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TransDigm Group Inc (TDG)

Fair Value
IndustrialsAerospace & DefenseUnited States

Fundamental

76

Price

$1104.84

Market Cap

$63.17B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

TransDigm Group Incorporated designs, produces, and supplies aircraft components in the United States and internationally. The Power & Control segment offers mechanical/electro-mechanical actuators and controls, ignition systems and engine technology, specialized pumps and valves, power conditioning devices, specialized AC/DC electric motors and generators, batteries and chargers, databus and power controls, sensor products, switches and relay panels, hoists, winches and lifting devices, cargo loading and handling systems, delivery systems, and electronic components. Its Airframe segment provides engineered latching and locking devices, engineered rods, engineered connectors and elastomer sealing solutions, cockpit security components and systems, cockpit displays, lavatory components, seat belts and safety restraints, engineered and customized interior surfaces and related components, thermal protection and insulation products, lighting and control technology, parachutes, specialized flight, wind tunnel and jet engine testing services and equipment, and testing and instrumentation solutions, as well as engineered audio, radio, and antenna systems. The Non-Aviation segment offers seat belts and safety restraints; mechanical/electromechanical actuators and controls; hydraulic/electromechanical actuators and fuel valves; refueling systems; and turbine controls. It serves engine and power system and subsystem suppliers, airlines, third party maintenance suppliers, military buying agencies, and repair depots; airframe manufacturers, cabin system and subsystem suppliers, airlines, and third party maintenance suppliers; and off-road vehicle and subsystem suppliers, child restraint system suppliers, and satellite and space system suppliers, as well as manufacturers of heavy equipment. The company was formerly known as TD Holding Corporation and changed its name to TransDigm Group Incorporated in 2006. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio.

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Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$10.01B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/27/2026)

Net Income

$2.13B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/27/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$1.82B

Total Equity

$-9.69B

Total Liabilities

$32.59B

Current Ratio

3.02

Interest Coverage

3.68

Debt/EBITDA

7.23

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$1264.18

Current Price

$1104.84

Margin of Safety

+12.6%

Fair Value Range

$951.30 - $1577.07

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$1414.30
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$1506.71
Earnings multiple (P/E):$904.68
Graham growth formula:$1634.05
Earnings power value (EPV):$644.82
Justified P/B:$89.11
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:$706.56
Mid-cycle earnings:$1674.25
Revenue multiple:$503.31
Last Earnings Surprise:+4.48%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

33.52

ROE

-21.4%

P/B Ratio

-

P/FCF

31.69

Gross Margin

59.6%

ROIC

15.1%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

15.1%

WACC

7.8%

ROIC − WACC

+7.3 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 15.73%
  • Price CAGR 16.12%
  • ROIC 15.1%
  • Gross margin 59.6%
  • Operating margin 46.0%
  • Positive free cash flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current ratio
  • Interest coverage
  • Return on tangible assets
  • ROE 37.1%
  • Revenue growth 5Y 11.6%
  • Earnings surprise, average 4.9%
  • PEG ratio 1.24
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.03
  • Share dilution -3.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Failed (5)

  • P/FCF 31.69
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Net margin trend 21.3% vs 22.5%

Unavailable (4)

  • P/B ratio –
  • Dividend payout –
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Price below Graham Number

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Strong financial health

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

1.03

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-3.4%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Well-known investors who own TransDigm Group Inc

Latest 13F: quarter ended 06/30/2026

InvestorWeight in their portfolioLast quarter
Dan Loeb · Third Point2.3%+$71.9M
Joel Greenblatt · Gotham Asset Management0.1%+$31.7M
Ray Dalio · Bridgewater Associates0.0%-$623.4K

Source: 13F filings with the SEC. Long positions in US stocks only, filed up to 45 days late.

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Michael J. LismanCEO, President & Director42
Ms. Sarah Louise WynneChief Financial Officer52
Mr. Joel B. ReissCo-Chief Operating Officer55
Mr. Patrick Joseph MurphyCo-Chief Operating Officer53
Mary HartmanDirector of Investor Relations-
Mr. Armani VadieeGeneral Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer & Secretary45
Mr. Kevin McHenryExecutive Vice President-
Ms. Paula WheelerExecutive Vice President-
Mr. Jason MarlinExecutive Vice President-
Mr. Alex FeilExecutive Vice President-

Audit Risk

7

Board Risk

9

Compensation Risk

8

Shareholder Rights Risk

9

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2025-11-12

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-04

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-09-29

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much TDG moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityLow

More volatile than 18% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
20.8%
Volatility 90d
23.9%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
0.75Correlation 0.36
Max drawdown (12m)
-25.8%
ATR (14d, % of price)
2.55%

Earnings reactions

How TDG moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

Nov 5, 2026 · In 11 days · Before the open

EPS estimate: 12.21Revenue estimate: $2.9B

What usually happens

  • Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 3.5% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 5, down 7 (out of 12).
  • Of the 4 releases that beat estimates, the stock fell the next day after 2.

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Aug 4, 2026Before the open10.4010.87+4.5% +5.4% -0.8% -4.8%
May 5, 2026Before the open9.539.85+3.4% +6.1% +3.6% +4.3%
Feb 3, 2026Before the open8.188.23+0.6% -4.0% -9.3% -9.4%
Nov 12, 2025Before the open10.1410.82+6.7% -1.1% +1.1% +4.4%
Aug 5, 2025Before the openn/an/an/a-9.6% -11.9% -12.4%
May 6, 2025Before the openn/an/an/a-3.8% -5.5% -3.8%
Feb 4, 2025Before the openn/an/an/a-7.3% -3.3% -1.3%
Nov 7, 2024Before the openn/an/an/a-2.6% -3.8% -1.4%
Aug 6, 2024Before the openn/an/an/a+1.0% +2.3% +2.0%
May 7, 2024Before the openn/an/an/a-4.7% +0.7% -1.6%
Feb 8, 2024Before the openn/an/an/a+0.5% -1.6% 0.0%
Nov 9, 2023Before the openn/an/an/a+5.6% +8.7% +11.1%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/25/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for TDG.

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