Venture Global Inc (VG)
UndervaluedFundamental
62
Price
$14.00
Market Cap
$32.13B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Venture Global, Inc., a liquefied natural gas (LNG) company, engages in the ownership, development, construction, and operation of LNG production facilities and associated infrastructure in the United States, Germany, France, Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally.The company is involved in LNG production, natural gas transportation, and regasification operations, as well as LNG sales and shipping business through LNG tankers. Its LNG projects include Calcasieu, Plaquemines, and CP2 projects. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia. Venture Global, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Venture Global Partners II, LLC.
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Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$16.95B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$3.78B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$-6.80B
Total Equity
$6.74B
Total Liabilities
$41.45B
Current Ratio
1.19
Interest Coverage
3.54
Debt/EBITDA
7.02
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$18.89
Current Price
$14.00
Margin of Safety
+25.9%
Fair Value Range
$15.78 - $22.01
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
11.02
ROE
40.5%
P/B Ratio
0.87
P/FCF
-
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
8.7%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
8.7%
WACC
4.9%
ROIC − WACC
+3.8 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (14)
- Price CAGR 94.66%
- ROIC 8.7%
- P/B ratio 0.87
- Operating margin 37.6%
- Current ratio
- Interest coverage
- Return on tangible assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- ROE 45.0%
- Earnings surprise, average 6.3%
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.81
- Net margin trend 22.3% vs 20.0%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
Failed (7)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR -17.05%
- Debt/equity ratio
- Positive free cash flow
- Debt/EBITDA
- DCF valuation (Unknown)
- Share dilution 3.7%
Unavailable (6)
- Gross margin –
- P/FCF –
- Dividend payout –
- CapEx intensity
- Revenue growth 5Y
- PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Issuing new shares, diluting ownership
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Michael A. Sabel | Founder, Executive Co-Chairman of the Board & CEO | 57 |
| Mr. Robert Pender | Founder & Executive Co-Chairman of the Board | 71 |
| Mr. Jonathan W. Thayer | Chief Financial Officer | 54 |
| Mr. Keith D. Larson | General Counsel & Secretary | 53 |
| Mr. Brian Cothran | Chief Operating Officer | 51 |
| Ms. Sarah Blake | Senior VP & Chief Accounting Officer | 50 |
| Mr. Ngoni Murandu | Chief Information Officer | 50 |
| Michael Pasquarello | Senior Vice President of Investor Relations | - |
| Mr. Fory L. Musser | Senior Vice President of Development | 53 |
| Ms. Leah Woodward | MD & Treasurer | 39 |
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-03-02
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-08-11
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-10-15
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much VG moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 85% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 52.5%
- Volatility 90d
- 59.8%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- -1.29Correlation -0.22
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -40.0%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 5.29%
Earnings reactions
How VG moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Nov 10, 2026 · In 17 days · Before the open
EPS estimate: 0.53Revenue estimate: $4.7B
What usually happens
- Over the last 7 releases the stock moved a median of 8.2% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 5, down 2 (out of 7).
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | During the session | 0.50 | 0.55 | +9.8% | -7.8% | -7.3% | -3.6% |
| May 12, 2026 | During the session | 0.14 | 0.19 | +37.9% | +8.3% | +14.2% | +21.9% |
| Mar 2, 2026 | During the session | 0.37 | 0.41 | +11.2% | +15.6% | +17.4% | +28.8% |
| Nov 10, 2025 | During the session | 0.24 | 0.16 | -33.9% | +12.1% | +6.3% | -0.1% |
| Aug 12, 2025 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | +6.5% | +0.9% | +2.6% |
| May 13, 2025 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | -3.8% | +8.2% | +2.0% |
| Mar 6, 2025 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | -20.0% | -36.1% | -28.0% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on VG and what the price did next.
- 5/12/2026PositiveWhy Venture Global Shares Are Rising After Q1 Results
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for VG.
- 5/12/2026POSITIVEWhy Venture Global Shares Are Rising After Q1 Results
Venture Global Inc. (NYSE: VG) announced robust Q1 2026 financial results, accompanied by an upward revision of its full-year guidance. The company also highlighted the expansion of its Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) supply agreements and significant progress on key project development milestones. These positive developments suggest strong operational execution and increasing market demand for its LNG products. For investors, this performance indicates a favorable outlook for Venture Global, potentially driving share price appreciation.