Wingstop Inc. (WING)
Fair ValueFundamental
75
Price
$119.54
Market Cap
$3.27B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Wingstop Inc., together with its subsidiaries, franchises and operates restaurants under the Wingstop brand in United States, Australia, Bahrain, Kuwait, Puerto Rico, Saudi Arabia, and The Netherlands. Its restaurants provides classic wings, boneless wings, tenders, and hand-sauced-and-tossed in various flavors, as well as chicken sandwiches, fries, and hand-cut carrots and celery that are cooked-to-order. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
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Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
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No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$721M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/27/2026)
Net Income
$116M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/27/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$106M
Total Equity
$-737M
Total Liabilities
$1.43B
Current Ratio
2.97
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
6.23
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$130.95
Current Price
$119.54
Margin of Safety
+8.7%
Fair Value Range
$85.12 - $176.79
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
28.19
ROE
-23.7%
P/B Ratio
-
P/FCF
25.34
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
27.0%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
27.0%
WACC
10.3%
ROIC − WACC
+16.7 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (16)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 29.09%
- Price CAGR 12.71%
- ROIC 27.0%
- P/FCF 25.34
- Operating margin 27.9%
- Positive free cash flow
- Current ratio
- Return on tangible assets
- ROE 18.1%
- Revenue growth 5Y 22.9%
- Earnings surprise, average 14.2%
- PEG ratio 0.52
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.63
- Share dilution -4.5%
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9
Failed (5)
- CapEx intensity
- Debt/EBITDA
- Low reliance on intangibles
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Net margin trend 16.2% vs 25.6%
Unavailable (6)
- Gross margin –
- P/B ratio –
- Dividend payout –
- Debt/equity ratio
- Interest coverage
- Price below Graham Number
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Michael J. Skipworth CPA | President, CEO & Director | 47 |
| Mr. Alex R. Kaleida | Chief Financial Officer | 46 |
| Mr. Rajneesh Kapoor | Chief Operating Officer | 55 |
| Mr. Donnie S. Upshaw | Senior VP and Chief Brand & People Officer | 46 |
| Sarah Niehaus | Senior Director of Investor Relations & Corporate Finance | - |
Audit Risk
5
Board Risk
2
Compensation Risk
10
Shareholder Rights Risk
5
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-18
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-07-29
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-08-25
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much WING moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 86% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 64.4%
- Volatility 90d
- 61.4%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- 0.98Correlation 0.20
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -65.6%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 5.09%
Earnings reactions
How WING moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Oct 28, 2026 · In 4 days · Before the open
EPS estimate: 1.03Revenue estimate: $193M
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 9.2% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 6, down 6 (out of 12).
- Of the 4 releases that beat estimates, the stock fell the next day after 1.
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Before the open | 1.05 | 1.18 | +12.2% | +2.0% | +3.4% | -9.9% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Before the open | 1.05 | 1.18 | +12.3% | -9.2% | -1.0% | -15.2% |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Before the open | 0.85 | 1.00 | +17.2% | +11.6% | +10.8% | -2.0% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Before the open | 0.95 | 1.09 | +15.1% | +2.8% | +10.9% | +11.2% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +27.8% | +26.9% | +16.6% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -1.7% | +14.5% | +15.8% |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -11.0% | -13.4% | -21.9% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -14.6% | -21.4% | -16.3% |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +4.9% | -0.7% | -2.3% |
| May 1, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +1.6% | -0.2% | +3.4% |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -5.1% | -4.4% | +4.5% |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +3.8% | +7.5% | +13.4% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on WING and what the price did next.
- 4/29/2026NegativeWingstop Sinks as Fewer Diners Feasted on Fast-Food Chicken
- +1 day
- -1.0%
- +3 days
- -8.3%
- 4/1/2026NegativeWhy Wingstop Stock Hit A New 52-Week Low Wednesday
- +1 day
- +5.2%
- +3 days
- +14.0%
- 3/10/2026NegativeIs Wingstop Stock a Buy or Sell After a Director Sold 2,700 Shares?
- +1 day
- -3.9%
- +3 days
- -4.2%
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for WING.
- 4/29/2026NEGATIVEWingstop Sinks as Fewer Diners Feasted on Fast-Food Chicken
Wingstop Inc. experienced a significant share price decline following the announcement of a reduced full-year guidance and worse-than-anticipated financial results. The company's performance indicates a sharper-than-expected drop in customer traffic to its chicken chain, raising concerns among investors about its near-term growth prospects. This downward revision in outlook suggests potential challenges in customer acquisition or retention, impacting future revenue streams and profitability. Investors will be closely monitoring management's strategies to address the traffic decline and regain market momentum.
- 4/1/2026NEGATIVEWhy Wingstop Stock Hit A New 52-Week Low Wednesday
Wingstop Inc. shares experienced a significant downturn, reaching a new 52-week low on Wednesday. This decline follows Guggenheim's drastic reduction of its price target for the stock, slashing it from $315 to $255. The downgrade suggests a bearish outlook from the analyst firm, likely due to concerns about future growth prospects, competitive pressures, or operational challenges within the fast-casual dining sector. Investors are reacting to the revised valuation, signaling a loss of confidence and potentially triggering further selling pressure.
- 3/10/2026NEGATIVEIs Wingstop Stock a Buy or Sell After a Director Sold 2,700 Shares?
Wingstop Inc. experienced insider selling as a director offloaded 2,700 shares. This transaction occurred against a backdrop of steady revenue growth and modest stock appreciation over the past year. While the company has demonstrated consistent performance, significant insider sales can sometimes signal a lack of confidence from management regarding future stock performance, potentially deterring new investors or prompting existing ones to reconsider their positions. The market will be watching for further developments to gauge the true sentiment behind this sale.
- 3/4/2026NEUTRALIs Wingstop's Growth Story Maturing at 3,000 Stores? What Investors Should Watch Now.
Wingstop Inc. stands at a critical juncture as it approaches the 3,000-store milestone. The company's historically strong growth may now face headwinds from fading pricing tailwinds and potential market saturation. Investors should closely monitor key indicators such as same-store sales growth, the ability to maintain pricing differentiation, and international expansion strategies. Wingstop's capacity to adapt to an evolving landscape while preserving its distinct value proposition will be crucial in determining the future trajectory of its financial performance and shareholder value.