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Wingstop Inc. (WING)

POSITIVE
Consumer CyclicalRestaurantsUnited States

Fundamental

77

Price

$115.54

Market Cap

$3.17B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Wingstop Inc., together with its subsidiaries, franchises and operates restaurants under the Wingstop brand in United States, Australia, Bahrain, Kuwait, Puerto Rico, Saudi Arabia, and The Netherlands. Its restaurants provides classic wings, boneless wings, tenders, and hand-sauced-and-tossed in various flavors, as well as chicken sandwiches, fries, and hand-cut carrots and celery that are cooked-to-order. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

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Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$721M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/27/2026)

Net Income

$116M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/27/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$106M

Total Equity

$-737M

Total Liabilities

$1.43B

Current Ratio

2.97

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

6.23

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Fairly Valued

Fair Value

$143.61

Current Price

$115.54

Margin of Safety

+19.5%

Fair Value Range

$93.35 - $193.88

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$206.59
DCF:$100.02
PE-based:$113.19
Graham Growth:$217.25
EPV:$40.13
Analyst Consensus:Strong Buy (29B / 6H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+12.20%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

27.56

ROE

-23.7%

P/B Ratio

-

P/FCF

24.77

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

27.0%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

27.0%

WACC

10.2%

ROIC − WACC

+16.8 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (17)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 29.09%
  • Price CAGR 14.58%
  • ROIC 27.0%
  • P/FCF 24.77
  • Operating Margin 27.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 18.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 22.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 83% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 14.2%
  • PEG Ratio 0.51
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.63
  • Share Dilution -4.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Failed (5)

  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Net Margin Trend 16.2% vs 25.6%

Unavailable (6)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/B Ratio NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Price below Graham Number

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.63

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-4.5%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Michael J. Skipworth CPAPresident, CEO & Director47
Mr. Alex R. KaleidaChief Financial Officer46
Mr. Rajneesh KapoorChief Operating Officer55
Mr. Donnie S. UpshawChief Brand & People Officer45
Sarah NiehausSenior Director of Investor Relations & Corporate Finance-
Mr. Kevin FishSenior Vice President of Digital-
Mr. Bradley Brewer. TChief Commercial Officer41

Audit Risk

5

Board Risk

2

Compensation Risk

10

Shareholder Rights Risk

5

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for WING, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 4/29/2026NEGATIVE
    Wingstop Sinks as Fewer Diners Feasted on Fast-Food Chicken

    Wingstop Inc. experienced a significant share price decline following the announcement of a reduced full-year guidance and worse-than-anticipated financial results. The company's performance indicates a sharper-than-expected drop in customer traffic to its chicken chain, raising concerns among investors about its near-term growth prospects. This downward revision in outlook suggests potential challenges in customer acquisition or retention, impacting future revenue streams and profitability. Investors will be closely monitoring management's strategies to address the traffic decline and regain market momentum.

  • 4/1/2026NEGATIVE
    Why Wingstop Stock Hit A New 52-Week Low Wednesday

    Wingstop Inc. shares experienced a significant downturn, reaching a new 52-week low on Wednesday. This decline follows Guggenheim's drastic reduction of its price target for the stock, slashing it from $315 to $255. The downgrade suggests a bearish outlook from the analyst firm, likely due to concerns about future growth prospects, competitive pressures, or operational challenges within the fast-casual dining sector. Investors are reacting to the revised valuation, signaling a loss of confidence and potentially triggering further selling pressure.

  • 3/10/2026NEGATIVE
    Is Wingstop Stock a Buy or Sell After a Director Sold 2,700 Shares?

    Wingstop Inc. experienced insider selling as a director offloaded 2,700 shares. This transaction occurred against a backdrop of steady revenue growth and modest stock appreciation over the past year. While the company has demonstrated consistent performance, significant insider sales can sometimes signal a lack of confidence from management regarding future stock performance, potentially deterring new investors or prompting existing ones to reconsider their positions. The market will be watching for further developments to gauge the true sentiment behind this sale.

  • 3/4/2026NEUTRAL
    Is Wingstop's Growth Story Maturing at 3,000 Stores? What Investors Should Watch Now.

    Wingstop Inc. stands at a critical juncture as it approaches the 3,000-store milestone. The company's historically strong growth may now face headwinds from fading pricing tailwinds and potential market saturation. Investors should closely monitor key indicators such as same-store sales growth, the ability to maintain pricing differentiation, and international expansion strategies. Wingstop's capacity to adapt to an evolving landscape while preserving its distinct value proposition will be crucial in determining the future trajectory of its financial performance and shareholder value.

via Markets Gazette