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Waystar Holding Corp. (WAY)

Overvalued
HealthcareHealth Information ServicesUnited States

Fundamental

60

Price

$28.85

Market Cap

$5.53B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Waystar Holding Corp. develops a cloud-based software solution for healthcare payments. Its platform offers financial clearance, patient financial care, claim and payer payment management, denials prevention and recovery, clinical integrity and revenue capture, and analytics and reporting solutions. It primarily serves healthcare industry. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Lehi, Utah.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$1.21B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$135M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$283M

Total Equity

$3.88B

Total Liabilities

$1.91B

Current Ratio

1.85

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

3.80

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseOvervalued

Fair Value

$20.87

Current Price

$28.85

Margin of Safety

-38.3%

Fair Value Range

$13.56 - $28.17

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$34.09
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$21.25
Earnings multiple (P/E):$9.86
Graham growth formula:$11.40
Earnings power value (EPV):$9.32
Justified P/B:$2.32
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:$21.08
Mid-cycle earnings:Not enough data to compute it
Revenue multiple:$23.42
Last Earnings Surprise:+7.42%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

41.21

ROE

2.9%

P/B Ratio

1.39

P/FCF

22.46

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

3.9%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

3.9%

WACC

9.4%

ROIC − WACC

-5.5 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (13)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • P/FCF 22.46
  • P/B ratio 1.39
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Operating margin 22.9%
  • Positive free cash flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on tangible assets
  • Earnings surprise, average 2.5%
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 2.17
  • Net margin trend 11.2% vs 8.5%

Failed (8)

  • Price CAGR -17.87%
  • ROIC 3.9%
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 3.6%
  • Share dilution 24.9%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Unavailable (5)

  • Gross margin –
  • Dividend payout –
  • Interest coverage
  • Revenue growth 5Y
  • PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

4/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

2.17

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

24.9%

Issuing new shares, diluting ownership

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Matthew J. HawkinsCEO & Director53
Mr. Steven M. Oreskovich CPAAdvisor53
Mr. T. Craig BridgeChief Transformation Officer52
Ms. Alpana Wegner CPAChief Financial Officer52
Mr. Amit KhannaChief Product & Technology Officer-
Mr. Anthony CarrozzellaChief Growth Officer of Health Systems & Hospitals-
Mr. Eric AverySenior VP of Business Operations & Intelligence-
Mr. Dustin HamiltonSenior Vice President of Product Management-
Mr. Perry SweetExecutive Vice President of Enterprise Client Experience-
Ms. Amy BishopSenior Vice President of Performance Marketing-

Audit Risk

1

Board Risk

6

Compensation Risk

4

Shareholder Rights Risk

8

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-17

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-07-29

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-07-29

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much WAY moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityHigh

More volatile than 81% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
44.9%
Volatility 90d
55.2%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
0.52Correlation 0.12
Max drawdown (12m)
-56.3%
ATR (14d, % of price)
3.71%

Earnings reactions

How WAY moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

Nov 2, 2026 · In 9 days · Time not known

EPS estimate: 0.41Revenue estimate: $323M

What usually happens

  • Over the last 9 releases the stock moved a median of 7.7% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 5, down 4 (out of 9).

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Jul 29, 2026After the close0.400.43+7.4% -12.4% -14.6% -4.6%
Apr 29, 2026After the close0.390.42+7.8% -6.1% -15.4% -21.3%
Feb 17, 2026During the session0.400.36-9.5% +4.9% +8.5% +8.7%
Oct 29, 2025After the close0.350.37+4.4% -2.3% -6.5% -7.2%
Jul 30, 2025After the closen/an/an/a-2.8% +3.8% -4.6%
Apr 30, 2025After the closen/an/an/a+2.9% +6.2% +10.4%
Feb 18, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a+1.1% -0.5% -7.2%
Nov 6, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+7.1% +7.7% +4.7%
Aug 7, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+2.0% +10.5% +14.4%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on WAY and what the price did next.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for WAY.

  • 3/15/2026POSITIVE
    Waystar Stock Is Down 32% This Past Year, but One Fund Bought Up $11.5 Million Last Quarter

    Despite a 32% stock decline over the past year, Waystar Holding Corp. has attracted significant investor interest, with one fund acquiring $11.5 million worth of shares in the last quarter. Waystar, a provider of cloud-based software for healthcare payment and revenue cycle management, appears to be viewed as undervalued by this particular investor. This substantial purchase, against a backdrop of recent poor stock performance, suggests a contrarian bet on the company's long-term prospects and its position within the healthcare technology sector.