Valero Energy Corp (VLO)
OvervaluedFundamental
65
Price
$419.28
Market Cap
$125.75B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The company produces California Reformulated Gasoline Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CARBOB) and Conventional Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CBOB) gasolines, CARB diesel, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, and asphalt; feedstocks; aromatics; sulfur and residual fuel oil; intermediate oils; and sulfur, sweet, and sour crude oils. It sells its refined products through wholesale rack and bulk markets; and through outlets under the Valero, Beacon, Diamond Shamrock, Shamrock, Ultramar, and Texaco brands. The company also owns and operates renewable diesel and ethanol plants, as well as produces and sells renewable diesel, renewable naphtha, and neat sustainable aviation fuel under the Diamond Green Diesel brand name. In addition, it offers ethanol and various co-products, including dry distillers grains, syrup, and inedible distillers corn oil to animal feed customers. The company was formerly known as Valero Refining and Marketing Company and changed its name to Valero Energy Corporation in August 1997. Valero Energy Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.
No editorial profile for this company yet
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$139.40B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$7.21B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
-
Total Equity
$23.73B
Total Liabilities
$31.38B
Current Ratio
1.64
Interest Coverage
17.78
Debt/EBITDA
1.79
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$320.46
Current Price
$419.28
Margin of Safety
-30.8%
Fair Value Range
$233.91 - $407.02
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
17.45
ROE
9.9%
P/B Ratio
4.83
P/FCF
-
Gross Margin
8.0%
ROIC
17.2%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
17.2%
WACC
7.7%
ROIC − WACC
+9.6 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (16)
- Price CAGR 21.01%
- ROIC 17.2%
- Debt/equity ratio
- Operating margin 7.2%
- Current ratio
- Interest coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on tangible assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 29.9%
- Revenue growth 5Y 13.6%
- Earnings surprise, average 22.4%
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.51
- Share dilution -3.9%
- Net margin trend 5.2% vs 0.6%
- Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Failed (6)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR -0.88%
- Gross margin 8.0%
- P/B ratio 4.83
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
Unavailable (5)
- P/FCF –
- Dividend payout –
- Positive free cash flow
- CapEx intensity
- PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-Score
Strong financial health
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Well-known investors who own Valero Energy Corp
Latest 13F: quarter ended 06/30/2026
| Investor | Weight in their portfolio | Last quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Bloomstran · Semper Augustus Investments Group | 1.1% | -$1.6M |
| Ray Dalio · Bridgewater Associates | 0.3% | +$39.3M |
| Joel Greenblatt · Gotham Asset Management | 0.2% | +$11.6M |
Source: 13F filings with the SEC. Long positions in US stocks only, filed up to 45 days late.
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. R. Lane Riggs | CEO, President & Chairman | 59 |
| Mr. Gary K. Simmons | Executive VP & COO | 60 |
| Mr. Richard Joe Walsh | Executive VP & General Counsel | 59 |
| Mr. Harminder S. Bhullar | Senior VP & CFO | 44 |
| Mr. Mike Zacho | VP of Information Services & Technology | - |
| Mr. Brian Donovan | Vice President of Investor Relations | - |
| Lillian Riojas | Executive Director of Media Relations & Communications | - |
| Mr. Richard F. Lashway | Senior Vice President of Corporate Development & Strategy | 62 |
| Ms. Julia Rendon Reinhart | Senior VP & Chief Human Resources Officer | - |
| Mr. Eric Honeyman | Senior Vice President of Renewables Operations & Low Carbon Fuels | - |
Audit Risk
7
Board Risk
5
Compensation Risk
3
Shareholder Rights Risk
7
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-25
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-07-30
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-10-22
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much VLO moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 49% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 40.1%
- Volatility 90d
- 35.8%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- -0.35Correlation -0.12
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -12.7%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 4.02%
Earnings reactions
How VLO moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
No upcoming release on the calendar.
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 2.7% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 6, down 6 (out of 12).
- Of the 5 releases that beat estimates, the stock fell the next day after 2.
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Before the open | 21.18 | 23.90 | +12.8% | +0.6% | -2.4% | n/a |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Before the open | 10.22 | 12.54 | +22.7% | -1.6% | +3.4% | +0.4% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Before the open | 3.19 | 4.22 | +32.2% | -2.2% | +0.5% | -5.8% |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Before the open | 3.30 | 3.82 | +15.8% | +4.2% | -0.8% | +7.3% |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Before the open | 3.08 | 3.66 | +18.8% | +1.2% | +7.0% | +5.4% |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -2.0% | -4.9% | -5.5% |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +1.3% | -1.0% | +1.4% |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +3.2% | -2.9% | +0.8% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.1% | -1.2% | -3.1% |
| Jul 25, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -1.1% | +5.5% | +8.7% |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -1.2% | +0.1% | -6.8% |
| Jan 25, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +2.6% | +3.3% | +6.7% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/25/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for VLO.
- 3d agoPOSITIVEValero Sees Fuel Margins Rising Again Despite Price-Cut Efforts
Valero Energy Corp. anticipates a rebound in fuel-making margins, defying recent governmental efforts to lower gasoline and diesel prices. This outlook suggests that the company's operational efficiency and market positioning remain strong, even amidst potential regulatory headwinds. Investors may see this as a positive indicator of Valero's resilience and its ability to maintain profitability in a dynamic energy landscape. The projected margin increase could translate into improved financial performance for the company.
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 6/18/2026POSITIVE$1000 Invested In Valero Energy 10 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today
An investment of $1,000 in Valero Energy (VLO) made a decade ago would have grown substantially, illustrating the company's strong performance and investor returns over the past ten years. While specific figures are not provided in the summary, the headline implies significant capital appreciation and potential dividend payouts, making Valero Energy a noteworthy performer in the energy sector. Investors considering energy stocks should note this historical performance as an indicator of potential future growth and stability, especially given the company's position in refining and marketing.
- +1 day
- +3.5%
- +3 days
- +4.4%
- 4/8/2026NEUTRALHere's How Much You Would Have Made Owning Valero Energy Stock In The Last 15 Years
An analysis of Valero Energy Corporation's stock performance over the past 15 years reveals a significant return for investors. While specific figures are not detailed in the provided snippet, the title implies a positive historical trend. This type of historical performance data is crucial for investors assessing long-term value and potential future returns, but it does not provide immediate trading signals based on current market conditions or company-specific news.
- 3/24/2026NEGATIVEExplosion Reported At Valero's Port Arthur Refinery, Police Advises Citizens To Shelter In Place
An explosion occurred at Valero Energy Corp.'s Port Arthur refinery in Texas, prompting a shelter-in-place advisory from local authorities. Emergency services are actively working to contain the resulting fire. This incident raises concerns about potential disruptions to Valero's refining operations and product supply, which could impact its production capacity and financial performance. Investors will be monitoring the extent of the damage and the duration of any operational shutdowns.
- +1 day
- +2.2%
- +3 days
- +6.1%
- 3/13/2026NEUTRALHere's How Much $100 Invested In Valero Energy 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today
An investment of $100 in Valero Energy Inc. (VLO) five years prior to March 13, 2026, would have grown to approximately $350. This represents a significant return on investment, outperforming many market benchmarks over the same period. The company's performance is largely attributed to its strong position in the refining and ethanol sectors, benefiting from favorable market conditions and strategic operational management. Investors considering Valero should note this historical performance as an indicator of potential future growth, though past results do not guarantee future returns.
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.