Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW)
Fair ValueFundamental
83
Price
$122.57
Market Cap
$24.74B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Tradeweb operates electronic marketplaces where banks, asset managers and other institutions buy and sell bonds, derivatives, ETFs and money-market instruments instead of trading by phone. It does not take positions itself: it connects buyers and sellers, runs the auction or request-for-quote process, and charges for access and for each trade executed. The London Stock Exchange Group is its majority shareholder, giving Tradeweb a large distribution partner but also tying its fortunes partly to a single controlling owner.
How it makes money
Most revenue comes from fees charged on trading volume, so it rises with how much clients trade rather than with market direction, plus a smaller and steadier stream from selling the trading data the platform generates. Because the marketplace itself is software, adding another trade or another data subscriber costs Tradeweb very little, so revenue growth tends to fall straight through to profit once the platform is built and dealers are connected to it.
Revenue by segment
Trading of government bonds, mortgage securities, and interest-rate swaps and swaptions, the platform's original and largest business.
Electronic trading of corporate bonds, municipal bonds and credit derivatives across the United States and Europe.
Trading of repurchase agreements and other short-term funding instruments used by banks and asset managers.
Licensing of pricing and trading data generated on the platform, sold to clients separately from trade execution itself.
Trading of ETFs and equity derivatives, a newer and smaller line built on the same institutional client base.
Residual revenue not attributed to a specific asset class, including smaller emerging products still being scaled up.
Competitive moat
Network effects · NarrowA trading venue is worth more to a dealer the more buyers already use it, and worth more to a buyer the more dealers already quote on it, so an established platform is hard to dislodge once both sides are present in size. Tradeweb's edge is real where it leads, but well-capitalized rivals compete venue by venue, so the advantage is uneven.
What drives demand
CyclicalRevenue tracks trading volumes, which rise when markets are volatile and rates or credit spreads are moving, and can fall in calm periods when institutions trade less. Underneath that cycle sits a steadier structural trend: more of bond and derivatives trading is moving from phone calls onto electronic platforms like Tradeweb's every year, which cushions the swings but does not eliminate them.
Key risks
- Dealer client concentration — A limited number of large dealer clients account for a significant share of trading volume, and their contracts are non-exclusive and terminable, so losing a major one would be felt across the business.
- Revenue tied to trading activity — Because fees are charged per trade, revenue depends on how much clients choose to trade, which can fall sharply in calm markets or if a client shifts volume to phone or a rival platform.
- Majority shareholder relationship — London Stock Exchange Group controls Tradeweb and also runs data and post-trade businesses that can overlap with Tradeweb's own, creating potential conflicts of interest in how the relationship is managed.
- Competition from voice and rival venues — Dealer clients still trade by phone, email and instant message, and other electronic platforms compete for the same flow, so Tradeweb must keep winning volume rather than assume it is locked in.
Customer concentration
Not disclosed as a percentage, but the company states that a significant share of trading volume and revenue is concentrated among a limited number of large dealer clients.
The case for
Buyers argue that the multi-decade shift of bond and derivatives trading from phone calls to electronic platforms still has years to run, that Tradeweb's leadership in rates and growing share in credit compound as more volume flows through, and that the low incremental cost of each extra trade lets revenue growth convert efficiently into profit.
The case against
Sellers fear that revenue tied so closely to trading volume leaves the business exposed to any quiet stretch in markets, that a handful of large dealers hold real bargaining power over fees, and that LSEG's control and overlapping interests could shape decisions in ways that do not always favor Tradeweb's minority shareholders.
Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$2.21B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$897M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$1.13B
Total Equity
$6.51B
Total Liabilities
$1.00B
Current Ratio
4.12
Interest Coverage
469.28
Debt/EBITDA
0.14
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$116.19
Current Price
$122.57
Margin of Safety
-5.5%
Fair Value Range
$75.52 - $156.86
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
29.25
ROE
12.5%
P/B Ratio
-
P/FCF
0.00
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
-
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
-
WACC
8.0%
ROIC − WACC
-
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (17)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 38.31%
- Price CAGR 11.65%
- Debt/equity ratio
- Operating margin 43.7%
- Positive free cash flow
- CapEx intensity
- Interest coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on tangible assets
- ROE 13.8%
- Revenue growth 5Y 18.1%
- PEG ratio 0.88
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.33
- Share dilution -0.1%
- Net margin trend 40.7% vs 28.9%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
Failed (3)
- Low reliance on intangibles
- DCF valuation (Unknown)
- Earnings surprise, average -0.2%
Unavailable (7)
- ROIC –
- Gross margin –
- P/FCF 0.00
- P/B ratio –
- Dividend payout –
- Current ratio
- Price below Graham Number
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. William E. Hult | CEO & Director | 55 |
| Ms. Sara Hassan Furber | Chief Financial Officer | 49 |
| Mr. Justin Peterson Ph.D. | Chief Technology Officer | 62 |
| Mr. Enrico Bruni | Managing Director & Co-Head of Global Markets | 54 |
| Mr. Troy Dixon | Managing Director & Co-Head of Global Markets | 53 |
| Ms. Amy Clack | Chief Administrative Officer & Chief Risk Officer | 54 |
| Mr. Ashley Neil Serrao C.F.A., C.M.A. | MD, Head of Treasury, FP&A & Investor Relations | - |
| Mr. Douglas Friedman J.D. | Chief Legal Officer, General Counsel & Secretary | 55 |
| Ms. Devi Shanmugham | Global Head of Compliance | - |
| Li Renn Tsai | MD and Head of Product & Sales | - |
Audit Risk
1
Board Risk
6
Compensation Risk
5
Shareholder Rights Risk
10
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-05
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-07-30
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-10-19
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much TW moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 47% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 27.6%
- Volatility 90d
- 35.0%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- -0.23Correlation -0.09
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -27.7%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 2.11%
Earnings reactions
How TW moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Oct 29, 2026 · In 5 days · Before the open
EPS estimate: 1.01Revenue estimate: $585M
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 2.5% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 5, down 7 (out of 12).
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | During the session | 0.98 | 0.97 | -0.8% | -7.6% | -9.6% | -5.4% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | During the session | 1.10 | 1.08 | -2.1% | -4.0% | +5.1% | -1.9% |
| Feb 5, 2026 | During the session | 0.87 | 0.87 | 0.0% | +0.2% | +8.6% | +14.1% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | During the session | 0.85 | 0.87 | +1.9% | -0.9% | -1.2% | -1.0% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | +0.1% | +5.6% | +1.6% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | -1.9% | +0.7% | +4.3% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | +2.1% | -1.4% | +1.4% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | +0.6% | -2.0% | -1.8% |
| Jul 25, 2024 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | -3.2% | -2.9% | +3.3% |
| Apr 25, 2024 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.8% | -0.8% | +0.9% |
| Feb 6, 2024 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | -1.6% | -0.3% | +2.8% |
| Oct 26, 2023 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | -2.9% | +5.4% | +8.5% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on TW and what the price did next.
- 2/20/2026PositiveTradeweb Strikes Deal to Show Kalshi Data
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for TW.
- 4/8/2026NEUTRALTradeweb CEO: Opportunities Around Predictive Markets
Tradeweb CEO Billy Hult highlighted potential opportunities within predictive markets during a discussion on the bond trading landscape. While specific financial figures or forward-looking statements were not detailed, the commentary suggests a strategic focus on innovation and market development. Investors will monitor Tradeweb's future initiatives in this area, as advancements in predictive analytics could enhance trading efficiency and uncover new revenue streams for the company and its clients in the fixed income space.
- 2/20/2026POSITIVETradeweb Strikes Deal to Show Kalshi Data
Tradeweb Markets Inc. has struck a deal to integrate Kalshi Inc.'s prediction markets, making Kalshi's event-based contracts accessible to a broader institutional investor base. This strategic partnership expands Tradeweb's offerings and could boost trading volume and investor interest in both markets.