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Valley National Bancorp (VLY)

Overvalued
Financial ServicesBanks - RegionalUnited States

Fundamental

60

Price

$14.06

Market Cap

$7.19B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Valley National Bancorp operates as the holding company for Valley National Bank that provides various commercial, private banking, retail, insurance, and wealth management financial services products. The company operates through Consumer Banking, Commercial Banking, and Treasury and Corporate other segments. It offers non-interest bearing, savings, NOW, money market, and time deposit accounts; commercial and industrial, commercial real estate, construction, residential mortgage, and automobile loans; loans secured by the cash surrender value of life insurance; home equity loans and lines of credit; automobile financing; and secured and unsecured other consumer loans. The company also invests in various securities and interest-bearing deposits with other banks; and provides international banking services. In addition, it offers investment services for individuals and small to medium sized businesses; and trusts investment strategies designed for various investment profiles and objectives. Further, the company provides trust services, such as living and testamentary trusts, investment management, custodial and escrow services, and estate administration to individuals; tax credit advisory services; brokerage services; property and casualty, life, health, and title insurance agency services; and health care equipment lending and other commercial equipment leasing services, as well as private banking and management services. Additionally, it offers niche financial services, including loan and deposit products for homeowners associations, cannabis-related business banking, and venture banking; online, mobile, and telephone banking services; credit cards; and automated teller machine services. Valley National Bancorp was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Morristown, New Jersey.

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Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$2.15B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$694M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$326M

Total Equity

$7.81B

Total Liabilities

$56.33B

Current Ratio

-

Interest Coverage

0.46

Debt/EBITDA

-

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

BankOvervalued

Fair Value

$11.43

Current Price

$14.06

Margin of Safety

-23.0%

Fair Value Range

$8.30 - $14.56

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$16.50
Discounted cash flow (DCF):Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings multiple (P/E):$11.29
Graham growth formula:Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings power value (EPV):Not applicable to this type of company
Justified P/B:$9.99
Dividend discount (Gordon):$7.56
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not applicable to this type of company
Mid-cycle earnings:Not applicable to this type of company
Revenue multiple:Not applicable to this type of company
Last Earnings Surprise:-3.72%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

11.92

ROE

7.7%

P/B Ratio

0.98

P/FCF

13.92

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

-

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-

WACC

11.1%

ROIC − WACC

-

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (14)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • P/FCF 13.92
  • P/B ratio 0.98
  • Operating margin 40.0%
  • Positive free cash flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 8.9%
  • Revenue growth 5Y 18.8%
  • Earnings surprise, average 3.9%
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 0.83
  • Net margin trend 32.2% vs 23.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Failed (8)

  • EPS CAGR 2.72%
  • Price CAGR 1.01%
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Interest coverage
  • Return on tangible assets
  • DCF valuation (Fairly Valued)
  • PEG ratio 5.37
  • Share dilution 7.4%

Unavailable (5)

  • ROIC –
  • Gross margin –
  • Dividend payout –
  • Current ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

0.83

Moderate: some gap between profits and cash

Share Dilution

7.4%

Issuing new shares, diluting ownership

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Travis P. LanSenior Executive VP & CFO40
Mr. Russell BarrettSenior EVP & COO49
Mr. Gino A. MartocciSenior EVP & President of Commercial Banking59
Mr. Patrick D. SmithSenior EVP & President of Consumer Banking53
Mr. Mitchell L. CrandellExecutive VP & Chief Accounting Officer54
Ms. Lyndsey M. SloanSenior EVP & General Counsel48
Mr. Marc PiroSenior VP, Head of Content, Creative & Public Relations-
Ms. Yvonne M. SurowiecSenior EVP & Chief People Officer64
Mr. Mark SaegerExecutive Vice President60
Mr. John P. ReganSenior EVP & Chief Risk Officer61

Audit Risk

3

Board Risk

5

Compensation Risk

3

Shareholder Rights Risk

1

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-27

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-06

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-10-22

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much VLY moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityLow

More volatile than 15% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
27.7%
Volatility 90d
23.1%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
0.73Correlation 0.36
Max drawdown (12m)
-18.3%
ATR (14d, % of price)
2.30%

Earnings reactions

How VLY moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

No upcoming release on the calendar.

What usually happens

  • Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 3.2% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 7, down 5 (out of 12).
  • Of the 4 releases that beat estimates, the stock fell the next day after 0.

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Oct 22, 2026Before the open0.330.36+8.7% +0.6% +6.1% n/a
Jul 23, 2026During the session0.310.30-3.7% -3.0% -0.5% -1.7%
Apr 23, 2026During the session0.280.29+5.1% +3.5% +3.9% +0.5%
Jan 29, 2026During the session0.290.31+6.6% +3.3% +3.3% +9.1%
Oct 23, 2025During the session0.260.28+7.7% -3.6% +4.2% +8.2%
Jul 24, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a-0.1% -1.8% -3.2%
Apr 24, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a-3.4% +1.2% -0.3%
Jan 23, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a-0.8% -0.2% +3.5%
Oct 24, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a+1.4% +5.3% +6.3%
Jul 25, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a-2.4% +3.1% +7.3%
Apr 25, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a+0.1% -0.9% -6.9%
Jan 25, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a-6.0% -4.4% -10.9%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on VLY and what the price did next.

No positive or negative news on VLY has been archived yet.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for VLY.

No recent news for VLY.