Twilio Inc (TWLO)
OvervaluedFundamental
63
Price
$261.79
Market Cap
$40.96B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Twilio Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides customer engagement platform solutions in the United States and internationally. The company provides various application programming interfaces and software solutions for communications between customers and end users, including messaging, voice, email, video interactions, digital engagement centers, marketing campaigns, and user authentication and identity solutions. It also offers software products to build direct and personalized relationships with their end users, such as Segment, a platform that provides tools to harness the power of contextual data by unifying real-time information collected throughout each customer's journey into a unique profile. Twilio Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
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Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
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No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$5.57B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$1.15B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
-
Total Equity
$7.82B
Total Liabilities
$1.95B
Current Ratio
4.62
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
3.02
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$174.58
Current Price
$261.79
Margin of Safety
-50.0%
Fair Value Range
$113.48 - $235.68
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
36.36
ROE
0.4%
P/B Ratio
4.48
P/FCF
-
Gross Margin
48.5%
ROIC
2.3%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
2.3%
WACC
12.2%
ROIC − WACC
-9.9 pp
ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (15)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Price CAGR 25.12%
- Gross margin 48.5%
- Debt/equity ratio
- Operating margin 5.2%
- Current ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on tangible assets
- ROE 14.1%
- Revenue growth 5Y 23.5%
- Earnings surprise, average 10.8%
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 0.92
- Share dilution -2.8%
- Net margin trend 20.6% vs 0.4%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
Failed (5)
- ROIC 2.3%
- P/B ratio 4.48
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
Unavailable (6)
- P/FCF –
- Dividend payout –
- Positive free cash flow
- CapEx intensity
- Interest coverage
- PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
Moderate: some gap between profits and cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Khozema Zoher Shipchandler | CEO & Director | 51 |
| Ms. Aidan Viggiano | Chief Financial Officer | 45 |
| Mr. Thomas Wyatt | Chief Operating Officer | - |
| Ms. Inbal Shani | Chief Product & Technology Officer | - |
| Ms. Christy Lake | Chief Administrative Officer | 51 |
| Mr. Bryan Vaniman | Senior Vice President of Corporate Development, Investor Relations & Treasury | 49 |
| Mr. Chris Koehler | Chief Marketing Officer | - |
| Ms. Amy Holcroft | Chief Privacy Officer | - |
| Juliana Chen | Corporate Secretary | - |
| Ms. Robin Grochol | Vice President of Product, Data, Security & Identity, | - |
Audit Risk
1
Board Risk
3
Compensation Risk
4
Shareholder Rights Risk
5
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-24
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-08-07
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-08-06
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much TWLO moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 88% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 70.2%
- Volatility 90d
- 64.0%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- 1.39Correlation 0.28
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -24.7%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 5.96%
Earnings reactions
How TWLO moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Oct 29, 2026 · In 5 days · After the close
EPS estimate: 1.47Revenue estimate: $1.5B
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 14.6% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 8, down 4 (out of 12).
- Of the 4 releases that beat estimates, the stock fell the next day after 0.
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | After the close | 1.34 | 1.47 | +9.3% | +21.8% | +24.9% | +29.1% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | After the close | 1.30 | 1.50 | +15.5% | +20.1% | +23.8% | +33.1% |
| Feb 12, 2026 | After the close | 1.26 | 1.33 | +5.5% | -3.2% | +2.3% | +2.5% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | After the close | 1.11 | 1.25 | +13.1% | +12.4% | +19.5% | +13.0% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -15.5% | -19.4% | -17.6% |
| May 1, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +4.9% | +2.3% | +7.5% |
| Feb 13, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -10.5% | -15.0% | -22.4% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +14.1% | +14.3% | +28.0% |
| Aug 1, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +6.1% | +11.7% | +7.7% |
| May 7, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -5.0% | -7.5% | -1.8% |
| Feb 14, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -12.7% | -15.4% | -21.8% |
| Nov 8, 2023 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +2.5% | +0.3% | +11.4% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on TWLO and what the price did next.
- 5/27/2026PositiveTwilio Gains Analyst Backing As High-Margin Voice, Email Eclipse Legacy Messaging
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 5/4/2026PositiveHow Twilio CEO Khozema Shipchandler is turning the company around and beating SaaSpocalypse fears
- +1 day
- +3.8%
- +3 days
- +2.6%
- 5/1/2026PositiveTwilio’s stock is soaring. The software group says its AI-voice tool is seeing ‘unprecedented demand.’
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for TWLO.
- 5/27/2026POSITIVETwilio Gains Analyst Backing As High-Margin Voice, Email Eclipse Legacy Messaging
Bank of America has upgraded Twilio (TWLO) to a 'Buy' rating, setting a new price target of $235, implying a 24% upside potential. This upgrade is underpinned by the company's strategic shift towards high-margin voice and email services, which are increasingly eclipsing its legacy messaging business. A significant factor is the company's impressive 85% margin on email services and a substantial $42 billion contract backlog. Analysts believe these factors are pivotal for Twilio's AI cloud turnaround, projecting strong performance into 2026. Investors are likely to view this as a strong signal of renewed growth and profitability.
- 5/4/2026POSITIVEHow Twilio CEO Khozema Shipchandler is turning the company around and beating SaaSpocalypse fears
Twilio CEO Khozema Shipchandler is spearheading a significant turnaround, assuaging fears of a 'SaaSpocalypse'. The company's strategic shifts and operational efficiencies are reportedly yielding positive results, indicating a renewed focus on profitability and sustainable growth. This narrative suggests that Twilio is successfully navigating market challenges and demonstrating resilience. Investors are likely to view these developments favorably, potentially leading to increased confidence in the company's future performance and stock valuation.
- 5/1/2026POSITIVETwilio’s stock is soaring. The software group says its AI-voice tool is seeing ‘unprecedented demand.’
Twilio Inc. shares surged approximately 23% following the company's announcement of 'unprecedented demand' for its AI-powered voice tool. This significant uptick provides a much-needed boost to the software sector, which has recently faced headwinds due to broader concerns surrounding artificial intelligence development and adoption. The strong performance suggests that Twilio's specific AI application is resonating with the market, potentially signaling a positive shift in investor sentiment towards AI-driven solutions within the tech industry. Investors will be watching to see if this momentum can be sustained and if other companies can replicate Twilio's success.