer deposits instead of only external capital. A separate unit, born from acquiring Galileo and Technisys, sells the banking software that runs SoFi's own accounts to other financial companies.
How it makes money
SoFi earns from three different mechanisms at once. Lending revenue comes from interest on loans held on the balance sheet and from gain-on-sale when loans are packaged and sold to investors, so it moves with interest rates and loan volume. Financial Services revenue comes from fees on deposits, cards, and brokerage activity across its own members. Technology Platform revenue is a business-to-business software fee, charged per account to banks and fintechs that run on SoFi's infrastructure rather than build their own.
Revenue by segment
Personal loans, student loan refinancing and mortgages, originated digitally and either held for interest income or sold to investors for a gain.
SoFi Checking and Savings, Invest, credit cards and other consumer products cross-sold to the same member base that started with a loan.
Banking-as-a-service infrastructure, built from the Galileo and Technisys acquisitions, sold to other banks and fintechs that need account and card processing.
Competitive moat
Switching costs · NarrowSoFi cross-sells lending, banking, and investing to the same member inside one app, and a member who moves a paycheck's direct deposit there gains fee waivers and rate discounts that make leaving mildly costly. But digital banking has many capable rivals, deposit rates are easy to compare, and nothing stops a member from banking elsewhere for a better rate.
What drives demand
CyclicalLending is still SoFi's largest segment, and loan demand and credit performance move with interest rates and the broader economy: refinancing slows when rates rise, and defaults climb in a downturn. The bank charter smooths funding costs but does not remove the underlying sensitivity of a lending business to the credit cycle.
Key risks
- Interest rate and credit cycle exposure — Rising rates reduce demand for refinancing and new loans, while a weakening economy raises defaults on the loans SoFi still holds on its own balance sheet.
- Extensive financial regulation — As a bank holding company, SoFi answers to federal and state banking, consumer-protection and securities regulators at once, and a change in any of their rules can raise costs or restrict a product line.
- Dependence on selling loans to investors — A meaningful share of lending revenue comes from packaging and selling loans to outside investors; if that market cools, SoFi must either hold more loans itself or shrink originations.
- Crowded digital banking market — Neobanks, traditional banks and fintech apps all compete for the same deposits and loans, and low switching costs mean SoFi must keep winning members on price and features.
The case for
Buyers argue that a bank charter lets SoFi fund loans more cheaply than pure fintech rivals, that cross-selling three product lines to the same member lifts revenue per user over time, and that Technology Platform gives it a second, less cyclical business selling infrastructure to other financial firms.
The case against
Sellers fear that SoFi is still fundamentally a lender whose fortunes rise and fall with interest rates and consumer credit quality, that Financial Services and Technology Platform growth rates will cool as the member base matures, and that competition from banks and other fintechs keeps pricing power limited.
Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$4.31B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$636M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$-3.98B
Total Equity
$10.49B
Total Liabilities
$40.17B
Current Ratio
-
Interest Coverage
0.27
Debt/EBITDA
-
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$9.84
Current Price
$14.62
Margin of Safety
-48.5%
Fair Value Range
$6.40 - $13.29
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
29.83
ROE
4.6%
P/B Ratio
1.70
P/FCF
-
Gross Margin
83.9%
ROIC
-
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
-
WACC
16.8%
ROIC − WACC
-
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (8)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Gross margin 83.9%
- P/B ratio 1.70
- Debt/equity ratio
- Operating margin 17.1%
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Earnings surprise, average 12.0%
- Share dilution -3.5%
Failed (10)
- Price CAGR 0.92%
- Positive free cash flow
- Interest coverage
- Return on tangible assets
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Unknown)
- ROE 6.2%
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) -13.36
- Net margin trend 14.8% vs 18.4%
- Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Unavailable (8)
- ROIC –
- P/FCF –
- Dividend payout –
- CapEx intensity
- Current ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Revenue growth 5Y
- PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
Low quality: investigate accounting
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. George Thompson Hutton | Independent Non Executive Chairman | 69 |
| Mr. Anthony J. Noto | CEO & Director | 56 |
| Mr. Christopher Lapointe | Chief Financial Officer | 41 |
| Mr. Jeremy Rishel | Chief Technology Officer | 52 |
| Dr. Kelli A. Keough | Executive VP and Group Business Unit Leader for Spend, Invest, Protect & Save | 55 |
| Mr. Arun Pinto | Chief Risk Officer | 46 |
| Mr. Tom Karinshak | EVP & Head of Global Operations | - |
| Mr. Robert Steven Lavet J.D. | General Counsel | 76 |
| Ms. Lauren Stafford Webb | Chief Marketing Officer | 39 |
| Mr. William F. Tanona C.F.A. | Senior Vice President of Corporate Development & Strategic Partnerships | 52 |
Audit Risk
5
Board Risk
6
Compensation Risk
4
Shareholder Rights Risk
7
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-17
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-08-06
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-07-29
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much SOFI moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 74% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 38.9%
- Volatility 90d
- 49.5%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- 2.66Correlation 0.61
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -55.9%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 4.43%
Earnings reactions
How SOFI moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Oct 27, 2026 · In 3 days · Before the open
EPS estimate: 0.17Revenue estimate: $1.3B
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 6.5% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 6, down 6 (out of 12).
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Before the open | 0.11 | 0.12 | +6.9% | -7.4% | -8.9% | +11.7% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Before the open | 0.12 | 0.12 | -1.2% | -9.9% | -15.4% | -12.7% |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Before the open | 0.12 | 0.13 | +9.7% | +4.4% | -6.4% | -20.1% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Before the open | 0.08 | 0.11 | +32.5% | +3.3% | +5.5% | +2.1% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +9.9% | +6.6% | +3.8% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +7.0% | +0.5% | -2.6% |
| Jan 27, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -11.1% | -10.3% | -11.9% |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -3.9% | -6.4% | -2.5% |
| Jul 30, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +3.4% | +1.2% | -10.8% |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -6.4% | -10.5% | -11.6% |
| Jan 29, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +15.7% | +20.2% | +3.4% |
| Oct 30, 2023 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +10.6% | +1.0% | +16.6% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on SOFI and what the price did next.
- 10/23/2026PositiveSoFi Launches Yield-Bearing Tokenized Bank Deposit With Stablecoin Conversion
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 10/22/2026PositiveSoFi unveils bank-issued tokenized deposit for yield-bearing crypto funds
- +1 day
- +0.3%
- +3 days
- pending
- 10/22/2026PositiveSoFi becomes first consumer bank to launch tokenized deposits, offers 4.4% interest
- +1 day
- +0.3%
- +3 days
- pending
- 10/20/2026NegativeLe azioni SoFi arrivano a un supporto cruciale in vista degli utili: caleranno ancora?
- +1 day
- +1.0%
- +3 days
- pending
- 9/24/2026PositiveSoFi tie-up shows stablecoins can provide alternative blockchain settlement rail
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 9/22/2026PositiveSoFi ottiene un traguardo mai raggiunto da altre banche nazionali USA
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 7/30/2026NegativeWhy SoFi’s stock drops, even after its earnings beat expectations
- +1 day
- +6.3%
- +3 days
- +14.4%
- 7/29/2026NegativeWhy SoFi’s stock is dropping, even after its earnings beat expectations
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 6/18/2026PositiveSoFi Stock Is Rising Thursday: What's Driving The Move?
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 6/16/2026PositiveSoFi Stock Is Climbing Despite A Broader Tech Selloff: What's Going On?
- +1 day
- -0.4%
- +3 days
- -2.7%
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for SOFI.
- 1d agoPOSITIVESoFi Launches Yield-Bearing Tokenized Bank Deposit With Stablecoin Conversion
SoFi Technologies has launched a new yield-bearing tokenized bank deposit, the SOFIE token. This innovative product represents funds held at SoFi Bank and offers an advertised Annual Percentage Yield (APY) of 4.40%, subject to specific terms and conditions. A key feature is its ability to convert to SoFiUSD, a stablecoin, enabling seamless transfers on the blockchain. This move by SoFi aims to bridge traditional banking with decentralized finance, potentially attracting new customers and offering existing ones enhanced yield and flexibility. Investors will be watching adoption rates and regulatory responses closely.
- 2d agoPOSITIVESoFi unveils bank-issued tokenized deposit for yield-bearing crypto funds
SoFi Bank has launched SoFi Earn, a novel bank-issued tokenized deposit product offering a 4.40% APY with FDIC insurance. This innovative service allows users to convert traditional funds into stablecoins around the clock, enhancing liquidity and yield opportunities. The product aims to bridge traditional finance with decentralized finance by providing a regulated and insured avenue for yield generation on digital assets. For investors, this move signifies SoFi's strategic expansion into the digital asset space, potentially attracting new customer segments and increasing non-interest income.
- 2d agoPOSITIVESoFi becomes first consumer bank to launch tokenized deposits, offers 4.4% interest
SoFi Technologies Inc. has launched tokenized deposits, becoming the first consumer bank to offer this innovative product. The bank is providing a competitive 4.4% interest rate on these tokenized deposits. This move positions SoFi at the forefront of digital finance, potentially attracting new customers and increasing deposits. The offering enters a market with ongoing discussions about stablecoins versus tokenized deposits, suggesting a strategic play to capture market share in this emerging financial technology space. Investors may view this as a significant technological advancement and a differentiator for the company.
- 4d agoNEGATIVELe azioni SoFi arrivano a un supporto cruciale in vista degli utili: caleranno ancora?
SoFi Technologies' stock has experienced significant pressure, trading at $14.70, its lowest point since June of the previous year, and down 55% from its 2025 peak. The market capitalization has fallen from $39.1 billion to $18.9 billion. Despite reporting solid financial results and positive earnings in its Q2 report, the stock has underperformed the broader market. A concerning technical pattern suggests potential for further short-term declines, raising questions about its immediate future performance ahead of its upcoming earnings release.
- 9/24/2026POSITIVESoFi tie-up shows stablecoins can provide alternative blockchain settlement rail
SoFi Technologies is enhancing its payment infrastructure by migrating its entire card program to a blockchain-based settlement system utilizing its proprietary SoFiUSD stablecoin. This strategic move is projected to handle over $25 billion in annualized transaction volume. The adoption of blockchain technology for settlement aims to streamline operations, reduce costs, and potentially offer faster transaction processing. For investors, this initiative highlights SoFi's commitment to innovation in financial technology and its ability to leverage digital assets for core business functions, potentially improving efficiency and competitiveness.
- 9/22/2026POSITIVESoFi ottiene un traguardo mai raggiunto da altre banche nazionali USA
SoFi Technologies Inc. has achieved a significant milestone, becoming the first U.S. national bank to enable real-time settlement via stablecoins across Mastercard's global payment network. This integration allows SoFi to process its $25 billion card program using its own stablecoin, SoFiUSD, bypassing traditional settlement delays. While the stock remains approximately 40% below its year-to-date high, this technological advancement in digital payments infrastructure positions SoFi as an innovator in the fintech banking sector. Investors may view this as a positive step towards enhanced efficiency and potential new revenue streams.
- 7/30/2026NEGATIVEWhy SoFi’s stock drops, even after its earnings beat expectations
SoFi Technologies Inc. experienced a stock price decline despite beating earnings expectations, as investors reacted negatively to the neobank's cautious future guidance. While the company reported better-than-expected financial results for the period, the outlook provided for the upcoming quarters fell short of market consensus. This discrepancy between current performance and future projections has led to a sell-off, indicating that forward-looking statements are heavily influencing investor sentiment and valuation for the fintech firm.
- 7/29/2026NEGATIVEWhy SoFi’s stock is dropping, even after its earnings beat expectations
SoFi Technologies Inc. saw its stock price decline despite reporting earnings that surpassed analyst expectations. The disappointment stems from the neobank's cautious forward-looking guidance, which failed to inspire investor confidence for future growth. While the company delivered a strong current quarter, the subdued outlook suggests potential headwinds or a more conservative growth trajectory ahead. Investors are likely recalibrating their expectations based on this tempered forecast, leading to the sell-off.
- 6/18/2026POSITIVESoFi Stock Is Rising Thursday: What's Driving The Move?
SoFi Technologies Inc. stock saw a notable increase on Thursday, fueled by significant insider buying activity from CEO Anthony Noto. This strategic investment by the company's leader signals strong conviction in SoFi's future prospects. The positive momentum is further amplified by a broader 'risk-on' sentiment in the technology sector, suggesting a favorable environment for growth-oriented companies. Investors are likely interpreting Noto's actions as a vote of confidence, potentially leading to increased institutional interest and upward price pressure.
- 6/16/2026POSITIVESoFi Stock Is Climbing Despite A Broader Tech Selloff: What's Going On?
SoFi Technologies Inc. is experiencing a notable stock price increase, defying a broader downturn in the technology sector. This upward momentum is largely attributed to investor enthusiasm surrounding the company's recent foray into the cryptocurrency space with the launch of its SoFiUSD stablecoin. The crypto-adjacent narrative appears to be resonating with traders, driving demand for SoFi's stock despite prevailing market headwinds. This suggests a positive market perception of SoFi's diversification strategy and its potential to capitalize on emerging digital asset trends.