Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM)
OvervaluedFundamental
61
Price
$183.21
Market Cap
$732.29B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation engages in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through Upstream, Energy Products, Chemical Products, and Specialty Products segments. Its Upstream segment explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas. The Energy Products segment offers fuels, aromatics, and catalysts, as well as licensing services. Its Chemical Products segment manufactures and sells olefins, polyolefins, and intermediates. The Specialty Products segment offers finished lubricants, basestocks, waxes, synthetics, elastomers, and resins. It is also involved in the manufacture, trade, transport, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, petroleum products, petrochemicals, and other specialty products; and pursuit of lower-emission and business opportunities, including carbon capture and storage, hydrogen, lower-emission fuels, Proxxima resin systems, carbon materials, low-carbon data center, and lithium. In addition, the company offers aviation fuel. It sells its products under the Exxon, Esso, and Mobil brands. The company was formerly known as Exxon Mobil Corporation and changed its name to ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation in July 2026. ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation was founded in 1870 and is headquartered in Spring, Texas.
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Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
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No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$361.06B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$32.76B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$20.67B
Total Equity
$259.38B
Total Liabilities
$42.37B
Current Ratio
1.14
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
0.62
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$141.11
Current Price
$183.21
Margin of Safety
-29.8%
Fair Value Range
$102.56 - $179.65
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
22.92
ROE
12.6%
P/B Ratio
2.82
P/FCF
35.43
Gross Margin
29.8%
ROIC
15.0%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
15.0%
WACC
7.5%
ROIC − WACC
+7.4 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (11)
- Price CAGR 6.97%
- ROIC 15.0%
- P/B ratio 2.82
- Debt/equity ratio
- Positive free cash flow
- Current ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- ROE 12.7%
- Revenue growth 5Y 12.7%
- Earnings surprise, average 3.8%
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 2.07
Failed (6)
- Gross margin 29.8%
- P/FCF 35.43
- CapEx intensity
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Net margin trend 8.7% vs 9.6%
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Unavailable (9)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend payout –
- Operating margin –
- Interest coverage
- Return on tangible assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)
- Share dilution (missing share count)
Piotroski F-Score
Serious financial concerns
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Darren W. Woods | Chairman of the Board & CEO | 60 |
| Mr. Jon M. Gibbs | Senior President of ExxonMobil Global Operations | 53 |
| Mr. Neil A. Chapman | Senior Vice President | 63 |
| Mr. Jack P. Williams Jr. | Senior Vice President | 61 |
| Mr. James R. Chapman | President & Treasurer | 55 |
| Mr. Neil A. Hansen | Senior VP & CFO | 50 |
| Ms. Susan E. Buchanan | VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Controller | 43 |
| Mr. Jeffrey A. Taylor J.D. | VP, General Counsel & Secretary | 60 |
| Inge A. Van Coppenolle | Vice President of Human Resources | - |
| Ms. Tracey C. Gunnlaugsson | President of Global Trading | - |
Audit Risk
9
Board Risk
7
Compensation Risk
9
Shareholder Rights Risk
1
Documents
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-08-03
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-10-16
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much XOM moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 18% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 23.7%
- Volatility 90d
- 23.9%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- -0.66Correlation -0.33
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -20.7%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 2.12%
Earnings reactions
How XOM moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Oct 30, 2026 · In 6 days · Before the open
EPS estimate: 4.03Revenue estimate: $106.0B
What usually happens
- Not enough releases with data yet: we have 1, we need at least 4.
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Before the open | 3.59 | 3.52 | -1.9% | -2.1% | -1.0% | -1.4% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on XOM and what the price did next.
- 10/16/2026PositiveHeadline no longer in the latest news feed
- +1 day
- +3.6%
- +3 days
- +2.2%
- 10/16/2026PositiveExxon Signals Record Refining Earnings as Diesel Prices Soar
- +1 day
- +3.6%
- +3 days
- +2.2%
- 10/6/2026NegativeBig Oil Faces Climate Reckoning in Supreme Court
- +1 day
- -0.3%
- +3 days
- +2.9%
- 9/24/2026NegativeScott Sheffield Claims Exxon CEO Betrayed Him in $60 Billion Pioneer Deal
- +1 day
- +0.6%
- +3 days
- +1.1%
- 9/14/2026PositiveExxon Boosts 2030 LNG Sales Forecast on Strong Demand Growth
- +1 day
- -0.1%
- +3 days
- -0.3%
- 7/31/2026PositiveHere’s how Big Oil cashed in on the historic supply crunch
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 7/31/2026NegativeHeadline no longer in the latest news feed
- +1 day
- -1.7%
- +3 days
- -5.9%
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for XOM.
- 8d agoPOSITIVEExxon Signals Record Refining Earnings as Diesel Prices Soar
Exxon Mobil Corporation is poised for record third-quarter refining earnings, driven by a significant surge in diesel prices. Geopolitical conflicts in the Persian Gulf and Russia have disrupted fuel-making facilities, leading to elevated commodity costs. This environment is highly favorable for integrated oil companies like ExxonMobil, which benefit from strong refining margins. The company's ability to capitalize on these market conditions suggests robust operational performance and could lead to increased shareholder returns, making it an attractive prospect for investors focused on the energy sector.
- 17d agoNEUTRALSEC Warns Activist Investors After Climate Push at Exxon
The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has issued a warning to asset managers and activist investors regarding their reporting duties, particularly in the context of shareholder campaigns. This follows a 2021 initiative targeting Exxon Mobil Corp. directors over climate change policies. While the news highlights increased regulatory scrutiny on activist investor activities and corporate governance related to environmental, social, and governance (ESG) issues, it does not directly impact Exxon Mobil's current operations or financial performance. Investors should monitor future SEC guidance and potential implications for shareholder activism.
- 18d agoNEGATIVEBig Oil Faces Climate Reckoning in Supreme Court
A Supreme Court case involving Suncor and Exxon Mobil is set to determine if states can sue energy companies for damages attributed to global warming. This legal challenge represents a significant climate reckoning for 'Big Oil,' potentially exposing companies to substantial financial liabilities and increased regulatory scrutiny. Investors are closely watching as the outcome could set a precedent for future climate-related litigation against the energy sector, impacting long-term profitability and corporate strategy.
- 9/24/2026NEGATIVEScott Sheffield Claims Exxon CEO Betrayed Him in $60 Billion Pioneer Deal
Scott Sheffield alleges ExxonMobil CEO Darren Woods reneged on a promise of support during a Federal Trade Commission dispute, leading to a breakdown in their relationship. This dispute reportedly impacted a $60 billion deal, suggesting potential governance or strategic missteps at ExxonMobil. Investors may view this conflict as a sign of internal friction or poor execution, potentially casting a shadow over future deal-making and strategic partnerships. The accusation of betrayal by a key figure in the industry could also signal reputational risks for ExxonMobil.
- 9/14/2026POSITIVEExxon Boosts 2030 LNG Sales Forecast on Strong Demand Growth
Exxon Mobil Corp. has revised its 2030 liquefied natural gas (LNG) sales forecast upwards, anticipating sustained high demand, particularly from Asian markets. This strategic move comes despite geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which have led some countries to re-evaluate their energy sources. The company's increased confidence in long-term LNG demand suggests a positive outlook for its gas business segment, potentially leading to higher revenues and profits. Investors may view this as a sign of Exxon's strong market position and foresight in a dynamic energy landscape.
- 8/1/2026NEUTRALExxon, Chevron Warn Fuel Prices to Endure as War Knocks Refining
Exxon Mobil Corporation and Chevron Corporation have issued a joint warning that elevated fuel prices are expected to persist. This outlook is attributed to a critical shortage in global refining capacity, exacerbated by ongoing geopolitical conflicts in Russia and the Middle East. Despite potential drops in crude oil prices, the companies indicate that refining margins will remain tight. This situation suggests continued pressure on consumer energy costs and potential headwinds for industries reliant on stable fuel prices, while potentially benefiting refiners with available capacity.
- 7/31/2026POSITIVEHere’s how Big Oil cashed in on the historic supply crunch
ExxonMobil reported a more than doubling of its profits in the latest quarter, a significant surge driven by the historic "Big Oil" supply crunch. While the exact figures were not detailed in this excerpt, the company's performance indicates a strong operational and market advantage. Concurrently, Chevron's improved earnings also positively impacted its stock. This suggests a favorable environment for major oil producers, potentially signaling continued investor interest in the energy sector due to sustained demand and constrained supply.
- 7/31/2026NEUTRALExxon, Chevron Steer Windfall Profits Into Debt Reduction
ExxonMobil and Chevron have prioritized debt reduction over significant increases in share buybacks, utilizing windfall profits from elevated oil prices. This strategic move signals a cautious outlook from the major oil companies regarding the sustainability of current price rallies, likely driven by geopolitical factors. Investors may view this as a prudent approach to strengthening balance sheets, potentially enhancing long-term stability, though it tempers immediate shareholder return expectations.